Lead Co., Inc. (6982) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥1.68B
• Dividend Yield: 1.74%
• Average Volume (3M): 2.04K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.60
• Revenue Growth: -14.68%
• EPS Growth: -145.91%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 174
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Auto - Parts
• EPS (TTM): -5.67
• Shares Outstanding: 2,632,960
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,950
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 2,043
• PEG Ratio: 0.05
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.60
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.37
• P/FCF Ratio: -4.71
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 45 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥644.00 ▲(8.42% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 12/03/25
• Date: Action: Reiterated 12/03/25

Lead Co., Inc. is facing significant financial and technical challenges. The company's declining revenue and profitability issues, combined with bearish technical indicators, contribute to a low overall score. The negative P/E ratio further impacts the valuation negatively. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events means these components do not influence the score.

Positive Factors

Operating cash flow generation

Sustained positive operating cash flow shows the core auto-parts operations generate cash even amid profit challenges. Over 2-6 months this underpins working capital, supports near-term capex and debt service, and provides a base for recovery or strategic reinvestment if maintained.

Stable equity ratio / asset structure

A stable equity ratio implies the company’s asset base and capitalization structure are not deteriorating despite losses. This durability preserves lender and supplier confidence, limits immediate solvency pressure, and gives management time to execute a turnaround without urgent balance-sheet restructuring.

Cash-backed earnings quality

A favorable operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates reported losses or volatile earnings are at least partly covered by real cash generation. This reduces risk of accounting-driven distress, supports ongoing operations, and improves the company’s ability to service liabilities over the medium term.

Negative Factors

High leverage

Significant leverage raises fixed financing costs and reduces financial flexibility. With earnings currently negative, high debt increases default and refinancing risk, constrains strategic options like acquisitions or R&D, and can prolong recovery timelines if profitability does not improve.

Negative free cash flow

Negative free cash flow driven by elevated capex means the firm must fund investment or operations from debt or equity if operating cash generation doesn’t rise. Persistently negative FCF erodes liquidity, limits the ability to deleverage, and increases the probability of external financing or asset sales.

Declining revenue and persistent losses

A multi-year revenue decline combined with negative operating and net income signals structural demand or competitive issues. Negative margins and ROE restrict reinvestment and make recovery dependent on sustainable revenue stabilization and margin restoration, which can be slow and uncertain.

Lead Co., Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

The Lead Co., Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells automotive parts, and electronic equipment related racks and cases in Japan. The company offers automotive parts, such as bumpers and doors, and handbrake levers; and system rack, electric case, and hydraulic punch. It also engages in the planning, development, design, manufacture, sale, installation, and maintenance of bicycle parking equipment/system, such as bicycle parking racks and electric kickboard related products. The Lead Co., Inc. was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Kumagaya, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Lead Co., Inc. generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by charging clients for lead generation services and advertising placements. The company employs a performance-based pricing model, where clients pay based on the quality and quantity of leads generated. Additionally, Lead Co., Inc. offers subscription-based access to its data analytics and CRM tools, providing businesses with valuable insights to optimize their marketing strategies. Strategic partnerships with digital advertising networks and industry influencers further enhance its offerings, allowing for expanded reach and increased client acquisition. The combination of these revenue streams contributes significantly to the company's overall earnings.

Lead Co., Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Lead Co., Inc. faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenue and profitability issues. The balance sheet shows high leverage, which could be risky if earnings do not improve. While operating cash flow remains positive, the negative free cash flow due to capital expenditures is concerning. The company needs to address its profitability and leverage to improve its financial health.

Income Statement

Lead Co., Inc. has experienced declining revenue over the past few years, with a notable drop from 2020 to 2025. The gross profit margin has been inconsistent, and the company reported negative EBIT and net income in the latest year, indicating profitability challenges. The net profit margin has been negative in recent years, highlighting ongoing financial struggles.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high, indicating significant leverage, which poses a risk if earnings do not improve. However, the equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure. The return on equity has been negative, reflecting the company's recent losses.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow has been positive, but free cash flow has turned negative in the latest year due to high capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating good cash generation relative to net income, but the negative free cash flow is a concern.

Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	4.12B	4.19B	5.06B	5.02B	3.96B	4.75B
Gross Profit	494.78M	514.24M	647.83M	716.99M	261.82M	212.36M
EBITDA	256.21M	278.17M	509.35M	726.52M	303.81M	293.41M
Net Income	-129.07M	-105.00M	48.49M	184.90M	-188.05M	-123.18M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	7.89B	7.88B	8.56B	8.18B	8.14B	8.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.58B	1.44B	1.59B	1.58B	1.71B	1.34B
Total Debt	3.61B	3.78B	3.56B	3.70B	4.08B	4.09B
Total Liabilities	5.38B	5.28B	5.67B	5.58B	5.75B	5.82B
Stockholders Equity	2.51B	2.60B	2.88B	2.60B	2.40B	2.64B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	-329.44M	215.28M	328.62M	432.68M	-197.85M
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	273.35M	436.15M	589.59M	606.45M	191.89M
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-667.92M	-232.31M	-255.38M	-187.10M	-420.82M
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	195.06M	-183.38M	-479.74M	-51.27M	83.18M

Lead Co., Inc. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 594.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6982, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 594 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 631.80, below the 50-day MA of 616.72, and above the 200-day MA of 592.32, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 9.75 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.00 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:6982.

Lead Co., Inc. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
7284	71 Outperform	¥4.18B	8.29	―	4.08%	3.46%	―
7219	70 Neutral	¥3.38B	10.36	―	2.92%	-0.31%	3.93%
7217	68 Neutral	¥4.09B	19.34	―	4.39%	9.38%	0.07%
7255	64 Neutral	¥2.45B	6.80	―	1.68%	8.58%	11.74%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
7215	59 Neutral	¥3.75B	-31.00	―	―	-9.58%	―
6982	45 Neutral	¥1.68B	-7.36	―	1.74%	-14.68%	-145.91%