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Orchestra Holdings Inc. (JP:6533)
:6533
Japanese Market

Orchestra Holdings Inc. (6533) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6533

Orchestra Holdings Inc.

(6533)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,017.00
▼(-8.87% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/24/26
The score is driven primarily by improving recent fundamentals (stronger 2025 profitability and free cash flow) but tempered by increased leverage and historically uneven margins/cash flow. Technicals are a notable drag (price below key moving averages and negative MACD), while valuation is supportive but not a major catalyst.
Positive Factors
Consistent Revenue Growth
Three consecutive years of revenue growth plus a sharp profitability step-up in 2025 indicate structurally stronger demand and improving unit economics. Sustained top-line expansion supports scale advantages, reinvestment capacity, and a higher baseline for future margin recovery and cash generation.
Negative Factors
Rising Leverage
A material increase in debt and higher debt-to-equity reduce financial flexibility and raise refinancing and interest-rate risk. If growth or margins soften, elevated leverage could constrain investment, increase fixed charges, and limit the company’s ability to navigate a multi-quarter downturn.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Consistent Revenue Growth
Three consecutive years of revenue growth plus a sharp profitability step-up in 2025 indicate structurally stronger demand and improving unit economics. Sustained top-line expansion supports scale advantages, reinvestment capacity, and a higher baseline for future margin recovery and cash generation.
Read all positive factors

Orchestra Holdings Inc. (6533) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Orchestra Holdings Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Orchestra Holdings Inc. engages in the digital transformation, digital marketing, and other businesses in Japan. Its solutions include IT engineer services, artificial and business intelligence support, cloud integration, system development, and o...

Orchestra Holdings Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Recent momentum is positive: revenue rose in each of the last three years and 2025 saw a sharp profit rebound alongside strong free cash flow growth. Offsetting this, profitability and cash flow have been historically volatile (notably weak in 2022), gross margin has trended down since 2022, and leverage increased sharply in 2025, raising financial risk.
Income Statement
71
Positive
Balance Sheet
59
Neutral
Cash Flow
66
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.10B15.77B14.04B12.11B10.38B16.64B
Gross Profit6.65B6.90B6.49B5.86B5.10B3.88B
EBITDA1.21B1.76B1.33B1.21B1.60B1.39B
Net Income183.69M816.84M331.75M474.22M853.71M757.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.56B16.16B12.82B12.71B11.41B10.56B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.51B3.54B3.30B3.28B3.07B4.96B
Total Debt3.98B5.29B2.88B3.01B1.71B1.53B
Total Liabilities7.51B9.15B6.70B6.68B5.67B5.62B
Stockholders Equity5.60B6.50B5.68B5.63B5.33B4.47B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow357.00M961.81M1.09B972.40M-533.72M1.11B
Operating Cash Flow422.00M1.04B1.12B1.00B-484.54M1.11B
Investing Cash Flow-1.13B-1.23B-380.87M-2.00B-1.21B166.56M
Financing Cash Flow916.00M425.10M-716.78M1.20B-195.42M2.26B

Orchestra Holdings Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1116.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1102.68
Negative
100DMA
1108.35
Negative
200DMA
924.38
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-12.75
Negative
RSI
52.22
Neutral
STOCH
72.04
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6533, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1116 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1033.70, above the 50-day MA of 1102.68, and above the 200-day MA of 924.38, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -12.75 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:6533.

Orchestra Holdings Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
¥30.58B3.665.35%58.08%29.89%
68
Neutral
¥13.19B22.312.19%14.43%10.99%
66
Neutral
¥8.49B12.892.61%11.84%246.10%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
59
Neutral
¥10.52B13.140.91%15.68%-64.57%
57
Neutral
¥15.45B29.597.85%-3.20%34.08%
50
Neutral
¥12.80B2.40-2.68%91.68%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:6533
Orchestra Holdings Inc.
1,048.00
444.24
73.58%
JP:2122
Interspace Co., Ltd.
1,253.00
398.49
46.63%
JP:2491
ValueCommerce Co., Ltd.
478.00
-215.63
-31.09%
JP:6045
Rentracks Co., Ltd.
1,675.00
782.72
87.72%
JP:6094
FreakOut Holdings, Inc.
716.00
265.00
58.76%
JP:6535
i-mobile Co., Ltd.
529.00
58.78
12.50%

Orchestra Holdings Inc. Corporate Events

Orchestra Holdings Revises Allocation of Comprehensive Income in 2024 Results
Mar 19, 2026
Orchestra Holdings Inc. has announced partial corrections to its consolidated financial results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, focusing on the prior-year figures in its condensed consolidated statement of comprehensive income. The re...
Orchestra Holdings Lifts Earnings and Dividend as Revenue Grows Under New IFRS Regime
Feb 13, 2026
Orchestra Holdings Inc. reported consolidated revenue of ¥15.77 billion for the year ended December 31, 2025, up 12.3% year on year, with operating profit rising 8.4% to ¥1.44 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent increasin...
Orchestra Holdings Lifts Earnings, Dividend and Forecasts After IFRS Shift
Feb 13, 2026
Orchestra Holdings Inc. reported consolidated revenue of ¥15.77 billion for 2025, up 12.3% year on year, with operating profit rising 8.4% to ¥1.44 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent up 10.3% to ¥816 million. Ea...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026