ValueCommerce Co., Ltd. (JP:2491)
:2491
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ValueCommerce Co., Ltd.
(2491)
Select Model
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Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
¥434.00
▼(-36.64% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/04/26
The score is held back primarily by the sharp deterioration in revenue and profitability and very bearish technical momentum. Offsetting this are a conservative, debt-free balance sheet and still-positive cash generation, with additional support from a high dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Debt-free balance sheet
A zero-debt balance sheet materially reduces financial risk and preserves strategic optionality. Over the next 2–6 months this conservatism supports continued dividend capacity, funds for selective reinvestment or M&A, and provides a resilient buffer against cyclical ad-market weakness.
Negative Factors
Revenue decline and margin compression
Sustained top-line decline and sharp margin erosion materially weaken internal funding for growth and dividends. If advertiser demand or pricing pressures persist, margin recovery could be slow because fixed costs and platform investments limit near-term operating leverage and profitability restoration.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Debt-free balance sheet
A zero-debt balance sheet materially reduces financial risk and preserves strategic optionality. Over the next 2–6 months this conservatism supports continued dividend capacity, funds for selective reinvestment or M&A, and provides a resilient buffer against cyclical ad-market weakness.
Read all positive factors
ValueCommerce Co., Ltd. (2491) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥13.77B
Dividend Yield7.85%
Average Volume (3M)275.04K
Price to Earnings (P/E)29.6
Beta (1Y)0.42
Revenue Growth-3.20%
EPS Growth34.08%
CountryJP
Employees404
SectorCommunication Services
Sector Strength97
IndustryAdvertising Agencies
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-83.32
Shares Outstanding34,471,000
10 Day Avg. Volume295,840
30 Day Avg. Volume275,036
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.37
Price to Book (P/B)1.18
Price to Sales (P/S)0.60
P/FCF Ratio7.71
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)-9.6
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥16.64B
ValueCommerce Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
ValueCommerce Co., Ltd. provides marketing solutions in Japan and internationally. The company develops and offers affiliate marketing services, including pay-per-performance advertising services; and Value Point Club, a cash-back program that all...
How the Company Makes Money
ValueCommerce primarily earns revenue from performance-based digital marketing services and related marketing technology offerings. A key revenue stream is performance advertising (often affiliate-type marketing), where ValueCommerce operates a ne...
ValueCommerce Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
41
Neutral
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
57
Neutral
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 24.17B | 30.41B | 29.40B | 35.71B | 33.56B |
| Gross Profit | 7.35B | 9.98B | 10.15B | 12.83B | 12.88B |
| EBITDA | 2.36B | 4.59B | 5.70B | 8.72B | 8.70B |
| Net Income | 487.00M | 2.85B | 3.40B | 5.81B | 3.26B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 16.14B | 19.71B | 28.47B | 28.20B | 24.11B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 11.03B | 11.78B | 21.53B | 20.18B | 15.50B |
| Total Debt | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Total Liabilities | 3.96B | 6.84B | 6.01B | 7.38B | 7.54B |
| Stockholders Equity | 12.18B | 12.86B | 22.46B | 20.82B | 16.57B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 1.87B | 3.38B | 3.49B | 6.79B | 5.40B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.92B | 3.47B | 3.53B | 6.82B | 5.53B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.44B | -716.00M | -434.00M | -408.00M | -101.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -1.23B | -12.51B | -1.75B | -1.72B | -1.35B |
ValueCommerce Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis
Negative
685.00
Price Trends
498.68
Negative
580.42
Negative
667.52
Negative
Market Momentum
-16.99
Negative
38.87
Neutral
20.73
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2491, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 685 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 434.35, above the 50-day MA of 498.68, and above the 200-day MA of 667.52, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -16.99 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 38.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:2491.
ValueCommerce Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
68 Neutral | ¥13.18B | 22.31 | ― | 2.19% | 14.43% | 10.99% | |
66 Neutral | ¥18.13B | 8.10 | ― | 2.01% | 15.43% | 12.47% | |
65 Neutral | ¥14.47B | 10.92 | ― | 1.51% | 7.96% | ― | |
60 Neutral | $48.67B | 4.58 | -11.27% | 4.14% | 2.83% | -41.78% | |
59 Neutral | ¥8.97B | 12.89 | ― | 2.61% | 11.84% | 246.10% | |
57 Neutral | ¥13.77B | 29.59 | ― | 7.85% | -3.20% | 34.08% | |
50 Neutral | ¥12.71B | 2.40 | ― | ― | -2.68% | 91.68% |
* Communication Services Sector Average
JP:2491
ValueCommerce Co., Ltd.
426.00
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8.83%
ValueCommerce Co., Ltd. Corporate Events
ValueCommerce to Relocate Tokyo Head Office, Amending Articles of Incorporation
Feb 20, 2026
ValueCommerce Co., Ltd. plans to amend its Articles of Incorporation to relocate its head office from Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, to Minato-ku, Tokyo, as approved by its Board of Directors. The move is intended to support hybrid work practices, signaling a...
ValueCommerce refreshes board and audit structure ahead of 2026 shareholders meeting
Feb 20, 2026
ValueCommerce announced planned changes to its board of directors, with the current slate of executive directors, including President and CEO Jin Kagawa and CFO Masatomo Endo, all standing for reelection at the March 25, 2026 shareholders meeting....
ValueCommerce Maintains Year-End Dividend at ¥24 Despite Lower Profit Forecast
Jan 30, 2026
ValueCommerce Co., Ltd. has resolved at its Board of Directors meeting to pay a year-end dividend of ¥24 per share for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, to shareholders of record on that date, with total dividends amounting to ¥52...
ValueCommerce Profit Plunges in FY2025 as Sales Slide and Dividend Is Cut
Jan 30, 2026
ValueCommerce reported a sharp deterioration in its results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, with net sales down 20.5% to ¥24.17 billion, operating income down 52.6% to ¥1.97 billion, ordinary income down 64.1% to ¥1.48 ...
ValueCommerce Takes FY2025 Impairment Hit but Lifts Sales and Operating Profit Outlook
Jan 26, 2026
ValueCommerce Co., Ltd. will book extraordinary losses of ¥1,028 million on impaired tools, fixtures and software, additional non-operating expenses tied to equity-method affiliates, and a ¥229 million reversal of deferred tax assets in ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.