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ValueCommerce Co., Ltd.
(2491)
Select Model
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Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
¥473.00
▲(0.85% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/30/26
The score is held back primarily by weakening financial performance (TTM revenue decline, losses, and negative operating/free cash flow). Offsetting factors include a debt-free balance sheet that reduces financial risk, a supportive dividend yield, and some near-term technical stabilization despite a weak longer-term trend.
Positive Factors
Debt-free Balance Sheet
A debt-free balance sheet materially reduces solvency risk and interest burden, giving the company flexibility to fund operations, invest in product or marketing, or absorb shocks without refinancing. This structural strength supports longer-term resilience despite cyclical revenue swings.
Negative Factors
Sharp Revenue & Profit Decline
A substantive drop in revenue and the swing to operating and net losses indicate persistent demand or competitive pressures. Reduced top-line and collapsing margins undermine reinvestment capacity, weaken pricing power, and can lead to protracted recovery periods absent clear structural tailwinds or cost realignment.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Debt-free Balance Sheet
A debt-free balance sheet materially reduces solvency risk and interest burden, giving the company flexibility to fund operations, invest in product or marketing, or absorb shocks without refinancing. This structural strength supports longer-term resilience despite cyclical revenue swings.
Read all positive factors
ValueCommerce Co., Ltd. (2491) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥15.28B
Dividend Yield6.77%
Average Volume (3M)275.04K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.41
Revenue Growth-55.40%
EPS Growth-157.50%
CountryJP
Employees381
SectorCommunication Services
Sector Strength97
IndustryAdvertising Agencies
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-85.67
Shares Outstanding34,471,000
10 Day Avg. Volume295,840
30 Day Avg. Volume275,036
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.37
Price to Book (P/B)1.18
Price to Sales (P/S)0.60
P/FCF Ratio7.71
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)-37.2
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥14.21B
ValueCommerce Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
ValueCommerce Co., Ltd. provides marketing solutions in Japan. It operates through three segments: Marketing Solutions Business, EC Solutions Business, and Travel Tech Business. The company provides performance-based advertising. It offers click-b...
How the Company Makes Money
ValueCommerce primarily generates revenue by providing performance-based online marketing and related commerce-support services to corporate clients (advertisers/merchants). Its core monetization typically centers on (1) affiliate/performance mark...
ValueCommerce Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
28
Negative
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
24
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 14.01B | 24.17B | 30.41B | 29.40B | 35.71B | 33.56B |
| Gross Profit | 4.54B | 7.35B | 9.98B | 10.15B | 12.83B | 12.88B |
| EBITDA | -1.53B | 1.53B | 4.55B | 5.51B | 8.79B | 6.24B |
| Net Income | -1.86B | 487.00M | 2.85B | 3.40B | 5.81B | 3.26B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 15.41B | 16.14B | 19.71B | 28.47B | 28.20B | 24.11B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 10.01B | 11.03B | 11.78B | 21.53B | 20.18B | 15.50B |
| Total Debt | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Total Liabilities | 4.05B | 3.96B | 6.84B | 6.01B | 7.38B | 7.54B |
| Stockholders Equity | 11.36B | 12.18B | 12.86B | 22.46B | 20.82B | 16.57B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -724.00M | 1.87B | 3.38B | 3.49B | 6.79B | 5.40B |
| Operating Cash Flow | -91.00M | 1.92B | 3.47B | 3.53B | 6.82B | 5.53B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.17B | -1.44B | -716.00M | -434.00M | -408.00M | -101.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -1.06B | -1.23B | -12.51B | -1.75B | -1.72B | -1.35B |
ValueCommerce Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis
Positive
469.00
Price Trends
458.83
Positive
455.65
Positive
526.65
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.22
Positive
52.18
Neutral
30.72
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2491, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 469 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 461.45, above the 50-day MA of 458.83, and below the 200-day MA of 526.65, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.72 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:2491.
ValueCommerce Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
67 Neutral | ¥9.50B | 22.83 | ― | 2.61% | 11.29% | ― | |
65 Neutral | ¥16.49B | 10.96 | ― | 1.51% | 8.71% | 73.66% | |
60 Neutral | $48.67B | 4.58 | -11.27% | 4.14% | 2.83% | -41.78% | |
60 Neutral | ¥17.69B | 7.12 | ― | 2.01% | -2.12% | -14.54% | |
53 Neutral | ¥12.99B | 5.04 | ― | 2.19% | 14.95% | 284.56% | |
51 Neutral | ¥15.28B | -5.52 | ― | 7.85% | -55.40% | -157.50% | |
43 Neutral | ¥9.67B | 6.41 | ― | ― | 4.27% | 3453.18% |
* Communication Services Sector Average
JP:2491
ValueCommerce Co., Ltd.
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-40.41%
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ValueCommerce Co., Ltd. Corporate Events
ValueCommerce Cuts Interim Dividend but Reaffirms Focus on Shareholder Returns
Jul 29, 2026
ValueCommerce Co., Ltd. has announced that its board approved an interim dividend of ¥8 per share for the fiscal year 2026, payable on August 31, 2026 to shareholders of record as of June 30, 2026. The payout totals ¥173 million funded f...
ValueCommerce Misses Q2 Sales Target but Narrows Losses on Cost Cuts and Asset Sale
Jul 29, 2026
ValueCommerce Co., Ltd., a Japan-based provider of affiliate marketing and digital advertising services, operates a performance-based model that depends heavily on advertiser placement policies and budgets. Listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, the ...
ValueCommerce Posts Interim Loss But Maintains Dividend Amid Sharp Revenue Forecast Decline
Jul 29, 2026
ValueCommerce reported non-consolidated net sales of ¥5,797 million for the six months ended June 30, 2026, posting an operating loss of ¥560 million and a net loss of ¥460 million, with basic earnings per share at -¥21.23. The...
Kaname Capital Emerges as Largest Shareholder in ValueCommerce
May 15, 2026
ValueCommerce Co., Ltd. announced that Kaname Capital, L.P., a U.S.-based investment management firm headquartered in Boston, has become its largest shareholder following the submission of a Large Shareholding Report to the Kanto Local Finance Bur...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.