Orchestra Holdings Inc. (6533) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥7.56B
• Dividend Yield: 1.48%
• Average Volume (3M): 16.31K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 40.0
• Beta (1Y): 0.91
• Revenue Growth: 15.68%
• EPS Growth: -64.57%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 1,111
• Sector: Communication Services
• Sector Strength: 92
• Industry: Advertising Agencies
• EPS (TTM): -4.43
• Shares Outstanding: 10,034,200
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 28,730
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 16,306
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: ¥826.00
• Price Target Upside: 11.47% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1

• Rating: 73 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥826.00 ▲(11.47% Upside)

Orchestra Holdings Inc. shows strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and effective cash flow management, which are the most significant factors. Technical analysis indicates neutral momentum, while valuation suggests potential overvaluation. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data does not impact the score.

Orchestra Holdings Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Orchestra Holdings Inc. (6533) is a Japan-based company engaged in the digital marketing sector. The company provides a variety of services, including data analytics, digital advertising, and marketing solutions, to help businesses enhance their online presence and engagement. It operates through several subsidiaries that focus on different aspects of digital marketing, such as performance marketing, data-driven advertising, and customer relationship management.

How the Company Makes Money

Orchestra Holdings Inc. generates revenue through a combination of service fees for digital marketing solutions, commissions from performance-based advertising, and subscription fees for access to its data analytics platforms. The company partners with a range of businesses, helping them to design and execute effective digital marketing strategies. Key revenue streams include consulting fees for marketing strategy development, sales from advertising placements, and ongoing revenue from managed marketing services. The company leverages its expertise in data analytics to provide tailored marketing solutions that drive customer engagement and conversion rates.

Orchestra Holdings Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Orchestra Holdings Inc. demonstrates robust financial health with strong revenue growth of 15.9% and effective cash generation. The balance sheet is strong with moderate leverage and substantial equity. However, profitability margins, particularly net income, show room for improvement.

Income Statement

Orchestra Holdings Inc. has shown a solid revenue growth rate of approximately 15.9% year-over-year from 2023 to 2024, indicating strong business expansion. The gross profit margin stands at 46.2%, suggesting effective cost management. However, net profit margin decreased from 3.9% in 2023 to 2.4% in 2024, which might signal rising operational costs or competitive pressures. The EBIT margin is stable at 5.7%, while the EBITDA margin is higher at 9.4%, reflecting strong earnings before depreciation and amortization.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet is robust, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.51, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio is 44.3%, showing substantial equity funding. Return on equity (ROE) decreased to 5.8% in 2024, highlighting a need for more efficient profit generation relative to shareholder equity. The company's asset base has grown steadily, supporting its operational expansion.

Cash Flow

Strong cash flow performance is evident with a free cash flow growth rate of 12.5% from 2023 to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 3.38, indicating excellent cash generation capability from operations. Furthermore, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 3.29, reflecting efficient conversion of net income into free cash flow, despite higher capital expenditures.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	14.73B	14.04B	12.11B	10.38B	16.64B	11.83B
Gross Profit	6.64B	6.49B	5.87B	5.10B	3.88B	2.51B
EBITDA	1.26B	1.36B	1.21B	1.72B	1.45B	806.14M
Net Income	239.90M	331.75M	474.00M	853.71M	757.23M	435.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	14.11B	12.82B	12.71B	11.41B	10.56B	4.69B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	3.09B	3.28B	3.59B	3.02B	4.96B	1.41B
Total Debt	4.24B	2.88B	3.01B	1.71B	1.53B	791.16M
Total Liabilities	7.97B	6.70B	6.68B	5.67B	5.62B	2.80B
Stockholders Equity	5.69B	5.68B	5.63B	5.33B	4.47B	1.85B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	1.09B	972.00M	-533.72M	1.11B	586.65M
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	1.12B	1.00B	-484.54M	1.11B	660.49M
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-380.87M	-2.00B	-993.87M	-32.18M	-62.88M
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-716.78M	1.21B	-413.55M	2.46B	127.37M

Orchestra Holdings Inc. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 741.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6533, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 741 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 739.70, above the 50-day MA of 726.48, and below the 200-day MA of 768.28, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 10.73 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:6533.

Orchestra Holdings Inc. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
2173	81 Outperform	¥11.10B	9.65		3.05%	-5.34%	-21.28%
7050	80 Outperform	¥10.27B	11.53		4.36%	20.01%	79.47%
6045	75 Outperform	¥12.03B	16.33		1.46%	13.59%	43.49%
6533	73 Outperform	¥7.56B	40.05		1.48%	15.68%	-64.57%
Sector *	60 Neutral	$44.05B	4.50	-12.81%	4.08%	1.86%	-43.08%
6094	49 Neutral	¥9.08B	228.95		―	13.70%	94.10%
9235	39 Underperform	¥11.08B	―		―	54.82%	-495.66%

Orchestra Holdings Inc. Corporate Events

Orchestra Holdings Inc. Reports Strong Q1 Performance with Strategic Expansions

Orchestra Holdings Inc. reported its first-quarter results for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, showcasing a strong performance in its Digital Marketing and Digital Transformation segments. Despite a decrease in EBITDA and operating income compared to the previous year, net sales and gross profit reached record highs, indicating a recovery trend. The company also made strategic acquisitions in its DX business, expanding its services in the IoT domain and planning to acquire treasury stock for future M&A activities.

Orchestra Holdings Inc. Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results with Increased Sales but Declining Profits

Orchestra Holdings Inc. reported its consolidated financial results for the first quarter of 2025, showing a significant increase in net sales by 20.4% compared to the previous year. However, the company experienced a decline in profits, with operating profit and profit attributable to owners of the parent decreasing by 22.5% and 39.0%, respectively. The financial position shows a slight increase in total assets but a decrease in the equity ratio, indicating potential challenges in maintaining profitability. The company has also revised its dividend forecast, reflecting a cautious approach to shareholder returns.