Daifuku Co (6383) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥2.17T
• Dividend Yield: 1.3%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.35M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 31.1
• Beta (1Y): 1.03
• Revenue Growth: N/A
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: JP
• Employees: 11,042
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Industrial - Machinery
• EPS (TTM): N/A
• Shares Outstanding: 379,830,230
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,257,220
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,346,703
• PEG Ratio: 2.58
• Price to Book (P/B): 3.75
• Price to Sales (P/S): 2.20
• P/FCF Ratio: 77.31
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: ¥5,669.89
• Price Target Upside: -0.67% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 72 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥6,310.00 ▲(10.55% Upside)

Daifuku Co's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance, with robust revenue growth and profitability. The technical analysis supports a positive outlook with bullish trends, although the stock may be overbought. Valuation is a concern due to a high P/E ratio, which suggests the stock may be overvalued. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data did not impact the score.

Positive Factors

Revenue and Margin Strength

Sustained TTM revenue growth of 26.8% alongside healthy gross and net margins indicates durable end-market demand and operational efficiency. This level of profitability supports reinvestment in R&D, capacity and service expansion, reinforcing competitive positioning over the medium term.

Conservative Balance Sheet & ROE

Low leverage and a strong equity ratio, coupled with a high ROE, signal prudent capital structure and efficient use of shareholder funds. This financial strength provides lasting flexibility to fund large projects, absorb cyclical downturns or pursue strategic investments without destabilizing operations.

Recurring Service Revenue and Global Network

A material portion of earnings comes from maintenance, parts, retrofits and lifecycle contracts. This recurring, annuity-like revenue from an installed base and local service footprint stabilizes cash flows, increases customer stickiness, and cushions project cycle volatility over coming quarters.

Negative Factors

Declining Free Cash Flow Growth

A 45.63% drop in FCF growth is a meaningful weakening in cash generation. If this trend persists it can constrain internal funding for capex, working capital for large projects and shareholder returns, increasing reliance on external financing and raising execution risk over the medium term.

Project-Driven Cyclicality

Revenue is concentrated in large, bespoke system projects tied to customer capex cycles across logistics, automotive and airports. That structural exposure creates predictable cyclicality and order-timing volatility, reducing near-term revenue predictability and increasing sensitivity to macro capex trends.

Rising Debt Trend to Monitor

Although current leverage is low, the reported uptick in debt levels warrants monitoring. Rising debt combined with weakening FCF growth could erode financial flexibility and elevate refinancing or covenant risk if large projects are delayed or markets soften in the coming quarters.

Daifuku Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Daifuku Co., Ltd. provides consulting, engineering, design, manufacture, installation, and after-sales services for logistics systems and material handling equipment in Japan and internationally. The company offers automated warehousing, various storage and transport, and sorting and picking systems to distributors, including e-commerce, retail, wholesale, transportation, and warehousing customers, as well as to food, pharmaceuticals, and chemicals manufactures; and cleanroom transport and storage systems used in manufacturing semiconductors and flat panel displays for smartphones and tablet computers. It also provides systems for automobile production processes; and solutions for airports comprising baggage handling systems, automated baggage check-in systems, baggage screening systems, and software and controls. In addition, the company offers car wash machines to filling stations and automobile dealers; and high-end industrial personal computers, controllers used in medical devices, computers built in digital signage, and measuring/control systems for solar facilities, as well as IT systems and wireless power supply solutions. The company was formerly known as Daifuku Machinery Works Co., Ltd. Daifuku Co., Ltd. was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Daifuku generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily by designing, manufacturing, and selling its automated material handling systems and services. The company earns income from the initial sale of equipment and systems, as well as from long-term maintenance and support contracts. Additionally, Daifuku benefits from recurring revenue through software solutions that enhance warehouse management and logistics operations. Significant partnerships with major corporations in the automotive and e-commerce sectors bolster its market presence and contribute to stable earnings. The company also engages in international expansion, allowing it to tap into emerging markets and diversify its revenue sources.

Daifuku Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Daifuku Co exhibits strong financial health with robust revenue growth and profitability, supported by a solid balance sheet. The company effectively manages its debt levels and generates sufficient cash flow. However, the recent decline in free cash flow growth is a potential risk that should be monitored.

Income Statement

Daifuku Co has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue growth rate of 26.8%, indicating robust demand for its products. The company maintains healthy profitability margins, with a gross profit margin of 22.38% and a net profit margin of 10.22% in the TTM. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also solid at 13.23% and 14.63%, respectively, reflecting efficient operations. Overall, the income statement shows a positive growth trajectory and stable profitability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of Daifuku Co is strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.158, indicating prudent financial leverage. The return on equity is impressive at 19.02%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at 59.61%, suggesting a solid equity base relative to total assets. While the company has managed its debt well, the slight increase in debt levels over the years warrants monitoring.

Cash Flow

Daifuku Co's cash flow statement reveals a mixed picture. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.65, indicating adequate cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow growth rate has declined by 45.63% in the TTM, which could be a concern if it persists. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains healthy at 0.85, suggesting good cash conversion. Overall, while cash flow generation is stable, the recent decline in free cash flow growth needs attention.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	746.62B	750.97B	611.48B	601.92B	512.27B	473.90B
Gross Profit	176.13B	170.18B	119.78B	109.80B	94.30B	88.16B
EBITDA	125.43B	111.18B	74.03B	64.60B	59.30B	52.85B
Net Income	85.84B	76.12B	45.46B	41.25B	35.88B	32.39B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	707.01B	698.57B	646.15B	551.55B	483.32B	445.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	227.74B	221.52B	142.04B	102.75B	118.77B	94.17B
Total Debt	62.23B	69.22B	70.62B	11.46B	26.36B	35.14B
Total Liabilities	285.47B	300.14B	287.40B	219.23B	191.26B	183.44B
Stockholders Equity	421.53B	398.09B	358.41B	332.02B	290.77B	257.06B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	68.55B	104.25B	17.39B	6.32B	46.23B	30.75B
Operating Cash Flow	93.77B	116.13B	37.12B	20.03B	56.69B	38.23B
Investing Cash Flow	-17.40B	-2.39B	-29.58B	-11.87B	-9.83B	-6.13B
Financing Cash Flow	-45.85B	-36.82B	22.73B	-30.19B	-27.55B	-8.93B

Daifuku Co Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 5708.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6383, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5708 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5456.85, above the 50-day MA of 5147.18, and above the 200-day MA of 4419.55, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 136.65 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:6383.

Daifuku Co Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
6371	74 Outperform	¥258.39B	11.34	8.83%	3.85%	1.48%	8.86%
6383	72 Outperform	¥2.17T	31.14	16.30%	1.30%	―	―
6273	72 Outperform	¥4.03T	26.05	7.96%	1.86%	2.43%	-1.86%
6481	70 Neutral	¥551.93B	86.43	1.88%	6.16%	1.98%	-48.28%
6594	69 Neutral	¥2.76T	22.39	6.88%	0.97%	5.35%	26.51%
6268	65 Neutral	¥521.47B	33.49	5.25%	2.13%	-2.23%	130.96%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%