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Daifuku Co Ltd (JP:6383)
:6383

Daifuku Co (6383) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6383

Daifuku Co

(6383)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
¥6,929.00
▲(10.56% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven primarily by strong profitability and a low-leverage balance sheet, supporting resilience. This is tempered by weakening revenue and softer cash-flow trends, while technicals are bullish but overbought. A relatively high P/E and modest yield also cap the valuation component.
Positive Factors
Strong margins and profitability
Sustained TTM operating (~15%) and net (~11%) margins indicate durable earnings power. High margins provide internal funding for R&D, service networks and capex, help absorb project timing swings, and support long-term return generation even if top-line growth softens.
Conservative balance sheet and high ROE
Low leverage (debt/equity ~0.15) and strong ROE (~21%) give financial flexibility to fund projects, M&A or cyclic downturns without forcing asset sales. A conservative capital structure lowers solvency risk and preserves capacity for long-term strategic investments.
After-sales service and market diversification
Recurring service, parts and retrofit revenue smooths cash flow and raises lifetime value of installations. Participation across logistics, factory automation and airports diversifies demand cycles, making core earnings less dependent on single-sector capex waves over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Declining revenues (TTM -11.5%)
An ~11.5% TTM revenue decline signals weaker project intake or slower end-market capex. For a project-driven automation business, sustained revenue weakness can erode backlog conversion, reduce operating leverage and limit ability to grow service annuities over the next several quarters.
Volatile and weakening free cash flow
FCF contraction (~21% TTM) and inconsistent operating cash suggest working-capital swings and lumpy project collections. Weaker, volatile cash generation hampers funding for replacement capex, service expansion and shareholder returns, increasing sensitivity to project timing.
Rising total debt versus prior years
Although leverage is low, rising absolute debt versus prior years signals higher funding needs or financing of growth. If revenue and cash flow weaken further, incremental debt raises interest exposure and reduces cushion for capital spending or cyclical downturns.

Daifuku Co (6383) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Daifuku Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDaifuku Co., Ltd. provides consulting, engineering, design, manufacture, installation, and after-sales services for logistics systems and material handling equipment in Japan and internationally. The company offers automated warehousing, various storage and transport, and sorting and picking systems to distributors, including e-commerce, retail, wholesale, transportation, and warehousing customers, as well as to food, pharmaceuticals, and chemicals manufactures; and cleanroom transport and storage systems used in manufacturing semiconductors and flat panel displays for smartphones and tablet computers. It also provides systems for automobile production processes; and solutions for airports comprising baggage handling systems, automated baggage check-in systems, baggage screening systems, and software and controls. In addition, the company offers car wash machines to filling stations and automobile dealers; and high-end industrial personal computers, controllers used in medical devices, computers built in digital signage, and measuring/control systems for solar facilities, as well as IT systems and wireless power supply solutions. The company was formerly known as Daifuku Machinery Works Co., Ltd. Daifuku Co., Ltd. was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyDaifuku generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily by designing, manufacturing, and selling its automated material handling systems and services. The company earns income from the initial sale of equipment and systems, as well as from long-term maintenance and support contracts. Additionally, Daifuku benefits from recurring revenue through software solutions that enhance warehouse management and logistics operations. Significant partnerships with major corporations in the automotive and e-commerce sectors bolster its market presence and contribute to stable earnings. The company also engages in international expansion, allowing it to tap into emerging markets and diversify its revenue sources.

Daifuku Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability (TTM operating margin ~15%, net margin ~11%) and a conservative balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.15, ROE ~21%) support a solid base. Offsetting factors are a meaningful TTM revenue decline (~11.5%) and softer, more volatile cash flow (TTM FCF down ~21%; FCF ~73% of net income).
Income Statement
78
Positive
Profitability is strong in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), with healthy operating and net margins (about 15% operating margin and ~11% net margin), improving versus recent annual periods. However, the top line has turned down, with TTM revenue down ~11.5%, which raises near-term growth risk despite solid earnings power.
Balance Sheet
84
Very Positive
The balance sheet looks conservative, with low leverage (debt-to-equity around 0.15 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)) and a sizable equity base. Returns on equity are strong in TTM (roughly 21%), indicating efficient use of capital. A watch item is that total debt has risen versus some prior years, even though leverage remains very manageable.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash generation is positive, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) free cash flow of ~¥54B and free cash flow equal to ~73% of net income, which is supportive of earnings quality. That said, cash flow has been more volatile than profits: TTM free cash flow declined ~21%, and operating cash flow is not consistently strong relative to revenue across periods, suggesting working-capital swings and/or higher investment needs.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue660.72B750.97B611.48B601.92B512.27B473.90B
Gross Profit161.65B170.18B119.78B109.80B94.30B88.16B
EBITDA116.09B111.18B74.03B64.60B59.30B52.85B
Net Income78.10B76.12B45.46B41.25B35.88B32.39B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets754.21B698.57B646.15B551.55B483.32B445.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments261.25B221.52B142.04B102.75B118.77B94.17B
Total Debt61.38B69.22B70.62B11.46B26.36B35.14B
Total Liabilities302.65B300.14B287.40B219.23B191.26B183.44B
Stockholders Equity451.55B398.09B358.41B332.02B290.77B257.06B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow53.93B104.25B17.39B6.32B46.23B30.75B
Operating Cash Flow76.14B116.13B37.12B20.03B56.69B38.23B
Investing Cash Flow-24.30B-2.39B-29.58B-11.87B-9.83B-6.13B
Financing Cash Flow-27.35B-36.82B22.73B-30.19B-27.55B-8.93B

Daifuku Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price6267.00
Price Trends
50DMA
5618.94
Positive
100DMA
5261.68
Positive
200DMA
4663.67
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
186.46
Positive
RSI
47.83
Neutral
STOCH
38.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6383, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 6267 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6156.45, above the 50-day MA of 5618.94, and above the 200-day MA of 4663.67, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 186.46 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:6383.

Daifuku Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
¥266.68B11.098.83%3.85%1.48%8.86%
78
Outperform
¥4.48T28.867.96%1.86%2.43%-1.86%
71
Outperform
¥581.48B37.785.25%2.13%-2.23%130.96%
70
Outperform
¥2.25T28.0616.30%1.30%
69
Neutral
¥2.60T21.686.88%0.97%5.35%26.51%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
55
Neutral
¥613.88B96.131.88%6.16%1.98%-48.28%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:6383
Daifuku Co
5,959.00
2,256.38
60.94%
JP:6273
SMC (OR)
71,620.00
17,588.53
32.55%
JP:6268
Nabtesco
4,971.00
2,636.18
112.91%
JP:6594
Nidec
2,266.00
-306.27
-11.91%
JP:6481
THK Co
5,480.00
1,830.43
50.15%
JP:6371
Tsubakimoto Chain Co.
2,541.00
688.01
37.13%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026