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Nidec Corporation (JP:6594)
:6594

Nidec (6594) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6594

Nidec

(6594)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,639.00
▲(27.18% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:01/14/26
The score is primarily supported by strong financial performance (rapid revenue growth, robust cash flow, and low leverage). Technicals are neutral-to-soft due to the stock remaining below key long-term moving averages, while valuation is fair with a moderate P/E but a low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth / Market Demand
Sustained TTM revenue growth of +71.7% reflects strong end-market demand and successful penetration across electronics, industrial and automotive segments. This scale expansion supports durable revenue streams, higher bargaining power with suppliers, and reinvestment capacity over the next several quarters.
Cash Generation
Robust free cash flow growth (+11.9% TTM) and a 0.61 FCF-to-net-income ratio indicate strong cash conversion. Reliable cash generation underpins capex for capacity, product development and possible M&A, enabling durable investment without overreliance on external funding.
Prudent Balance Sheet
A low debt-to-equity ratio (0.37) and a strong equity base provide financial flexibility to fund scaling and weather cyclical downturns. Lower leverage reduces refinancing risk and supports strategic investments in electrification and automation over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Moderate Profitability
Net margin at 6.1% and ROE of 9.2% show that revenue growth translates into only moderate returns. Sustained long-term shareholder value will require margin expansion or higher capital efficiency; otherwise strong sales may not meaningfully boost profitability.
Margin Pressure Risk
Gross margin of 18.0% has edged lower, signaling cost or mix pressures. If input costs or a shift toward lower-value product mixes persist, margins could remain constrained, limiting the company’s ability to fund higher-margin R&D or to absorb future price competition.
Exposure to Commodity Segments
Significant sales of high-volume and commodity motors expose Nidec to OEM pricing cycles and volume volatility. Without continued migration to higher-value integrated systems, long-term margin upside is limited and revenue sensitivity to industrial demand could persist.

Nidec (6594) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Nidec Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNidec Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells motors, electronics and optical components, and other related products in Japan and internationally. The company offers medium- and large-size motors, small-size and precision motors, motor-related products, units and modules, automotive components, mechanical equipment, inspection and measuring equipment, electronic devices, sensors, and other products. Its products are used for applications in robotics, IoT products, automotive components, home appliances, logistics/agriculture, information technology, office automation, mobile devices and optical components, medical and health care products, housing equipment, commercial and professional products, industrial machinery, and processing/inspection equipment. The company was incorporated in 1973 and is headquartered in Kyoto, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyNidec generates revenue primarily through the sale of its electric motors and related components across various sectors. The company has several key revenue streams, including small precision motors used in consumer electronics, larger motors utilized in automotive and industrial applications, and systems for energy management. Nidec also benefits from strategic partnerships and acquisitions that enhance its technological capabilities and market reach. The company’s focus on innovation and efficiency, particularly in the context of the electrification of vehicles and the push for sustainable energy solutions, further drives its earnings potential.

Nidec Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 22, 2026
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong performance in net sales, AI server demand, and order intake for machine tools. However, challenges such as declining operating profit before income taxes, automotive sector issues, and inventory management problems balanced the positive aspects.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record High Net Sales and Operating Profit
Net sales increased by 11.5% to JPY1.946 trillion and operating profit rose by 5.0% to JPY175.5 billion, both hitting record high levels.
Strong Performance in AI Server and Data Center Markets
Demand for hard disk motors remained high, and the AI server market showed rapid growth, contributing positively to overall performance.
Successful Order Intake in Machine Tools
Order intake for machine tools increased by 1.5 times, indicating strong future sales potential.
Profitability in Traction Business
The traction business in China turned profitable in Q3, with expectations for continued profitability in Q4 and FY 2025.
Negative Updates
Decline in Operating Profit Before Income Taxes
Operating profit before income taxes decreased by 4.7% and profit attributable to owners fell by 6.7% due to currency depreciation and exchange rate fluctuations.
Challenges in Automotive Sector
Sluggish performance in European and American automotive markets, with ongoing restructuring efforts impacting profitability.
Inventory Management Issues
Despite efforts to reduce inventory, levels remained suboptimal, affecting cash flow and operating profit.
Losses in Certain Segments
Sluggish situation in the machinery segment and seasonal losses in U.S. motor products impacted overall profitability.
Company Guidance
During the call, Nidec Corporation provided detailed guidance on several financial metrics and business developments for the third quarter of fiscal year 2024. The company reported a record high in net sales, which increased by 11.5% to JPY1.946 trillion, and achieved a record operating profit of JPY175.5 billion, marking a 5.0% rise. However, operating profit before income taxes and profit attributable to owners dropped by 4.7% and 6.7%, respectively, due to temporary depreciation effects and currency exchange rate fluctuations, resulting in a financial loss of JPY22.5 billion. The company highlighted robust demand for hard disk motors and growing demand for AI servers, while noting sluggish performance in European and American automotive sectors. Efforts to enhance cash flow management yielded an operating cash flow of JPY41.1 billion. Nidec also discussed strategic initiatives, including structural reforms in the automotive business and plans for future growth in fiscal year 2025. The guidance emphasized the importance of expanding the company's component business and strengthening its water cooling system business, with an eye on achieving a high CAGR of 20% to 30% for certain sectors.

Nidec Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals driven by very strong TTM revenue growth (+71.7%) and solid cash generation (TTM free cash flow growth +11.9%, good cash conversion). Balance sheet leverage is prudent (debt-to-equity 0.37), though profitability is only moderate (net margin 6.1%, ROE 9.2%).
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Nidec has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 71.7%, indicating robust demand and market expansion. The gross profit margin is healthy at 18.0%, though it has slightly decreased from the previous year. Net profit margin stands at 6.1%, showing profitability but with room for improvement. EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid, reflecting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet is stable with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.37, indicating prudent financial leverage. Return on equity is moderate at 9.2%, suggesting effective use of equity but with potential for higher returns. The equity ratio is strong, highlighting a solid asset base supported by equity.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Nidec's cash flow is robust, with a positive free cash flow growth rate of 11.9% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.61 suggests good cash conversion, supporting future investments and debt servicing.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.62T2.61T2.35T2.23T1.92T1.62T
Gross Profit469.61B537.00B497.43B413.20B403.34B366.56B
EBITDA348.53B263.37B294.39B247.01B282.08B256.65B
Net Income178.50B167.69B125.39B36.98B136.87B121.98B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.49T3.33T3.17T2.87T2.68T2.26T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments347.40B246.24B217.00B186.10B204.48B223.41B
Total Debt255.87B636.05B600.90B705.35B595.71B531.47B
Total Liabilities1.71T1.58T1.50T1.50T1.36T1.14T
Stockholders Equity1.76T1.72T1.64T1.35T1.29T1.10T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow173.79B163.72B193.05B-10.25B-20.23B119.23B
Operating Cash Flow298.96B284.43B320.77B143.49B94.99B219.16B
Investing Cash Flow-144.60B-150.64B-153.55B-164.94B-112.60B-100.57B
Financing Cash Flow-34.47B-76.81B-181.56B-19.24B-64.39B-136.19B

Nidec Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2075.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2227.30
Positive
100DMA
2212.03
Positive
200DMA
2500.84
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
36.73
Positive
RSI
62.15
Neutral
STOCH
58.83
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6594, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2075 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2341.70, below the 50-day MA of 2227.30, and below the 200-day MA of 2500.84, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 36.73 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 62.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:6594.

Nidec Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$569.43B37.005.25%2.13%-2.23%130.96%
69
Neutral
¥2.69T22.496.88%0.97%5.35%26.51%
64
Neutral
$2.88T26.2213.25%1.40%14.12%54.64%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
59
Neutral
$712.36B22.590.59%2.95%-2.67%-85.21%
58
Neutral
¥441.85B94.775.62%0.56%6.22%
55
Neutral
¥580.05B92.371.88%6.16%1.98%-48.28%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:6594
Nidec
2,410.00
-234.17
-8.86%
JP:6324
Harmonic Drive Systems
4,570.00
-20.11
-0.44%
JP:7012
Kawasaki Heavy Industries
17,580.00
10,210.79
138.56%
JP:6268
Nabtesco
4,852.00
2,506.95
106.90%
JP:6302
Sumitomo Heavy Industries
5,864.00
2,936.82
100.33%
JP:6481
THK Co
5,337.00
1,770.11
49.63%

Nidec Corporate Events

Nidec Receives Interim Report on Accounting Probe, Vows Governance Reforms
Feb 27, 2026

Nidec has disclosed that an independent Third-Party Committee, set up after indications of potential improper accounting involving management at the parent and group companies, has issued an interim investigation report and is now prepared to propose measures to prevent recurrence. The committee’s inquiry, conducted over roughly six months, remains ongoing, and Nidec plans to publish a redacted version of the report once trade secrets and personal information are removed.

The company said it will fully accept the committee’s findings and recommendations, pledging to overhaul management and internal controls, strengthen governance, and restore trust by improving transparency and soundness. Nidec also intends to revise and reissue its previously announced improvement plan after incorporating the committee’s conclusions and the results of internal investigations, while promising to release the final report, including the financial impact assessment, once the probe is complete.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6594) stock is a Hold with a Yen2573.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nidec stock, see the JP:6594 Stock Forecast page.

Nidec Founder Nagamori Fully Steps Down Amid Accounting Probe and Leadership Transition
Feb 26, 2026

Nidec’s founder Shigenobu Nagamori has resigned from his role as Chairman Emeritus, fully severing his formal ties with the company after previously stepping down as representative director and from all management duties in December. His departure comes as Nidec faces scrutiny over suspected inappropriate accounting practices and awaits a third-party committee report, marking a symbolic end to his 50-year management era and a deliberate handover of corporate reform to the next generation of leaders.

In a farewell message, Nagamori framed his exit as creating a “white canvas” for younger employees to rebuild trust and reposition Nidec as a sincere and globally trusted public company. He expressed confidence that the next generation will drive the company’s revitalization while he pursues a new personal focus on fostering human resources, and he urged stakeholders to continue supporting Nidec as it embarks on this new chapter under refreshed governance and leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6594) stock is a Hold with a Yen2573.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nidec stock, see the JP:6594 Stock Forecast page.

Nidec Creates Culture Transformation Lab and Realigns Governance Roles
Jan 28, 2026

Nidec Corporation is establishing a new Culture Transformation Lab as part of an organizational restructuring effective February 1, 2026, underscoring its focus on cultural and organizational reform alongside its core motor and industrial businesses. The company has also announced personnel changes that place Vice President and Chief Compliance and Human Resource Officer Masayuki Minai in charge of the newly created Culture Transformation Lab, while maintaining oversight of key corporate governance, compliance, risk management, sustainability, and HR functions, signaling an effort to integrate culture change with compliance and corporate administration, and to reinforce centralized control over governance and human capital management.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6594) stock is a Hold with a Yen2459.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nidec stock, see the JP:6594 Stock Forecast page.

Nidec Launches Culture Transformation Lab to Drive Group-Wide Organizational Reform
Jan 28, 2026

Nidec Corporation has announced the creation of a Culture Transformation Lab, effective February 1, 2026, as part of a broader corporate reform initiative aimed at addressing group-wide cultural issues and strengthening trust and transparency within the organization. The Lab, formed from bottom-up proposals and reporting directly to the CHRO and CEO, will start with eight members and engage Nidec’s global workforce to improve how employee feedback is heard, acted upon, and integrated into decision-making. By emphasizing ethical reflection, open dialogue, and sustained cultural change that incorporates external perspectives and regional values, Nidec seeks to build a more inclusive, responsive corporate culture that reinforces employee pride and supports the company’s long-term positioning as a trusted partner for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6594) stock is a Hold with a Yen2459.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nidec stock, see the JP:6594 Stock Forecast page.

Nidec Delays Q3 FY2026 Results Amid Ongoing Accounting Probe
Jan 28, 2026

Nidec has announced that the disclosure of its financial results for the third quarter of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, will be delayed beyond the standard 45-day window following quarter-end, citing ongoing investigations into suspected improper accounting practices that could materially affect its consolidated financial statements. An independent third-party committee, established in line with Japanese bar association guidelines, and Nidec’s own internal probes are examining issues including the timing of asset write-downs and trade and customs matters; the company plans to finalize and release its figures only after these investigations and an auditor’s interim review are complete, with a new disclosure date to be announced once determined, underscoring heightened scrutiny over its financial reporting and internal controls for investors and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6594) stock is a Hold with a Yen2459.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nidec stock, see the JP:6594 Stock Forecast page.

Nidec Submits Governance Improvement Plan After TSE Special Alert Designation
Jan 28, 2026

Nidec Corporation has submitted an improvement plan and status report to the Tokyo Stock Exchange after its shares were designated as a Security on Special Alert in October 2025 due to deficiencies in its internal management system. The plan, developed by Nidec’s Corporate Reform Committee, aims to fundamentally strengthen internal controls, governance, and organizational culture, although it does not yet incorporate findings from ongoing investigations by a third-party committee and external experts; Nidec intends to revise the plan once those reports are received and says executives and employees will work jointly to implement reforms and provide further updates, underscoring efforts to restore market confidence and regulatory trust.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6594) stock is a Hold with a Yen2459.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nidec stock, see the JP:6594 Stock Forecast page.

Nidec Reshapes R&D and Automotive Units With New Technology, IP and Mobility Focus
Dec 26, 2025

Nidec Corporation will overhaul parts of its R&D and automotive-related organizations from January 1, 2026, creating dedicated CTO Technology Planning and Intellectual Property departments and formalizing new Urban Air Mobility and Inverter System Development projects within its Product Technology R&D Center. The company is also creating a Business Strategy and Sales Department within its Automotive Motor & Electronic Control Organic Business Unit and renaming the Management Department of the Inverter Business Group as the Administration Department, accompanied by a series of senior-level personnel reassignments; these moves appear aimed at sharpening technology strategy, strengthening IP management, and aligning its automotive and new mobility operations for future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6594) stock is a Buy with a Yen2306.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nidec stock, see the JP:6594 Stock Forecast page.

Nidec Founder Shigenobu Nagamori Steps Down as Chairman; CEO Kishida Takes Helm
Dec 19, 2025

Nidec Corporation announced that its founder and long-time leader, Shigenobu Nagamori, has voluntarily resigned from his role as Founder and Chairman of the Board and will transition to the honorary position of Chairman Emeritus on a non-full-time basis. In conjunction with this leadership change, current Representative Director, President and CEO Mitsuya Kishida will assume the additional role of Chairman of the Board, consolidating the top executive and governance positions as Nidec seeks continuity in strategy while formally shifting from founder-led governance to a more institutional leadership structure, with Nagamori remaining involved in preserving the company’s founding vision and long-term value orientation.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6594) stock is a Buy with a Yen2306.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nidec stock, see the JP:6594 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 14, 2026