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Nabtesco Corporation (JP:6268)
:6268
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Nabtesco (6268) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6268

Nabtesco

(OTC:6268)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
¥3,367.00
▲(9.28% Upside)
Nabtesco's strong financial performance is the primary driver of its stock score, supported by robust revenue growth and a solid balance sheet. Technical indicators show bullish momentum, though caution is warranted due to overbought signals. Valuation is less favorable due to a high P/E ratio relative to peers.

Nabtesco (6268) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Nabtesco Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNabtesco Corporation is a leading Japanese company specializing in motion control technology. The company operates across various sectors, including precision equipment, transport equipment, aircraft and hydraulic equipment, and industrial equipment. Nabtesco is renowned for its development and manufacturing of high-performance products such as automatic doors, brake systems for trains, flight control actuators for aircraft, and industrial robots, which are integral to automation and precision control in various industries.
How the Company Makes MoneyNabtesco Corporation generates revenue through the sales of its diverse range of motion control products and systems. Its key revenue streams include the precision equipment business, where it supplies components for industrial robots and semiconductor manufacturing equipment. The transport equipment segment is another significant source, providing brake systems and automatic doors for railways and commercial vehicles. Additionally, the company's aircraft and hydraulic equipment division supplies flight control and hydraulic equipment to the aerospace industry. Nabtesco's industrial equipment business also contributes to its earnings by offering products like automatic doors for buildings and factories. Strategic partnerships with major industrial and transportation companies further enhance its market reach and revenue potential.

Nabtesco Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2024)
|
% Change Since: 9.27%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed outlook. While there were strong performances in certain segments like Aircraft Equipment and steady forecasts for profit, challenges in Component Solutions and the Chinese market weighed heavily. The company's proactive cost-cutting measures and growth initiatives balance the negative impacts.
Q2-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Steady Performance in Transport and Accessibility Solutions
The Transport Solutions and Accessibility Solutions segments performed well, offsetting declines in other areas. Accessibility Solutions saw growth and is expected to exceed JPY 100 billion in full-year sales.
Aircraft Equipment Growth
The aircraft equipment segment is achieving its greatest-ever growth, benefiting from both commercial aircraft and Ministry of Defense business.
Full Year Profit Forecast Maintained
Despite challenges, the company maintains its full-year profit forecast of JPY 13.5 billion through cost-cutting measures and optimization efforts.
Positive Outlook for Boeing 737 MAX
Boeing's increased production volume for the 737 MAX is expected to positively impact the company in the current and next fiscal years.
Project 10 Initiative
The company is focused on improving profitability with the Project 10 initiative, aiming for a 10% OP margin by FY 2026 with specific actions leading to a 0.4-point improvement in FY 2024.
Negative Updates
Decline in Component Solutions Sales
Sales in the Component Solutions segment, particularly precision reduction gears, declined due to sluggish robotic demand, leading to an overall sales decrease of 6.4% from the previous year's first half.
Operating Profit Decline
The first half operating profit decreased by 26% year-on-year, impacted by sales declines in Component Solutions and impairment losses from a European subsidiary.
Challenges in China
Continued economic challenges in China affect recovery expectations for precision reduction gears and hydraulic equipment, pushing recovery forecasts to after 2025.
Impacted by Boeing 737 MAX Production Issues
The company experienced negative impacts from Boeing's production limitations on the 737 MAX, although future prospects are now improving.
Company Guidance
During the Q2 2024 earnings call for Nabtesco Corporation (6268.T), Atsushi Habe provided detailed guidance on the company's financial performance and future outlook. The company reported first-half sales of JPY 152.5 billion, a 6.4% decline year-on-year, although it exceeded the April forecast by JPY 1 billion. The operating profit for the period was JPY 6.4 billion, down 26% from the previous year but JPY 1.4 billion above projections. These declines were primarily attributed to the Component Solutions segment, which suffered due to weak robotic demand, while the Transport and Accessibility Solutions segments showed robust performance. The full-year sales forecast remains at JPY 323.7 billion, with operating profit expected to reach JPY 13.5 billion, supported by cost-cutting measures. The company anticipates a recovery in precision reduction gear demand by the first half of 2025 and foresees growth opportunities in aircraft and marine vessel equipment. The company also discussed its strategy for achieving an operating profit margin of 10% by FY 2026 through Project 10, targeting a 0.4-point improvement in profitability for FY 2024.

Nabtesco Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nabtesco exhibits strong financial health with steady revenue growth and stable margins. The robust balance sheet and effective cash flow management further underscore its financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Nabtesco demonstrates strong performance with steady revenue growth, notably a 2.94% increase from 2024 to 2025 TTM. Gross profit margin is healthy at 26.6% for TTM, while net profit margin is moderate at 3.23% due to increased operating expenses. EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, indicating efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a robust balance sheet with a strong equity base, as evidenced by a high equity ratio of 59.93%. The debt-to-equity ratio is moderate at 0.21, reflecting a well-managed leverage. Return on equity is reasonable at 4.06%, suggesting effective use of shareholder funds.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Nabtesco's cash flow statement shows a significant increase in free cash flow, growing by 462.97% from 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.61 suggests healthy cash generation from operations, although high capital expenditures impact net free cash flow.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue323.38B333.63B308.69B299.80B279.36B
Gross Profit87.13B82.66B76.68B82.04B73.19B
EBITDA31.26B36.16B32.29B112.16B46.59B
Net Income10.12B14.55B9.46B64.82B20.50B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets445.54B422.06B459.29B481.72B351.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments75.17B77.83B126.15B120.59B67.25B
Total Debt45.84B32.43B31.35B27.32B48.37B
Total Liabilities158.27B146.17B196.06B226.72B140.08B
Stockholders Equity270.09B260.47B248.70B239.91B198.03B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.75B-14.42B-3.65B27.04B15.51B
Operating Cash Flow26.65B11.18B7.72B36.34B34.20B
Investing Cash Flow-28.73B-46.30B13.23B67.15B-10.71B
Financing Cash Flow-4.14B-13.48B-13.46B-57.96B-17.50B

Nabtesco Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3081.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2643.00
Positive
100DMA
2438.65
Positive
200DMA
2465.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
134.59
Negative
RSI
71.64
Negative
STOCH
78.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6268, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3081 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2884.65, above the 50-day MA of 2643.00, and above the 200-day MA of 2465.33, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 134.59 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.64 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:6268.

Nabtesco Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (71)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$266.67B17.786.44%2.94%10.24%49.97%
72
Outperform
€696.74B37.2210.57%0.78%9.43%21.15%
71
Outperform
¥268.21B15.078.32%2.78%6.19%11.34%
68
Neutral
¥277.94B21.655.54%1.57%6.43%-13.69%
67
Neutral
$373.60B30.104.68%2.60%4.14%33.45%
57
Neutral
$409.41B709.43-0.47%3.74%-4.25%-110.18%
54
Neutral
$247.59B65.694.73%0.78%4.38%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:6268
Nabtesco
3,081.00
706.68
29.76%
JP:5631
Japan Steel Works
9,465.00
4,945.37
109.42%
JP:6134
Fuji
2,718.50
366.31
15.57%
JP:6324
Harmonic Drive Systems
2,572.00
-1,360.34
-34.59%
JP:6302
Sumitomo Heavy Industries
3,342.00
9.32
0.28%
JP:6135
Makino Milling Machine Co
11,490.00
5,874.48
104.61%

Nabtesco Corporate Events

Nabtesco to Acquire and Cancel Own Shares to Boost Shareholder Value
Jul 31, 2025

Nabtesco Corporation has announced a strategic move to enhance shareholder value and improve capital efficiency by acquiring up to 4 million of its own shares and subsequently canceling them. This decision, approved by the Board of Directors, involves a significant investment of up to JPY 10 billion and is expected to positively impact the company’s market positioning by reducing the number of outstanding shares.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6268) stock is a Hold with a Yen2400.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nabtesco stock, see the JP:6268 Stock Forecast page.

Nabtesco Reports Strong First Half FY2025 Financial Results
Jul 31, 2025

Nabtesco Corporation reported a significant increase in its consolidated financial results for the first half of FY2025, with net sales rising by 8.6% and operating income surging by 65% year-on-year. The company has revised its full-year forecast upwards, reflecting strong performance and strategic adjustments, including the classification of its Hydraulic Equipment Business as a discontinued operation, which is expected to impact future financial outcomes.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6268) stock is a Hold with a Yen2400.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nabtesco stock, see the JP:6268 Stock Forecast page.

Nabtesco Corporation Surpasses Financial Forecasts and Revises FY2025 Outlook
Jul 31, 2025

Nabtesco Corporation announced a notable increase in its financial results for the first half of FY2025, surpassing previous forecasts due to strong demand in various business segments and favorable foreign exchange impacts. The company has revised its full-year financial forecast upwards, anticipating continued growth driven by increased demand in key markets and improved operational efficiencies.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6268) stock is a Hold with a Yen2400.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nabtesco stock, see the JP:6268 Stock Forecast page.

Nabtesco Transfers Hydraulic Business to Comer Industries for Strategic Growth
Jul 31, 2025

Nabtesco Corporation announced a strategic move to transfer its Hydraulic Equipment Business to a newly formed subsidiary, with 70% of the shares to be acquired by Comer Industries S.p.A. This decision is part of Nabtesco’s plan to optimize its portfolio and enhance profitability amid a competitive market environment. The collaboration with Comer, which possesses a complementary sales network and product lineup, is expected to unlock new market opportunities and increase corporate value by investing in smart motion control technologies.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6268) stock is a Hold with a Yen2400.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nabtesco stock, see the JP:6268 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 02, 2025