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Harmonic Drive Systems Inc. (JP:6324)
:6324
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Harmonic Drive Systems (6324) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6324

Harmonic Drive Systems

(6324)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
¥5,664.00
▲(27.86% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/28/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance (earnings and cash flow volatility, though with a solid equity base) and strong technical momentum (price above key moving averages with positive MACD). These positives are meaningfully offset by very expensive valuation (P/E near 198 and low dividend yield).
Positive Factors
Niche product leadership
Harmonic Drive's specialization in harmonic drive gear reducers and precision motion components anchors a durable competitive niche. These parts are critical for robotics and automation OEMs, creating sticky B2B relationships and steady structural demand as industrial automation and precision applications expand globally.
Negative Factors
Earnings volatility
Significant earnings volatility, including a material loss in 2024, undermines predictability of profits and planning. Volatile net income reduces retained earnings growth, complicates multi-year R&D or capacity investments, and increases the risk premium suppliers or lenders may demand over time.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Niche product leadership
Harmonic Drive's specialization in harmonic drive gear reducers and precision motion components anchors a durable competitive niche. These parts are critical for robotics and automation OEMs, creating sticky B2B relationships and steady structural demand as industrial automation and precision applications expand globally.
Read all positive factors

Harmonic Drive Systems (6324) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Harmonic Drive Systems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Harmonic Drive Systems Inc. produces and sells precision control equipment and components worldwide. It offers speed reducers, rotary actuators, linear actuators, AC servo motors, and other mechatronics products, as well as HarmonicDrive, a speed ...
How the Company Makes Money
Harmonic Drive Systems primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling precision reduction gear products—especially harmonic drive (strain-wave) gear reducers and related motion-control components—to equipment manufacturers. Its revenue model i...

Harmonic Drive Systems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: income performance is volatile with a significant loss in 2024 and inconsistent revenue growth, partially offset by healthy gross margins and some EBIT recovery in 2025. The balance sheet is relatively solid with a strong equity ratio, but leverage increased in 2024. Cash flow is a concern due to declining operating cash flow and materially lower free cash flow in 2025.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue57.47B55.65B55.80B71.53B57.09B37.03B
Gross Profit16.71B13.23B13.05B23.46B20.11B10.28B
EBITDA9.01B8.03B10.49B19.80B16.99B8.26B
Net Income4.60B3.47B-24.81B7.60B6.64B662.49M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets109.15B113.62B119.14B154.34B143.29B140.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments20.57B25.77B20.36B20.81B19.93B21.16B
Total Debt18.49B20.74B23.81B27.37B20.91B9.50B
Total Liabilities31.58B34.68B39.74B50.38B44.43B29.97B
Stockholders Equity77.57B78.94B79.40B103.96B98.86B102.89B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.002.63B7.79B2.01B5.14B8.23B
Operating Cash Flow0.007.52B12.73B10.85B9.88B9.56B
Investing Cash Flow0.001.48B-5.95B-8.66B-19.49B-4.18B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-5.87B-8.12B-1.60B8.12B-3.61B

Harmonic Drive Systems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4430.00
Price Trends
50DMA
4035.59
Positive
100DMA
3777.60
Positive
200DMA
3263.80
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
98.48
Negative
RSI
57.84
Neutral
STOCH
81.89
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6324, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4430 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3973.80, above the 50-day MA of 4035.59, and above the 200-day MA of 3263.80, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 98.48 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.89 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:6324.

Harmonic Drive Systems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
¥445.64B14.762.50%2.22%12.61%
77
Outperform
¥388.57B14.241.65%7.74%7.89%
74
Outperform
¥654.82B20.535.25%2.13%-7.11%68.57%
67
Neutral
¥599.72B197.685.94%0.56%5.96%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
¥652.70B21.784.83%2.95%2.18%5504.89%
59
Neutral
¥726.68B-1.511.88%6.16%1.98%-48.28%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:6324
Harmonic Drive Systems
6,230.00
2,846.00
84.10%
JP:6268
Nabtesco
5,598.00
3,272.91
140.77%
JP:6302
Sumitomo Heavy Industries
5,328.00
2,462.55
85.94%
JP:6481
THK Co
6,487.00
3,296.91
103.35%
JP:6407
CKD Corporation
6,650.00
4,556.78
217.69%
JP:6622
Daihen Corporation
17,280.00
11,032.31
176.58%

Harmonic Drive Systems Corporate Events

Harmonic Drive Systems Lifts Full-Year Forecast on Strong Robot and Chip Equipment Demand
Apr 24, 2026
Harmonic Drive Systems revised its full-year forecast for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, reporting stronger-than-expected demand for components used in robots and semiconductor manufacturing equipment. Consolidated net sales are now put at ...
Harmonic Drive Systems Moves Listing to TSE Prime Market
Feb 27, 2026
Harmonic Drive Systems Inc. has shifted its stock listing from the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s Standard Market to the Prime Market, effective February 27, 2026. The move underscores the company’s maturity and eligibility for the exchange&#8...
Harmonic Drive Systems Wins Approval to Join TSE Prime Market
Feb 20, 2026
Harmonic Drive Systems has received approval from Tokyo Stock Exchange, Inc. to move its listing from the Standard Market to the Prime Market, effective February 27, 2026. The upgrade reflects the company’s progress toward higher governance ...
Harmonic Drive Systems Revamps Executive Structure to Sharpen Operations and Cost Control
Feb 20, 2026
Harmonic Drive Systems has approved a new business execution structure effective April 1, 2026, largely built around reappointments of its existing top management, including President and CEO Akira Maruyama and CFO Kazutoshi Kamijoh, to ensure con...
Harmonic Drive Systems Overhauls Board and Audit Lineup to Bolster Governance
Feb 20, 2026
Harmonic Drive Systems announced board-level changes, appointing Executive Officer Shizuka Yata as Director and naming Masao Yoshikawa, a veteran of Mizuho Trust Banking and TAISEI CORPORATION, as a new Outside Director expected to be designated ...
Harmonic Drive Systems Returns to Profit as Sales Edge Higher
Feb 18, 2026
Harmonic Drive Systems reported a return to profitability for the nine months ended Dec. 31, 2025, with net sales rising 4.5% year on year to ¥42.18 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent reaching ¥769 million, reversing a l...
Harmonic Drive Systems Swings Back to Profit, Keeps Dividend Outlook Intact
Feb 10, 2026
Harmonic Drive Systems reported a return to profitability for the nine months ended Dec. 31, 2025, as net sales rose 4.5% year on year to ¥42.2 billion, lifting operating profit to ¥1.2 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent...
Harmonic Drive Systems Swings Back to Profit on Higher Nine-Month Sales
Feb 10, 2026
Harmonic Drive Systems reported consolidated net sales of ¥42.18 billion for the nine months to December 31, 2025, up 4.5% year on year, with operating profit rebounding to ¥1.19 billion from a prior loss and profit attributable to owner...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 28, 2026