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THK Co Ltd (JP:6481)
:6481
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THK Co (6481) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6481

THK Co

(OTC:6481)

Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
¥4,168.00
▲(3.55% Upside)
THK Co's overall stock score is driven by a stable financial foundation and a high dividend yield, which are offset by challenges in revenue growth, cash flow efficiency, and a high P/E ratio indicating potential overvaluation. Technical indicators suggest weak momentum, contributing to a cautious outlook.

THK Co (6481) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

THK Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTHK Co., Ltd. is a leading Japanese company that specializes in the manufacture and sale of mechanical components, primarily focusing on linear motion systems. The company operates in sectors including industrial machinery, automotive, electronics, and robotics. THK's core products include linear motion guides, ball screws, actuators, and other precision components that are essential for enhancing the performance and efficiency of various industrial applications.
How the Company Makes MoneyTHK Co. generates revenue primarily through the sale of its high-precision mechanical components, such as linear motion guides and ball screws, to a diverse range of industries including industrial machinery, automotive, electronics, and robotics. The company's key revenue streams include direct sales to manufacturers and distributors, as well as through strategic partnerships with other companies that integrate THK's components into their systems. Additionally, THK may engage in service agreements and maintenance contracts that provide recurring revenue. The company benefits from a strong global distribution network, allowing it to cater to customers worldwide, and it continuously invests in research and development to innovate and expand its product offerings, further driving sales and revenue growth.

THK Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 12, 2025
(Q2-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presents a mixed outlook for THK. While there are notable achievements in areas like the Automotive and Transportation business's profitability and promising growth in the Industrial Machinery sector, as well as sustainability initiatives, the significant declines in sales revenue and operating income, combined with challenges in multiple regions, highlight the company's ongoing struggles.
Q2-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Automotive and Transportation Business Profitability
The Automotive and Transportation business posted an increase in operating income due to efforts aimed at improving profitability, with positive contributions including a volume effect of JPY 0.2 billion, a variable cost ratio effect of JPY 1.2 billion, and an FX impact of JPY 0.5 billion.
Increased Sales in the Americas
Sales in the Americas increased due to the impact of the weaker yen and other factors.
Record Growth in Mobile Robots
SIGNAS, a next-generation transport robot, has been highly acclaimed and won the 2023 JSME Excellent Product Award.
Sustainability and ESG Initiatives
Efforts to become carbon neutral include the installation of new solar power generation equipment, switching to LED lighting, and introducing green electricity at production sites.
Promising Future Growth in Industrial Machinery
Anticipated progress on automation and robotization, and growth for semiconductor and EV-related CapEx are expected to drive future demand in the Industrial Machinery business.
Negative Updates
Decline in Consolidated Sales Revenue
Consolidated sales revenue declined 3.1% year-on-year to JPY 179.8 billion.
Decline in Consolidated Operating Income
Consolidated operating income was down 49% year-on-year to JPY 8.3 billion, affected by the decline in sales revenue and investments for future growth.
Decline in Sales Across Multiple Regions
Sales in Japan, Europe, China, and other Asian regions decreased year-on-year.
Increase in Fixed Costs
In the Industrial Machinery business, a drop in operating income was due to an increase of JPY 0.3 billion in fixed costs, while the Automotive and Transportation business faced an increase in fixed costs of JPY 0.8 billion.
Company Guidance
During the Q2 2024 earnings call, Takashi Teramachi, President and COO of THK, provided an overview of the company's financial performance for the first half of the fiscal year ending December 2024. Consolidated sales revenue declined by 3.1% year-on-year to JPY 179.8 billion, with operating income decreasing by 49% to JPY 8.3 billion. Despite these declines, both metrics exceeded initial targets due to a gradual demand recovery in the Industrial Machinery business and favorable foreign exchange effects. The Automotive and Transportation business saw an improvement in operating income, driven by profitability enhancement efforts, although it faced a JPY 0.8 billion increase in fixed costs and a JPY 0.6 billion decline from the absence of a previous onetime subsidy. Total assets increased by JPY 30.4 billion to JPY 586.7 billion. The company maintained its growth strategy pillars and outlined key initiatives, including a focus on raising ROE and ROIC, expanding the business domain, and reinforcing sustainability and ESG initiatives. THK plans to allocate capital for future growth investments, maintaining a dividend payout ratio of 30%, with potential share buybacks considered when capital is excess.

THK Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
THK Co demonstrates a stable financial foundation with strengths in cost management and a solid capital structure. However, challenges in revenue growth and cash flow efficiency highlight areas for strategic focus. Enhancing profitability and cash generation will be crucial for sustaining long-term growth and shareholder value.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
THK Co's income statement shows mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate, suggesting challenges in maintaining sales momentum. However, the company maintains a stable gross profit margin around 23%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin has decreased slightly in the TTM period, reflecting pressure on profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have shown some resilience, but the overall trend suggests a need for strategic improvements to boost revenue and profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
THK Co's balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio around 0.34 in the TTM period, indicating prudent leverage management. The equity ratio remains healthy, suggesting a strong capital structure. However, the return on equity has decreased over time, pointing to potential inefficiencies in generating returns from equity investments. Overall, the balance sheet is solid, but there is room for enhancing shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals significant volatility in free cash flow, with a notable improvement in the TTM period. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is relatively low, indicating challenges in converting earnings into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also low, suggesting limited cash generation relative to profits. While there are positive signs of cash flow recovery, consistency and efficiency in cash generation remain areas for improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue349.15B352.76B351.94B393.69B318.19B219.00B
Gross Profit81.34B81.78B81.63B105.29B79.75B46.43B
EBITDA41.93B41.27B47.82B56.33B48.70B9.16B
Net Income6.95B10.44B18.40B21.20B23.01B-9.99B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets515.51B567.42B556.35B560.30B516.09B460.17B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments101.53B140.29B156.49B163.84B151.43B158.85B
Total Debt108.00B96.51B118.53B120.88B112.32B113.39B
Total Liabilities188.60B177.62B193.45B223.02B201.80B185.03B
Stockholders Equity323.06B383.64B357.26B331.89B304.56B266.49B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.24B-1.15B12.29B8.15B-3.60B7.39B
Operating Cash Flow30.20B28.41B39.33B37.56B15.64B25.40B
Investing Cash Flow-25.70B-34.22B-27.09B-30.08B-19.13B-18.41B
Financing Cash Flow-49.52B-22.65B-24.27B-3.65B-12.72B3.98B

THK Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4025.00
Price Trends
50DMA
4013.24
Positive
100DMA
3807.94
Positive
200DMA
3657.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-8.77
Positive
RSI
49.27
Neutral
STOCH
62.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6481, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4025 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4031.05, above the 50-day MA of 4013.24, and above the 200-day MA of 3657.85, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -8.77 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:6481.

THK Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$10.73B15.747.63%2.01%2.75%-15.09%
56
Neutral
$450.03B67.652.00%6.25%0.85%-46.23%
$1.59B62.524.73%0.86%
€3.78B32.5610.57%
$2.62B22.904.68%4.96%
$2.81B1,101.46-0.47%4.91%
66
Neutral
¥428.53B30.43
2.92%2.84%-20.37%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:6481
THK Co
4,025.00
1,699.77
73.10%
HSYDF
Harmonic Drive Systems
16.00
-5.77
-26.50%
DE:J9R
Japan Steel Works
51.00
25.22
97.83%
NCTKF
Nabtesco
15.80
-0.43
-2.65%
SOHVF
Sumitomo Heavy Industries
22.20
0.34
1.56%
JP:6406
Fujitec Co., Ltd.
5,646.00
1,124.80
24.88%

THK Co Corporate Events

THK Co. Revises Dividend Projection to Enhance Shareholder Returns
May 9, 2025

THK Co., Ltd. has revised its dividend projection for the year ending December 31, 2025, to ¥246.00 per share, split evenly between interim and year-end dividends. This decision aligns with their management policy aimed at achieving an ROE of over 10% and reflects their commitment to improving capital efficiency and returning profits to shareholders.

THK Co., Ltd. Reports First Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Updates Dividend Projection
May 9, 2025

THK Co., Ltd. reported a slight decrease in revenue for the first quarter of 2025, with significant declines in operating income and profits compared to the previous year. The company’s financial position showed a reduction in total assets and equity, and it announced a revised dividend projection for the year.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 03, 2025