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Tsubakimoto Chain Co.
(6371)
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Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
¥3,204.00
▲(38.16% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is driven primarily by strong fundamentals (growth, improved margins, conservative balance sheet) and very attractive valuation (low P/E with a solid dividend). Technicals are supportive but capped by overbought signals, and cash-flow consistency remains the main fundamental watchout.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained multi-year top-line growth demonstrates durable demand for power-transmission and material-handling products. This expansion supports scale benefits, strengthens OEM and aftermarket relationships, and underpins reinvestment capacity and long-term market share gains.
Negative Factors
Uneven Cash Generation
Material swings in operating and free cash flow reduce predictability of internal funding for capex, dividends and buybacks. Weak cash conversion (FCF ~0.51x net income in 2026) means reported earnings are less reliably converted to cash, raising funding and liquidity risk in stress periods.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained multi-year top-line growth demonstrates durable demand for power-transmission and material-handling products. This expansion supports scale benefits, strengthens OEM and aftermarket relationships, and underpins reinvestment capacity and long-term market share gains.
Read all positive factors
Tsubakimoto Chain Co. (6371) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥275.18B
Dividend Yield3.85%
Average Volume (3M)182.51K
Price to Earnings (P/E)8.9
Beta (1Y)0.96
Revenue Growth5.98%
EPS Growth39.06%
CountryJP
Employees12,228
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryIndustrial - Machinery
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)296.00
Shares Outstanding106,213,280
10 Day Avg. Volume179,020
30 Day Avg. Volume182,506
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.20
Price to Book (P/B)0.78
Price to Sales (P/S)0.78
P/FCF Ratio14.32
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)194.3
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥293.30B
Tsubakimoto Chain Co. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Tsubakimoto Chain Co. operates as a diversified manufacturer, specializing in power transmission components, a range of chains, automotive parts, and sophisticated materials handling systems. The company organizes its business into four primary di...
How the Company Makes Money
Tsubakimoto Chain Co. primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling industrial components and systems used to transmit power and move materials in industrial settings. A core revenue stream is the sale of power transmission products (notably ...
Tsubakimoto Chain Co. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
65
Positive
| Breakdown | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 295.88B | 279.19B | 266.81B | 251.57B | 215.88B |
| Gross Profit | 87.28B | 82.18B | 77.77B | 71.25B | 62.74B |
| EBITDA | 52.08B | 44.89B | 40.28B | 32.33B | 33.35B |
| Net Income | 29.71B | 22.12B | 18.55B | 13.74B | 14.54B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 459.78B | 371.51B | 391.30B | 345.88B | 332.62B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 82.92B | 68.72B | 77.92B | 59.58B | 55.44B |
| Total Debt | 52.59B | 27.24B | 30.86B | 35.62B | 39.23B |
| Total Liabilities | 155.97B | 109.35B | 130.74B | 119.29B | 122.86B |
| Stockholders Equity | 296.36B | 259.81B | 258.40B | 224.40B | 207.76B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 16.13B | 8.14B | 27.74B | 12.43B | 13.00B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 31.89B | 21.30B | 38.58B | 21.35B | 21.00B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -8.98B | -11.83B | -9.16B | -9.28B | -9.07B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -20.24B | -21.66B | -15.70B | -9.96B | -7.78B |
Tsubakimoto Chain Co. Technical Analysis
Positive
2319.00
Price Trends
2592.96
Positive
2500.31
Positive
2353.35
Positive
Market Momentum
9.94
Positive
52.16
Neutral
50.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6371, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2319 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2615.45, below the 50-day MA of 2592.96, and below the 200-day MA of 2353.35, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 9.94 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:6371.
Tsubakimoto Chain Co. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
79 Outperform | ¥275.18B | 8.86 | 8.91% | 3.85% | 5.98% | 39.06% | |
74 Outperform | ¥634.93B | 40.15 | 5.25% | 2.13% | -7.11% | 68.57% | |
71 Outperform | ¥109.24B | 15.02 | ― | 4.64% | 1.98% | -17.69% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
58 Neutral | ¥758.55B | 463.80 | 5.94% | 0.56% | 7.03% | -53.53% | |
58 Neutral | ¥5.97B | 3.97 | ― | 1.37% | -5.11% | 29.29% | |
56 Neutral | ¥861.22B | 60.45 | 1.88% | 6.16% | 1.98% | -48.28% |
* Industrials Sector Average
JP:6371
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Tsubakimoto Chain Co. Corporate Events
Tsubakimoto Chain Launches ¥10 Billion Share Buyback to Boost Capital Efficiency
May 13, 2026
Tsubakimoto Chain Co. has authorized a share buyback program, resolving at its board meeting on May 13, 2026 to acquire up to 5 million shares, or about 4.8% of its outstanding stock, for a maximum of ¥10 billion. The repurchase, to be conduc...
Tsubakimoto Chain Lifts Earnings on Daido Kogyo Integration Despite Impairment Charges
May 13, 2026
Tsubakimoto Chain Co. reported extraordinary income and losses for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, driven primarily by its business integration with Daido Kogyo Co., Ltd., which became a consolidated subsidiary via a share exchange effective...
Tsubakimoto Chain Lifts Sales and Profit, Expands Group with Daido Kogyo
May 13, 2026
Tsubakimoto Chain reported a 6.0% rise in consolidated net sales to ¥295.9 billion for the year ended March 31, 2026, while operating and ordinary profit slipped, but profit attributable to owners of the parent jumped 34.3% to ¥29.7 bill...
Tsubakimoto Chain to Create European Holding Company for Integrated Regional Management
Apr 9, 2026
Tsubakimoto Chain Co. will establish a wholly owned European holding company, Tsubaki Europe Holdings B.V., in Dordrecht, the Netherlands, to integrate and strengthen management of its European operations. The new entity, led by President and CEO ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.