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Meidensha Corporation (JP:6508)
:6508

Meidensha Corporation (6508) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6508

Meidensha Corporation

(6508)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
¥8,509.00
▲(8.81% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/01/26
Overall score is driven primarily by improving profitability and a stronger balance sheet, partially offset by weak/volatile free cash flow. Technicals add support with price above key moving averages and positive MACD, while valuation is favorable with a moderate P/E and solid dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Diversified, recurring business model
Meidensha's mix of product sales, EPC engineering and after-sales maintenance creates diversified and recurring revenue sources. Supplying utilities, public infrastructure and industrial customers reduces single-market exposure and supports stable medium-term revenue visibility despite project timing.
Improved profitability and margins
Material margin expansion alongside sharp TTM top-line momentum suggests better operational leverage and pricing/ mix benefits across equipment and project work. Higher gross and operating margins improve cash flow potential and resilience to cost inflation over the next several quarters.
Stronger balance sheet and returns
Declining leverage and a larger equity base reduce financial risk and increase flexibility to fund capex, working capital or selective M&A. Rising ROE indicates more efficient capital use and supports durable ability to invest in product and service lines over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Weak and volatile free cash flow
Significant drop and historical volatility in free cash flow signal working-capital swings and investment timing risks tied to large projects. Sustained earnings would still require improved cash conversion to reliably fund dividends, capex and debt service without external funding.
Unusually large recent revenue spike
A sharp one-period revenue jump relative to prior mid-single-digit growth raises the risk that near-term top-line strength is driven by project timing or one-offs. If not sustained by recurring demand, forecasts and capacity planning may overstate durable growth.
Absolute debt size remains a risk
Although leverage ratios improved, the company's sizable absolute debt exposes it to refinancing and interest-cost risk if earnings or cash flow falter. This constrains financial flexibility and raises the importance of consistent operating performance to maintain the stronger balance-sheet profile.

Meidensha Corporation (6508) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Meidensha Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMeidensha Corporation engages in the social infrastructure systems, industrial systems, maintenance and servicing, and real estate businesses in Japan and internationally. Its Social Infrastructure Systems segment provides products and services related to social infrastructure, including power generation and transmission systems. The company's Industrial Systems segment offers products and services, such as industrial components, dynamometer systems, and automatic guided vehicles to businesses in the general manufacturing Industry. Its Maintenance and Service segment engages in the maintenance business. The company's Real Estate segment rents office spaces and commercial buildings. Its Other segment manufactures and markets electrochemical measuring equipment and electric insulation materials; and provides employees welfare and goods merchandising services. The company also engages in the maintenance and operation management for water, sewerage, and industrial water treatment facilities, industrial wastewater treatment facilities, and general and industrial waste treatment facilities; engages in wind power generation business; designs, manufactures, sells, and repairs hydroelectric generators and peripherals; manufactures and sells switchboards, control panels, and their components; act as an insurance agent; and develops software, as well as designs, sells, and rents computer systems and networks. Meidensha Corporation was founded in 1897 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyMeidensha Corporation generates revenue primarily through the sale of its core products and services, which include power generation equipment, rail transportation systems, and industrial machinery. The company benefits from long-term contracts with utility companies and government entities, providing a stable revenue stream. Additionally, Meidensha engages in maintenance and service contracts, which offer recurring income. The company's focus on innovation and technological advancements has led to partnerships with other firms and institutions, enhancing its market position and contributing to revenue growth through collaborative projects and joint ventures in sectors such as renewable energy and smart infrastructure.

Meidensha Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement strength (Score 78) shows sharp TTM revenue growth (~55%) and improved profitability (gross margin ~27.6%, net margin ~7.1%, EBIT margin ~9.5%). Balance sheet is solid (Score 74) with improving leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.32) and rising ROE (~13.5%). Main drag is cash flow quality (Score 52): free cash flow fell sharply (~65% YoY) with historically volatile conversion, tempering the overall financial score.
Income Statement
78
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows strong top-line momentum (revenue growth ~55%) alongside clear profitability expansion versus prior years: gross margin improved to ~27.6% and net margin to ~7.1% (up from ~6.1% in FY2025 and ~2.6%–3.9% in FY2022–FY2024). Operating profitability also strengthened (EBIT margin ~9.5%, EBITDA margin ~13.2%). Key watchout: the growth rate looks unusually high versus the steadier mid-single-digit trend in prior annual periods, suggesting potential volatility or mix/timing effects.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Leverage appears manageable and improving: debt-to-equity is ~0.32 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and FY2025, down from ~0.43–0.49 in FY2021–FY2024. Equity has been building over time (FY2021 to TTM), supporting balance-sheet resilience. Returns on equity are solid and trending higher (~13.5% TTM vs ~8.9% FY2024). Main risk: total debt remains sizable in absolute terms, so earnings and cash flow need to stay healthy to preserve the improved leverage profile.
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
Cash generation is the weakest area. While operating cash flow is positive in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (~22.3B), free cash flow dropped sharply (~7.2B) with free cash flow down ~65% versus the prior annual period, and cash conversion is modest (free cash flow is ~33% of net income in TTM vs ~70% in FY2025). The company has also shown variability historically, including negative free cash flow in FY2021 and FY2024, indicating working-capital and/or investment-driven swings.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue313.87B301.10B287.88B272.58B255.05B231.25B
Gross Profit86.62B78.51B68.99B62.98B61.12B57.90B
EBITDA41.34B35.98B27.67B22.38B23.08B22.23B
Net Income22.19B18.49B11.21B7.13B6.73B7.30B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets356.72B341.35B334.79B307.39B290.90B279.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments31.22B30.68B18.98B14.92B14.07B14.31B
Total Debt49.77B44.56B54.68B50.51B48.47B47.60B
Total Liabilities200.01B199.13B205.30B196.51B185.48B179.32B
Stockholders Equity153.25B138.78B126.41B107.90B101.97B96.53B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.24B24.91B-375.00M1.35B2.48B-1.01B
Operating Cash Flow22.28B35.45B8.97B13.74B11.39B14.60B
Investing Cash Flow-12.60B-9.06B-7.55B-10.51B-7.50B-13.12B
Financing Cash Flow-11.85B-14.54B749.00M-2.69B-4.27B-1.40B

Meidensha Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7820.00
Price Trends
50DMA
6378.00
Positive
100DMA
6173.50
Positive
200DMA
5747.76
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
410.71
Negative
RSI
72.33
Negative
STOCH
88.95
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6508, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7820 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7124.50, above the 50-day MA of 6378.00, and above the 200-day MA of 5747.76, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 410.71 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.33 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.95 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:6508.

Meidensha Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
¥370.54B28.832.50%6.16%17.11%
73
Outperform
¥328.31B25.601.65%14.49%-21.17%
71
Outperform
¥354.79B15.9814.28%2.40%8.03%23.50%
71
Outperform
¥594.58B38.645.25%2.13%-2.23%130.96%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
58
Neutral
¥438.48B94.055.62%0.56%6.22%
55
Neutral
¥631.46B98.881.88%6.16%1.98%-48.28%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:6508
Meidensha Corporation
7,820.00
3,242.98
70.85%
JP:6324
Harmonic Drive Systems
4,555.00
128.82
2.91%
JP:6268
Nabtesco
5,083.00
2,728.21
115.86%
JP:6481
THK Co
5,637.00
1,978.97
54.10%
JP:6407
CKD Corporation
5,560.00
3,409.32
158.52%
JP:6622
Daihen Corporation
14,600.00
7,842.84
116.07%

Meidensha Corporation Corporate Events

Meidensha Lifts FY2025 Dividend Forecast, Signals Confidence in Earnings
Feb 27, 2026

Meidensha Corporation has revised its dividend forecast for the fiscal year ending March 2026, setting a year-end dividend at 89 yen per share and an annual dividend at 136 yen, up from the previous year’s 123 yen. The company already paid an interim dividend of 47 yen, and the year-end payout remains subject to approval at the June 2026 shareholders’ meeting.

The move reflects Meidensha’s policy of providing stable and appropriate dividends aligned with earnings, while prioritizing profit returns to shareholders. By raising its dividend guidance, the company signals confidence in its current-year business outlook and underscores its focus on enhancing shareholder equity and improving return on equity.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6508) stock is a Buy with a Yen8365.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Meidensha Corporation stock, see the JP:6508 Stock Forecast page.

Meidensha Overhauls Executive Lineup and Structure to Sharpen EV and Mobility Focus
Feb 27, 2026

Meidensha Corporation has announced a comprehensive reshuffle of its top management, including the retirement of two executive officers, promotions for three executives, the appointment of two new executive officers, and the reelection of 24 executives, resulting in a 36-member executive team as of April 1. The company is also implementing related personnel moves and organizational restructuring, signaling an effort to strengthen governance and management capabilities in its EV components and mobility-focused businesses as it adapts its organizational structure to evolving strategic priorities.

The changes elevate key leaders overseeing public and investor relations, accounting and finance, as well as the mobility, electrical components, and EV components business groups, consolidating responsibility and clarifying strategic group leadership. By shifting experienced executives into advisory roles and promoting managers with direct business-line responsibility, Meidensha appears to be aligning its executive structure more closely with growth areas such as EV and mobility, which may influence its competitive positioning and operational agility in these markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6508) stock is a Buy with a Yen8365.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Meidensha Corporation stock, see the JP:6508 Stock Forecast page.

Meidensha Lifts Profit and Full-Year Outlook Despite Lower Orders in FY2025 Q3
Jan 30, 2026

Meidensha Corporation reported higher profitability in the third quarter of fiscal 2025 despite a year-on-year decline in orders, with net sales rising 6.7% from the previous year’s third quarter and operating income, ordinary income, and net income all posting double-digit percentage growth. The company also raised or reaffirmed its full-year fiscal 2025 forecast above fiscal 2024 results for net sales, operating and ordinary income, and profit attributable to owners of the parent, signaling confidence in sustained earnings improvement across its power infrastructure, public and industrial, mobility, field services, and other business segments.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6508) stock is a Hold with a Yen6577.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Meidensha Corporation stock, see the JP:6508 Stock Forecast page.

Meidensha Lifts Full-Year Outlook After Strong Nine-Month Earnings
Jan 30, 2026

Meidensha Corporation reported solid financial performance for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, with net sales rising 6.7% year-on-year to ¥203.9 billion and operating income increasing 18.2% to ¥7.1 billion. Ordinary income climbed 23.2% to ¥8.3 billion, while net income attributable to owners of the parent surged 62.5% to ¥9.6 billion, driving basic earnings per share to ¥212.43. The company’s financial position also strengthened, with total assets growing to ¥356.7 billion and the equity ratio improving to 43.0%, reflecting enhanced capital solidity. For the full fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, Meidensha has raised its earnings outlook, now forecasting net sales of ¥325.0 billion, operating income of ¥24.0 billion, and net income attributable to owners of the parent of ¥20.5 billion, indicating expectations of continued growth. The interim dividend for the current fiscal year has been set at ¥47 per share, while the year-end dividend remains undecided, leaving some uncertainty for income-focused shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6508) stock is a Hold with a Yen6577.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Meidensha Corporation stock, see the JP:6508 Stock Forecast page.

Meidensha to Sell Tokyo Property, Book ¥5.3 Billion Extraordinary Gain
Dec 25, 2025

Meidensha Corporation has resolved to sell land and an office building with parking in Tokyo’s Osaki district as part of a broader effort to optimize use of its assets, improve capital efficiency, and redeploy funds into growth investments aligned with its Medium-term Management Plan 2027. The transaction, to be completed with an undisclosed domestic corporate buyer at a market-reflective price, is expected to generate approximately ¥5.3 billion in extraordinary income in the nine months ending March 31, 2026, and may lead to revisions of the company’s full-year forecast depending on the overall impact of the sale and related factors.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6508) stock is a Hold with a Yen5963.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Meidensha Corporation stock, see the JP:6508 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 01, 2026