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Tsubakimoto Chain Co. (JP:6371)
:6371

Tsubakimoto Chain Co. (6371) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6371

Tsubakimoto Chain Co.

(6371)

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Outperform 81 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,856.00
▲(23.16% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/08/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (growth with improved profitability and a very conservative balance sheet), supported by attractive valuation (low P/E and solid dividend yield). Technicals also add strength due to a clear uptrend and positive momentum, with the main risk being uneven cash-flow conversion.
Positive Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Very low leverage and a growing equity base give Tsubaki durable financial flexibility: it can fund capex, absorb cyclicality, sustain dividends or buybacks, and pursue selective M&A without large refinancing risk, supporting long-term stability and strategic optionality.
Negative Factors
Moderate Cash Conversion
Earnings do not consistently translate into cash at a high rate, leaving room for working-capital swings or capex to erode liquidity in downturns. This mid-tier cash conversion could constrain durable investment or dividend resiliency during weaker demand periods.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Very low leverage and a growing equity base give Tsubaki durable financial flexibility: it can fund capex, absorb cyclicality, sustain dividends or buybacks, and pursue selective M&A without large refinancing risk, supporting long-term stability and strategic optionality.
Read all positive factors

Tsubakimoto Chain Co. (6371) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Tsubakimoto Chain Co. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tsubakimoto Chain Co. manufactures and sells materials handling systems, automotive parts, chains, and power transmission units and components. The company operates through Chain Operations, Motion Control Operations, Mobility Operations, and Mate...
How the Company Makes Money
Tsubakimoto Chain Co. generates revenue primarily through the sale of its various chain products and systems, which include power transmission chains, conveyor chains, and specialized components for different industries. Key revenue streams come f...

Tsubakimoto Chain Co. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are strong overall: multi-year revenue expansion and meaningful margin improvement, supported by a conservative balance sheet (very low debt-to-equity and a growing equity base). The main constraint is cash-flow quality—free cash flow is positive but uneven, with only moderate conversion of earnings into cash.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
64
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue281.98B279.19B266.81B251.57B215.88B193.40B
Gross Profit84.62B82.18B77.77B71.25B62.74B47.63B
EBITDA46.30B44.89B40.28B32.33B33.35B21.86B
Net Income22.94B22.12B18.55B13.74B14.54B8.71B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets382.00B371.51B391.30B345.88B332.62B307.33B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments67.10B68.72B77.92B59.58B55.44B48.06B
Total Debt25.15B27.24B30.86B35.62B39.23B43.20B
Total Liabilities115.93B109.35B130.74B119.29B122.86B119.83B
Stockholders Equity263.80B259.81B258.40B224.40B207.76B185.79B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow15.57B8.14B27.74B12.43B13.00B18.17B
Operating Cash Flow29.02B21.30B38.58B21.35B21.00B27.89B
Investing Cash Flow-7.52B-11.83B-9.16B-9.28B-9.07B-9.56B
Financing Cash Flow-19.81B-21.66B-15.70B-9.96B-7.78B-4.35B

Tsubakimoto Chain Co. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2319.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2417.33
Negative
100DMA
2316.93
Positive
200DMA
2156.86
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-19.24
Negative
RSI
50.11
Neutral
STOCH
67.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6371, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2319 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2337.16, below the 50-day MA of 2417.33, and above the 200-day MA of 2156.86, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -19.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:6371.

Tsubakimoto Chain Co. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
¥255.76B9.648.91%3.85%1.48%8.86%
78
Outperform
¥112.83B15.714.64%3.99%-28.28%
71
Outperform
¥542.64B28.495.25%2.13%-2.23%130.96%
67
Neutral
¥7.30B3.031.37%-3.05%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
58
Neutral
¥399.97B197.685.94%0.56%6.22%
55
Neutral
¥593.82B-6.481.88%6.16%1.98%-48.28%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:6371
Tsubakimoto Chain Co.
2,437.00
926.26
61.31%
JP:6324
Harmonic Drive Systems
4,155.00
1,707.19
69.74%
JP:6268
Nabtesco
4,639.00
2,759.45
146.81%
JP:6481
THK Co
5,301.00
2,424.75
84.30%
JP:5192
Mitsuboshi Belting Ltd.
4,085.00
971.19
31.19%
JP:6408
Ogura Clutch Co., Ltd.
4,880.00
1,658.12
51.46%

Tsubakimoto Chain Co. Corporate Events

Tsubakimoto Chain Reports Strong Earnings at Newly Delisted Subsidiary Daido Kogyo
Feb 6, 2026
Tsubakimoto Chain Co. has disclosed the third-quarter financial results of its newly delisted and now wholly owned subsidiary Daido Kogyo Co., Ltd., which posted a 2.9% year-on-year increase in net sales to ¥44.27 billion and a sharp improvem...
Tsubakimoto Chain Posts Higher Nine-Month Profit on Modest Sales Growth, Keeps Forecasts as Daido Kogyo Deal Closes
Feb 6, 2026
For the nine months ended 31 December 2025, Tsubakimoto Chain reported a modest 1.4% year-on-year increase in net sales to ¥209.4 billion, while operating profit fell 7.1% and ordinary profit declined 3.3%. Despite the margin pressure, profit...
Tsubakimoto Chain to Buy Fractional Shares Tied to Daido Kogyo Share Exchange
Jan 28, 2026
Tsubakimoto Chain Co. has resolved to purchase fractional shares arising from its share exchange reorganization that made Daido Kogyo Co., Ltd. a wholly owned subsidiary as of January 1, 2026. Under Japan’s Companies Act, the company will ac...
Tsubakimoto Chain Co. Completes Treasury Stock Acquisition
Nov 21, 2025
Tsubakimoto Chain Co. has completed the acquisition of 162,700 shares of its own treasury stock, with a total purchase cost of 343,042,600 yen. This acquisition is part of a larger plan approved by the Board of Directors to repurchase up to 6,500,...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 08, 2026