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Ogura Clutch Co., Ltd. (JP:6408)
:6408
Japanese Market

Ogura Clutch Co., Ltd. (6408) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6408

Ogura Clutch Co., Ltd.

(6408)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
¥4,278.00
▲(19.66% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:11/01/25
Ogura Clutch Co., Ltd. demonstrates a positive trajectory in financial performance, with improved profitability and operational efficiency. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, which could limit short-term gains. The stock's valuation appears attractive with a low P/E ratio, offering potential for long-term investors.
Positive Factors
Return to Profitability & Margin Recovery
The company returned to net profitability with gross margin expansion, indicating sustained cost control and pricing power. Restored margins and a positive bottom line improve reinvestment capacity, reduce restructuring risk, and support durable earnings stability over the medium term.
Improving Capital Structure
A meaningful reduction in leverage and a stable equity ratio enhance financial flexibility and resilience to cyclical downturns. Stronger balance-sheet metrics lower refinancing strain and support access to funding for necessary capex or design‑in investments over the next several quarters.
OEM-driven Recurring Revenue Model
A business model focused on OEM supply and engineering-led design‑ins creates embedded, recurring demand across long product lifecycles. This customer stickiness supports predictable revenue streams, steady production orders, and lower customer churn risk over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Persistently High Debt Levels
Although leverage improved, absolute debt remains elevated which constrains strategic flexibility. High debt increases interest and refinancing risk, limiting capacity to fund growth or absorb demand shocks, and makes the company more sensitive to margin or cash‑flow volatility.
Free Cash Flow Under Pressure
Declining free cash flow driven by sustained capex reduces internal funding for debt reduction, dividends, or new projects. Continued investment needs may keep FCF constrained, pressuring liquidity and forcing reliance on external financing if cash generation doesn't materially improve.
Weak/Uneven Revenue Trend
Negative recent revenue growth signals demand softness or lost share in core markets. Top‑line stagnation limits operating leverage and caps margin upside; sustaining profit improvements will require either renewed volume growth or ongoing efficiency gains to offset weak sales.

Ogura Clutch Co., Ltd. (6408) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Ogura Clutch Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOgura Clutch Co., Ltd. (6408) is a leading manufacturer specializing in the production of clutches and brakes for a diverse range of applications, including automotive, industrial machinery, and construction equipment. Established in Japan, the company has built a strong reputation for high-quality products and innovative engineering solutions. Ogura Clutch operates in sectors such as automotive components, industrial machinery, and various specialized markets, providing reliable and efficient products that meet the demands of its global clientele.
How the Company Makes MoneyOgura Clutch Co., Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the sales of its clutch and brake products to various industries, including automotive and industrial sectors. Key revenue streams include direct sales to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and aftermarket sales. The company benefits from long-term partnerships with major automotive manufacturers, which provide a stable demand for its products. Additionally, Ogura Clutch invests in research and development to innovate and improve its offerings, allowing it to maintain a competitive edge and command premium pricing. The company's strong focus on quality and performance helps to secure contracts and repeat business, further contributing to its revenue.

Ogura Clutch Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ogura Clutch Co., Ltd. shows improvement in profitability with a return to positive net income and EBIT margins. The balance sheet reflects moderate leverage with a stable equity ratio, but high debt levels persist. Cash flow from operations is stable, though free cash flow is under pressure due to significant capital expenditures.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Ogura Clutch Co., Ltd. shows a recovering income statement with a notable improvement in net income from a loss of 598 million yen in 2024 to a profit of 1.162 billion yen in 2025. The gross profit margin improved to 15.36% in 2025 from 13.64% in 2024, indicating better cost management. However, revenue growth is modest at 0.96% from 2024 to 2025. The EBIT margin has returned to positive territory at 1.06% in 2025, showing operational improvement.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet of Ogura Clutch Co., Ltd. reflects moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.05 in 2025, slightly improved from 1.34 in 2024. The equity ratio is stable at 37.67%, indicating a balanced capital structure. Return on equity is positive at 6.57% in 2025, a significant improvement from negative figures in previous years. However, total assets have slightly decreased, and the company's debt levels remain high.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Ogura Clutch Co., Ltd.'s cash flow statement shows a decline in operating cash flow from 2.932 billion yen in 2024 to 2.794 billion yen in 2025. Free cash flow has decreased from 723 million yen in 2024 to 603 million yen in 2025, indicating reduced cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, but the free cash flow to net income ratio suggests room for improvement. The company has been investing heavily, impacting free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue43.49B43.91B43.49B44.20B38.91B33.61B
Gross Profit6.88B6.75B5.93B7.21B5.64B4.54B
EBITDA2.83B3.25B2.09B3.15B1.04B448.00M
Net Income634.00M1.16B-598.00M509.00M-1.13B-1.58B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets44.78B47.01B48.60B48.33B46.77B42.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.53B7.93B8.66B7.10B8.01B8.40B
Total Debt17.59B18.62B20.52B19.77B19.63B15.01B
Total Liabilities27.86B29.31B33.24B33.28B32.70B26.74B
Stockholders Equity16.91B17.70B15.36B15.04B14.05B14.88B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00603.00M723.00M-792.00M-4.74B-443.00M
Operating Cash Flow0.002.79B2.93B1.16B-2.72B1.16B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-495.00M-2.05B-1.76B-1.24B-1.72B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-2.44B295.00M-593.00M3.65B1.56B

Ogura Clutch Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3575.00
Price Trends
50DMA
3788.80
Positive
100DMA
3698.40
Positive
200DMA
3691.23
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
74.79
Positive
RSI
55.91
Neutral
STOCH
39.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6408, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3575 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3926.75, below the 50-day MA of 3788.80, and below the 200-day MA of 3691.23, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 74.79 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:6408.

Ogura Clutch Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥7.85B7.922.63%0.59%53.87%
74
Outperform
¥7.45B9.591.19%-14.09%-36.08%
73
Outperform
¥10.80B9.912.15%-0.94%6.93%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
¥5.96B4.001.37%-3.05%
61
Neutral
¥5.85B17.705.22%-8.98%4.00%
55
Neutral
¥11.67B242.291.65%3.96%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:6408
Ogura Clutch Co., Ltd.
3,980.00
863.69
27.72%
JP:6292
Kawata Mfg. Co., Ltd.
838.00
77.39
10.17%
JP:6336
Ishii Hyoki Co., Ltd.
963.00
471.76
96.03%
JP:6391
Kaji Technology Corporation Ltd.
4,500.00
1,113.59
32.88%
JP:6402
Kanematsu Engineering Co., Ltd.
1,943.00
844.68
76.91%
JP:6495
Miyairi Valve Mfg.Co., Ltd.
243.00
147.88
155.47%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025