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Strike Co., Ltd. (JP:6196)
:6196
Japanese Market
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Strike Co., Ltd. (6196) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6196

Strike Co., Ltd.

(6196)

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Outperform 82 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:82Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,374.00
▼(-66.89% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:12/30/25
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (robust long-term growth, high margins, and very low leverage). Valuation is supportive with a solid dividend yield and reasonable P/E, while technicals are moderately positive with price above key moving averages and healthy (not extreme) momentum indicators.
Positive Factors
Sustained Revenue Growth
Material multi-year revenue expansion signals durable success in sourcing mandates and closing deals. Sustained top-line growth enhances scale for origination and distribution, improves bargaining power with clients, and enables reinvestment in sales and deal sourcing capabilities that underpin long-term competitive position.
Negative Factors
Recent Margin Compression
A step-down in net margins despite revenue growth suggests emerging cost pressure or a less profitable revenue mix. If sustained, compressed margins will reduce free cash flow and ROE, limiting investment capacity and dividend sustainability unless management restores pricing, productivity, or shifts mix back toward higher‑margin mandates.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Sustained Revenue Growth
Material multi-year revenue expansion signals durable success in sourcing mandates and closing deals. Sustained top-line growth enhances scale for origination and distribution, improves bargaining power with clients, and enables reinvestment in sales and deal sourcing capabilities that underpin long-term competitive position.
Read all positive factors

Strike Co., Ltd. (6196) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Strike Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Strike Company,Limited provides mergers and acquisitions brokerage services in Japan. It offers M&A mediation/advice, corporate valuation, financial due diligence and consulting, pre-marketing service, financial consulting, and corporate revitaliz...
How the Company Makes Money
Strike generates revenue mainly from fees related to M&A advisory and intermediation services. Its core earnings typically come from (1) success fees earned when an M&A transaction is completed (often calculated based on transaction value or other...

Strike Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue growth and consistently high profitability, supported by an exceptionally conservative balance sheet with minimal debt. Offsetting factors are the latest-year margin step-down and weaker cash-flow conversion, which add some near-term caution.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.31B18.14B13.83B10.73B8.34B
Gross Profit11.74B11.61B9.25B7.16B5.23B
EBITDA6.55B6.94B5.30B4.29B3.24B
Net Income4.72B4.96B3.87B2.96B2.21B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets24.76B22.69B18.29B12.81B10.96B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments20.15B18.36B14.10B8.54B8.57B
Total Debt0.001.14B0.000.000.00
Total Liabilities3.29B4.22B3.78B1.56B1.88B
Stockholders Equity21.47B18.47B14.50B11.25B9.08B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.60B5.62B6.42B1.60B1.22B
Operating Cash Flow3.85B6.28B6.81B1.70B1.50B
Investing Cash Flow-314.30M-1.05B-636.24M-936.00M-400.35M
Financing Cash Flow-1.74B-979.01M-612.70M-791.35M-404.10M

Strike Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4150.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1397.89
Positive
100DMA
1385.63
Positive
200DMA
1358.93
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
25.32
Negative
RSI
56.46
Neutral
STOCH
68.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6196, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4150 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1396.15, above the 50-day MA of 1397.89, and above the 200-day MA of 1358.93, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 25.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:6196.

Strike Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
¥68.11B-27.344.32%18.15%-26.62%
75
Outperform
¥69.64B13.209.22%6.15%13.26%31.92%
70
Outperform
¥200.00B7.694.01%21.03%85.36%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
¥233.66B15.6914.00%5.13%34.33%47.34%
57
Neutral
¥46.11B11.764.86%10.70%63.03%
43
Neutral
¥167.32B13.277.26%4.16%9.77%-52.42%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:6196
Strike Co., Ltd.
1,187.00
36.76
3.20%
JP:8698
Monex Group
668.00
4.59
0.69%
JP:8628
Matsui Securities Co
909.00
227.42
33.37%
JP:8613
Marusan Securities Co., Ltd.
1,047.00
256.89
32.51%
JP:8609
Okasan Securities Group Inc.
905.00
288.36
46.76%
JP:8614
Toyo Securities Co., Ltd.
657.00
249.50
61.23%

Strike Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Strike Group Issues First Consolidated Earnings Forecast After Shift to Holding Company Structure
Apr 30, 2026
Strike Group Co., Ltd. has announced its first full-year consolidated earnings forecast following its transition to a holding company structure and the adoption of consolidated financial reporting from the third quarter of the fiscal year ending S...
Strike Group Hikes Dividend Forecast and Raises Minimum Payout Policy
Apr 30, 2026
Strike Group Co., Ltd. has revised its dividend forecast for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, raising its planned year-end dividend from ¥60 to ¥65 per share following a recent 3-for-1 stock split. The new policy sets a higher ...
Strike Group Details Key Metrics in Q2 FY2026/9 Earnings Materials
Apr 30, 2026
Strike Group Co., Ltd. released its Q2 FY2026/9 earnings presentation materials, outlining how it measures performance in its MA advisory and brokerage operations. The company highlighted metrics such as deals closed, contracts closed, and the con...
Strike Group Posts Higher First-Half Earnings, Hikes Dividend and Shifts to Holding Company Structure
Apr 30, 2026
Strike Group Co., Ltd. reported higher earnings for the six months to March 31, 2026, with net sales up 8.8% year on year to ¥9.74 billion and operating profit rising 10.7% to ¥2.70 billion, while net profit increased 6.4% to ¥1.85 ...
Strike Group Cuts First-Half Outlook, Withdraws Full-Year Guidance Ahead of Consolidation Shift
Apr 23, 2026
Strike Group Co., Ltd., a Japanese MA intermediary for small and medium-sized enterprises, reported that deal execution has slowed due to longer lead times between final agreements and closings, particularly in transactions involving listed-compan...
Strike Restructures Into Holding Company and Launches New M&A Advisory Units
Mar 3, 2026
Strike Co., Ltd. will transition to a holding company structure on April 1, 2026, renaming the parent entity Strike Group Co., Ltd. while transferring its operating business to a newly named Strike Co., Ltd. The group has also established two new ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025