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Tsubota Laboratory Incorporated (JP:4890)
:4890
Japanese Market

Tsubota Laboratory Incorporated (4890) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4890

Tsubota Laboratory Incorporated

(4890)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
¥334.00
▼(-1.76% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/13/26
The score is primarily supported by solid financial strength and improving operating performance, alongside a strong technical uptrend. These positives are tempered by persistent negative operating/free cash flow and a negative P/E, which reduce confidence in valuation and cash-generation quality.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet strength
A strong equity base and low leverage provide durable financial flexibility, lowering refinancing and solvency risk. This capital structure supports continued R&D investment and partner deals over months, making the business more resilient to revenue swings and enabling strategic execution.
Negative Factors
Negative operating and free cash flow
Persistent negative OCF and FCF erode liquidity and constrain the firm's ability to self-fund R&D or commercial expansion. Over a 2–6 month horizon, continued cash burn raises financing dependency and increases execution risk for product launches or regulatory activities.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance sheet strength
A strong equity base and low leverage provide durable financial flexibility, lowering refinancing and solvency risk. This capital structure supports continued R&D investment and partner deals over months, making the business more resilient to revenue swings and enabling strategic execution.
Read all positive factors

Tsubota Laboratory Incorporated (4890) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Tsubota Laboratory Incorporated Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tsubota Laboratory Incorporated engages in the research and development of pharmaceuticals and medical devices for the treatment of myopia, dry eyes, and presbyopia. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Tokyo, Japan....
How the Company Makes Money
Tsubota Laboratory makes money primarily by commercializing its eye-health-related technologies and products. Key revenue streams include: (1) sales of company-developed products in its focus areas (including myopia-related offerings), where reven...

Tsubota Laboratory Incorporated Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue growth and improving EBIT/EBITDA margins support profitability momentum, and the balance sheet is stable with low leverage and a strong equity base. Offsetting this, operating cash flow and free cash flow have been negative in recent years, creating a meaningful liquidity and sustainability risk.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.36B1.36B673.53M954.69M640.92M687.50M
Gross Profit1.15B1.15B-9.48M686.83M528.76M592.57M
EBITDA219.47M262.46M-609.24M206.22M173.87M264.71M
Net Income178.16M205.77M-641.32M90.18M153.32M201.61M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.02B2.50B2.30B2.67B1.62B1.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.47B1.54B1.88B2.16B1.17B610.77M
Total Debt85.26M90.38M116.90M139.34M223.82M242.35M
Total Liabilities627.88M915.85M927.93M722.59M873.44M487.54M
Stockholders Equity1.39B1.59B1.37B1.95B744.35M591.03M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-331.75M-313.35M-15.27M582.69M-940.00K
Operating Cash Flow0.00-317.75M-301.35M28.49M654.91M36.72M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-14.55M-12.00M-54.03M-72.23M-43.60M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-12.25M35.74M1.01B-18.53M236.97M

Tsubota Laboratory Incorporated Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price340.00
Price Trends
50DMA
311.08
Negative
100DMA
328.94
Negative
200DMA
346.21
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.89
Positive
RSI
45.16
Neutral
STOCH
33.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4890, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 340 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 342.95, above the 50-day MA of 311.08, and below the 200-day MA of 346.21, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.89 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4890.

Tsubota Laboratory Incorporated Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
¥459.04B14.0511.37%3.04%6.32%8.19%
68
Neutral
¥7.87B-11.77-12.40%43.42%
67
Neutral
¥366.97B16.820.41%15.81%27.05%
66
Neutral
¥677.19B23.2915.71%0.96%21.81%67.76%
62
Neutral
¥1.01T19.411.72%
60
Neutral
¥524.40B22.790.93%3.73%18.84%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4890
Tsubota Laboratory Incorporated
305.00
-57.00
-15.75%
JP:9989
Sundrug Co
3,926.00
-457.11
-10.43%
JP:7649
Sugi Holdings Co
3,593.00
565.97
18.70%
JP:3391
TSURUHA Holdings
2,250.00
113.69
5.32%
JP:3349
COSMOS Pharmaceutical Corporation
6,588.00
-1,475.88
-18.30%
JP:3549
KUSURI NO AOKI HOLDINGS CO.,LTD.
3,838.00
650.88
20.42%

Tsubota Laboratory Incorporated Corporate Events

Tsubota Laboratory Swings to Heavy Loss as Revenue Plunges, Forecasts Deep Full-Year Deficit
Feb 13, 2026
Tsubota Laboratory reported a sharp deterioration in non-consolidated results for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, with revenue plunging 81.6% year on year to ¥145 million and swinging from a prior-year profit to a net loss of ¥5...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 13, 2026