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TSURUHA Holdings Inc (JP:3391)
:3391

TSURUHA Holdings (3391) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3391

TSURUHA Holdings

(3391)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,676.00
▼(-6.92% Downside)
TSURUHA Holdings' overall stock score is driven primarily by strong technical indicators suggesting bullish momentum. However, the financial performance indicates challenges in revenue growth and profitability, and the valuation suggests the stock is overvalued. The high dividend yield is a positive factor, providing a cushion against the high P/E ratio.
Positive Factors
Strong balance sheet
Moderate leverage and a near-50% equity ratio provide financial flexibility for a retail operator with thousands of employees and stores. This capital structure supports investment in store network, supply chain, and resilience through consumer spending cycles without excessive refinancing risk.
Diversified retail mix
A broad product assortment across OTC drugs, cosmetics and daily necessities diversifies revenue streams and reduces dependence on any single category. Higher-margin cosmetics can offset lower-margin staples, while essentials provide steady foot traffic, supporting durable top-line stability over cycles.
Consistent gross margins
A stable gross margin near 30% indicates persistent purchasing, pricing and category management strength in retail operations. This margin level gives the company structural buffer to absorb SG&A and modest cost inflation while still enabling reinvestment in merchandising and logistics over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Negative revenue growth
Sustained negative top-line trends erode scale advantages in procurement and distribution for a drugstore chain. Weaker revenue growth constrains margin expansion, limits reinvestment capacity for store upgrades or digital channels, and risks market share loss if competitors expand.
Compressed net profit margin
A low net margin around 2% leaves minimal room for absorbing cost shocks or funding growth internally. For a retailer, this constrains ability to finance store rollouts, IT investments, or higher marketing spend without hurting cash reserves, making long-term strategic moves more difficult.
Weak cash conversion
Poor operating cash conversion and stagnant free cash flow growth limit internal funding for capital expenditure, debt reduction, and shareholder returns. Over time, constrained cash generation increases reliance on external financing and reduces flexibility to execute strategic initiatives or weather downturns.

TSURUHA Holdings (3391) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

TSURUHA Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTsuruha Holdings Inc. operates drugstores in Japan. It sells pharmaceutical and cosmetic products. As of October 15, 2021, the company operated 2,448 stores in Japan and 22 stores in Thailand. The company was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Sapporo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyTSURUHA Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of pharmaceutical products, health and beauty items, and other consumables in its retail stores. The company's revenue model is based on direct sales from its extensive network of over 1,000 drugstores, where it offers a wide range of products to meet the needs of its customers. Key revenue streams include prescription medications, over-the-counter drugs, cosmetics, and daily necessities. Additionally, TSURUHA Holdings has established partnerships with various pharmaceutical manufacturers and suppliers, enabling it to maintain a diverse product offering and competitive pricing. The company's ability to adapt to market trends and consumer preferences, along with its strategic store locations, further contributes to its earnings.

TSURUHA Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TSURUHA Holdings demonstrates stability in its financial structure with moderate leverage and consistent profitability. However, recent declines in revenue growth and profitability margins highlight the need for strategic initiatives to boost growth and operational efficiency. Cash flow management remains an area for improvement to ensure sustainable financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
TSURUHA Holdings shows a stable gross profit margin around 30%, indicating consistent cost management. However, the net profit margin has slightly declined to 2.03% in the latest year, reflecting pressure on profitability. Revenue growth has been negative recently, which is a concern for future earnings potential. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also seen a slight decline, suggesting challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.23, indicating moderate leverage. Return on equity is stable at 7.73%, showing decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at 48.36%, reflecting a solid capital structure with a good proportion of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.31, suggesting adequate cash generation relative to net income. However, free cash flow growth is stagnant, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.69, indicating room for improvement in cash flow efficiency. The company needs to focus on enhancing free cash flow generation to support future investments and debt repayments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.10T1.07T1.03T970.08B915.70B919.30B
Gross Profit334.45B326.40B312.28B293.36B271.48B266.72B
EBITDA45.00B57.40B57.78B61.31B53.11B59.95B
Net Income17.52B21.81B21.74B25.26B21.39B26.28B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets583.36B583.36B549.22B539.83B562.36B537.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments92.74B92.74B58.69B79.05B127.03B116.53B
Total Debt63.76B63.76B50.04B54.86B55.52B38.74B
Total Liabilities276.99B276.98B241.48B235.69B278.32B260.50B
Stockholders Equity282.10B282.10B283.94B278.35B260.30B254.62B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow44.53B44.53B16.58B-25.88B12.77B61.71B
Operating Cash Flow64.64B64.64B51.96B804.00M35.83B76.46B
Investing Cash Flow-19.71B-19.71B-36.07B-29.77B-28.41B-30.20B
Financing Cash Flow-10.87B-10.87B-36.26B-19.00B3.07B13.21B

TSURUHA Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2875.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2734.19
Negative
100DMA
2638.02
Negative
200DMA
2444.53
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-80.08
Positive
RSI
34.77
Neutral
STOCH
16.46
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3391, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2875 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2598.30, above the 50-day MA of 2734.19, and above the 200-day MA of 2444.53, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -80.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.46 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3391.

TSURUHA Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
¥670.78B15.2315.71%0.96%21.81%67.76%
69
Neutral
¥481.72B15.1811.50%3.04%6.32%8.19%
67
Neutral
¥1.11T27.511.72%
67
Neutral
¥387.34B21.690.41%15.81%27.05%
60
Neutral
¥552.82B17.640.93%3.73%18.84%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3391
TSURUHA Holdings
2,466.00
637.16
34.84%
JP:9989
Sundrug Co
4,120.00
108.80
2.71%
JP:7649
Sugi Holdings Co
3,559.00
912.48
34.48%
JP:3349
COSMOS Pharmaceutical Corporation
6,945.00
-185.46
-2.60%
JP:3549
KUSURI NO AOKI HOLDINGS CO.,LTD.
4,051.00
793.17
24.35%

TSURUHA Holdings Corporate Events

TSURUHA Holdings Agrees Share Buyback Price for Dissenting Shareholders After Welcia Integration
Jan 26, 2026

TSURUHA Holdings has completed a key step in its integration with Welcia Holdings by agreeing on the purchase price for shares subject to buyback demands from dissenting shareholders. Following the approval and effectiveness of a share exchange that made TSURUHA the wholly owning parent and Welcia a wholly owned subsidiary as of December 1, 2025, certain shareholders who opposed the transaction exercised their statutory right to demand that TSURUHA purchase their shares. The company has now reached an agreement with these shareholders to set the buyback price at 2,887 yen per share, and it expects the financial impact of these repurchases on earnings for the fiscal year ending February 2026 to be immaterial, suggesting the integration will proceed without significant balance-sheet disruption.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3391) stock is a Hold with a Yen2750.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSURUHA Holdings stock, see the JP:3391 Stock Forecast page.

TSURUHA Holdings Confirms Interim Audit Completion for Strong Nine-Month Results
Jan 14, 2026

TSURUHA Holdings has confirmed that its independent auditor has completed the interim review of the consolidated financial results for the nine months ended November 30, 2025, with no changes required to the figures disclosed on January 8, 2026. For the period from March 1 to November 30, 2025, the company reported net sales of ¥833.4 billion, operating income of ¥40.6 billion and net income attributable to owners of the parent of ¥27.0 billion, alongside total assets of ¥664.5 billion and an equity ratio of 45.0%, underscoring a solid financial position following its fiscal year-end change and five-for-one stock split.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3391) stock is a Hold with a Yen2700.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSURUHA Holdings stock, see the JP:3391 Stock Forecast page.

TSURUHA Holdings Posts Steady December Sales as Integrated Drugstore–Pharmacy Group
Jan 13, 2026

TSURUHA Holdings reported its December 2025 monthly sales flash figures, its first in a revised format reflecting the management integration and providing separate disclosure for drugstore merchandise and dispensing pharmacy sales. Across the integrated Tsuruha Group, both all-store and existing-store net sales continued to grow year on year, driven mainly by higher average spending per customer, despite a decline in customer numbers in December and softer performance in product sales compared with robust growth in dispensing pharmacy revenues; the group also continued modest network expansion, underscoring its strategy of leveraging scale in Japan’s drugstore and pharmacy market. Pre-integration reference data for the Welcia and Tsuruha groups show broadly solid sales trends through the fiscal year to date, with particularly strong growth in dispensing pharmacy sales, suggesting that the integration could strengthen the combined group’s position in prescription-related services and support more stable growth than the core merchandise segment alone.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3391) stock is a Hold with a Yen2700.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSURUHA Holdings stock, see the JP:3391 Stock Forecast page.

TSURUHA Revamps Shareholder Benefits After Nationwide Drugstore Integration
Jan 8, 2026

TSURUHA Holdings has overhauled its shareholder benefit program following its December 2025 business integration with Welcia Holdings, which created a nationwide drugstore and dispensing pharmacy network. The revised scheme broadens eligibility to shareholders holding as few as 100 shares and significantly increases the value of gift vouchers, while abolishing the previous discount card and long-term ownership add-ons. Under the new structure, shareholders will receive vouchers ranging from ¥5,000 to ¥15,000 depending on their holdings, with an option to donate an equivalent amount instead, reinforcing both store visitation and a potential social contribution angle. The changes, effective for shareholders of record as of February 28, 2026, are designed to deepen engagement with the company’s products and services and enhance the investment appeal of TSURUHA stock in the wake of its expanded nationwide footprint.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3391) stock is a Hold with a Yen2700.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSURUHA Holdings stock, see the JP:3391 Stock Forecast page.

TSURUHA Holdings to Buy Treasury Shares Created by Welcia Share Exchange
Jan 8, 2026

TSURUHA Holdings has moved to purchase 2,317 of its own common shares generated as fractional shares in connection with its share exchange that made Welcia Holdings Co., Ltd. a wholly owned subsidiary as of December 1, 2025. The company will acquire these fractional shares as treasury stock on January 8, 2026, at a price based on that day’s closing share price on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, a procedural step that tidies up the post-share-exchange capital structure and completes the treatment of small shareholdings resulting from the integration.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3391) stock is a Hold with a Yen2700.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSURUHA Holdings stock, see the JP:3391 Stock Forecast page.

TSURUHA to Book ¥10.6 Billion Extraordinary Gain from WELCIA Integration
Jan 8, 2026

TSURUHA Holdings will record approximately ¥10.6 billion in extraordinary income in the fourth quarter of the fiscal year ending February 28, 2026, stemming from a gain on step acquisition associated with making WELCIA Holdings a consolidated subsidiary following their business integration on December 1, 2025. This one-off gain underscores the financial impact of TSURUHA’s strategic alliance and integration with WELCIA and AEON, which is expected to strengthen its position in Japan’s drugstore market, and the company has already reflected the effects of this transaction in its revised full-year earnings and year-end dividend forecasts for the current fiscal year.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3391) stock is a Hold with a Yen2700.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSURUHA Holdings stock, see the JP:3391 Stock Forecast page.

TSURUHA Raises Earnings Outlook and Sets Dividend Post-WELCIA Integration
Jan 8, 2026

TSURUHA Holdings has issued its first full-year consolidated earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending February 28, 2026, reflecting the impact of its December 2025 business integration with WELCIA Holdings. The company now projects net sales of ¥1.453 trillion, operating income of ¥63.3 billion and net income attributable to owners of the parent of ¥39.5 billion, with profitability boosted by goodwill-related accounting from the consolidation of WELCIA and a gain on step acquisition, alongside incorporation of WELCIA’s fourth-quarter results and a reassessment of TSURUHA’s own fourth quarter. In tandem, TSURUHA revised its year-end dividend forecast to ¥23 per share on a post–stock split basis (equivalent to ¥115 without the split), calibrating total year-end payouts so that the combined dividends from TSURUHA and WELCIA are on par with interim distributions, and announced plans to enhance shareholder benefit programs as it refines its shareholder return policy under the new group structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3391) stock is a Hold with a Yen2700.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSURUHA Holdings stock, see the JP:3391 Stock Forecast page.

TSURUHA Discloses Strong Sales but Lower Profit at Newly Acquired Welcia Subsidiary
Jan 8, 2026

TSURUHA Holdings has disclosed the consolidated financial results for the nine months ended November 30, 2025 of its newly acquired, now wholly owned subsidiary, WELCIA Holdings, following WELCIA’s delisting on December 1, 2025. WELCIA reported a 6.1% year-on-year increase in net sales to ¥1,010.4 billion and double-digit growth in operating and ordinary income, but net income attributable to owners of parent fell 17.3% to ¥12.2 billion, with earnings per share declining accordingly; total assets rose to ¥640.9 billion while the equity ratio softened to 39.9%, indicating growth accompanied by a slight weakening in capital structure that TSURUHA must manage as it integrates WELCIA’s large-scale operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3391) stock is a Hold with a Yen2700.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSURUHA Holdings stock, see the JP:3391 Stock Forecast page.

TSURUHA Holdings Posts ¥833 Billion Nine-Month Sales and Lifts Full-Year Outlook After Stock Split
Jan 8, 2026

TSURUHA Holdings reported consolidated net sales of ¥833.3 billion and net income attributable to owners of the parent of ¥27.0 billion for the nine months ended November 30, 2025, its first disclosed nine-month figures under the new February fiscal year-end and after a five-for-one stock split. Total assets rose to ¥664.5 billion and equity to ¥298.9 billion, though the equity ratio edged down to 45.0%, while the company revised its dividend forecast to reflect the stock split and now projects full-year fiscal 2025/26 net sales of ¥1.453 trillion and net income of ¥39.5 billion, signaling confidence in continued growth amid structural and accounting changes that may affect how investors assess per-share metrics and capital efficiency going forward.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3391) stock is a Hold with a Yen2700.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSURUHA Holdings stock, see the JP:3391 Stock Forecast page.

TSURUHA Agrees to AEON’s Additional Market Purchases to Reach 50.9% Control
Jan 7, 2026

TSURUHA Holdings announced that AEON Co., Ltd., which recently completed a tender offer for TSURUHA’s shares, failed to reach the previously indicated 50.9% voting rights threshold through the offer alone. In response, TSURUHA and AEON have agreed that AEON will purchase additional TSURUHA shares on the market between January 9 and April 30, 2026, until it attains a 50.9% voting rights ratio, setting the stage for AEON to solidify its position as TSURUHA’s parent company and potentially reshape the company’s governance and strategic direction within Japan’s competitive retail and drugstore sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3391) stock is a Hold with a Yen2700.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSURUHA Holdings stock, see the JP:3391 Stock Forecast page.

AEON to Become Parent Company of TSURUHA Holdings After Successful Tender Offer
Jan 7, 2026

TSURUHA Holdings announced that AEON Co., Ltd. has successfully completed a tender offer for its common shares, with 40,727,772 shares tendered, and will purchase all tendered shares as this figure is below the maximum intended acquisition. Following settlement on January 14, 2026, AEON’s voting rights in TSURUHA will exceed 50%, shifting its status from an affiliated company to the new parent company, reinforcing AEON’s control within Japan’s retail and drugstore sector and likely deepening existing business collaboration between the two groups.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3391) stock is a Hold with a Yen2700.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSURUHA Holdings stock, see the JP:3391 Stock Forecast page.

TSURUHA HOLDINGS INC. Reports Strong November Sales Growth
Dec 12, 2025

TSURUHA HOLDINGS INC. reported a year-on-year growth in net sales for November 2025, with a notable increase in both total and existing store sales. This growth reflects the company’s strategic expansion and effective customer engagement, positioning it well in the competitive retail pharmacy sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3391) stock is a Hold with a Yen3132.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSURUHA Holdings stock, see the JP:3391 Stock Forecast page.

TSURUHA Holdings Supports AEON’s Tender Offer Amid Strategic Alliance
Dec 2, 2025

TSURUHA Holdings has announced its support for a tender offer by AEON CO., LTD. to acquire additional shares, making TSURUHA an equity-method affiliate of AEON. This move is part of a broader capital and business alliance involving a share exchange with WELCIA HOLDINGS, aiming to strengthen the companies’ market positioning without delisting TSURUHA’s shares from the Tokyo Stock Exchange.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3391) stock is a Hold with a Yen3132.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSURUHA Holdings stock, see the JP:3391 Stock Forecast page.

TSURUHA Holdings Cancels Change in Major Shareholders Notice
Dec 1, 2025

TSURUHA Holdings Inc. announced the cancellation of a previously issued ‘Notice of Change in Major Shareholders’ due to a misunderstanding regarding the distribution of voting rights among its shareholders. The company clarified that no single shareholder holds more than 10% of voting rights, thus not meeting the criteria for a change in major shareholders. This announcement helps maintain the current shareholder structure and avoids potential market disruptions.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3391) stock is a Hold with a Yen3132.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSURUHA Holdings stock, see the JP:3391 Stock Forecast page.

TSURUHA HOLDINGS Completes Share Exchange with WELCIA, Faces Share Repurchase Requests
Dec 1, 2025

TSURUHA HOLDINGS INC. has completed a share exchange agreement with WELCIA HOLDINGS CO., LTD., making TSURUHA the wholly owning parent company and WELCIA a wholly owned subsidiary. Following this integration, dissenting shareholders have requested the repurchase of 27,154,630 shares, and the company plans to address these requests by considering flexible financing methods. The financial impact of these requests is currently undetermined, and further disclosures will be made as necessary.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3391) stock is a Hold with a Yen3132.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSURUHA Holdings stock, see the JP:3391 Stock Forecast page.

TSURUHA Holdings to Fully Acquire Lady Drug Store Co., Ltd.
Nov 20, 2025

TSURUHA Holdings Inc. has announced its decision to make Lady Drug Store Co., Ltd. a wholly-owned subsidiary by acquiring all shares held by FUJI CO., LTD. This move is aimed at enhancing Lady Drug Store’s corporate value through quicker decision-making and increased investments, in response to growing competition in the drug store industry. The acquisition will terminate the existing capital and business alliance with FUJI, although the companies plan to continue cooperating to benefit local communities.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3391) stock is a Hold with a Yen2732.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSURUHA Holdings stock, see the JP:3391 Stock Forecast page.

TSURUHA Holdings Reports Steady Sales Growth in October 2025
Nov 12, 2025

TSURUHA Holdings reported a steady increase in sales for October 2025, with a 5.1% year-on-year growth in net sales across all stores. Despite a slight decline in the number of customers, the average spending per customer increased, indicating a positive trend in consumer behavior. The company continues to expand its store network, with a net increase in the total number of stores, which may enhance its market position and stakeholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3391) stock is a Hold with a Yen2732.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TSURUHA Holdings stock, see the JP:3391 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 22, 2025