Toei Animation Co., Ltd. (4816) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥618.34B
• Dividend Yield: 1.05%
• Average Volume (3M): 288.83K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 25.7
• Beta (1Y): 0.29
• Revenue Growth: 5.92%
• EPS Growth: 12.22%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 911
• Sector: Communication Services
• Sector Strength: 96
• Industry: Entertainment
• EPS (TTM): 25.57
• Shares Outstanding: 210,000,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 293,110
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 288,833
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: ¥3,808.50
• Price Target Upside: 28.67% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2

• Rating: 60 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥3,297.00 ▲(11.39% Upside)

Toei Animation Co., Ltd. demonstrates strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and profitability, which is the most significant factor in its overall score. However, the stock's bearish technical indicators and relatively high P/E ratio suggest caution, balancing the positive financial outlook.

Positive Factors

Licensing and Revenue Growth

Toei Animation raised sales and operating profit guidance due to stronger-than-expected licensing and streaming revenues and positive foreign exchange impacts.

Market Performance

The better-than-expected outlook is attributed to continued royalty income from Dragon Ball: Sparking! Zero, overseas sales expansion of the ONE PIECE card game, and a substantial viewership bonus from streaming platforms.

Strategic Investments

Toei Animation announced its investment in Preferred Network's ¥5bn round and plans for a JV focused on AI-driven production, seen as a positive strategic move to enhance anime production efficiency.

Negative Factors

Guidance and Performance Outlook

FY3/26 guidance appears conservative with a projected 20% decline in operational performance year over year.

Toei Animation Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Toei Animation Co.,Ltd. produces, markets, and licenses animation products worldwide. It operates through three segments, Video Production and Sales Business, Copyright Business, and Product Sales Business. The company plans and produces various animation works for theaters and television, terrestrial broadcasting, CS broadcasting, and packaging, and sells in various media forms such as game software, mobile terminals, and the internet. It also develops and sells character products. As of March 2020, it owns 246 theater works, 223 TV works, and 12,867 episodes of content. The company was founded in 1948 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Toei Animation generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily from the production and licensing of anime series and films. Key revenue streams include television broadcasting rights, merchandise sales, and home media sales (such as DVDs and Blu-rays). The company also earns income through theatrical releases of its films, both domestically and internationally. Additionally, Toei Animation benefits from strategic partnerships with various distribution companies and streaming platforms, which allow for broader global distribution of its content, thereby enhancing its earnings potential. Licensing agreements for merchandise related to its popular franchises provide a significant boost to the company’s revenue, as fans of its series often purchase branded products. Overall, Toei Animation's diversified revenue model and strong brand recognition contribute significantly to its financial success.

Toei Animation Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Toei Animation Co., Ltd. exhibits strong financial health with robust revenue growth, high profitability margins, and a solid balance sheet with minimal leverage. Effective cash flow management supports financial stability, although volatility in free cash flow growth warrants monitoring.

Income Statement

Toei Animation Co., Ltd. has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 7% increase in the latest year, supported by robust gross and net profit margins of 48% and 23.4%, respectively. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy at 32.5% and 33.3%, indicating efficient operations. The consistent improvement in profitability metrics over the years highlights the company's ability to capitalize on its revenue growth effectively.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a solid balance sheet with a negligible debt-to-equity ratio, indicating minimal leverage and financial risk. The return on equity stands at 15.4%, reflecting efficient use of shareholder funds to generate profits. The equity ratio of 80.2% suggests a strong capital structure, providing stability and resilience against market fluctuations.

Cash Flow

Toei Animation's cash flow performance is commendable, with a significant increase in free cash flow, albeit from a low base. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.80 and free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.97 demonstrate effective cash conversion. However, the high free cash flow growth rate indicates potential volatility in cash generation.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	100.84B	100.84B	88.65B	87.46B	57.02B	51.59B
Gross Profit	48.42B	48.42B	37.45B	40.97B	26.69B	22.94B
EBITDA	33.12B	33.59B	27.50B	30.41B	18.71B	16.64B
Net Income	23.62B	23.62B	18.80B	20.90B	12.82B	11.07B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	190.98B	190.98B	162.74B	150.51B	126.88B	105.48B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	82.57B	82.57B	79.09B	67.01B	60.30B	43.09B
Total Debt	106.00M	106.00M	112.00M	82.00M	598.00M	92.00M
Total Liabilities	37.78B	37.78B	31.02B	36.05B	30.84B	20.36B
Stockholders Equity	153.20B	153.20B	131.71B	114.50B	96.04B	85.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	26.46B	15.66B	14.34B	14.55B	7.71B
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	27.16B	16.28B	15.26B	15.07B	8.05B
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-5.54B	-4.54B	-2.95B	-15.39B	298.00M
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-6.44B	-6.41B	-4.54B	-2.47B	-2.94B

Toei Animation Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 2960.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Positive
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4816, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2960 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3193.00, below the 50-day MA of 3261.80, and below the 200-day MA of 3300.73, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -90.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.45 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.64 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4816.

Toei Animation Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
5032	78 Outperform	¥286.97B	24.93		1.32%	34.01%	34.65%
3791	69 Neutral	¥30.11B	34.59		1.02%	23.28%	-57.08%
9605	69 Neutral	¥373.88B	20.84		0.51%	5.14%	12.51%
Sector *	60 Neutral	$46.60B	4.15	-11.40%	4.15%	1.85%	-42.71%
4816	60 Neutral	¥618.34B	25.71		1.05%	5.92%	12.22%
TKCOF	―	$10.43B	41.49	8.33%	1.58%	―	―
9601	46 Neutral	¥170.57B	183.27		0.24%	5.41%	-28.32%