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Toho Co Ltd (JP:9602)
:9602
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Toho Co (9602) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9602

Toho Co

(9602)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
¥10,196.00
▲(13.88% Upside)
Toho Co's overall stock score is driven primarily by its strong financial performance, characterized by solid profitability and a robust balance sheet. Technical analysis presents mixed signals with short-term momentum concerns. The valuation suggests the stock may be overvalued, which slightly offsets the positive financial performance.

Toho Co (9602) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Toho Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionToho Co., Ltd. engages in the motion picture, theatrical production, and real estate businesses in Japan. It is involved in producing, buying/selling, and renting movies; producing and selling television programs, movie pamphlets, and video software; and business related to merchandising rights, and other activities. The company also engages in the planning, production, and performance of stage productions; and leasing of land/buildings, and others. Toho Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1932 and is based in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyToho Co. makes money through a diversified revenue model primarily centered around its entertainment and real estate operations. The company's key revenue streams include box office sales from its cinema chain, revenue from film production and distribution, and income from its real estate holdings. Toho benefits significantly from its iconic franchises, such as Godzilla, which generate substantial box office revenues and merchandise sales. Additionally, the company partners with major studios for co-productions and distribution agreements, enhancing its revenue potential. Toho's real estate segment contributes to its earnings through leasing and managing commercial properties, providing a stable income source to complement its entertainment ventures.

Toho Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Toho Co demonstrates strong financial health with solid profitability, low leverage, and improving cash flow generation. Despite a recent decline in revenue growth, the company's efficient operations and strong balance sheet position it well to navigate industry challenges.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Toho Co's income statement shows strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin around 46% and a net profit margin of approximately 13.8% in the TTM period. However, the revenue growth rate has turned negative in the TTM, indicating a potential slowdown in revenue generation. Despite this, EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy, reflecting efficient cost management.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet is robust with a very low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating minimal leverage and financial risk. Return on equity is solid at around 9.5% in the TTM, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is strong, reflecting a stable financial position with a high proportion of assets funded by equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a significant improvement in free cash flow growth in the TTM, suggesting enhanced cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is moderate, indicating a reasonable conversion of income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is lower, suggesting some room for improvement in cash flow efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue312.07B313.17B283.35B244.29B228.37B191.95B
Gross Profit141.26B138.71B130.57B108.63B94.84B68.46B
EBITDA73.66B81.18B77.80B61.84B54.32B33.28B
Net Income38.77B43.36B45.28B33.43B29.57B14.69B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets667.99B653.07B615.83B534.10B502.53B473.80B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments88.62B81.94B79.93B105.24B133.05B125.02B
Total Debt1.83B1.91B3.35B438.00M104.00M175.00M
Total Liabilities164.80B158.25B131.07B110.41B93.35B84.80B
Stockholders Equity486.42B478.39B458.89B409.31B395.72B375.82B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow32.19B19.09B21.66B28.48B26.52B3.00B
Operating Cash Flow50.18B51.62B43.35B45.40B53.46B12.51B
Investing Cash Flow-22.27B-18.46B-62.71B-9.18B-36.03B-27.23B
Financing Cash Flow-36.01B-39.30B-11.63B-19.13B-12.48B-17.22B

Toho Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price8953.00
Price Trends
50DMA
9461.15
Negative
100DMA
9047.59
Negative
200DMA
8140.26
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-160.05
Positive
RSI
40.19
Neutral
STOCH
10.70
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9602, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8953 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9401.20, below the 50-day MA of 9461.15, and above the 200-day MA of 8140.26, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -160.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.70 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9602.

Toho Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
¥376.74B21.000.33%5.14%12.51%
¥30.47B36.721.08%-4.66%-56.66%
¥632.96B26.321.00%5.92%12.22%
$1.49T30.0010.28%1.03%10.99%2.35%
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
€55.77B754.200.09%4.07%9.39%-37.75%
¥175.10B42.350.24%14.49%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9602
Toho Co
8,748.00
2,979.79
51.66%
JP:7860
Avex Inc.
1,218.00
-247.21
-16.87%
JP:3791
IG Port, Inc.
1,515.00
-233.74
-13.37%
JP:4816
Toei Animation Co., Ltd.
2,982.00
-448.62
-13.08%
JP:9601
Shochiku Co., Ltd.
12,750.00
2,137.05
20.14%
JP:9605
Toei Company, Ltd.
5,530.00
661.54
13.59%

Toho Co Corporate Events

Toho Co. Announces Treasury Share Acquisition and Tender Offer
Oct 15, 2025

Toho Co., Ltd. has announced a resolution to acquire its treasury shares through a tender offer, as part of its strategy to enhance shareholder returns. This move aligns with the company’s mid-term plan to maintain a minimum annual dividend of 85 yen and a dividend payout ratio of 35% or more. The acquisition is also influenced by H2O Retailing Corporation’s decision to sell a portion of its shares in Toho as part of its own financial strategy, potentially impacting Toho’s shareholding structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9602) stock is a Hold with a Yen9300.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toho Co stock, see the JP:9602 Stock Forecast page.

TOHO Co. Revises Earnings Forecast Upwards Amid Strong Film Business Performance
Oct 15, 2025

TOHO Co., Ltd. has revised its full-year consolidated earnings forecasts for the fiscal year ending February 2026, reflecting a significant increase in expected operating revenue and profits. The upward revision is driven by the exceptional performance of its Film business, particularly due to the success of films like ‘Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba Infinity Castle’ and ‘KOKUHO,’ along with strong results in its IP and Anime, Theatrical, and Real Estate segments. This adjustment indicates a positive outlook for the company’s financial performance, potentially benefiting stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9602) stock is a Hold with a Yen9300.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toho Co stock, see the JP:9602 Stock Forecast page.

Toho Co. Reports Strong Financial Performance and Positive Outlook
Oct 15, 2025

Toho Co., Ltd. reported a 17.1% increase in operating revenue for the six months ended August 31, 2025, with a notable 26.3% rise in profit attributable to owners of the parent. The company has revised its earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending February 28, 2026, indicating a positive outlook with expected increases in operating revenue and profit, reflecting strong performance and strategic positioning in the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9602) stock is a Hold with a Yen9300.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toho Co stock, see the JP:9602 Stock Forecast page.

TOHO-TOWA Partners with Warner Bros. for Japanese Film Distribution
Sep 18, 2025

Toho-Towa Co., Ltd., a subsidiary of TOHO CO., LTD., has signed a multi-year agreement with Warner Bros. Motion Picture Group to distribute Warner Bros.’ Hollywood films in Japan starting in 2026. The agreement, which involves Towa Pictures Co., Ltd. handling marketing and TOHO CO., LTD. managing sales operations, is expected to have a minor impact on TOHO’s consolidated financial results.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9602) stock is a Hold with a Yen9972.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toho Co stock, see the JP:9602 Stock Forecast page.

Toho Co. Announces Increased Interim Dividend Payout
Sep 16, 2025

Toho Co., Ltd. announced a resolution to distribute an interim dividend from surplus, with a record date of August 31, 2025. The dividend per share is set at ¥42.5, marking an increase from the previous interim period. This decision reflects the company’s strong financial performance and commitment to returning value to shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9602) stock is a Hold with a Yen9972.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toho Co stock, see the JP:9602 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 17, 2025