Nextware Ltd. (4814) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥2.44B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 3.74M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.49
• Revenue Growth: -4.07%
• EPS Growth: 53.47%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 209
• Sector: Technology
• Sector Strength: 88
• Industry: Information Technology Services
• EPS (TTM): -3.23
• Shares Outstanding: 13,015,222
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 3,421,630
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 3,737,233
• PEG Ratio: 0.50
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.49
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.60
• P/FCF Ratio: -30.43
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 51 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥227.00 ▲(31.98% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 03/12/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 03/12/26

The score is held back primarily by ongoing losses and weak/negative cash generation, despite a comparatively stable, low-leverage balance sheet. Technicals show a mild uptrend (price above major DMAs) but neutral momentum, while valuation is pressured by a negative P/E and no dividend yield data.

Positive Factors

Recurring subscription model and partnerships

A subscription-based SaaS mix with license and consulting revenues creates recurring revenue and higher customer stickiness. Strategic partnerships with cloud providers expand distribution and integration opportunities, supporting predictable ARR, cross-sell and long-term customer lifetime value.

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

High equity and low leverage provide financial flexibility to invest in product development or weather downturns without heavy refinancing risk. This conservative capital structure reduces insolvency risk and supports long-term strategic execution and M&A optionality if needed.

Stable gross margins

A relatively stable gross margin indicates structural pricing power or controllable direct costs in core software services. This margin stability supports sustainable operating leverage as revenue scales and helps protect long-run profitability once top-line declines are reversed.

Negative Factors

Revenue decline over recent years

A multi-year revenue decline signals weakening demand or erosion of market share, which undermines scale economics and limits ability to invest in R&D or sales. Reversing this trend is critical for durable recovery of margins and cash generation over the next 2-6 months and beyond.

Negative EBIT and net income

Sustained operating losses indicate that current cost structure and revenue base don't support profitability. Continued negative EBIT depresses retained earnings, restricts reinvestment, and makes achieving sustainable positive cash flows and return metrics more challenging over the medium term.

Inconsistent operating cash flow and negative FCF

Negative and volatile operating cash flow plus persistent negative free cash flow constrain the company's ability to fund growth internally, pay down liabilities, or return capital. This undermines reinvestment capacity and increases reliance on external financing for strategic initiatives.

Nextware Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Nextware Ltd. provides IT solutions in Japan. The company operates through Solutions Business and Entertainment Business segments. It is also involved in the computer system design and software development activities; buying, importing/exporting, selling, and leasing of computers and its peripherals. In addition, the company engages in operational management and support of computer systems; and computer system consulting services. Further, it provides consulting management, events planning and management, and non-life insurance agency businesses. Additionally, the company offers digital content development and distribution services. Nextware Ltd. was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Nextware Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the sale of software licenses, subscription-based services, and consulting fees. The company offers its cloud-based solutions on a subscription model, providing recurring revenue as clients pay for ongoing access to their services. Additionally, revenue is derived from custom software development and implementation projects for enterprises, which can involve significant upfront fees. Key partnerships with major cloud service providers and technology firms also bolster its earnings by expanding its customer base and enhancing its service offerings, while strategic alliances with industry leaders facilitate access to new markets and clients.

Nextware Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are mixed: the balance sheet is relatively stable with high equity and low leverage, but profitability is weak (negative EBIT/net income) and revenue has declined over the period. Cash flow is also inconsistent with negative free cash flow, limiting flexibility.

Income Statement

Nextware Ltd. has experienced fluctuating revenue with a decline from 2021 to 2025. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, but the company has struggled with negative EBIT and net income in recent years, indicating operational challenges. The net profit margin is negative, reflecting ongoing profitability issues.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a strong equity position with a high equity ratio, suggesting financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, indicating conservative leverage. However, the declining stockholders' equity over the years is a concern. Return on equity is negative due to net losses, which impacts overall financial health.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow has been inconsistent, with a significant drop in recent years. Free cash flow has also been negative, indicating challenges in generating cash from operations. The company has managed capital expenditures prudently, but the overall cash flow position needs improvement to support growth and stability.

Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	2.97B	3.01B	2.82B	2.89B	2.92B	3.16B
Gross Profit	762.84M	782.20M	722.22M	774.27M	837.37M	875.33M
EBITDA	-31.16M	-42.10M	-95.16M	77.87M	971.79M	144.26M
Net Income	-111.78M	-105.95M	-161.75M	11.66M	686.67M	24.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.42B	1.55B	1.69B	1.84B	2.10B	1.54B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	458.00M	453.30M	595.54M	639.62M	1.09B	314.66M
Total Debt	0.00	1.95M	8.55M	44.40M	74.61M	259.10M
Total Liabilities	294.00M	325.23M	359.26M	322.15M	555.45M	684.97M
Stockholders Equity	1.13B	1.22B	1.33B	1.52B	1.54B	855.54M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	-59.72M	26.02M	-380.73M	223.78M	-23.90M
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	2.69M	105.07M	-346.41M	314.17M	72.37M
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-138.33M	-87.89M	-31.25M	741.28M	-106.42M
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-6.60M	-61.26M	-68.33M	-184.49M	48.40M

Nextware Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 172.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4814, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 172 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 196.65, below the 50-day MA of 207.02, and below the 200-day MA of 183.88, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4814.

Nextware Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
4335	81 Outperform	¥2.94B	8.12	―	3.28%	9.68%	25.15%
4421	79 Outperform	¥2.84B	22.68	―	2.86%	5.74%	5.97%
3974	73 Outperform	¥2.90B	15.75	―	2.35%	0.40%	21.21%
6193	70 Outperform	¥3.03B	15.80	―	1.52%	4.73%	135.75%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$37.18B	12.37	-10.20%	1.83%	8.50%	-7.62%
4416	57 Neutral	¥2.50B	268.52	―	―	5.05%	-50.80%
4814	51 Neutral	¥2.44B	-13.32	―	―	-4.07%	53.47%