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KeyHolder, Inc. (JP:4712)
:4712
Japanese Market
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KeyHolder, Inc. (4712) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4712

KeyHolder, Inc.

(4712)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
¥873.00
▲(23.31% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/16/26
The score is driven primarily by strong cash generation and an improved, low-leverage balance sheet alongside solid revenue growth, partially offset by thin and volatile profitability/returns. Technicals are generally supportive but not strong, and valuation is reasonable with a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong free cash flow
Near-one-to-one FCF conversion indicates high cash quality and operational resilience. Sustained FCF around ¥3.5B supports capex, dividends or debt reduction, giving management durable flexibility to fund growth or shore up returns even if earnings temporarily weaken over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Thin net margins
Very low operating and net margins leave limited room to absorb cost inflation or revenue setbacks. Persistent thin margins constrain internal reinvestment and make earnings vulnerable to small revenue or cost swings, challenging durable profit expansion over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong free cash flow
Near-one-to-one FCF conversion indicates high cash quality and operational resilience. Sustained FCF around ¥3.5B supports capex, dividends or debt reduction, giving management durable flexibility to fund growth or shore up returns even if earnings temporarily weaken over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

KeyHolder, Inc. (4712) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

KeyHolder, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
KeyHolder, Inc. engages in entertainment IP and operation, TV and video production, and advertising agency business in Japan. The company offers advertising planning and development, talent casting, and digital content business; and operates and m...

KeyHolder, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue growth and solid free cash flow (FCF ¥3.5B; FCF ~0.95x net income) supported by a conservative balance sheet (debt ~0.19x equity). Main constraint is thin and volatile profitability (net margin ~2.4%, low ROE ~3.9%), limiting confidence in sustainable earnings power.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
77
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue35.96B35.63B31.09B27.51B22.06B16.79B
Gross Profit6.48B6.33B4.20B3.88B3.56B2.99B
EBITDA3.26B3.16B1.66B2.39B2.25B804.27M
Net Income878.09M857.39M2.50B2.11B1.88B461.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets52.81B54.83B60.98B27.95B26.49B27.83B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.84B5.10B4.64B5.13B4.54B3.96B
Total Debt4.39B4.33B23.47B2.63B3.52B4.87B
Total Liabilities29.95B32.08B39.04B8.43B8.50B11.43B
Stockholders Equity22.73B22.60B21.93B19.96B18.39B16.77B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.54B3.33B2.57B1.76B1.59B3.58B
Operating Cash Flow3.71B3.49B2.73B1.87B1.67B3.68B
Investing Cash Flow-884.06M-63.28M-4.28B-130.53M1.51B-2.95B
Financing Cash Flow-2.50B-2.44B582.01M-1.19B-2.24B-521.92M

KeyHolder, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price708.00
Price Trends
50DMA
785.78
Positive
100DMA
756.06
Positive
200DMA
735.94
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.61
Positive
RSI
49.96
Neutral
STOCH
27.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4712, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 708 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 806.10, below the 50-day MA of 785.78, and below the 200-day MA of 735.94, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.61 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:4712.

KeyHolder, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
¥172.46B16.531.17%48.80%57.67%
75
Outperform
¥1.08T72.6411.19%1.12%15.16%20.06%
73
Outperform
¥540.42B21.161.12%-7.11%6.18%
68
Neutral
¥15.13B11.281.40%11.61%-64.29%
68
Neutral
¥54.60B14.254.10%4.16%11.30%245.85%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
59
Neutral
¥29.08B9.011.11%-2.51%-0.60%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4712
KeyHolder, Inc.
799.00
55.60
7.48%
JP:9602
Toho Co
1,286.50
-166.52
-11.46%
JP:7860
Avex Inc.
1,200.00
42.47
3.67%
JP:3791
IG Port, Inc.
1,446.00
-346.48
-19.33%
JP:4816
Toei Animation Co., Ltd.
2,587.00
-440.06
-14.54%
JP:5032
ANYCOLOR Inc.
2,823.00
-764.34
-21.31%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 16, 2026