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SD Entertainment, Inc. (JP:4650)
:4650
Japanese Market

SD Entertainment, Inc. (4650) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4650

SD Entertainment, Inc.

(4650)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
¥269.00
▼(-11.22% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/31/26
The score is held back primarily by weak cash-flow quality (negative free cash flow) and still-meaningful leverage, despite improved revenue growth and positive earnings. Technicals also point to a weak trend with the stock below major moving averages. Valuation is a partial offset due to the low P/E, but income support is absent without a dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue recovery
FY2025 revenue reversal to +5.63% signals recovering demand and improved monetization. Sustained top-line growth over the next 2–6 months improves operating leverage potential, helps stabilize earnings, and creates a clearer path to normalize cash generation if maintained.
Negative Factors
Negative free cash flow
Persistent negative free cash flow (~-42.2M in FY2025) implies the company does not consistently convert earnings into distributable cash. Over months this pressures liquidity, forces external financing for capex or working capital, and limits reinvestment without improving margins or reducing capex.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue recovery
FY2025 revenue reversal to +5.63% signals recovering demand and improved monetization. Sustained top-line growth over the next 2–6 months improves operating leverage potential, helps stabilize earnings, and creates a clearer path to normalize cash generation if maintained.
Read all positive factors

SD Entertainment, Inc. (4650) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

SD Entertainment, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
SD ENTERTAINMENT,Inc. engages in the fitness, childcare, online crane game, EC, and real estate leasing businesses in Japan. It operates 12 fitness clubs and 4 nursery schools. The company was founded in 1952 and is headquartered in Sapporo, Japan....

SD Entertainment, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: FY2025 revenue returned to growth (+5.63%) and earnings stayed positive, but profitability is thin (net/operating margins ~2%) and has been volatile across years. Leverage remains a constraint (FY2025 debt-to-equity ~1.19x) and cash generation is the weakest point with negative FY2025 free cash flow and limited operating cash flow relative to debt.
Income Statement
57
Neutral
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
34
Negative
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.40B4.20B3.74B3.77B3.99B3.66B
Gross Profit4.03B3.73B3.32B3.32B3.41B3.10B
EBITDA203.68M310.68M322.03M282.16M210.11M-592.00K
Net Income4.00M93.82M117.94M-197.70M64.64M-590.51M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.05B4.21B4.24B4.42B5.50B6.98B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments547.23M486.64M858.38M996.85M1.46B900.90M
Total Debt1.82B1.89B2.05B2.27B2.87B4.26B
Total Liabilities2.58B2.62B2.75B3.05B3.93B5.47B
Stockholders Equity1.48B1.58B1.49B1.37B1.57B1.51B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-42.17M-32.25M-227.93M22.75M-345.51M
Operating Cash Flow0.0085.00M27.82M-105.80M174.63M-34.79M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-216.86M52.57M265.98M1.84B-349.68M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-239.88M-218.87M-626.37M-1.45B386.51M

SD Entertainment, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price303.00
Price Trends
50DMA
289.16
Negative
100DMA
289.43
Negative
200DMA
288.51
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-6.67
Positive
RSI
31.64
Neutral
STOCH
34.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4650, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 303 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 281.30, above the 50-day MA of 289.16, and above the 200-day MA of 288.51, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -6.67 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4650.

SD Entertainment, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
¥185.70B16.531.17%53.21%65.83%
66
Neutral
¥572.17B28.181.12%5.90%17.39%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
59
Neutral
¥26.97B124.211.11%-4.66%-56.66%
50
Neutral
¥2.38B7.9920.86%-58.07%
49
Neutral
¥54.46B6.124.10%4.16%11.52%162.04%
42
Neutral
¥4.82B-42.70-2.84%36.23%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4650
SD Entertainment, Inc.
266.00
3.00
1.14%
JP:7860
Avex Inc.
1,197.00
12.57
1.06%
JP:3686
DLE, Inc.
107.00
1.00
0.94%
JP:3791
IG Port, Inc.
1,341.00
-589.67
-30.54%
JP:4816
Toei Animation Co., Ltd.
2,739.00
-460.33
-14.39%
JP:5032
ANYCOLOR Inc.
3,040.00
-448.62
-12.86%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 31, 2026