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freee K.K. (JP:4478)
:4478
Japanese Market

freee K.K. (4478) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4478

freee K.K.

(4478)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,141.00
▼(-29.80% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/07/26
The score is supported mainly by improving fundamentals (solid revenue growth, operational improvement, stronger free cash flow, and a stable balance sheet). Offsetting this are weak-to-neutral technicals (below key longer-term moving averages with negative MACD) and a very expensive valuation (extremely high P/E with no dividend yield provided).
Positive Factors
Recurring SaaS subscription model
A subscription-based SaaS model creates recurring, predictable revenue tied to a growing paying user base. This supports durable unit economics, higher customer lifetime value, and easier forecasting for 2-6 month planning horizons, while integrations enable retention and upsell opportunities.
Negative Factors
High operating expenses pressure margins
Elevated operating costs materially compress net margins despite healthy gross margins. Unless cost structure is trimmed or revenue growth accelerates meaningfully, sustained high OPEX can limit conversion of revenue into durable profits and constrain free cash flow expansion.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring SaaS subscription model
A subscription-based SaaS model creates recurring, predictable revenue tied to a growing paying user base. This supports durable unit economics, higher customer lifetime value, and easier forecasting for 2-6 month planning horizons, while integrations enable retention and upsell opportunities.
Read all positive factors

freee K.K. (4478) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

freee K.K. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
freee K.K. provides cloud-based accounting and HR software in Japan. It offers Accounting freee, an integrated accounting software solution for SMBs; and HR freee, a cloud-native integrated payroll software solution that provides payroll and other...
How the Company Makes Money
freee primarily makes money by selling subscriptions to its cloud-based software (SaaS). Revenue is generated from recurring fees paid by businesses and individuals who use its products for functions such as accounting/bookkeeping, expense reimbur...

freee K.K. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue growth is strong (15.09%) and profitability metrics have improved with EBIT/EBITDA turning positive. The balance sheet looks stable with a strong equity ratio and moderate leverage, but ROE remains negative and net profit margin is still pressured by high operating expenses. Free cash flow has turned positive, though cash-flow volatility adds risk.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
BreakdownJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue33.27B25.43B19.22B14.38B10.26B
Gross Profit27.36B20.99B16.07B11.54B8.16B
EBITDA1.02B-8.39B-7.92B-2.46B-2.14B
Net Income1.37B-10.15B-12.34B-11.61B-2.76B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets52.60B39.95B42.79B47.41B55.29B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments35.79B31.75B36.41B42.55B47.64B
Total Debt9.60B4.70B0.00576.00M292.05M
Total Liabilities32.93B23.00B15.73B10.98B8.41B
Stockholders Equity19.66B16.95B26.06B36.43B46.87B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.62B-7.43B-5.44B-2.68B-656.47M
Operating Cash Flow3.66B-6.77B-4.75B-1.07B-192.53M
Investing Cash Flow-4.60B-2.09B-935.42M-4.48B-3.18B
Financing Cash Flow4.98B4.71B-456.14M451.99M35.38B

freee K.K. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3050.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2382.80
Negative
100DMA
2742.53
Negative
200DMA
3188.89
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-80.75
Negative
RSI
45.54
Neutral
STOCH
37.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4478, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3050 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2116.65, above the 50-day MA of 2382.80, and below the 200-day MA of 3188.89, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -80.75 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4478.

freee K.K. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
¥32.07B20.634.58%4.58%-15.00%
64
Neutral
¥23.89B41.3421.87%240.21%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
¥6.64B27.1511.32%
59
Neutral
¥7.99B54.210.12%37.21%129.72%
55
Neutral
¥121.67B293.6431.57%
52
Neutral
¥172.95B143.78-19.16%19.57%-16.67%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4478
freee K.K.
2,089.00
-1,561.00
-42.77%
JP:3994
Money Forward
3,343.00
-757.00
-18.46%
JP:4165
PLAID Inc.
583.00
-532.00
-47.71%
JP:4397
TeamSpirit, Inc.
411.00
-29.00
-6.59%
JP:5588
Fast Accounting Co.,Ltd.
711.00
-1,088.68
-60.49%
JP:9629
PCA Corporation
1,718.00
-91.55
-5.06%

freee K.K. Corporate Events

Freee to Acquire Logistics Platform Provider Logikura as Wholly Owned Subsidiary
Mar 18, 2026
Freee K.K. will acquire all outstanding shares of Logikura Inc., a developer of the cloud-based logistics platform “Logikura,” and make it a wholly owned consolidated subsidiary. The company plans to integrate Logikura’s centrali...
Freee Lifts FY2026 Guidance on Strong ARR and Customer Growth
Feb 12, 2026
Freee K.K. reported second-quarter fiscal 2026 revenue of JPY 10,197 million, up 29.5% year on year, and raised its full-year revenue guidance to JPY 41,930 million, implying 26.0% growth. The company also highlighted strong expansion in its Platf...
Freee K.K. Delivers Strong Revenue Growth but Lower Profit, Lifts FY2026 Outlook
Feb 12, 2026
Freee K.K. reported consolidated net sales of ¥19,941 million for the six months ended Dec. 31, 2025, up 30.8% year on year, with operating profit falling 38.8% to ¥531 million and profit attributable to owners of parent down 61.6% to &#...
freee K.K. Raises FY2026 Earnings Guidance on Strong Customer Growth
Feb 12, 2026
freee K.K. has revised upward its consolidated earnings guidance for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2026 in response to strong performance in the first half, especially steady progress in acquiring new customers. The company now expects net sales...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 07, 2026