Money Forward, Inc. (JP:3994)
:3994
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Money Forward
(3994)
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Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
¥5,323.00
▲(16.30% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/17/26
The score is driven by improving financial performance (notably the 2025 profitability and cash-flow inflection) and strong technical momentum, but it is held back by a very high P/E and remaining fundamental consistency risks (operating profit still negative and historically volatile cash flows).
Positive Factors
Recurring B2B SaaS Revenue
A subscription-based B2B SaaS model creates predictable, recurring revenue and higher lifetime value. For Money Forward this supports steady revenue scaling as customers add modules/users, improves visibility for investment decisions, and increases switching costs via bank and partner integrations.
Negative Factors
Operating Loss Still Present
Despite a net income inflection, ongoing negative operating profit indicates core operating margins haven't fully normalized. Sustained profitability depends on continued margin expansion from subscription scale, cost control, and product mix improvements; failure could reverse recent gains.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring B2B SaaS Revenue
A subscription-based B2B SaaS model creates predictable, recurring revenue and higher lifetime value. For Money Forward this supports steady revenue scaling as customers add modules/users, improves visibility for investment decisions, and increases switching costs via bank and partner integrations.
Read all positive factors
Money Forward (3994) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥254.64B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)292.29K
Price to Earnings (P/E)143.8
Beta (1Y)0.65
Revenue Growth19.57%
EPS Growth-16.67%
CountryJP
Employees2,597
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustrySoftware - Application
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)33.06
Shares Outstanding55,670,296
10 Day Avg. Volume391,570
30 Day Avg. Volume292,293
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-1.15
Price to Book (P/B)5.20
Price to Sales (P/S)4.53
P/FCF Ratio68.80
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
¥3,744.38Price Target Upside-18.19% Downside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)-19.45
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥56.94B
Money Forward Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Money Forward, Inc. provides money-related services for individuals and corporations. It offers Money Forward ME, an automatic household account book service; MONEY PLUS for enhancing readers' money literacy and foster awareness of money; Money Fo...
How the Company Makes Money
Money Forward primarily earns revenue through recurring subscription fees from its cloud software and digital services. A key stream is B2B SaaS subscriptions (e.g., Money Forward Cloud) where businesses pay monthly/annual fees for modules that su...
Money Forward Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Nov 2025 | Nov 2024 | Nov 2023 | Nov 2022 | Nov 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 43.74B | 50.35B | 40.36B | 30.38B | 21.48B | 15.63B |
| Gross Profit | 29.31B | 34.23B | 27.06B | 19.08B | 13.40B | 10.82B |
| EBITDA | -615.55M | 8.69B | -1.92B | -4.14B | -7.97B | -514.67M |
| Net Income | -5.93B | 1.59B | -6.33B | -6.32B | -9.45B | -1.48B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 109.14B | 127.57B | 106.19B | 88.28B | 65.99B | 56.94B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 45.33B | 48.80B | 50.46B | 42.52B | 28.48B | 37.29B |
| Total Debt | 33.43B | 33.85B | 35.44B | 30.37B | 16.90B | 8.55B |
| Total Liabilities | 58.53B | 71.70B | 61.52B | 53.62B | 30.90B | 14.61B |
| Stockholders Equity | 38.65B | 43.84B | 37.44B | 28.33B | 32.63B | 40.53B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | 3.32B | -2.88B | 3.23B | -3.76B | -1.68B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 4.10B | -2.71B | 3.86B | -3.43B | -1.47B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -5.35B | -9.41B | -7.47B | -14.49B | -5.00B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -433.66M | 20.25B | 17.46B | 8.78B | 34.60B |
Money Forward Technical Analysis
Positive
4577.00
Price Trends
3414.49
Positive
3862.95
Positive
4699.53
Negative
Market Momentum
167.52
Negative
71.40
Negative
67.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3994, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4577 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3611.05, above the 50-day MA of 3414.49, and below the 200-day MA of 4699.53, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 167.52 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.40 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3994.
Money Forward Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
77 Outperform | ¥77.02B | 21.08 | 31.71% | 1.68% | 16.12% | 46.57% | |
68 Neutral | ¥31.75B | 20.63 | ― | 4.58% | 4.58% | -15.00% | |
63 Neutral | ¥106.02B | 49.92 | ― | 0.72% | 22.13% | 254.87% | |
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% | |
60 Neutral | ¥7.24B | 20.75 | ― | ― | 11.32% | ― | |
58 Neutral | ¥254.64B | 143.78 | -19.16% | ― | 19.57% | -16.67% | |
55 Neutral | ¥136.94B | 293.64 | ― | ― | 31.57% | ― |
* Technology Sector Average
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Money Forward Corporate Events
Money Forward Launches Shareholder Perks Tied to Fintech Services and Money Expo
Apr 14, 2026
Money Forward has approved the introduction of a new shareholder benefit program designed to reward existing investors, encourage medium- to long-term shareholding, and broaden its shareholder base while promoting familiarity with its own services...
Money Forward Lifts SaaS ARR Forecast After Expanding Fintech Scope
Apr 14, 2026
Money Forward has revised its full-year consolidated financial forecasts for the fiscal year ending November 2026 after changing how it calculates SaaS annual recurring revenue, now including ARR from the fintech domain within its Business segment...
Money Forward Outlines FY2026 1Q Results and Medium-Term Targets
Apr 14, 2026
Money Forward released an outline of its financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 ended February 28, 2026, along with guidance for the full FY11/26 period and medium- to long-term targets. The materials emphasize companywide hig...
Money Forward Delivers Strong Q1 Growth and Lifts ARR Outlook Despite Ongoing Investment Losses
Apr 14, 2026
Money Forward reported strong growth for the three months ended February 28, 2026, with net sales rising 25.3% year-on-year to ¥14.67 billion and SaaS ARR climbing 34.2% to ¥44.30 billion, reflecting continued expansion in its subscripti...
Money Forward Completes Restricted Stock Compensation Share Issuance
Apr 10, 2026
Money Forward, Inc. has completed payment procedures for the issuance of 129,915 new common shares as restricted stock compensation, following a March 16, 2026 board resolution. The shares, issued at ¥3,216 each for a total of about ¥417...
Money Forward Gains ValueAct as Major Shareholder After Stake Increase
Mar 25, 2026
Money Forward has disclosed that ValueAct Japan Master Fund, an investment fund based in the British Virgin Islands, has increased its stake to become a major shareholder. According to a large shareholding report filed with the Kanto Local Finance...
Money Forward Issues Restricted Stock to Align Employee Incentives With Long-Term Growth
Mar 16, 2026
Money Forward has approved the issuance of 130,710 new common shares as restricted stock compensation to 148 employees of the parent company and 64 directors and employees of its subsidiaries, with a total issue value of ¥420,363,360 at ¥...
Money Forward to Acquire Sony Biz Networks’ AKASHI Attendance System and Forge Strategic Alliance
Feb 13, 2026
Money Forward will acquire Sony Biz Networks’ cloud-based attendance management system AKASHI and its back-office focused owned media somu-lier via an absorption-type company split, paying 4.18 billion yen in cash. The move is designed to br...
Money Forward to Acquire Sony’s AKASHI Attendance System and Forge Strategic Alliance
Feb 13, 2026
Money Forward, Inc. will acquire the “AKASHI” cloud-based attendance management system business from Sony Biz Networks Corporation via a simplified absorption-type company split, scheduled to take effect on March 31, 2026, funded fully...
Money Forward Lifts Full-Year Profit Outlook on Extraordinary Gain
Jan 29, 2026
Money Forward has revised its full-year consolidated financial forecasts for the fiscal year ending November 2026 after recording extraordinary income from a gain on the sale of investment securities in the first quarter. While projections for net...
Money Forward to Book Extraordinary Gain from Sale of Unlisted Investment Stock
Jan 27, 2026
Money Forward has resolved to sell a portion of its investment securities, specifically one unlisted stock, as part of an effort to improve the efficiency and effective utilization of its asset portfolio. The transaction, scheduled for January 29&...
Money Forward Again Revises Board Slate to Strengthen Governance and Independence
Jan 27, 2026
Money Forward has revised, for a second time, its proposed management structure for the 15th fiscal year ahead of the February 2026 annual general meeting, following further engagements with capital markets and internal discussions aimed at streng...
Money Forward Consulting Completes Tender Offer for OutlookConsulting Shares
Jan 21, 2026
Money Forward Consulting, Inc. has completed its tender offer to acquire shares and share acquisition rights of OutlookConsulting Co., Ltd., a Tokyo Stock Exchange Growth Market-listed company, at a price of 1,800 yen per common share and specifie...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.