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Money Forward, Inc. (JP:3994)
:3994

Money Forward (3994) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3994

Money Forward

(3994)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
¥4,573.00
▼(-2.14% Downside)
The overall stock score is primarily impacted by the company's financial performance and technical analysis. The persistent net losses and reliance on external financing are significant concerns. Additionally, the stock's bearish technical indicators and negative valuation metrics further contribute to a low score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates a robust demand for Money Forward's products and services, suggesting a solid market position and potential for future expansion.
Subscription-Based Model
The subscription-based model provides predictable and recurring revenue streams, enhancing financial stability and allowing for better long-term planning.
Cash Position
A strong cash position provides financial flexibility, enabling the company to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic downturns.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability challenges may hinder the company's ability to reinvest in growth and could impact long-term sustainability if not addressed.
Rising Debt Levels
Increasing debt levels can strain financial resources and limit strategic flexibility, posing a risk if the company cannot manage its liabilities effectively.
Negative Cash Flow
Negative cash flow indicates operational inefficiencies and reliance on external financing, which could be unsustainable if profitability is not achieved soon.

Money Forward (3994) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Money Forward Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMoney Forward, Inc. provides money-related services for individuals and corporations. It offers Money Forward ME, an automatic household account book service; MONEY PLUS for enhancing readers' money literacy and foster awareness of money; Money Forward Mall, a web portal and platform for comparing and applying for financial services, such as credit cards and securities accounts; mirai talk, a channel to resolve customers financial concerns; and Tock pop, an application specialized in coupon information. The company also provides Money Forward Cloud Accounting, a cloud accounting software; Money Forward Cloud Final Report, a cloud-type final tax return software; Money Forward Cloud Invoice, an invoice creation software; Money Forward Cloud Salary, a salary calculation software; Money Forward Cloud Attendance, a time management service for companies; Money Forward Cloud My Number, a my number management system; Money Forward Cloud Expenses, a cloud-type expense reimbursement system; and Money Forward Cloud Fundraising, a service that provides money forward cloud data to financial institutions. In addition, it offers STREAMED, a software specialized in automating accounting bookkeeping; Manageboard, a cloud service that allows to conduct business analysis by importing accounting software data; MF KESSAI, an inter-company postpaid settlement service; BALES, an inside sales outsourcing and consulting service; BALES CLOUD, a cloud-based inside sales management system; BOXIL that provides various information on prices, specifications, and word-of-mouth reviews of various Software-as-a-Service; and Money Forward X, a group that works with various client issues to create services. The company was formerly known as Moneybook Co. and changed its name to Money Forward, Inc. in December 2012. Money Forward, Inc. was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyMoney Forward generates revenue through a subscription-based model for its software services, offering tiered pricing plans that cater to both individual users and businesses. Key revenue streams include monthly and yearly subscriptions for the Money Forward app, accounting software, and additional services such as payroll processing and tax filing. The company also earns revenue through partnerships with financial institutions and other businesses that integrate its services into their offerings. Moreover, Money Forward benefits from a growing ecosystem of affiliated services and products, which enhances customer retention and increases overall earnings.

Money Forward Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Money Forward, Inc. shows strong revenue growth, but profitability remains a challenge with consistent net losses. The balance sheet is supported by a solid cash position, though increasing debt levels are concerning. Cash flow issues persist with negative Free Cash Flow and reliance on external financing, indicating potential risks if profitability is not achieved.
Income Statement
Money Forward, Inc. has demonstrated strong revenue growth over the years, with a significant increase in Total Revenue from 2023 to 2024. However, the company has consistently incurred net losses, as indicated by negative Net Income and EBIT margins. The Gross Profit Margin remains stable, but the continuous negative EBITDA suggests challenges in achieving profitability.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet shows relatively high levels of cash and short-term investments, which is a strength. However, the Debt-to-Equity ratio has increased, indicating rising leverage. The company's Equity Ratio is decreasing, reflecting a potential risk if liabilities continue to grow. The Return on Equity is negative due to consistent net losses.
Cash Flow
The cash flow statement highlights negative Free Cash Flow, which has worsened over the years. Operating Cash Flow is also negative, indicating dependency on financing activities. The company has been able to secure financing, but the reliance on external funding could be a risk if not managed.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue43.74B40.36B30.38B21.48B15.63B11.32B
Gross Profit29.32B27.06B19.08B13.40B10.82B7.62B
EBITDA-772.82M-1.92B-4.13B-7.97B-513.68M-1.93B
Net Income-5.93B-6.33B-6.32B-9.45B-1.48B-2.42B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets109.14B106.19B88.28B65.99B56.94B21.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments45.33B50.46B42.52B28.48B37.29B9.14B
Total Debt33.43B35.44B30.37B16.90B8.55B6.55B
Total Liabilities58.53B61.52B53.62B30.90B14.61B11.47B
Stockholders Equity38.65B37.44B28.33B32.63B40.53B9.66B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-11.13B-2.92B-8.39B-4.66B-2.29B
Operating Cash Flow0.00-4.76B2.46B-4.12B-2.33B-1.12B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-9.51B-7.47B-14.78B-5.20B-2.61B
Financing Cash Flow0.0020.35B17.46B9.07B34.80B5.26B

Money Forward Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price4673.00
Price Trends
50DMA
4329.48
Positive
100DMA
5059.33
Negative
200DMA
4935.40
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
77.49
Negative
RSI
53.72
Neutral
STOCH
68.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3994, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 4673 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4547.70, above the 50-day MA of 4329.48, and below the 200-day MA of 4935.40, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 77.49 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:3994.

Money Forward Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
¥126.26B24.052.59%5.22%-6.62%
63
Neutral
¥255.30B28.8924.24%17.35%74.71%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
54
Neutral
¥227.15B205.9427.65%96.11%
51
Neutral
¥181.92B134.3331.57%
41
Neutral
¥259.07B-42.51-19.16%19.57%-16.67%
¥125.25B19.611.02%26.47%142.77%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3994
Money Forward
4,575.00
539.00
13.35%
JP:3697
SHIFT
952.70
-455.29
-32.34%
JP:4432
WingArc1st Inc.
3,520.00
254.30
7.79%
JP:4443
Sansan, Inc.
1,683.00
-662.00
-28.23%
JP:4478
freee K.K.
3,055.00
170.00
5.89%
JP:4776
Cybozu, Inc.
2,680.00
115.75
4.51%

Money Forward Corporate Events

Money Forward Consulting Clears FX Regulatory Hurdle for OutlookConsulting Tender Offer
Jan 5, 2026

Money Forward Consulting has announced that regulatory review under Japan’s Foreign Exchange and Foreign Trade Act for its tender offer to acquire shares of OutlookConsulting Co., Ltd., listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange Growth Market, has been completed, allowing the company to begin acquiring common shares as of December 27, 2025. The waiting period under the act was shortened by authorities, meaning the tender offer can proceed on the original schedule through January 20, 2026, preserving the planned timeline for the transaction and reducing uncertainty for both Money Forward Consulting and OutlookConsulting shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3994) stock is a Hold with a Yen4573.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Money Forward stock, see the JP:3994 Stock Forecast page.

Money Forward Consulting Delays OutlookConsulting Tender Offer to Comply With FEFTA Filing
Dec 25, 2025

Money Forward Consulting has amended its previously announced tender offer for OutlookConsulting after determining it must file a prior notification under Japan’s Foreign Exchange and Foreign Trade Act (FEFTA) due to a rise in foreign ownership of its parent, Money Forward, Inc. New shareholder data as of November 30, 2025 showed foreign entities hold 50% or more of Money Forward’s common shares, reclassifying the tender offeror as a “foreign investor” and triggering the FEFTA prior notification requirement for acquiring OutlookConsulting shares. The company filed the required notification on December 18, 2025 and, because regulatory review is still ongoing and the statutory waiting period has not expired, has extended the tender offer period to January 20, 2026, signaling a regulatory-driven delay but not a change in strategic intent to acquire the target.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3994) stock is a Hold with a Yen4573.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Money Forward stock, see the JP:3994 Stock Forecast page.

Money Forward Revises Board Plan to Ensure Majority of External Directors
Dec 22, 2025

Money Forward has revised its proposed management structure for the 15th fiscal year to further strengthen corporate governance, deciding that external directors will constitute a majority of its board. Following feedback from capital markets, the company will withdraw the nomination of new internal director candidate Yotaro Agari—who will remain an executive officer—and instead nominate three new external directors, while three current external directors retire in line with term limit and age guidelines. The new slate maintains several existing independent external directors and adds three more candidates who meet Tokyo Stock Exchange independence requirements, signaling a stronger emphasis on board independence and alignment with governance best practices ahead of the February 2026 shareholders’ meeting.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3994) stock is a Hold with a Yen4573.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Money Forward stock, see the JP:3994 Stock Forecast page.

Money Forward Announces Management Restructure for 2026
Nov 28, 2025

Money Forward, Inc. has announced a significant change in its management structure for the upcoming fiscal year, following recommendations from its Nomination and Compensation Committee. The changes, which include the renomination of several directors and the introduction of new external directors, aim to strengthen the company’s governance and align with its strategic goals. These adjustments are set to be finalized at the Annual General Meeting of Shareholders in February 2026, reflecting the company’s commitment to maintaining robust leadership and compliance with governance guidelines.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3994) stock is a Hold with a Yen4573.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Money Forward stock, see the JP:3994 Stock Forecast page.

Money Forward Acquires Michibiku to Enhance Cloud Solutions
Nov 21, 2025

Money Forward, Inc. has announced the acquisition of Michibiku, Inc., making it a wholly-owned subsidiary. Michibiku specializes in digital transformation services for board meetings, offering a cloud-based tool that enhances meeting efficiency and decision-making processes. This acquisition aims to integrate Michibiku’s services with Money Forward Cloud, enriching the product lineup and expanding the customer base through Money Forward’s established network.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3994) stock is a Hold with a Yen4573.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Money Forward stock, see the JP:3994 Stock Forecast page.

Money Forward Initiates Tender Offer for Full Acquisition of OutlookConsulting
Nov 12, 2025

Money Forward Cloud Corporate Performance Management Consulting, Inc. has announced a tender offer to acquire all shares of OutlookConsulting Co., Ltd., aiming to make it a wholly owned subsidiary. This move is part of a strategic transaction to consolidate ownership and potentially delist the target company from the Tokyo Stock Exchange Growth Market, ensuring fairness and protecting minority shareholders’ interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3994) stock is a Hold with a Yen4573.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Money Forward stock, see the JP:3994 Stock Forecast page.

Money Forward Adjusts Stock Acquisition Rights Amid Strategic Portfolio Shift
Nov 4, 2025

Money Forward, Inc. announced changes to the exercise conditions of its performance-linked stock acquisition rights following the transfer of all shares of its subsidiary, SMARTCAMP Co., Ltd. This strategic move significantly alters the company’s business portfolio by removing the SaaS Marketing segment, prompting adjustments to the stock acquisition rights to align with the new business structure. The changes reflect the company’s efforts to adapt to its evolving market focus and maintain alignment with its financial performance metrics.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3994) stock is a Hold with a Yen4573.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Money Forward stock, see the JP:3994 Stock Forecast page.

Money Forward Revises Financial Forecasts and Targets Amid Strategic Shift
Nov 4, 2025

Money Forward, Inc. has announced a revision of its full-year consolidated financial forecasts and medium-to-long-term financial targets following the transfer of all shares in its subsidiary, Smart Camp, Inc. This strategic move results in the exclusion of the SaaS Marketing segment from its business portfolio, prompting adjustments in financial forecasts and targets. The revised forecasts indicate slight decreases in net sales and profits, while the medium-to-long-term targets reflect a 10% reduction in net sales and EBITDA expectations for FY2028. The changes are part of a broader strategy to realign the company’s focus and improve financial performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3994) stock is a Hold with a Yen4573.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Money Forward stock, see the JP:3994 Stock Forecast page.

Money Forward Reports Increased Sales Amidst Ongoing Losses
Oct 15, 2025

Money Forward, Inc. reported its consolidated financial results for the nine months ending August 31, 2025, showing a 19% increase in net sales and a 29.9% rise in SaaS ARR. Despite these gains, the company reported a net loss, highlighting challenges in profitability. The forecast for the fiscal year ending November 2025 anticipates continued growth in sales and SaaS ARR, but with expected losses, reflecting ongoing strategic investments and adjustments following the deconsolidation of a subsidiary.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3994) stock is a Hold with a Yen5418.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Money Forward stock, see the JP:3994 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025