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Tobila Systems, Inc. (JP:4441)
:4441
Japanese Market

Tobila Systems, Inc. (4441) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4441

Tobila Systems, Inc.

(4441)

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Outperform 81 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,599.00
▲(67.96% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/24/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance—high margins, very low leverage, and solid free cash flow—offset by some recent margin and cash-conversion softening. Technicals are positive with an established uptrend and healthy (not overextended) momentum. Valuation is reasonable but not notably cheap, and the dividend yield is modest.
Positive Factors
High profitability and margins
Consistently high gross and net margins indicate durable pricing power and efficient cost structure across products and services. High margins support internal funding for R&D, subscription product improvements, and shareholder returns while providing a buffer versus cyclical revenue dips.
Negative Factors
Recent margin compression
Declining margins suggest rising operating costs or adverse mix shifts that can erode long-run profitability. If sustained, margin pressure reduces free cash available for reinvestment and weakens the firm's ability to fund growth or maintain returns without pricing changes or productivity improvements.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High profitability and margins
Consistently high gross and net margins indicate durable pricing power and efficient cost structure across products and services. High margins support internal funding for R&D, subscription product improvements, and shareholder returns while providing a buffer versus cyclical revenue dips.
Read all positive factors

Tobila Systems, Inc. (4441) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Tobila Systems, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tobila Systems Inc. develops and provides fraud and spam prevention services in Japan. The company offers prank call filter services for mobile and business phones, and nuisance call filter services for landlines. It also provides other services c...

Tobila Systems, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability (gross margin ~69–74%, TTM net margin ~22%) and steady revenue growth support earnings quality. Balance sheet is very conservative with low leverage (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.06) and consistently high ROE (~19–26%). Cash flow is solid with FCF closely tracking earnings (FCF/NI ~0.97), but recent cash conversion softness and some margin compression temper the score.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownOct 2025Oct 2024Oct 2023Oct 2022Oct 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.81B2.41B2.06B1.68B1.42B
Gross Profit1.94B1.71B1.43B1.18B1.05B
EBITDA1.05B1.06B936.12M645.52M622.39M
Net Income625.68M601.85M517.73M322.03M386.05M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.38B4.36B3.65B2.67B2.17B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.94B3.22B2.40B1.44B1.15B
Total Debt145.67M195.71M245.75M295.79M357.71M
Total Liabilities2.79B1.91B1.51B956.38M681.64M
Stockholders Equity2.60B2.44B2.14B1.71B1.49B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.70B1.20B1.07B498.17M384.32M
Operating Cash Flow1.75B1.31B1.22B641.68M491.92M
Investing Cash Flow-1.38B-78.34M-91.47M-188.74M-652.30M
Financing Cash Flow-549.30M-416.50M-160.65M-162.91M45.80M

Tobila Systems, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price952.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1327.76
Positive
100DMA
1241.01
Positive
200DMA
1154.05
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
15.36
Positive
RSI
54.77
Neutral
STOCH
69.27
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4441, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 952 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1385.30, below the 50-day MA of 1327.76, and below the 200-day MA of 1154.05, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 15.36 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.27 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4441.

Tobila Systems, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
¥14.95B19.561.66%16.60%6.60%
81
Outperform
¥44.87B71.354.43%0.63%-24.87%
70
Outperform
¥44.92B14.452.93%-0.90%-13.24%
70
Outperform
¥275.82B6.3412.24%2.31%-2.36%-61.50%
68
Neutral
¥28.46B9.3314.95%0.77%6.43%368.06%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
50
Neutral
¥5.93B5.263.54%19.28%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4441
Tobila Systems, Inc.
1,410.00
536.53
61.43%
JP:6835
Allied Telesis Holdings KK
271.00
136.27
101.15%
JP:6703
OKI Electric Industry Company
3,185.00
2,413.19
312.67%
JP:6718
Aiphone Co., Ltd.
2,847.00
637.41
28.85%
JP:6778
Artiza Networks, Inc.
640.00
104.65
19.55%
JP:6820
Icom Incorporated
3,130.00
812.47
35.06%

Tobila Systems, Inc. Corporate Events

Tobila Systems Banks on Carrier Partnerships and AI-Enhanced SaaS to Drive Growth
Mar 18, 2026
Tobila Systems detailed investor QA on its first-quarter results, highlighting growing adoption of its nuisance call blocking services through J:COM’s Cable Plus Phone, where making the feature free has driven landline user growth and added ...
Tobila Systems Delivers Record Q1 Sales as Investment Strategy Tempers Profit
Mar 12, 2026
Tobila Systems reported record first-quarter net sales of JPY786 million for the fiscal year ending October 31, 2026, representing 116.8% year-on-year growth. Despite this revenue high, operating profit declined 12.5% year-on-year to JPY226 millio...
Tobila Systems Grows Sales but Sees Profit Decline in First Quarter
Mar 10, 2026
Tobila Systems reported non-consolidated net sales of 786 million yen for the first quarter ended January 31, 2026, up 16.8% year on year, while operating profit fell 12.5% to 226 million yen as costs outpaced revenue growth. Ordinary profit decli...
Tobila Systems Outlines FY2026 1Q Results and Strategy Through 2028
Mar 10, 2026
Tobila Systems Inc. released its financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, covering the period from November 1, 2025 to January 31, 2026. The disclosure outlines highlights for the quarter, a corporate profile and strategy throu...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026