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Tobila Systems, Inc.
(4441)
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Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,851.00
▲(94.43% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:03/24/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance—high margins, very low leverage, and solid free cash flow—offset by some recent margin and cash-conversion softening. Technicals are positive with an established uptrend and healthy (not overextended) momentum. Valuation is reasonable but not notably cheap, and the dividend yield is modest.
Positive Factors
High Profitability
Sustained high gross margins (~69–74%) and a TTM net margin near 22% reflect durable product economics and pricing power typical of scalable software applications. These margins support consistent internal funding for R&D, stable operating leverage, and long-term earnings resiliency across cycles.
Negative Factors
Cash Conversion Softness
A drop in cash flow relative to revenue signals working-capital timing or collection issues that can persist. If cash conversion remains weaker, it reduces usable cash for investment and distributions, increases sensitivity to cyclical slowdowns, and could force higher external funding for growth.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High Profitability
Sustained high gross margins (~69–74%) and a TTM net margin near 22% reflect durable product economics and pricing power typical of scalable software applications. These margins support consistent internal funding for R&D, stable operating leverage, and long-term earnings resiliency across cycles.
Read all positive factors
Tobila Systems, Inc. (4441) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥17.82B
Dividend Yield1.27%
Average Volume (3M)42.31K
Price to Earnings (P/E)28.1
Beta (1Y)0.35
Revenue Growth18.42%
EPS Growth-3.97%
CountryJP
Employees114
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustrySoftware - Application
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)59.87
Shares Outstanding10,695,000
10 Day Avg. Volume91,730
30 Day Avg. Volume42,306
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio2.30
Price to Book (P/B)3.64
Price to Sales (P/S)3.37
P/FCF Ratio5.55
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Tobila Systems, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Tobila Systems Inc. develops and sells nuisance call filter products in Japan. The company offers spam call filter products for mobiles, landlines, and business phones. It also provides TobilaPhone Biz, a service that enables the use of convenient...
Tobila Systems, Inc. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Oct 2025 | Oct 2024 | Oct 2023 | Oct 2022 | Oct 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 3.11B | 2.81B | 2.41B | 2.06B | 1.68B | 1.42B |
| Gross Profit | 2.08B | 1.94B | 1.71B | 1.43B | 1.18B | 1.05B |
| EBITDA | 1.02B | 1.05B | 1.06B | 936.12M | 645.52M | 622.39M |
| Net Income | 607.65M | 625.68M | 601.85M | 517.73M | 322.03M | 386.05M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 6.29B | 5.38B | 4.36B | 3.65B | 2.67B | 2.17B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 4.35B | 3.94B | 3.22B | 2.40B | 1.44B | 1.15B |
| Total Debt | 70.61M | 145.67M | 195.71M | 245.75M | 295.79M | 357.71M |
| Total Liabilities | 3.40B | 2.79B | 1.91B | 1.51B | 956.38M | 681.64M |
| Stockholders Equity | 2.89B | 2.60B | 2.44B | 2.14B | 1.71B | 1.49B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 1.70B | 1.70B | 1.20B | 1.07B | 498.17M | 384.32M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.75B | 1.75B | 1.31B | 1.22B | 641.68M | 491.92M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.38B | -1.38B | -78.34M | -91.47M | -188.74M | -652.30M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -549.30M | -549.30M | -416.50M | -160.65M | -162.91M | 45.80M |
Tobila Systems, Inc. Technical Analysis
Neutral
952.00
Price Trends
1404.94
Positive
1379.60
Positive
1267.11
Positive
Market Momentum
60.02
Positive
50.57
Neutral
37.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4441, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 952 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1568.80, below the 50-day MA of 1404.94, and below the 200-day MA of 1267.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 60.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:4441.
Tobila Systems, Inc. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
81 Outperform | ¥17.82B | 28.06 | ― | 1.66% | 18.42% | -3.97% | |
68 Neutral | ¥24.44B | 7.24 | 16.88% | 3.23% | 1.57% | -2.93% | |
68 Neutral | ¥44.41B | 18.70 | ― | 4.63% | -0.53% | -31.86% | |
67 Neutral | ¥47.15B | 17.69 | ― | 2.93% | -1.36% | -9.69% | |
63 Neutral | ¥5.57B | 24.10 | ― | 3.54% | -11.02% | 8.86% | |
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% | |
59 Neutral | ¥238.15B | 9.32 | 13.90% | 2.18% | -3.84% | 183.41% |
* Technology Sector Average
JP:4441
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Tobila Systems, Inc. Corporate Events
Tobila Systems Finalizes Strategic Minority Stake in Prodelight
Jul 21, 2026
Tobila Systems Inc. has completed the previously announced acquisition of common shares in Prodelight Co., Ltd., formalizing a capital and business alliance between the two technology firms. The transaction, executed on July 17, 2026, gives Tobila...
Tobila Systems Forms Capital and Business Alliance With Prodelight to Boost Cloud PBX Growth
Jul 14, 2026
Tobila Systems has approved a capital and business alliance with Prodelight Co., Ltd. to collaborate primarily in the cloud PBX field, including sales cooperation and joint development of products and services. As part of the deal, Tobila Systems ...
Tobila Systems Details Cloud Sales Strategy and One-Off Revenue Drivers
Jul 9, 2026
Tobila Systems outlined its strategy for segmenting customers between TobilaPhone Biz and TobilaPhone Biz Lite, emphasizing that the lighter plan is aimed at small-scale users needing simple, low-cost functions and is unlikely to cannibalize the m...
Tobila Systems outlines demand drivers and strategy for TobilaPhone Biz and Cloud
Jun 15, 2026
Tobila Systems has released a QA addressing investor queries on its second-quarter performance, focusing on its core TobilaPhone Biz, Biz Lite, and Cloud solutions. Management said Biz Lite still represents a small share of unit sales and that the...
Tobila Systems Prioritizes Growth as Solution Business Fuels Record Quarterly Sales
Jun 12, 2026
Tobila Systems reported second-quarter fiscal 2026 net sales of JPY887 million, a 27% year-on-year increase and a new quarterly record, driven mainly by strong growth in its Solution Business while the Security Business remained stable. Operating ...
Tobila Systems Grows Revenue but Sees Profit Margins Squeezed in First Half
Jun 10, 2026
Tobila Systems Inc. reported non-consolidated net sales of ¥1,674 million for the six months ended April 30, 2026, up 22.0% year on year, while operating profit fell 7.7% to ¥485 million as higher costs weighed on margins. Net profit dec...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.