Tobila Systems, Inc. (4441) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥9.73B
• Dividend Yield: 2.13%
• Average Volume (3M): 28.06K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 14.5
• Beta (1Y): 0.44
• Revenue Growth: 17.60%
• EPS Growth: 4.04%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 83
• Sector: Technology
• Sector Strength: 88
• Industry: Communication Equipment
• EPS (TTM): 16.09
• Shares Outstanding: 10,644,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 32,040
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 28,063
• PEG Ratio: 0.73
• Price to Book (P/B): 3.17
• Price to Sales (P/S): 3.22
• P/FCF Ratio: 6.46
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 70 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥1,004.00 ▲(5.46% Upside)

Tobila Systems, Inc. demonstrates strong financial performance, which is the most significant factor in its overall score. However, the technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, which negatively impacts the stock's attractiveness. The valuation is reasonable, providing some support to the overall score.

Tobila Systems, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tobila Systems Inc. develops and provides fraud and spam prevention services in Japan. The company offers prank call filter services for mobile and business phones, and nuisance call filter services for landlines. It also provides other services comprising phone number.com, an online phonebook; and HP4U, a homepage production service that include coverage, photography, and production. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Nagoya, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Tobila Systems generates revenue primarily through the sale of its software products and subscription-based services. The company offers tiered pricing models for its cloud-based applications, which allow clients to choose plans based on their usage and feature requirements. Additionally, Tobila earns revenue from consulting services related to data analytics, which include implementation, training, and ongoing support. Significant partnerships with major industry players and integration with existing systems enhance its market reach and contribute to its earnings by attracting a larger client base. Furthermore, the company may also derive income from licensing its technology and intellectual property to other businesses.

Tobila Systems, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Tobila Systems, Inc. showcases strong financial health with consistent revenue and profit growth, a solid balance sheet with low leverage, and impressive cash flow generation. These factors position the company well for future growth opportunities and provide resilience against potential market fluctuations.

Income Statement

Tobila Systems, Inc. demonstrates robust growth in revenue with a consistent upward trend, highlighted by a 16.71% increase from 2023 to 2024. Gross profit and net profit margins remain strong at 70.91% and 25.02% respectively. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 34.56% and 44.10%, indicating effective cost management and operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.08, reflecting conservative leverage. Return on equity is impressive at 24.65%, showcasing effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio of 56.06% indicates a strong capital structure, although there is room for improvement in asset utilization.

Cash Flow

Tobila Systems generates substantial free cash flow, with a 11.49% growth rate from 2023 to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high at 2.17, suggesting strong cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also robust at 1.99, underscoring excellent cash management.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	2.71B	2.41B	2.06B	1.68B	1.42B	1.23B
Gross Profit	1.82B	1.71B	1.43B	1.18B	1.05B	912.58M
EBITDA	1.12B	1.06B	936.12M	645.52M	622.39M	519.98M
Net Income	652.29M	601.85M	517.73M	322.03M	386.05M	322.34M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	5.05B	4.36B	3.65B	2.67B	2.17B	1.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	3.40B	3.22B	2.40B	1.44B	1.15B	1.22B
Total Debt	108.14M	195.71M	245.75M	295.79M	357.71M	24.89M
Total Liabilities	2.56B	1.91B	1.51B	956.38M	681.01M	300.86M
Stockholders Equity	2.49B	2.44B	2.14B	1.71B	1.49B	1.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	1.20B	1.07B	498.17M	384.32M	240.53M
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	1.31B	1.22B	641.68M	491.92M	358.83M
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-78.34M	-91.47M	-188.74M	-652.30M	-123.83M
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-416.50M	-160.65M	-162.91M	45.80M	-15.12M

Tobila Systems, Inc. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 952.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4441, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 952 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 954.33, below the 50-day MA of 1064.31, and below the 200-day MA of 967.98, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -34.92 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.62 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4441.

Tobila Systems, Inc. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
6675	80 Outperform	¥32.00B	8.37	―	2.41%	16.42%	79.16%
6820	74 Outperform	¥46.29B	20.35	―	2.57%	-1.19%	-30.24%
6822	73 Outperform	¥4.90B	3.76	―	0.44%	4.93%	23.91%
4441	70 Outperform	¥9.73B	14.46	―	2.13%	17.60%	4.04%
6778	63 Neutral	¥5.65B	41.05	―	3.28%	-4.92%	―
Sector *	61 Neutral	$37.18B	12.37	-10.20%	1.83%	8.50%	-7.62%

Tobila Systems, Inc. Corporate Events

Tobila Systems Highlights Call-Blocking Service Amid Rising Phone Fraud

Tobila Systems Inc. has addressed investor inquiries regarding its third-quarter financial results, emphasizing the importance of its call-blocking service amidst rising phone fraud cases. The company believes its service, which automatically blocks suspicious calls, remains essential and competitive, especially in Japan where phone fraud is increasing. Additionally, Tobila Systems is planning an office relocation, with minimal impact on this fiscal year’s results, and will provide further financial guidance in December.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4441) stock is a Hold with a Yen1143.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tobila Systems, Inc. stock, see the JP:4441 Stock Forecast page.

Tobila Systems Achieves Record High in Q3 Net Sales

Tobila Systems Inc. reported its financial results for the third quarter of the fiscal year ending October 2025, showing a record high in net sales. The company achieved JPY702 million in net sales, a 113.7% increase from the same period last year, with operating profits of JPY233 million. The mobile phone services segment in the security business contributed JPY413 million, and the solution business saw significant growth with JPY234 million in net sales, marking a 154.5% increase year-over-year.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4441) stock is a Buy with a Yen1155.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tobila Systems, Inc. stock, see the JP:4441 Stock Forecast page.

Tobila Systems Inc. Announces Q3 Financial Results and Strategic Plans

Tobila Systems Inc. announced its financial results for the third quarter of the fiscal year ending October 31, 2025, highlighting plans for new product releases and increased hiring. Despite a profit progress rate exceeding 90%, the company has not revised its earnings forecast due to expected temporary increases in recruitment and development expenses. The company aims to generate revenue from new products as early as the first year of its Medium-Term Management Plan 2028. Additionally, the impact of providing its Fraudulent Call Blocking service for free is expected to be minimal, as it aligns with governmental requests to curb fraudulent activities.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4441) stock is a Buy with a Yen1155.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tobila Systems, Inc. stock, see the JP:4441 Stock Forecast page.

Tobila Systems Inc. Announces Office Relocation to Support Growth

Tobila Systems Inc. announced the relocation of its Head Office in Nagoya and Tokyo Office to accommodate anticipated personnel growth as part of its Medium-Term Management Plan 2028. This strategic move aims to enhance the working environment and promote human capital management, with minimal financial impact expected for the fiscal year ending October 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4441) stock is a Buy with a Yen1155.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tobila Systems, Inc. stock, see the JP:4441 Stock Forecast page.

Tobila Systems Reports Strong Nine-Month Financial Performance Amid Structural Shifts

Tobila Systems Inc. reported its non-consolidated financial results for the first nine months of the fiscal year ending October 31, 2025, showing a notable increase in net sales and profits compared to the previous year. The company’s net sales rose by 17.1%, while operating profit and ordinary profit increased by 13.5% and 14.5%, respectively. Despite these positive results, the equity-to-asset ratio decreased from 56.0% to 49.3%, indicating a shift in the financial structure. The company maintained its dividend forecast, with no revisions announced, and expects a full-year profit of 554 million yen, which is an 8.0% decrease from the previous year.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4441) stock is a Buy with a Yen1155.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tobila Systems, Inc. stock, see the JP:4441 Stock Forecast page.