Tobila Systems, Inc. (4441) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥13.43B
• Dividend Yield: 1.66%
• Average Volume (3M): 42.31K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 20.7
• Beta (1Y): 0.41
• Revenue Growth: 16.60%
• EPS Growth: 6.60%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 83
• Sector: Technology
• Sector Strength: 88
• Industry: Communication Equipment
• EPS (TTM): 10.89
• Shares Outstanding: 10,644,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 91,730
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 42,306
• PEG Ratio: 0.00
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.00
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 73 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥1,377.00 ▲(44.64% Upside)

Tobila Systems, Inc. shows strong financial performance with solid revenue growth and profitability. The technical analysis indicates bullish momentum, though caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions. Valuation metrics suggest the stock is fairly valued, with a reasonable P/E ratio and moderate dividend yield.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Consistent revenue growth indicates expanding market reach and product adoption, supporting long-term business sustainability.

Cash Generation

Strong cash generation enhances financial flexibility, enabling reinvestment in growth opportunities and resilience against economic fluctuations.

Balance Sheet Health

A low debt-to-equity ratio reflects prudent financial management, reducing risk and enhancing long-term stability.

Negative Factors

Equity Financing

Dependence on equity financing may dilute shareholder value and indicates a need for optimizing capital structure for better financial health.

Gross Profit Margin Decline

Decreasing gross profit margins could signal rising costs or pricing pressures, impacting profitability if not addressed.

Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio

A declining free cash flow to net income ratio may indicate less efficient cash conversion, potentially affecting liquidity and investment capacity.

Tobila Systems, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tobila Systems Inc. develops and provides fraud and spam prevention services in Japan. The company offers prank call filter services for mobile and business phones, and nuisance call filter services for landlines. It also provides other services comprising phone number.com, an online phonebook; and HP4U, a homepage production service that include coverage, photography, and production. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Nagoya, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Tobila Systems generates revenue primarily through the sale of its software products and subscription-based services. The company offers tiered pricing models for its cloud-based applications, which allow clients to choose plans based on their usage and feature requirements. Additionally, Tobila earns revenue from consulting services related to data analytics, which include implementation, training, and ongoing support. Significant partnerships with major industry players and integration with existing systems enhance its market reach and contribute to its earnings by attracting a larger client base. Furthermore, the company may also derive income from licensing its technology and intellectual property to other businesses.

Tobila Systems, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Tobila Systems, Inc. showcases strong financial health across all verticals. The company benefits from consistent revenue and profit growth, a strong balance sheet with low leverage, and impressive cash flow generation. These factors position the company well for future growth opportunities and provide resilience against potential market fluctuations.

Income Statement

Tobila Systems, Inc. demonstrates robust growth in revenue with a consistent upward trend, highlighted by a 16.71% increase from 2023 to 2024. Gross profit and net profit margins remain strong at 70.91% and 25.02% respectively. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 34.56% and 44.10%, indicating effective cost management and operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.08, reflecting conservative leverage. Return on equity is impressive at 24.65%, showcasing effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio of 56.06% indicates a strong capital structure, although there is room for improvement in asset utilization.

Cash Flow

Tobila Systems generates substantial free cash flow, with a 11.49% growth rate from 2023 to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high at 2.17, suggesting strong cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also robust at 1.99, underscoring excellent cash management.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	2.71B	2.81B	2.41B	2.06B	1.68B	1.42B
Gross Profit	1.82B	1.94B	1.71B	1.43B	1.18B	1.05B
EBITDA	1.12B	1.05B	1.06B	936.12M	645.52M	622.39M
Net Income	652.29M	625.68M	601.85M	517.73M	322.03M	386.05M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	5.05B	5.38B	4.36B	3.65B	2.67B	2.17B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	3.40B	3.94B	3.22B	2.40B	1.44B	1.15B
Total Debt	108.14M	145.67M	195.71M	245.75M	295.79M	357.71M
Total Liabilities	2.56B	2.79B	1.91B	1.51B	956.38M	681.01M
Stockholders Equity	2.49B	2.60B	2.44B	2.14B	1.71B	1.49B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	1.70B	1.20B	1.07B	498.17M	384.32M
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	1.75B	1.31B	1.22B	641.68M	491.92M
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-1.38B	-78.34M	-91.47M	-188.74M	-652.30M
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-549.30M	-416.50M	-160.65M	-162.91M	45.80M

Tobila Systems, Inc. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 952.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4441, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 952 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1287.25, below the 50-day MA of 1141.78, and below the 200-day MA of 1047.10, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 40.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4441.

Tobila Systems, Inc. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
6675	79 Outperform	¥39.36B	12.21	―	2.26%	20.13%	33.43%
4441	73 Outperform	¥13.43B	20.65	―	1.66%	16.60%	6.60%
6820	70 Outperform	¥44.64B	19.13	―	2.93%	-0.90%	-13.24%
6822	64 Neutral	¥5.12B	3.93	―	0.53%	4.93%	23.92%
6778	63 Neutral	¥5.54B	29.66	―	3.54%	19.28%	―
Sector *	61 Neutral	$37.18B	12.37	-10.20%	1.83%	8.50%	-7.62%

Tobila Systems, Inc. Corporate Events

Tobila Systems Inc. Announces Director Elections for Upcoming Shareholders Meeting

Tobila Systems Inc. has announced its proposals for the upcoming 19th Annual General Meeting of Shareholders, which includes the election of new directors and reappointments. This strategic move is expected to strengthen the company’s governance structure and support its growth objectives, potentially impacting its market position and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4441) stock is a Buy with a Yen1171.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tobila Systems, Inc. stock, see the JP:4441 Stock Forecast page.

Tobila Systems Outlines Growth Strategy Amid Financial Results Disclosure

Tobila Systems Inc. has disclosed its financial results for the fiscal year ended October 31, 2025, and addressed key questions from investors. The company plans to accelerate growth in its Solution Business by enhancing its product lineup and expanding sales partnerships. Despite aiming for 20% sales growth in the next fiscal year, Tobila Systems acknowledges that reaching its ¥6.0 billion sales target by 2028 may require additional strategies, including potential M&A. The company also plans to increase its workforce to support growth, targeting 155 employees by the end of FY2026, which may exceed the original headcount envisioned for FY2028. Additionally, a recent large shareholding report is not expected to impact dividend policies or shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4441) stock is a Buy with a Yen1171.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tobila Systems, Inc. stock, see the JP:4441 Stock Forecast page.

Tobila Systems Reports Record Financial Results and Sets Ambitious Growth Targets

Tobila Systems Inc. reported record-high net sales and operating profit for the fiscal year ended October 2025, with net sales reaching JPY2,805 million and operating profit at JPY898 million. The company has announced a Medium-Term Management Plan 2028, aiming for JPY6 billion in net sales and a new target of JPY1.7 billion in operating profit, indicating a strategic focus on growth and long-term success.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4441) stock is a Buy with a Yen1171.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tobila Systems, Inc. stock, see the JP:4441 Stock Forecast page.

Tobila Systems Inc. Announces Board Restructuring to Enhance Governance

Tobila Systems Inc. has announced a significant restructuring of its board of directors, with new appointments set to take effect following the upcoming Annual General Meeting. These changes, including the addition of new independent outside directors, aim to strengthen the company’s governance and strategic oversight, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder relations positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4441) stock is a Buy with a Yen1171.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tobila Systems, Inc. stock, see the JP:4441 Stock Forecast page.

Tobila Systems Inc. Increases Dividend Payout

Tobila Systems Inc. announced an increase in its dividend payout, raising the dividend per share from the previously forecasted ¥20.00 to ¥21.30. This decision aligns with the company’s policy of maintaining a 35% dividend payout ratio while supporting business expansion and financial stability, reflecting strong business performance and a solid financial position.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4441) stock is a Buy with a Yen1171.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tobila Systems, Inc. stock, see the JP:4441 Stock Forecast page.

Tobila Systems Reports Strong FY2025 Results and Outlines Ambitious Growth Plans

Tobila Systems Inc. reported a significant increase in net sales and operating profit for FY2025, driven by growth in its Security and Solution Business. The company has launched a new service, Sagitore, and expanded its workforce as part of its Medium-Term Management Plan 2028. Looking ahead to FY2026, Tobila Systems anticipates continued top-line growth but expects a temporary decline in operating profit due to recruitment and relocation expenses. The company aims to achieve substantial growth by FY2028, with ambitious targets for net sales and operating profit, positioning this period as transformative for its future.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4441) stock is a Buy with a Yen1171.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tobila Systems, Inc. stock, see the JP:4441 Stock Forecast page.

Tobila Systems Inc. Reports Increased Sales Amid Financial Challenges

Tobila Systems Inc. reported its non-consolidated financial results for the fiscal year ending October 31, 2025, showing a 16.6% increase in net sales compared to the previous year. Despite the growth in sales, the company experienced a decrease in its equity-to-asset ratio and a decline in cash and cash equivalents, indicating potential challenges in financial stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4441) stock is a Buy with a Yen1171.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tobila Systems, Inc. stock, see the JP:4441 Stock Forecast page.