Accrete, Inc. (4395) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥8.88B
• Dividend Yield: 0.38%
• Average Volume (3M): 166.06K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 14.1
• Beta (1Y): 0.49
• Revenue Growth: 17.63%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: JP
• Employees: 98
• Sector: Communication Services
• Sector Strength: 97
• Industry: Telecommunications Services
• EPS (TTM): 20.98
• Shares Outstanding: 7,780,158
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 189,360
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 166,063
• PEG Ratio: 0.10
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.28
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.89
• P/FCF Ratio: -15.64
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 48 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥1,083.00 ▼(-27.70% Downside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 03/24/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 03/24/26

The score is held back primarily by negative operating/free cash flow and increased leverage despite the 2025 profitability rebound. Technical indicators also point to weak near-term momentum (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is middling, with a higher P/E and a low dividend yield offering limited offset.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth Momentum

An ~18% top-line acceleration in 2025 points to durable demand and successful commercial execution. Sustained revenue growth supports scale economics, recurring service revenue expansion, and the ability to fund network or product investment over the next several quarters without relying solely on external capital.

Negative Factors

Negative Cash Generation

Negative operating and free cash flow in 2025 means reported profits are not converting to cash, creating liquidity pressure. This raises funding risk for capex, debt service, or dividends and increases reliance on external financing or working-capital management in the medium term, weakening financial durability.

Accrete, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Accrete Inc. provides messaging services in Japan. It offers SMS and mail delivery services. The company also provides School Safe Mail, a mail system to smoothly communicate between schools, PTAs, and parents; and Local Government Safe Mail, an e...

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Accrete Inc. provides messaging services in Japan. It offers SMS and mail delivery services. The company also provides School Safe Mail, a mail system to smoothly communicate between schools, PTAs, and parents; and Local Government Safe Mail, an e...

Accrete, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	7.42B	8.79B	6.35B	5.43B	6.19B	2.83B
Gross Profit	1.83B	2.11B	1.56B	1.59B	2.30B	1.14B
EBITDA	649.62M	760.71M	29.07M	153.83M	1.35B	483.13M
Net Income	136.30M	307.77M	73.50M	33.43M	851.65M	307.06M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	4.54B	7.09B	3.59B	4.21B	4.92B	2.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.43B	1.32B	1.47B	1.82B	2.19B	1.52B
Total Debt	446.20M	1.43B	502.37M	923.65M	1.34B	346.08M
Total Liabilities	1.67B	3.01B	1.50B	2.06B	2.74B	1.04B
Stockholders Equity	2.38B	3.45B	1.79B	1.67B	1.66B	1.65B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	-502.77M	214.00M	188.00M	956.61M	339.13M
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	-498.72M	214.95M	191.00M	976.31M	359.72M
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-541.55M	-104.68M	-95.15M	-471.03M	-464.19M
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	887.72M	-473.34M	-461.00M	161.14M	407.84M

Accrete, Inc. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 1498.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4395, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1498 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1167.75, above the 50-day MA of 1183.00, and above the 200-day MA of 1046.86, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -16.37 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4395.

Accrete, Inc. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
3834	80 Outperform	¥18.37B	13.52	―	3.53%	5.03%	-9.55%
9445	75 Outperform	¥9.54B	12.83	―	3.85%	1.75%	24.87%
9424	66 Neutral	¥21.85B	23.11	―	―	30.15%	31.28%
9419	62 Neutral	¥3.22B	5.37	―	―	-3.76%	-67.98%
Sector *	60 Neutral	$48.67B	4.58	-11.27%	4.14%	2.83%	-41.78%
3776	59 Neutral	¥12.41B	37.44	―	1.01%	17.19%	-43.91%
4395	48 Neutral	¥8.88B	14.15	―	0.38%	17.63%	―