tiprankstipranks
Accrete, Inc. (JP:4395)
:4395
Japanese Market

Accrete, Inc. (4395) AI Stock Analysis

0 Followers

Top Page

JP:4395

Accrete, Inc.

(4395)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,083.00
▼(-27.70% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/24/26
The score is held back primarily by negative operating/free cash flow and increased leverage despite the 2025 profitability rebound. Technical indicators also point to weak near-term momentum (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is middling, with a higher P/E and a low dividend yield offering limited offset.
Positive Factors
Revenue acceleration (2025 ~18%)
Sustained top-line acceleration supports market share gains and scale advantages in a capital-intensive telecoms sector. Consistent revenue growth over a multi-year horizon enables reinvestment in network, product development and customer acquisition, improving long-term competitive position and margin recovery potential.
Negative Factors
Negative operating and free cash flow (2025)
Profits not translating to cash creates structural funding risk: continued negative OCF/FCF forces reliance on external financing or equity, compresses liquidity buffers, and limits the company's ability to invest in networks or weather demand shocks over the medium term unless cash conversion reverses.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue acceleration (2025 ~18%)
Sustained top-line acceleration supports market share gains and scale advantages in a capital-intensive telecoms sector. Consistent revenue growth over a multi-year horizon enables reinvestment in network, product development and customer acquisition, improving long-term competitive position and margin recovery potential.
Read all positive factors

Accrete, Inc. (4395) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Accrete, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Accrete Inc. provides messaging services in Japan. It offers SMS and mail delivery services. The company also provides School Safe Mail, a mail system to smoothly communicate between schools, PTAs, and parents; and Local Government Safe Mail, an e...

Accrete, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong 2025 revenue growth (~18%) and a rebound in profitability, but this is offset by materially weaker cash generation with operating cash flow and free cash flow turning negative, and a substantial increase in debt versus 2024. The mix of improving earnings but deteriorating cash flow reduces overall quality and raises near-term risk.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
34
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.42B8.79B6.35B5.43B6.19B2.83B
Gross Profit1.83B2.11B1.56B1.59B2.30B1.14B
EBITDA649.62M760.71M29.07M153.83M1.35B483.13M
Net Income136.30M307.77M73.50M33.43M851.65M307.06M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.54B7.09B3.59B4.21B4.92B2.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.43B1.32B1.47B1.82B2.19B1.52B
Total Debt446.20M1.43B502.37M923.65M1.34B346.08M
Total Liabilities1.67B3.01B1.50B2.06B2.74B1.04B
Stockholders Equity2.38B3.45B1.79B1.67B1.66B1.65B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-502.77M214.00M188.00M956.61M339.13M
Operating Cash Flow0.00-498.72M214.95M191.00M976.31M359.72M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-541.55M-104.68M-95.15M-471.03M-464.19M
Financing Cash Flow0.00887.72M-473.34M-461.00M161.14M407.84M

Accrete, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1498.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1182.98
Negative
100DMA
1120.90
Positive
200DMA
1050.20
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-15.32
Positive
RSI
48.17
Neutral
STOCH
62.10
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4395, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1498 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1161.35, above the 50-day MA of 1182.98, and above the 200-day MA of 1050.20, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -15.32 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.10 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4395.

Accrete, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
¥18.54B13.523.53%5.03%-9.55%
75
Outperform
¥9.59B12.833.85%1.75%24.87%
66
Neutral
¥21.85B23.1130.15%31.28%
62
Neutral
¥3.19B5.37-3.76%-67.98%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
59
Neutral
¥12.60B37.441.01%17.19%-43.91%
48
Neutral
¥8.99B14.150.38%17.63%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4395
Accrete, Inc.
1,156.00
326.00
39.28%
JP:3776
Broadband Tower, Inc.
205.00
58.79
40.21%
JP:3834
ASAHI Net, Inc.
663.00
-2.34
-0.35%
JP:9419
WirelessGate, Inc.
293.00
63.00
27.39%
JP:9424
Japan Communications Inc.
131.00
-11.00
-7.75%
JP:9445
Forval Telecom, Inc.
572.00
120.13
26.59%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026