Takemoto Yohki Co.Ltd. (4248) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥10.99B
• Dividend Yield: 4.2%
• Average Volume (3M): 6.40K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 13.3
• Beta (1Y): 0.16
• Revenue Growth: -5.73%
• EPS Growth: 20.76%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 769
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Packaging & Containers
• EPS (TTM): 15.51
• Shares Outstanding: 12,529,200
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 4,390
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 6,400
• PEG Ratio: 0.65
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.85
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.71
• P/FCF Ratio: -32.23
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 66 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥946.00 ▲(11.29% Upside)
• Action: Downgraded Date: 02/02/26
• Date: Action: Downgraded 02/02/26

The score is driven primarily by improving profitability and a strengthened, low-leverage balance sheet, supported by a reasonable valuation with a high dividend yield. The main constraint is deteriorating 2025 cash flow (negative free cash flow) and inconsistent revenue, while technically the trend is positive but appears overbought (high RSI).

Positive Factors

Margin Expansion

Sustained margin improvement — gross margin rebuilt to ~30% and net margin to ~5.3% — implies better pricing, cost control and a higher mix of value-added work. Higher margins enhance durable earnings resilience, improving ability to fund capex, maintain dividends and absorb demand shocks.

Conservative Balance Sheet

Material deleveraging to a debt-to-equity of ~0.14 significantly reduces financial risk and increases flexibility. A conservative balance sheet supports investment in molds/automation, cushions downturns, and preserves borrowing capacity for strategic moves over the medium term.

Integrated Manufacturing & Services

Combination of manufacturing scale and value-added packaging development creates customer stickiness and recurring work. This capability supports higher-margin custom projects, helps secure long-term contracts across domestic and overseas markets, and underpins structural competitiveness.

Negative Factors

Deteriorating Cash Generation (2025)

Negative free cash flow in 2025 and a sharp OCF decline signal potential working-capital pressure or elevated capex. Persisting cash deficits constrain reinvestment, dividend sustainability and debt repayment flexibility, increasing medium-term funding and execution risk.

Inconsistent Revenue Trend

Choppy top-line performance — multiple declines and a 2025 fall of ~-4.3% — indicates demand variability or customer concentration. Revenue instability undermines scale economics, complicates capacity planning and leaves margins exposed if the mix shifts away from higher-margin custom work.

ROE Below Prior Peak

ROE recovery to ~6.4% still lags the 2021 peak (~10.9%), implying capital is not yet deployed as efficiently as before. Until operating leverage or consistent revenue growth returns, shareholder returns and capital efficiency may remain constrained relative to prior cycle performance.

Takemoto Yohki Co.Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Takemoto Yohki Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells plastic packaging containers in Japan, China, India, the United States, Thailand, the Netherlands, and internationally. It offers bottles and jars, tubes, caps and plugs, dispensers, and others. Takemoto Yohki Co., Ltd. was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Takemoto Yohki generates revenue primarily through the sale of its plastic products across multiple sectors. The company has established key revenue streams from its diverse product lines, including packaging solutions for the food industry, medical-grade materials, and various industrial applications. Significant partnerships with major companies in the food and healthcare sectors contribute to its earnings, as these collaborations often involve long-term contracts and bulk supply agreements. Additionally, Takemoto Yohki invests in research and development to innovate and improve its product offerings, which helps to maintain a competitive edge and attract new clients, further enhancing its revenue potential.

Takemoto Yohki Co.Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Margins improved meaningfully (net margin rising to ~5.3% in 2025 and gross margin rebuilding to ~30%), and leverage is conservative with debt-to-equity down to ~0.14. Offsetting this, revenue remains choppy with a 2025 decline (~-4.3%), and 2025 cash generation weakened sharply with negative free cash flow and operating cash flow covering only ~22% of net income.

Income Statement

Profitability improved materially from 2022–2024, with net margin rising from ~2.5% (2022) to ~4.1% (2024) and further to ~5.3% (2025), alongside healthier operating profitability. Gross margin also rebuilt to ~30.1% in 2025 from ~26–28% in 2022–2024. The key weakness is growth consistency: revenue declined in 2022 and 2023, rebounded in 2024, then fell again in 2025 (about -4.3%), showing a choppy top-line trajectory despite better margins.

Balance Sheet

Leverage looks conservative and improving: debt-to-equity fell steadily from ~0.45 (2020) to ~0.14 (2025), indicating meaningful balance-sheet de-risking. Equity has remained sizable versus total assets, supporting resilience. Return on equity has also recovered from low levels in 2022–2023 to ~6.4% in 2025, though it remains below the stronger 2021 level (~10.9%), suggesting profitability is improved but not yet peak-cycle.

Cash Flow

Cash generation is the primary pressure point. After solid free cash flow in 2023–2024 (positive and meaningful versus net income), 2025 saw operating cash flow drop sharply and free cash flow turn negative (-318m), with operating cash flow covering only ~22% of net income and free cash flow also negative relative to earnings. The earlier years show the business can generate cash, but the latest period signals higher volatility and potential working-capital or investment-driven strain.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	15.14B	14.49B	15.63B	14.32B	14.89B	15.78B
Gross Profit	4.29B	4.36B	4.33B	3.82B	4.11B	4.98B
EBITDA	1.93B	1.95B	1.97B	1.52B	1.83B	2.76B
Net Income	737.35M	771.05M	639.89M	294.78M	368.93M	1.19B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	16.79B	16.83B	18.45B	17.92B	18.62B	19.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	5.09B	4.55B	6.03B	5.48B	6.37B	6.43B
Total Debt	1.96B	1.70B	2.25B	2.92B	3.65B	3.94B
Total Liabilities	5.32B	4.76B	6.75B	6.91B	7.33B	8.13B
Stockholders Equity	11.47B	12.07B	11.70B	11.01B	11.29B	10.98B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	-317.99M	1.41B	575.73M	443.61M	1.30B
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	692.90M	2.15B	1.78B	1.26B	1.79B
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-1.46B	-723.88M	-1.24B	-803.50M	-532.37M
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-991.44M	-1.10B	-1.55B	-732.46M	-615.59M

Takemoto Yohki Co.Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 850.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4248, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 850 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 888.80, below the 50-day MA of 876.50, and above the 200-day MA of 832.87, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4248.

Takemoto Yohki Co.Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
5901	79 Outperform	¥496.44B	10.13	6.90%	2.71%	-0.06%	137.47%
7917	77 Outperform	¥100.64B	7.99	7.53%	3.01%	5.44%	45.99%
3950	76 Outperform	¥78.14B	12.05	―	6.64%	2.85%	-9.13%
5210	72 Outperform	¥30.69B	6.58	―	6.14%	-2.08%	-28.12%
7864	70 Outperform	¥145.80B	4.25	10.46%	2.35%	4.56%	49.23%
4248	66 Neutral	¥10.99B	13.29	―	4.20%	-5.73%	20.76%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%

Takemoto Yohki Co.Ltd. Corporate Events

Takemoto Yohki Lifts Profit Despite Lower Sales and Targets Recovery in 2026

Takemoto Yohki reported consolidated net sales of ¥14.49 billion for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, a 7.3% decline year on year, but improved profitability with operating profit up 4.9% to ¥991 million and profit attributable to owners of parent rising 20.5% to ¥771 million. Despite weaker top-line performance and lower operating cash flow, the company strengthened its financial position, lifting its equity ratio to 71.4% and net assets per share to ¥996.01, while maintaining an annual dividend of ¥36 per share and signaling continued shareholder returns with a forecast dividend increase to ¥38 in 2026. For the year ending December 31, 2026, management projects a recovery in demand, guiding for net sales of ¥15.8 billion, operating profit of ¥1.15 billion, and a 16.7% increase in bottom-line profit to ¥900 million, underscoring expectations of renewed growth and sustained margin improvement.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4248) stock is a Buy with a Yen941.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Takemoto Yohki Co.Ltd. stock, see the JP:4248 Stock Forecast page.