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Toyo Seikan Group Holdings Ltd. (JP:5901)
:5901
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Toyo Seikan Group Holdings (5901) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5901

Toyo Seikan Group Holdings

(5901)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
¥4,909.00
▲(46.23% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/22/26
The score is driven primarily by improving profitability and cash flow versus the 2023 trough with manageable leverage, supported by attractive valuation (low P/E and solid dividend yield). A strong price uptrend helps, but elevated RSI/Stoch signals and the company’s historical earnings/cash-flow volatility temper the overall rating.
Positive Factors
Diversified product portfolio
Toyo Seikan’s broad lineup across metal, plastic, paper and glass plus machinery serves stable, high-volume end markets (beverages, foods). Diversification across materials and value-added design reduces single-commodity exposure and supports recurring contract demand and long-term revenue resilience.
Negative Factors
Earnings and cash volatility
Large swings driven by the 2023 trough imply operational sensitivity to demand, input costs or one-time events. Such volatility reduces predictability of margins and free cash flow, complicating long-term planning, capital allocation and investor confidence over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified product portfolio
Toyo Seikan’s broad lineup across metal, plastic, paper and glass plus machinery serves stable, high-volume end markets (beverages, foods). Diversification across materials and value-added design reduces single-commodity exposure and supports recurring contract demand and long-term revenue resilience.
Read all positive factors

Toyo Seikan Group Holdings (5901) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Toyo Seikan Group Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Toyo Seikan Group Holdings (5901) is a leading Japanese company specializing in the manufacturing and marketing of packaging solutions, particularly metal and plastic containers for the food and beverage industry. The company operates in various s...
How the Company Makes Money
The company makes money primarily through its packaging businesses operated by its consolidated subsidiaries. Its core revenue model is the sale of packaging products—such as beverage and food cans, plastic bottles/containers, paper containers and...

Toyo Seikan Group Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show a strong recovery from the 2023 trough: EBIT and net income improved meaningfully into 2026, and operating cash flow/free cash flow rebounded after 2023. Offsetting this, results have been volatile across the period and ROE has been modest in several years, suggesting less consistent capital efficiency.
Income Statement
76
Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
68
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue932.79B963.21B922.52B950.66B906.02B821.57B
Gross Profit124.52B140.51B123.66B119.61B87.36B109.83B
EBITDA91.72B106.35B89.17B89.25B60.33B85.01B
Net Income27.64B54.98B22.39B23.08B10.36B44.42B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.18T1.24T1.20T1.18T1.17T1.08T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments104.46B123.16B119.84B90.02B99.70B126.45B
Total Debt216.64B203.49B231.26B194.04B184.15B111.48B
Total Liabilities499.94B513.09B506.79B483.10B493.88B417.99B
Stockholders Equity649.75B697.70B666.97B665.71B643.05B637.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0042.31B60.44B12.24B-82.08B28.14B
Operating Cash Flow0.0089.03B94.06B64.58B-18.86B75.42B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-20.58B-51.11B-52.44B-57.04B-27.17B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-66.13B-18.77B-27.81B41.53B-42.19B

Toyo Seikan Group Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3357.00
Price Trends
50DMA
3555.48
Positive
100DMA
3708.51
Positive
200DMA
3562.53
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
144.99
Negative
RSI
78.77
Negative
STOCH
93.58
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5901, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3357 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3506.70, below the 50-day MA of 3555.48, and below the 200-day MA of 3562.53, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 144.99 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.77 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.58 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:5901.

Toyo Seikan Group Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥540.72B9.786.90%2.71%4.41%176.65%
76
Outperform
¥142.79B6.6610.46%2.35%2.55%72.25%
74
Outperform
¥76.79B21.166.64%2.45%1.87%
69
Neutral
¥61.68B15.413.31%2.25%30.32%
65
Neutral
¥25.86B8.786.14%-1.56%17.80%
63
Neutral
¥96.26B12.057.53%3.01%5.17%20.88%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:5901
Toyo Seikan Group Holdings
4,344.00
1,629.38
60.02%
JP:7917
Fujimori Kogyo Co
1,264.00
371.78
41.67%
JP:7864
Fuji Seal International
2,611.00
123.57
4.97%
JP:3950
Pack Corporation
1,334.00
348.91
35.42%
JP:5210
Nihon Yamamura Glass Co., Ltd.
2,568.00
306.32
13.54%
JP:7942
JSP Corporation
2,568.00
816.74
46.64%

Toyo Seikan Group Holdings Corporate Events

Toyo Seikan Revamps and Extends Performance-Linked Equity Pay Plan for Directors
May 14, 2026
Toyo Seikan Group Holdings will continue its performance-linked equity compensation plan for internal directors, while revising key features to better align pay with medium- to long-term business performance and share value. The updated scheme, wh...
Toyo Seikan Cuts Size of Employee Restricted Share Allotment After Lower Participation
May 14, 2026
Toyo Seikan Group Holdings has completed payment for a previously approved disposal of treasury shares under a restricted share incentive plan for its Employee Shareholding Association. Following employees’ waiver of rights and final confirm...
Toyo Seikan Lifts Year-End Dividend as Earnings Beat Forecasts
May 14, 2026
Toyo Seikan Group Holdings has announced a sharp increase in its year-end dividend for the fiscal year ended March 2026, lifting the payout to 75 yen per share from a previously forecast 57 yen and well above the prior year-end dividend of 46 yen....
Toyo Seikan Sets Five-Year Medium-Term Plan to Drive Growth Toward 2030 Vision
May 14, 2026
Toyo Seikan Group Holdings has unveiled its Medium-Term Management Plan 2030, a five-year roadmap running from fiscal 2026 through fiscal 2030, designed to advance its Long-Term Management Vision 2050, “The Future, Wrapped for All.” Br...
Toyo Seikan Profit Jumps, Dividend Hiked Despite Forecast Profit Drop
May 14, 2026
Toyo Seikan Group Holdings reported a robust recovery for the year ended March 2026, with consolidated net sales up 4.4% to ¥963.2 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent surging 144.5% to ¥55.0 billion, lifting margins, ...
Toyo Seikan Lifts FY2025 Profit Outlook, Expects to Beat Medium-Term Target
Apr 30, 2026
Toyo Seikan Group Holdings has raised its full-year fiscal 2025 earnings forecast, keeping net sales unchanged at 960 billion yen but lifting operating income to 51.5 billion yen, ordinary income to 58 billion yen, and profit attributable to owner...
Toyo Seikan Scraps EV Battery Packaging Joint Venture in Sweden
Mar 31, 2026
Toyo Seikan Group Holdings has called off plans for a joint venture in Sweden between its subsidiary Toyo Seikan Co., Ltd. and TOPPAN Holdings that was intended to supply outer packaging for lithium-ion rechargeable batteries. The decision follows...
Toyo Seikan to Cede Control of Thai Can Maker in Stake Sale to BGC
Feb 27, 2026
Toyo Seikan’s main packaging subsidiary has agreed to sell an additional portion of its stake in Bangkok Can Manufacturing to Thailand’s BG Container Glass, a move that will remove BCM from Toyo Seikan’s consolidated scope once t...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 22, 2026