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Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Ltd (JP:4063)
:4063

Shin-Etsu Chemical Co (4063) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4063

Shin-Etsu Chemical Co

(4063)

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Outperform 84 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:84Outperform
Price Target:
¥7,489.00
▲(23.32% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/13/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (high margins, very low leverage, and solid cash flow generation), supported by a favorable technical uptrend with positive momentum indicators. Valuation is reasonable but not especially cheap, and the dividend yield is modest.
Positive Factors
High Profitability Margins
Sustained high net and EBIT margins reflect durable pricing power and operational efficiency across both specialty and commodity segments. These margins provide a buffer against input-cost swings and support reinvestment, enhancing long-term cash returns and competitive resilience.
Very Low Leverage
Extremely low debt and a high equity ratio give Shin-Etsu strong financial flexibility to fund capex, weather cyclical downturns, and pursue strategic investments without stressing cash flows. This balance-sheet strength reduces insolvency risk and supports long-term stability.
Robust Cash Generation
Consistent free cash flow growth and operating cash generation above reported earnings indicate high cash conversion. Reliable FCF supports capital expenditure for advanced materials and wafer capacity, funds shareholder returns, and enables resilient investment through cycles.
Negative Factors
EPS Contraction
A recent decline in EPS signals pressure on per-share profitability despite strong margins. Persistent EPS contraction can constrain retained earnings growth and may reflect mix shifts, cyclical demand impacts, or margin compression risks that could limit long-term capital allocation flexibility.
Exposure to Energy-Intensive PVC Chain
Significant exposure to chlor-alkali and PVC chains ties part of revenue and margins to volatile energy and raw-material prices. Structural energy cost sensitivity can erode returns over multi-month horizons and requires ongoing cost management or pricing pass-through to sustain profitability.
Semiconductor Cycle Sensitivity
A meaningful portion of revenue comes from silicon wafers and electronic materials, which are subject to semiconductor capex and utilization cycles. Structural demand volatility in semiconductors can cause multi-quarter swings in volumes and capital intensity, pressuring near-term revenue stability.

Shin-Etsu Chemical Co (4063) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionShin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd. engages in the polyvinyl chloride (PVC)/chlor-alkali, semiconductor silicon, silicones, electronics and functional materials, specialty chemicals, processing, and trading and specialized businesses worldwide. The company operates through Infrastructure Materials; Electronics Materials; Functional Materials; and Processing and Specialized Services segments. It offers PVC- framed windows; electric, hybrid, and fuel cell vehicles; wind power generators, air conditioners, aircrafts, industrial motors, semiconductor silicon used in semiconductors for robots; and cellulose derivative products. The company also offers pipes for water supply and sewerage systems; caustic soda; polyvinyl alcohol; photoresists photomasks blanks; encapsulant materials; rare earth magnets; silicon wafers, LED packaging materials, and synthetic quartz; pellicles; SOLBIN, a copolymer resin; anode material of batteries; and input devices, wafer cases, and wrapping films. The company was formerly known as Shin-Etsu Nitrogen Fertilizer Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd. in 1940. The company was incorporated in 1926 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyShin-Etsu makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling specialty and commodity chemical products and electronic materials to industrial customers worldwide. Key revenue streams typically include: 1) PVC / chlor-alkali-related products: Revenue is generated from sales of PVC resin and related products used in construction materials (e.g., pipes, profiles) and other industrial applications. This business is influenced by demand in construction and infrastructure and by energy/raw-material costs (because chlor-alkali and vinyl chains are energy-intensive). 2) Silicone materials: The company sells silicone polymers and formulated silicone products used for sealants, adhesives, coatings, thermal interface materials, automotive components, electronics, and healthcare-related uses. Earnings are driven by volume and mix (higher-value specialty grades vs. more standard grades) and by demand in automotive and electronics. 3) Semiconductor silicon (silicon wafers): Shin-Etsu supplies silicon wafers used by semiconductor device manufacturers. Revenue depends on wafer demand (unit volumes), wafer specifications (diameter, process generation, and quality requirements), and industry utilization/capacity cycles. 4) Electronic materials (e.g., photoresists and related materials): The company sells materials used in semiconductor lithography and other advanced electronics manufacturing processes. Revenue is tied to semiconductor fabrication activity and to the company’s ability to supply high-performance, tightly specified materials. 5) Other functional materials: The company sells a range of other specialty materials used in industrial and consumer applications, contributing additional diversified revenue. Across these businesses, profitability is supported by (a) scale manufacturing and process know-how, (b) product mix skewed toward higher-value specialty materials in silicones and electronics-related segments, and (c) long-term supply relationships with major global manufacturers in semiconductors and industrial markets. Specific partnership details and customer names are not provided here (null) because they are not available in the prompt.

Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall financials supported by solid profitability (net margin 20.85%, EBIT margin 28.97%), very conservative leverage (debt-to-equity 0.004; equity ratio 82.72%), and healthy cash generation (operating cash flow to net income 1.65; free cash flow growth 17.15%).
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
Shin-Etsu Chemical Co demonstrates strong income statement performance with consistent revenue growth and high profitability margins. From 2024 to 2025, the company achieved a revenue growth rate of 6.07%, and its net profit margin increased to 20.85%, indicating robust profitability. The EBIT margin and EBITDA margin are also strong at 28.97% and 41.56% respectively, showcasing operational efficiency and effective cost management.
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
The balance sheet of Shin-Etsu Chemical Co reflects a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.004 and a high equity ratio of 82.72%. The company's return on equity stands at 11.45%, highlighting effective utilization of equity to generate profits. Overall, the company's low leverage and high equity provide financial stability and reduce risk exposure.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Shin-Etsu Chemical Co's cash flow performance is commendable with a free cash flow growth rate of 17.15% from 2024 to 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.65 indicates strong cash generation relative to earnings, and the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.83 reinforces the company's efficient cash management. Overall, the cash flow situation supports sustainability and future investment capabilities.
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.57T2.56T2.41T2.81T2.07T1.50T
Gross Profit904.21B984.12B911.21B1.21T868.00B543.70B
EBITDA982.90B1.06T1.02T1.21T865.91B547.34B
Net Income485.80B534.02B520.14B708.24B500.12B293.73B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.45T5.64T5.15T4.73T4.05T3.38T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.50T1.81T1.72T1.60T1.44T1.15T
Total Debt243.43B33.90B41.19B47.09B38.95B34.45B
Total Liabilities961.58B799.01B723.90B704.18B624.20B493.99B
Stockholders Equity4.32T4.66T4.26T3.87T3.33T2.82T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow159.20B442.46B380.77B492.50B357.75B164.98B
Operating Cash Flow451.50B881.93B755.18B788.01B553.53B401.18B
Investing Cash Flow-402.60B-142.55B-1.10T-186.49B-253.72B-250.72B
Financing Cash Flow-409.00B-454.90B-369.47B-423.56B-122.50B-91.12B

Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6073.00
Price Trends
50DMA
5709.24
Positive
100DMA
5223.25
Positive
200DMA
4916.57
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
249.11
Negative
RSI
57.72
Neutral
STOCH
76.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4063, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6073 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6176.90, above the 50-day MA of 5709.24, and above the 200-day MA of 4916.57, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 249.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4063.

Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
$11.99T18.0411.19%2.17%3.77%0.35%
68
Neutral
¥2.00T8.678.29%2.89%3.55%95.65%
62
Neutral
¥751.59B3.838.79%2.68%-1.64%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
60
Neutral
¥274.90B36.21-4.00%3.71%0.24%-234.36%
58
Neutral
¥1.89T40.664.42%1.00%-1.90%-71.97%
54
Neutral
¥1.15T-66.091.09%3.50%-11.50%25.86%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4063
Shin-Etsu Chemical Co
6,073.00
1,740.32
40.17%
JP:3407
Asahi Kasei
1,474.50
426.99
40.76%
JP:4061
Denka Co
3,190.00
1,066.73
50.24%
JP:4188
Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings
866.10
107.86
14.22%
JP:4004
Resonac Holdings Corporation
10,420.00
7,008.84
205.47%
JP:4005
Sumitomo Chemical Co
459.00
99.64
27.73%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 13, 2026