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Asteria Corporation (JP:3853)
:3853
Japanese Market
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Asteria Corporation (3853) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3853

Asteria Corporation

(3853)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,977.00
▲(108.54% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/19/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial footing (low leverage and solid current profitability) but tempered by historical earnings volatility and weaker cash conversion in the latest year. Technicals are supportive with price above major moving averages, while valuation is a headwind given the elevated P/E and low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Very low debt and rising equity provide durable financial flexibility: supports investment, M&A optionality, and resilience through downcycles. A conservative capital structure reduces insolvency risk and preserves strategic choices over the next several quarters to years.
Negative Factors
Historical earnings volatility
Pronounced swings between sizable losses and strong profits make future earnings uncertain and complicate long-term planning. Volatility can reflect exposure to cyclical demand, execution risk, or one-off items, raising the probability of earnings surprises over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Very low debt and rising equity provide durable financial flexibility: supports investment, M&A optionality, and resilience through downcycles. A conservative capital structure reduces insolvency risk and preserves strategic choices over the next several quarters to years.
Read all positive factors

Asteria Corporation (3853) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Asteria Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Asteria Corporation develops and sells software. Its products include ASTERIA Warp, a data integration middleware that supports automation of operations through non-programming technology; SnapCal, which provides seamless integration for Google ca...

Asteria Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid recent profitability (FY2026 net margin ~23.6%, EBIT margin ~16.4%) and steady multi-year revenue growth support the score, backed by a conservative balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.09). Offsetting this, earnings have been volatile with large net losses in FY2023–FY2024, and FY2026 showed margin compression and weaker cash conversion versus FY2025.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
81
Very Positive
Cash Flow
67
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.21B3.39B3.17B2.91B2.79B2.97B
Gross Profit2.86B2.99B2.83B2.63B2.49B2.49B
EBITDA988.51M865.36M964.13M781.22M200.26M159.86M
Net Income927.56M798.65M588.62M-1.81B-1.67B2.51B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.04B10.60B8.17B7.59B10.62B12.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.90B3.26B2.81B2.19B2.15B2.19B
Total Debt390.14M665.00M398.97M807.78M997.26M1.17B
Total Liabilities1.77B2.65B1.93B1.83B2.99B3.61B
Stockholders Equity6.13B7.80B6.10B5.58B7.13B8.36B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00545.92M816.92M510.81M-155.56M-4.58M
Operating Cash Flow0.00571.02M829.33M629.67M234.82M58.04M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-713.67M777.72M-421.88M6.58M-453.31M
Financing Cash Flow0.00535.14M-523.42M-315.26M-339.41M-270.35M

Asteria Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price948.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1452.72
Positive
100DMA
1301.32
Positive
200DMA
1271.30
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
44.41
Negative
RSI
64.38
Neutral
STOCH
82.11
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3853, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 948 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1572.50, below the 50-day MA of 1452.72, and below the 200-day MA of 1271.30, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 44.41 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.11 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3853.

Asteria Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥29.02B10.672.93%12.16%18.97%
76
Outperform
¥22.01B13.652.53%13.31%28.58%
73
Outperform
¥20.98B11.010.52%46.71%43.62%
71
Outperform
¥30.03B29.250.82%6.86%37.45%
69
Neutral
¥18.19B9.722.40%15.12%40.67%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3853
Asteria Corporation
1,793.00
1,312.77
273.36%
JP:3648
AGS Corporation
1,030.00
161.16
18.55%
JP:3771
System Research Co., Ltd.
1,758.00
32.42
1.88%
JP:3921
NEOJAPAN Inc.
1,552.00
93.45
6.41%
JP:4058
Toyokumo, Inc.
2,005.00
-692.46
-25.67%

Asteria Corporation Corporate Events

Asteria Showcases FY2025 Positioning as Enterprise Software “Connecting Expert”
May 14, 2026
Asteria Corporation highlighted its FY2025 financial results for the fiscal year ending March 2026, underscoring its position as a specialized enterprise software vendor with a global footprint spanning Japan, the U.S., Singapore, and China. The c...
Asteria Raises Year-End Dividend, Reaffirming Progressive Payout Policy
May 14, 2026
Asteria Corporation’s board has approved a year-end dividend of 9 yen per share for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, up from 8 yen a year earlier, with total payouts reaching about 152.9 million yen and an effective payment date of June...
Asteria Lifts Revenue and Net Profit as Growth Investments Pressure Operating Margin
May 14, 2026
Asteria Corporation reported non-consolidated revenue of ¥3.42 billion for the fiscal year ended March 2026, a 5.9% increase from the previous year, supported by expansion in its software business led by its flagship integration product ASTER...
Asteria Posts Strong Profit Growth and Hikes Dividend, Eyes Further Gains in FY 2027
May 14, 2026
Asteria Corporation reported consolidated revenue of ¥3.39 billion for the year ended March 31, 2026, up 6.9% year on year, with operating profit climbing 31.2% to ¥1.03 billion and net profit attributable to owners rising 35.7% to &#165...
Asteria Adds JPYC Stablecoin Option to Shareholder Benefits
Mar 26, 2026
Asteria Corporation has decided to expand its medium- to long-term shareholder benefit program by adding an option to receive rewards in JPYC, a Japanese yen-denominated stablecoin, alongside existing QUO card benefits. Eligible shareholders, cate...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 19, 2026