Asteria Corporation (3853) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥9.32B
• Dividend Yield: 1.44%
• Average Volume (3M): 95.06K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 15.8
• Beta (1Y): 0.88
• Revenue Growth: N/A
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: JP
• Employees: 128
• Sector: Technology
• Sector Strength: 79
• Industry: Software - Application
• EPS (TTM): 21.36
• Shares Outstanding: 17,491,264
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 116,330
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 95,060
• PEG Ratio: 0.05
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.85
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: -83.71
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0

• Rating: 70 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥635.00 ▲(14.41%Upside)

Asteria Corporation has a solid financial performance with strong profitability and cash flow, providing a stable foundation for growth. The technical analysis shows bullish momentum, though caution is warranted due to overbought conditions. Valuation metrics indicate the stock is fairly priced with a moderate dividend yield.

Asteria Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Asteria Corporation (3853) is a technology company that specializes in providing innovative software solutions and IT services. The company operates in sectors such as cloud computing, data analytics, and cybersecurity, offering a suite of products designed to enhance business operations and decision-making processes for organizations across various industries.

How the Company Makes Money

Asteria Corporation generates revenue primarily through the sale of its software products and IT services. Key revenue streams include subscription fees for its cloud-based solutions, licensing fees for its software products, and consulting fees for its IT services. The company also partners with other technology firms to integrate its solutions into larger ecosystem platforms, expanding its market reach and customer base. Additionally, Asteria may engage in strategic collaborations or joint ventures that contribute to its earnings by leveraging shared resources or accessing new markets.

Asteria Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Asteria Corporation shows strong financial health with significant improvements in profitability and cash flow. The company benefits from low leverage, a high equity ratio, and a positive revenue growth trend. However, there is a need to maintain stability due to past volatility in EBIT and EBITDA margins.

Income Statement

Asteria Corporation showed strong gross profit and net profit margins in 2025, with gross profit margin at 89.3% and net profit margin at 18.6%. Revenue growth was 9% from 2024 to 2025, indicating a positive trend after a dip in 2024. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also improved significantly, indicating better cost management and operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a strong equity position with an equity ratio of 77.7% in 2025, reflecting financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.016, indicating minimal leverage, which reduces financial risk. ROE improved to 9.6%, showcasing efficient use of equity capital.

Cash Flow

Asteria Corporation's free cash flow grew by 61% from 2024 to 2025, indicating robust cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.41, suggesting strong cash flow relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.39, further highlighting effective cash management despite previous fluctuations.

Breakdown
TTM	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021
Income Statement		Total Revenue
2.13B	3.17B	2.91B	2.79B	2.97B	2.69B
	Gross Profit
2.12B	2.83B	2.63B	2.49B	2.49B	2.19B
	EBIT
367.45M	726.76M	-3.64B	-1.95B	3.45B	819.76M
	EBITDA
624.84M	1.04B	-3.05B	-1.63B	4.16B	1.23B
	Net Income Common Stockholders
683.27M	588.62M	-1.81B	-1.67B	2.51B	807.35M
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.70B	2.81B	2.19B	2.15B	2.19B	2.45B
	Total Assets
7.63B	7.86B	7.59B	10.62B	12.59B	7.91B
	Total Debt
100.00M	100.00M	457.40M	600.20M	743.00M	885.80M
	Net Debt
-2.60B	-2.71B	-1.27B	-1.14B	-1.07B	-1.57B
	Total Liabilities
1.73B	1.62B	1.83B	2.99B	3.61B	2.19B
	Stockholders Equity
5.78B	6.10B	5.58B	7.13B	8.36B	5.54B
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
373.78M	816.92M	507.28M	-157.68M	-5.39M	757.43M
	Operating Cash Flow
398.69M	829.33M	629.67M	234.82M	58.04M	775.96M
	Investing Cash Flow
-102.92M	777.72M	-427.00M	-67.31M	-498.69M	-598.75M
	Financing Cash Flow
-53.69M	-523.42M	-309.92M	-265.52M	-224.97M	-357.74M

Asteria Corporation Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 555.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3853, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 555 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 519.95, above the 50-day MA of 502.40, and above the 200-day MA of 526.09, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 14.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3853.

Asteria Corporation Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
4019	77 Outperform	¥8.98B	55.18		0.39%	43.14%	88.12%
4074	77 Outperform	¥7.64B	16.58		―	2.04%	-23.41%
153A	76 Outperform	¥13.26B	44.67		―	―	―
4168	76 Outperform	¥10.14B	16.57		―	11.74%	158.89%
3853	70 Outperform	¥9.32B	15.85		1.44%	―	―
Sector *	62 Neutral	$11.80B	10.10	-7.47%	2.99%	7.37%	-8.16%
4397	46 Neutral	¥7.21B	―		―	12.44%	97.13%

Asteria Corporation Corporate Events

Asteria Corporation Advances Compliance with TSE Prime Market Criteria

Asteria Corporation announced its progress in complying with the Tokyo Stock Exchange Prime Market’s listing criteria, with plans to meet all requirements by March 2026. The company is also preparing a backup plan to transition to the Standard Market if needed. Asteria has reformed its business structure, focusing on its core software business, resulting in a significant performance recovery and improved capital efficiency. The company has set medium-term growth targets and is enhancing shareholder returns and market dialogue to build trust.

Asteria Corporation Announces Share Buyback to Enhance Capital Efficiency

Asteria Corporation has announced its decision to acquire up to 550,000 of its own shares, representing 3.27% of its total issued shares, as part of a strategy to improve capital efficiency and adapt to the evolving business environment. This move is expected to strengthen Asteria’s financial position and demonstrate its commitment to strategic capital management, potentially impacting shareholder value positively.

Asteria Corporation Announces Increased Year-End Dividend

Asteria Corporation has announced an increase in its year-end dividend to 8.00 yen per share, reflecting its strong business performance and financial position. This decision aligns with the company’s policy of progressive dividends, targeting a 30% payout ratio by 2029, and underscores its commitment to shareholder value.

Asteria Corporation Reports Non-Operating Loss Amid Revenue Growth

Asteria Corporation has reported a non-operating loss of 287 million yen due to a provision for doubtful accounts related to its subsidiary, Asteria Vision Fund, Inc. Despite this, the company’s non-consolidated revenue and operating profit increased in the fiscal year ending March 2025, driven by growth in its software business. However, ordinary and net profits were lower compared to the previous year due to the provision for doubtful accounts.

Asteria Corporation Reports Higher-Than-Expected Profits

Asteria Corporation, a company listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange Prime Market, announced a significant variance between its forecasted and actual consolidated financial results for the fiscal year ending March 2025. The actual operating and net profits exceeded forecasts by over 30%, attributed to higher-than-expected software business revenues and a reduction in tax expenses due to the research and development tax credit system. This positive financial performance highlights Asteria’s strong market position and operational efficiency.

Asteria Corporation Reports Significant Valuation Gain on SpaceX Investment

Asteria Corporation, listed on the TSE Prime Market, has announced a significant gain in its investment securities valuation for the fourth quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2025. The company reported a valuation gain of 237 million yen from its investment in SpaceX shares, which will impact its consolidated financial results as previously outlined in their earnings forecasts.

Asteria Corporation Achieves Financial Turnaround in FY 2025

Asteria Corporation reported a significant turnaround in its financial performance for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025, with a 9% increase in revenue and a notable improvement in net profit compared to the previous year. The company’s strategic initiatives have resulted in a stronger financial position, with increased cash flow from operating activities and a higher dividend payout, indicating a positive outlook for stakeholders.