Asteria Corporation (3853) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥18.65B
• Dividend Yield: 0.63%
• Average Volume (3M): 2.29M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 16.4
• Beta (1Y): 0.79
• Revenue Growth: N/A
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: JP
• Employees: 128
• Sector: Technology
• Sector Strength: 88
• Industry: Software - Application
• EPS (TTM): 11.28
• Shares Outstanding: 17,491,264
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 640,320
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 2,290,613
• PEG Ratio: -0.11
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.43
• Price to Sales (P/S): 2.76
• P/FCF Ratio: 10.72
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 61 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥1,173.00 ▲(4.17% Upside)

Asteria Corporation's overall stock score is primarily driven by its strong financial performance, which reflects a solid recovery and effective cost management. However, the technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, which poses a risk to short-term price movements. The valuation is fair but not compelling enough to offset the negative technical indicators.

Positive Factors

Strong Balance Sheet

A low debt-to-equity ratio indicates minimal leverage risk, providing financial stability and flexibility for future investments or downturns.

Cash Flow Growth

Strong free cash flow growth enhances liquidity, enabling Asteria to reinvest in growth opportunities and maintain operational resilience.

Profitability Recovery

The return to profitability reflects effective cost management and operational efficiency, supporting long-term financial health and shareholder value.

Negative Factors

Earnings Volatility

Earnings volatility can signal operational instability, potentially impacting investor confidence and the ability to forecast future performance accurately.

Cash Flow Volatility

Volatile cash flows can challenge liquidity management, affecting the company's ability to fund operations consistently and invest in growth.

Operational Stability

Operational stability concerns may hinder strategic planning and long-term growth, necessitating close management oversight to mitigate risks.

Asteria Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Asteria Corporation (3853) is a leading technology firm based in Japan, specializing in the development and provision of advanced software solutions and services. The company operates primarily in the fields of cloud computing, data analytics, and digital transformation. Asteria's core products include integration software, business process automation tools, and data management solutions that cater to various industries including finance, healthcare, and manufacturing.

How the Company Makes Money

Asteria Corporation generates revenue primarily through the sale of software licenses and subscription-based services. The company offers a range of products that allow businesses to streamline their operations, enhance data management, and improve overall efficiency. Key revenue streams include direct sales of software solutions, recurring income from cloud services, and consultancy fees for implementation and support. Additionally, Asteria partners with other technology firms and service providers to expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings, contributing to its overall earnings.

Asteria Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Asteria Corporation demonstrates a solid financial recovery with improved profitability and strong balance sheet fundamentals. The company has effectively managed its costs and leveraged its capital structure, resulting in enhanced shareholder value. While cash flow metrics show positive growth, historical volatility in earnings and cash flows suggests the need for cautious monitoring of operational stability.

Income Statement

Asteria Corporation shows a strong recovery in profitability with a significant improvement in net income from a loss of ¥1.81 billion in 2024 to a profit of ¥588.62 million in 2025. Gross profit margin remains robust at 89.3% in 2025, indicating effective cost management. Revenue growth is positive at 9.0% from 2024 to 2025, suggesting a return to growth trajectory after a dip in 2024. However, past volatility in EBIT and EBITDA margins highlights potential risks in operational stability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet is strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02 in 2025, reflecting minimal leverage risk. The equity ratio is high at 77.7%, indicating a solid capital structure. Return on equity has improved significantly to 9.6% in 2025, showcasing enhanced shareholder value. The company's substantial cash reserves further bolster financial stability.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow has increased to ¥829.33 million in 2025, supporting a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.41, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow growth is strong at 61.1% from 2024 to 2025, enhancing liquidity. However, historical fluctuations in cash flow metrics suggest potential volatility in cash management.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	3.21B	3.17B	2.91B	2.79B	2.97B	2.69B
Gross Profit	2.86B	2.83B	2.63B	2.49B	2.49B	2.19B
EBITDA	1.41B	1.04B	-3.00B	-1.63B	4.16B	1.23B
Net Income	928.44M	588.62M	-1.81B	-1.67B	2.51B	807.35M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	8.04B	7.86B	7.59B	10.62B	12.59B	7.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	2.90B	2.81B	2.19B	2.15B	2.19B	2.45B
Total Debt	390.14M	100.00M	457.40M	600.20M	743.00M	885.80M
Total Liabilities	1.77B	1.62B	1.83B	2.99B	3.61B	2.19B
Stockholders Equity	6.13B	6.10B	5.58B	7.13B	8.36B	5.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	816.92M	507.28M	-157.68M	-5.39M	757.43M
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	829.33M	629.67M	234.82M	58.04M	775.96M
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	771.60M	-427.00M	-67.31M	-498.69M	-598.75M
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-517.29M	-309.92M	-265.52M	-224.97M	-357.74M

Asteria Corporation Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 1126.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3853, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1126 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1259.30, below the 50-day MA of 1389.36, and above the 200-day MA of 873.43, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -77.51 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.72 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3853.

Asteria Corporation Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
4074	72 Outperform	¥7.26B	20.14	―	―	-3.20%	-39.38%
153A	66 Neutral	¥9.37B	28.55	―	―	14.92%	2.55%
4168	64 Neutral	¥12.32B	16.36	―	0.63%	9.78%	-23.98%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$37.18B	12.37	-10.20%	1.83%	8.50%	-7.62%
3853	61 Neutral	¥18.65B	16.40	―	0.63%	―	―
4019	60 Neutral	¥8.05B	42.46	―	0.44%	41.47%	104.50%
4397	46 Neutral	¥8.37B	23.04	―	―	11.32%	―

Asteria Corporation Corporate Events

Asteria Corporation Disposes Treasury Shares to Acquire MikoSea

Asteria Corporation announced the disposal of 170,500 treasury shares through a third-party allotment as part of its acquisition of MikoSea Inc. This strategic move is intended to integrate MikoSea’s no-code app development tool ‘Click’ into Asteria’s offerings, enhancing its market position in mobile app development. The disposal allows MikoSea’s key stakeholders to become shareholders in Asteria, fostering a stronger alignment and involvement in the company’s future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3853) stock is a Hold with a Yen1512.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Asteria Corporation stock, see the JP:3853 Stock Forecast page.

Asteria Corporation Reports FY2025 Q2 Financial Results

Asteria Corporation announced its financial results for the second quarter of FY2025, which ends in March 2026. The announcement highlights the company’s strategic focus on maintaining high profitability through its software offerings, which could impact its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3853) stock is a Hold with a Yen1512.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Asteria Corporation stock, see the JP:3853 Stock Forecast page.

Asteria Corporation Reports Strong Financial Performance for H1 2025

Asteria Corporation reported a significant improvement in its financial performance for the six months ending September 30, 2025, with a notable increase in net profit and comprehensive net profit compared to the previous year. The company maintained a strong equity position and announced a forecasted increase in dividends, reflecting its positive outlook and stable market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3853) stock is a Hold with a Yen1512.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Asteria Corporation stock, see the JP:3853 Stock Forecast page.

Asteria Corporation Achieves Compliance with TSE Prime Market Criteria

Asteria Corporation has successfully met the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s Prime Market continued listing criteria as of September 30, 2025, after previously failing to meet the tradable share market capitalization requirement. Through strategic initiatives, Asteria increased its market capitalization from 7.29 billion yen to 13.59 billion yen, ensuring compliance and demonstrating its commitment to maintaining its market position and enhancing corporate value.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3853) stock is a Hold with a Yen1788.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Asteria Corporation stock, see the JP:3853 Stock Forecast page.