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Asteria Corporation (JP:3853)
:3853
Japanese Market
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Asteria Corporation (3853) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3853

Asteria Corporation

(3853)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,001.00
▲(7.99% Upside)
Asteria Corporation's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and bullish technical indicators. The company's robust balance sheet and improved profitability are significant strengths. However, the high P/E ratio and overbought technical indicators suggest caution due to potential overvaluation and short-term price corrections.

Asteria Corporation (3853) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Asteria Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAsteria Corporation (3853) is a diversified company operating primarily in the technology and software sectors. The company focuses on delivering innovative solutions in areas like data analytics, cloud computing, and artificial intelligence. Asteria's core products and services include enterprise software solutions, cloud infrastructure services, and AI-driven business intelligence tools, catering to a wide range of industries worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyAsteria Corporation generates revenue through multiple streams. The primary source of income is the sale of enterprise software licenses and subscriptions, which provide businesses with essential tools for data management and analytics. Additionally, Asteria offers cloud infrastructure services, which include storage and computing power, billed on a usage basis or through subscription models. The company also monetizes its AI and machine learning solutions by offering consulting services and custom integrations for businesses seeking to enhance their operations. Strategic partnerships with other technology firms and alliances enable Asteria to expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings, further contributing to its revenue growth.

Asteria Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Asteria Corporation demonstrates a solid financial recovery with improved profitability and strong balance sheet fundamentals. The company has effectively managed its costs and leveraged its capital structure, resulting in enhanced shareholder value. While cash flow metrics show positive growth, historical volatility in earnings and cash flows suggests the need for cautious monitoring of operational stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Asteria Corporation shows a strong recovery in profitability with a significant improvement in net income from a loss of ¥1.81 billion in 2024 to a profit of ¥588.62 million in 2025. Gross profit margin remains robust at 89.3% in 2025, indicating effective cost management. Revenue growth is positive at 9.0% from 2024 to 2025, suggesting a return to growth trajectory after a dip in 2024. However, past volatility in EBIT and EBITDA margins highlights potential risks in operational stability.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet is strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02 in 2025, reflecting minimal leverage risk. The equity ratio is high at 77.7%, indicating a solid capital structure. Return on equity has improved significantly to 9.6% in 2025, showcasing enhanced shareholder value. The company's substantial cash reserves further bolster financial stability.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow has increased to ¥829.33 million in 2025, supporting a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.41, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow growth is strong at 61.1% from 2024 to 2025, enhancing liquidity. However, historical fluctuations in cash flow metrics suggest potential volatility in cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.17B3.17B2.91B2.79B2.97B2.69B
Gross Profit2.83B2.83B2.63B2.49B2.49B2.19B
EBITDA1.04B1.04B-3.00B-1.63B4.16B1.23B
Net Income589.50M588.62M-1.81B-1.67B2.51B807.35M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.86B7.86B7.59B10.62B12.59B7.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.81B2.81B2.19B2.15B2.19B2.45B
Total Debt100.00M100.00M457.40M600.20M743.00M885.80M
Total Liabilities1.62B1.62B1.83B2.99B3.61B2.19B
Stockholders Equity6.10B6.10B5.58B7.13B8.36B5.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00816.92M507.28M-157.68M-5.39M757.43M
Operating Cash Flow0.00829.33M629.67M234.82M58.04M775.96M
Investing Cash Flow0.00771.60M-427.00M-67.31M-498.69M-598.75M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-517.29M-309.92M-265.52M-224.97M-357.74M

Asteria Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1853.00
Price Trends
50DMA
852.78
Positive
100DMA
683.83
Positive
200DMA
611.35
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
353.78
Negative
RSI
67.25
Neutral
STOCH
62.90
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3853, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1853 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1172.40, above the 50-day MA of 852.78, and above the 200-day MA of 611.35, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 353.78 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3853.

Asteria Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
¥12.48B54.22
0.28%41.69%365.14%
77
Outperform
¥8.22B16.28
-0.29%-20.81%
76
Outperform
¥14.63B45.53
75
Outperform
¥13.85B18.39
0.56%12.09%141.99%
66
Neutral
¥31.10B33.56
0.43%
61
Neutral
$35.43B7.71-10.08%1.88%8.71%-9.18%
46
Neutral
¥9.54B118.92
9.91%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3853
Asteria Corporation
1,782.00
1,218.03
215.97%
JP:153A
Caulis, Inc.
2,253.00
523.00
30.23%
JP:4019
Stamen Co., Ltd.
1,424.00
738.70
107.79%
JP:4074
LaKeel,Inc
1,072.00
-280.00
-20.71%
JP:4168
Yappli, Inc.
1,068.00
332.63
45.23%
JP:4397
TeamSpirit, Inc.
578.00
183.00
46.33%

Asteria Corporation Corporate Events

Asteria Corporation Advances Treasury Share Acquisition
Jul 3, 2025

Asteria Corporation has announced the progress of its treasury share acquisition, acquiring 179,000 shares at a total cost of 113,625,600 JPY through market purchases on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. This move is part of a board-approved plan to acquire up to 550,000 shares, representing 3.27% of the total shares issued, with a maximum budget of 300 million JPY, aiming to enhance shareholder value.

Asteria Corporation Advances Compliance with TSE Prime Market Criteria
Jun 13, 2025

Asteria Corporation announced its progress in complying with the Tokyo Stock Exchange Prime Market’s listing criteria, with plans to meet all requirements by March 2026. The company is also preparing a backup plan to transition to the Standard Market if needed. Asteria has reformed its business structure, focusing on its core software business, resulting in a significant performance recovery and improved capital efficiency. The company has set medium-term growth targets and is enhancing shareholder returns and market dialogue to build trust.

Asteria Corporation Announces Share Buyback to Enhance Capital Efficiency
Jun 13, 2025

Asteria Corporation has announced its decision to acquire up to 550,000 of its own shares, representing 3.27% of its total issued shares, as part of a strategy to improve capital efficiency and adapt to the evolving business environment. This move is expected to strengthen Asteria’s financial position and demonstrate its commitment to strategic capital management, potentially impacting shareholder value positively.

Asteria Corporation Announces Increased Year-End Dividend
May 14, 2025

Asteria Corporation has announced an increase in its year-end dividend to 8.00 yen per share, reflecting its strong business performance and financial position. This decision aligns with the company’s policy of progressive dividends, targeting a 30% payout ratio by 2029, and underscores its commitment to shareholder value.

Asteria Corporation Reports Non-Operating Loss Amid Revenue Growth
May 14, 2025

Asteria Corporation has reported a non-operating loss of 287 million yen due to a provision for doubtful accounts related to its subsidiary, Asteria Vision Fund, Inc. Despite this, the company’s non-consolidated revenue and operating profit increased in the fiscal year ending March 2025, driven by growth in its software business. However, ordinary and net profits were lower compared to the previous year due to the provision for doubtful accounts.

Asteria Corporation Reports Higher-Than-Expected Profits
May 14, 2025

Asteria Corporation, a company listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange Prime Market, announced a significant variance between its forecasted and actual consolidated financial results for the fiscal year ending March 2025. The actual operating and net profits exceeded forecasts by over 30%, attributed to higher-than-expected software business revenues and a reduction in tax expenses due to the research and development tax credit system. This positive financial performance highlights Asteria’s strong market position and operational efficiency.

Asteria Corporation Reports Significant Valuation Gain on SpaceX Investment
May 14, 2025

Asteria Corporation, listed on the TSE Prime Market, has announced a significant gain in its investment securities valuation for the fourth quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2025. The company reported a valuation gain of 237 million yen from its investment in SpaceX shares, which will impact its consolidated financial results as previously outlined in their earnings forecasts.

Asteria Corporation Achieves Financial Turnaround in FY 2025
May 14, 2025

Asteria Corporation reported a significant turnaround in its financial performance for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025, with a 9% increase in revenue and a notable improvement in net profit compared to the previous year. The company’s strategic initiatives have resulted in a stronger financial position, with increased cash flow from operating activities and a higher dividend payout, indicating a positive outlook for stakeholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 30, 2025