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Asteria Corporation (JP:3853)
:3853
Japanese Market

Asteria Corporation (3853) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3853

Asteria Corporation

(3853)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,281.00
▲(35.13% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/24/26
The score is primarily supported by the 2025 financial recovery (return to profitability, strong margins, improved free cash flow) and a low-leverage balance sheet. Offsetting this, technicals are only neutral-to-weak in the short term (below 20/50-day averages), and the dividend yield is modest despite a reasonable P/E.
Positive Factors
Very high gross margins
Consistently very high gross margins (~84–91%) signal sustainable product differentiation and pricing power typical of resilient application software. High gross margins provide lasting operating leverage and cash generation capacity, cushioning revenue swings and enabling reinvestment or shareholder returns over multiple years.
Negative Factors
Volatile revenue and profitability
The company exhibited large swings — two loss-making years (2023–2024) followed by a pronounced 2025 rebound and ~259% revenue growth. Such volatility undermines predictability for investors and management, complicates multi-year planning and raises the risk that 2025 performance may not be a stable baseline for future growth.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Very high gross margins
Consistently very high gross margins (~84–91%) signal sustainable product differentiation and pricing power typical of resilient application software. High gross margins provide lasting operating leverage and cash generation capacity, cushioning revenue swings and enabling reinvestment or shareholder returns over multiple years.
Read all positive factors

Asteria Corporation (3853) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Asteria Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Asteria Corporation develops and sells software. Its products include ASTERIA Warp, a data integration middleware that supports automation of operations through non-programming technology; SnapCal, which provides seamless integration for Google ca...

Asteria Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show a strong 2025 rebound with positive net income (¥589M), solid EBIT margin (~23%), and very high gross margins (~84–91%). Balance sheet risk is low with modest leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.07). The main constraint on the score is volatility across 2022–2024 (including losses) and some variability in earnings-to-cash conversion (operating cash flow coverage ~0.63 in 2025).
Income Statement
71
Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.21B3.17B2.91B2.79B2.97B2.69B
Gross Profit2.86B2.83B2.63B2.49B2.49B2.19B
EBITDA988.51M964.13M781.22M200.26M159.86M700.56M
Net Income927.56M588.62M-1.81B-1.67B2.51B807.35M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.04B8.17B7.59B10.62B12.59B7.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.90B2.81B2.19B2.15B2.19B2.45B
Total Debt390.14M398.97M807.78M997.26M1.17B1.02B
Total Liabilities1.77B1.93B1.83B2.99B3.61B2.19B
Stockholders Equity6.13B6.10B5.58B7.13B8.36B5.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00816.92M510.81M-155.56M-4.58M757.75M
Operating Cash Flow0.00829.33M629.67M234.82M58.04M775.96M
Investing Cash Flow0.00777.72M-421.88M6.58M-453.31M-609.86M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-523.42M-315.26M-339.41M-270.35M-346.63M

Asteria Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price948.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1243.38
Negative
100DMA
1172.63
Negative
200DMA
1122.88
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.38
Positive
RSI
43.73
Neutral
STOCH
38.59
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3853, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 948 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1231.70, below the 50-day MA of 1243.38, and below the 200-day MA of 1122.88, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.38 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3853.

Asteria Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
¥22.43B19.313.86%0.50%17.15%
77
Outperform
¥28.02B12.672.93%11.53%23.23%
76
Outperform
13.782.53%16.13%62.27%
74
Outperform
¥19.78B11.792.40%21.57%129.44%
69
Neutral
¥19.64B12.240.82%
69
Neutral
¥19.15B27.690.52%50.92%46.61%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3853
Asteria Corporation
1,239.00
690.80
126.01%
JP:3648
AGS Corporation
1,157.00
307.60
36.21%
JP:3771
System Research Co., Ltd.
1,717.00
71.20
4.33%
JP:3921
NEOJAPAN Inc.
1,678.00
127.13
8.20%
JP:4058
Toyokumo, Inc.
1,740.00
-856.19
-32.98%
JP:4333
Toho System Science Co., Ltd.
1,145.00
-100.00
-8.03%

Asteria Corporation Corporate Events

Asteria Stakes Out Leadership in No-Code, AI and Blockchain Ecosystems
Feb 13, 2026
Asteria Corporation, a TSE Prime-listed enterprise software maker founded in 1998, specializes in no-code, AI/IoT, and robot development support software, and maintains a global footprint with branches in Japan, the U.S., China, and Singapore. The...
Asteria’s Nine-Month Profit Surges as Earnings, Dividend Outlook Improve
Feb 13, 2026
Asteria Corporation reported consolidated revenue of ¥2.46 billion for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, up 5.4% year on year, with operating profit surging 170.9% to ¥935 million. Net profit attributable to owners of the parent j...
Asteria Completes ¥499.9 Million Treasury Share Allotment to JPYC
Feb 3, 2026
Asteria Corporation has completed the payment procedures for a disposal of treasury shares via a third-party allotment to JPYC Inc., formalizing a step previously approved by its board on January 16, 2026. The transaction involved the allocation o...
Asteria Forms Capital and Business Alliance With Stablecoin Issuer JPYC, Using Treasury Share Allotment to Deepen Web3 Push
Jan 16, 2026
Asteria Corporation has entered into a capital and business alliance with JPYC Inc., a Japanese yen-denominated stablecoin issuer, and will dispose of 480,700 treasury shares—equivalent to 2.75% of its outstanding stock—via third-party...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026