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Stamen Co., Ltd. (JP:4019)
:4019
Japanese Market
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Stamen Co., Ltd. (4019) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4019

Stamen Co., Ltd.

(4019)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
¥726.00
▼(-36.92% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:03/24/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial fundamentals (strong growth, high gross margins, and minimal leverage), but is meaningfully held back by the 2025 cash-flow reversal. Technicals are weak with the stock trading below major moving averages and a negative MACD, and valuation remains demanding given the elevated P/E with only a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained multi-year top-line growth with a 2025 acceleration indicates durable product-market fit and expanding customer adoption. This scale increases optionality for R&D and sales investment, supports long-term market-share gains and helps amortize fixed costs over larger revenue.
Negative Factors
2025 Cash-Flow Reversal
A sharp 2025 decline in operating and free cash flow weakens earnings reliability and reduces self-funding capacity. Over the next several months this increases reliance on external finance or equity, constrains discretionary spending, and raises execution risk if cash conversion does not recover.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained multi-year top-line growth with a 2025 acceleration indicates durable product-market fit and expanding customer adoption. This scale increases optionality for R&D and sales investment, supports long-term market-share gains and helps amortize fixed costs over larger revenue.
Read all positive factors

Stamen Co., Ltd. (4019) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Stamen Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Stamen Co.,Ltd. engages in the planning, development, and sale of cloud platforms. It offers TUNAG, an engagement management platform; and FANTS, an online subscription fan salon. The company was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Nagoya, Japan....
How the Company Makes Money
null...

Stamen Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue growth and consistently high gross margins, supported by a very low-debt balance sheet. The main offset is the sharp 2025 cash-flow deterioration (near-breakeven operating cash flow and negative free cash flow), which weakens earnings quality despite positive profitability.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Cash Flow
35
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.18B3.81B2.69B1.88B1.30B913.80M
Gross Profit2.43B2.76B2.06B1.44B1.02B717.67M
EBITDA359.57M327.02M255.26M190.89M151.31M40.16M
Net Income229.40M208.15M137.34M125.30M99.39M36.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.14B2.45B2.17B1.84B1.54B1.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments910.98M1.11B1.14B1.39B1.18B1.19B
Total Debt3.35M50.00M6.68M35.01M25.01M35.01M
Total Liabilities747.47M915.36M819.96M622.72M508.20M433.33M
Stockholders Equity1.39B1.54B1.35B1.22B1.03B927.56M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-43.10M349.51M180.94M24.20M70.70M
Operating Cash Flow0.00962.00K391.85M202.12M162.94M91.45M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-27.29M-310.60M-45.83M136.21M-674.87M
Financing Cash Flow0.0044.33M-37.15M53.00M-5.20M-172.29M

Stamen Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1151.00
Price Trends
50DMA
639.86
Negative
100DMA
684.73
Negative
200DMA
918.95
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-17.41
Positive
RSI
35.80
Neutral
STOCH
17.18
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4019, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1151 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 650.00, above the 50-day MA of 639.86, and above the 200-day MA of 918.95, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -17.41 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.18 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4019.

Stamen Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
¥5.88B11.571.87%4.21%28.54%
66
Neutral
¥6.17B22.680.57%32.11%-0.12%
62
Neutral
¥4.45B25.266.84%-67.48%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
¥5.14B18.490.49%41.73%57.29%
60
Neutral
¥6.08B20.7518.87%
57
Neutral
¥4.55B49.9218.48%-48.49%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4019
Stamen Co., Ltd.
568.00
-382.83
-40.26%
JP:4060
rakumo Inc.
1,049.00
208.63
24.83%
JP:4397
TeamSpirit, Inc.
368.00
-50.00
-11.96%
JP:4484
Lancers, Inc.
276.00
68.37
32.93%
JP:4491
Computer Management Co., Ltd.
2,896.00
487.16
20.22%
JP:5033
Nulab Inc.
689.00
-214.00
-23.70%

Stamen Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Stmn Delivers Strong Q1 2026 Growth and Lifts Full-Year Payout Outlook
May 15, 2026
Stmn, Inc., listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, reported a solid financial position at the end of March 2026, with total assets of ¥2.48 billion and an equity-to-asset ratio of 60.5%. The company maintains a stable capital structure, with vir...
Stmn Posts Strong 2025 Results and Lifts Dividend as It Targets Further Growth in 2026
Mar 18, 2026
Stmn, Inc. reported strong consolidated results for 2025, with net sales rising 41.8% to ¥3,817 million and profit attributable to owners of parent jumping 51.6% to ¥208 million, supported by higher operating and ordinary profits. The ba...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026