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AGS Corporation (JP:3648)
:3648
Japanese Market

AGS Corporation (3648) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3648

AGS Corporation

(3648)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,276.00
▼(-3.19% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/05/26
The score is primarily driven by strong financial performance (good growth, improving margins, and a low-leverage balance sheet), supported by an attractive valuation (low P/E and a 2.46% dividend yield). These positives are partially offset by weaker technicals (price below key moving averages and low RSI), and cash-flow metrics that show recent deterioration in free cash flow growth.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained 12.53% top-line growth indicates expanding demand for AGS's IT services and software. Durable revenue expansion supports scale benefits, funds reinvestment in products and talent, and underpins medium‑term margin and cash generation improvement if execution continues.
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Collapse
A ~77% drop in FCF growth is a material deterioration that can constrain investments, debt paydown and dividends. Even with revenue and margin gains, a sharp fall in FCF raises concerns about earnings quality, working capital swings or higher capex needs that impair financial flexibility.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained 12.53% top-line growth indicates expanding demand for AGS's IT services and software. Durable revenue expansion supports scale benefits, funds reinvestment in products and talent, and underpins medium‑term margin and cash generation improvement if execution continues.
Read all positive factors

AGS Corporation (3648) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

AGS Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
AGS Corporation provides information technology services to the financial industry, public sectors, and enterprises in Japan. It offers mainframe-based contracted calculation services; and peripheral services, such as data entry, printing, and del...
How the Company Makes Money
null...

AGS Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong fundamentals overall: revenue grew 12.53% YoY with improving profitability (net margin up to 5.55%) and healthy operating efficiency. Balance sheet is solid with low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.11) and a high equity ratio (67.95%). Cash flow is the main soft spot, with weaker conversion (OCF/net income 0.54) and a sharp decline in free cash flow growth (-77.23%).
Income Statement
87
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
79
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue28.67B24.86B22.09B21.07B21.19B20.95B
Gross Profit7.45B6.16B5.35B4.47B4.57B4.34B
EBITDA4.17B3.15B2.72B2.28B2.29B2.04B
Net Income2.09B1.38B936.47M682.48M638.17M497.04M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets21.89B22.01B20.82B20.12B18.92B19.45B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.73B5.69B6.59B5.88B5.40B4.54B
Total Debt1.45B1.65B2.05B2.06B1.38B1.55B
Total Liabilities6.14B7.35B6.97B6.68B6.01B6.95B
Stockholders Equity15.75B14.66B13.85B13.44B12.91B12.50B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.05B386.01M1.70B1.09B1.58B1.05B
Operating Cash Flow1.28B742.04M2.51B1.71B2.12B1.75B
Investing Cash Flow-286.04M-608.45M-595.27M-475.22M-518.83M-702.38M
Financing Cash Flow-949.03M-1.03B-1.20B-756.48M-744.15M-699.29M

AGS Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1318.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1277.00
Negative
100DMA
1313.41
Negative
200DMA
1245.26
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-29.63
Positive
RSI
37.15
Neutral
STOCH
12.68
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3648, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1318 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1211.55, above the 50-day MA of 1277.00, and above the 200-day MA of 1245.26, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -29.63 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.68 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3648.

AGS Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
¥22.03B19.313.86%0.50%17.15%
77
Outperform
¥28.96B12.672.93%11.53%23.23%
76
Outperform
¥23.31B13.782.53%16.13%62.27%
75
Outperform
¥18.88B30.803.14%0.50%-2.92%
74
Outperform
¥20.35B11.792.40%21.57%129.44%
73
Outperform
¥25.49B12.240.82%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3648
AGS Corporation
1,190.00
344.48
40.74%
JP:3771
System Research Co., Ltd.
1,732.00
81.38
4.93%
JP:3835
eBASE Co., Ltd.
410.00
-149.15
-26.67%
JP:3853
Asteria Corporation
1,519.00
963.90
173.64%
JP:3921
NEOJAPAN Inc.
1,664.00
101.47
6.49%
JP:4333
Toho System Science Co., Ltd.
1,157.00
-85.11
-6.85%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 05, 2026