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Asteria Corporation (JP:3853)
:3853
Japanese Market
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Asteria Corporation (3853) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3853

Asteria Corporation

(3853)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,675.00
▲(182.17% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/23/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance with low leverage and strong recent margins, balanced by a history of earnings volatility and weaker cash conversion versus the prior year. Technically, the trend is strong with price well above moving averages, but overbought signals add near-term risk. Valuation is a headwind due to a relatively high P/E and low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
High profitability
Sustained FY2026 margins (net ~23.6%, EBIT ~16.4%) point to durable unit economics in its application software model. Higher margins support reinvestment, buffer against revenue volatility, and improve long-term return potential for shareholders versus low-margin peers.
Negative Factors
Historical earnings volatility
The company experienced large net losses in FY2023–FY2024 despite current profitability, signaling material earnings volatility. Such swings reduce predictability of long-term cashflows, complicate strategic planning and make sustained performance dependent on consistent execution.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High profitability
Sustained FY2026 margins (net ~23.6%, EBIT ~16.4%) point to durable unit economics in its application software model. Higher margins support reinvestment, buffer against revenue volatility, and improve long-term return potential for shareholders versus low-margin peers.
Read all positive factors

Asteria Corporation (3853) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Asteria Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Asteria Corporation develops and sells software. Its products include ASTERIA Warp, a data integration middleware that supports automation of operations through non-programming technology; SnapCal, which provides seamless integration for Google ca...

Asteria Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong recent profitability (FY2026 net margin ~23.6%, EBIT margin ~16.4%) and a conservatively financed balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.09) support the score. However, prior large net losses in FY2023–FY2024 and margin/cash-conversion weakening in FY2026 vs FY2025 indicate meaningful earnings and cash-flow volatility.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
81
Very Positive
Cash Flow
67
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.21B3.39B3.17B2.91B2.79B2.97B
Gross Profit2.86B2.99B2.83B2.63B2.49B2.49B
EBITDA988.51M865.36M964.13M781.22M200.26M159.86M
Net Income927.56M798.65M588.62M-1.81B-1.67B2.51B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.04B10.60B8.17B7.59B10.62B12.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.90B3.26B2.81B2.19B2.15B2.19B
Total Debt390.14M665.00M398.97M807.78M997.26M1.17B
Total Liabilities1.77B2.65B1.93B1.83B2.99B3.61B
Stockholders Equity6.13B7.80B6.10B5.58B7.13B8.36B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00545.92M816.92M510.81M-155.56M-4.58M
Operating Cash Flow0.00571.02M829.33M629.67M234.82M58.04M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-713.67M777.72M-421.88M6.58M-453.31M
Financing Cash Flow0.00535.14M-523.42M-315.26M-339.41M-270.35M

Asteria Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price948.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1506.13
Positive
100DMA
1335.56
Positive
200DMA
1293.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
145.38
Negative
RSI
80.16
Negative
STOCH
91.53
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3853, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 948 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1644.70, below the 50-day MA of 1506.13, and below the 200-day MA of 1293.72, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 145.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 80.16 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.53 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3853.

Asteria Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥29.37B8.442.93%12.16%18.97%
76
Outperform
¥21.95B13.782.53%13.31%28.58%
73
Outperform
¥23.78B11.010.52%46.71%43.62%
72
Outperform
¥40.45B29.250.82%6.86%37.45%
69
Neutral
¥18.01B10.162.40%15.12%40.67%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3853
Asteria Corporation
2,410.00
1,912.86
384.78%
JP:3648
AGS Corporation
1,053.00
190.00
22.02%
JP:3771
System Research Co., Ltd.
1,757.00
21.82
1.26%
JP:3921
NEOJAPAN Inc.
1,567.00
89.98
6.09%
JP:4058
Toyokumo, Inc.
2,160.00
-692.34
-24.27%

Asteria Corporation Corporate Events

Asteria to Broaden Corporate Purpose as It Pushes Deeper Into AI, Hardware and Digital Currencies
May 22, 2026
Asteria Corporation is moving to formally broaden its corporate purpose beyond traditional software by updating its Articles of Incorporation, reflecting its evolution into hardware, AI and digital currency fields. The proposed changes, to be vote...
Asteria Showcases FY2025 Positioning as Enterprise Software “Connecting Expert”
May 14, 2026
Asteria Corporation highlighted its FY2025 financial results for the fiscal year ending March 2026, underscoring its position as a specialized enterprise software vendor with a global footprint spanning Japan, the U.S., Singapore, and China. The c...
Asteria Raises Year-End Dividend, Reaffirming Progressive Payout Policy
May 14, 2026
Asteria Corporation’s board has approved a year-end dividend of 9 yen per share for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, up from 8 yen a year earlier, with total payouts reaching about 152.9 million yen and an effective payment date of June...
Asteria Lifts Revenue and Net Profit as Growth Investments Pressure Operating Margin
May 14, 2026
Asteria Corporation reported non-consolidated revenue of ¥3.42 billion for the fiscal year ended March 2026, a 5.9% increase from the previous year, supported by expansion in its software business led by its flagship integration product ASTER...
Asteria Posts Strong Profit Growth and Hikes Dividend, Eyes Further Gains in FY 2027
May 14, 2026
Asteria Corporation reported consolidated revenue of ¥3.39 billion for the year ended March 31, 2026, up 6.9% year on year, with operating profit climbing 31.2% to ¥1.03 billion and net profit attributable to owners rising 35.7% to &#165...
Asteria Adds JPYC Stablecoin Option to Shareholder Benefits
Mar 26, 2026
Asteria Corporation has decided to expand its medium- to long-term shareholder benefit program by adding an option to receive rewards in JPYC, a Japanese yen-denominated stablecoin, alongside existing QUO card benefits. Eligible shareholders, cate...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 23, 2026