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Fisco Ltd. (JP:3807)
:3807
Japanese Market

Fisco Ltd. (3807) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3807

Fisco Ltd.

(3807)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
¥103.00
▼(-11.21% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/24/26
The score is weighed down primarily by weak and volatile cash generation and the lack of sustained profitability despite improved 2025 margins. Technicals also remain soft with the stock trading below major moving averages and negative MACD. Valuation offers limited support because earnings are negative and no dividend yield is provided.
Positive Factors
Low Leverage / Strong Balance Sheet
Debt-to-equity of ~0.01 in 2025 indicates extremely low financial leverage, materially reducing refinancing and interest-rate risk. This conservatively levered position gives management durable flexibility to fund operations or strategic moves without heavy debt servicing, improving resilience over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Volatile Cash Generation
Operating cash flow is only modestly positive in 2025 and free cash flow is near breakeven after negative FCF in 2024. This volatile, weak cash conversion limits the company's ability to self-fund growth or absorb shocks, raising the chance of external financing and constraining durable operational investments.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low Leverage / Strong Balance Sheet
Debt-to-equity of ~0.01 in 2025 indicates extremely low financial leverage, materially reducing refinancing and interest-rate risk. This conservatively levered position gives management durable flexibility to fund operations or strategic moves without heavy debt servicing, improving resilience over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Fisco Ltd. (3807) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Fisco Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
FISCO Ltd. provides investment support services. It analyzes Japanese and overseas stocks; foreign exchanges; rates and bonds, including Japanese government, overseas, and corporate bonds; commodities; emerging markets; and market movements. The c...

Fisco Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show a notable recovery in 2025 with a sharp improvement in margins and losses and a very low-debt balance sheet. However, the company remains slightly unprofitable, revenue dipped year over year, and cash flow quality is weak and volatile with near-breakeven free cash flow.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
28
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue720.44M842.94M867.88M450.74M1.18B1.25B
Gross Profit264.98M494.48M208.55M19.38M714.22M774.89M
EBITDA-3.05B4.47M-685.92M-1.55B-2.64B5.37B
Net Income-3.14B-8.29M-530.70M-1.59B-2.76B3.80B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.02B2.67B1.78B2.09B3.81B5.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments149.01M228.36M235.61M528.93M1.08B1.13B
Total Debt122.93M8.00M8.00M109.70M50.51M83.51M
Total Liabilities1.83B1.54B1.54B1.80B1.76B1.76B
Stockholders Equity1.19B1.13B240.50M289.91M2.05B3.62B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0067.00K-76.84M0.00134.91M298.59M
Operating Cash Flow0.00513.00K-39.92M0.00170.77M321.92M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-7.78M90.36M-46.93M-40.28M45.15M
Financing Cash Flow0.000.00-102.04M-78.08M-163.97M-221.79M

Fisco Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price116.00
Price Trends
50DMA
115.30
Negative
100DMA
121.49
Negative
200DMA
134.24
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.24
Negative
RSI
47.02
Neutral
STOCH
71.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3807, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 116 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 110.60, above the 50-day MA of 115.30, and below the 200-day MA of 134.24, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3807.

Fisco Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥47.15B7.036.18%4.42%1.56%-9.90%
74
Outperform
¥249.09B12.1414.00%5.13%3.27%-1.81%
71
Outperform
¥69.64B12.609.22%6.15%7.45%45.25%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
62
Neutral
¥80.59B24.4310.06%3.75%20.36%9.29%
43
Neutral
¥172.83B13.277.26%4.16%14.69%-114.36%
42
Neutral
¥5.04B-640.9534.00%99.28%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3807
Fisco Ltd.
110.00
0.00
0.00%
JP:8624
Ichiyoshi Securities Co
1,492.00
921.87
161.70%
JP:8698
Monex Group
690.00
129.32
23.06%
JP:8628
Matsui Securities Co
969.00
327.07
50.95%
JP:8613
Marusan Securities Co., Ltd.
1,047.00
334.32
46.91%
JP:4765
Morningstar Japan K.K.
584.00
30.05
5.43%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026