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AGS Corporation (JP:3648)
:3648
Japanese Market
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AGS Corporation (3648) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3648

AGS Corporation

(3648)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,165.00
▼(-11.61% Downside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:05/16/26
The score is driven by improving profitability and a strong, low-leverage balance sheet, plus attractive valuation (low P/E and ~3.2% yield). These positives are tempered by a clear technical downtrend and the sharp 2026 revenue decline alongside uneven operating cash conversion.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained 12.53% revenue growth indicates durable demand for AGS's IT services and solutions. Consistent top-line expansion supports scale economics, funds reinvestment in products and sales, and provides a reliable base for margin improvement and long-term strategic initiatives.
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Decline
A 77% drop in free cash flow growth is a material deterioration that weakens capacity to invest, pay dividends, or reduce leverage. Persistent FCF weakness could force reliance on accrual earnings or external funding, constraining strategic optionality over coming quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained 12.53% revenue growth indicates durable demand for AGS's IT services and solutions. Consistent top-line expansion supports scale economics, funds reinvestment in products and sales, and provides a reliable base for margin improvement and long-term strategic initiatives.
Read all positive factors

AGS Corporation (3648) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

AGS Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
AGS Corporation provides information technology services to the financial industry, public sectors, and enterprises in Japan. It offers mainframe-based contracted calculation services; and peripheral services, such as data entry, printing, and del...
How the Company Makes Money
AGS Corporation generates revenue primarily by providing packaging/logistics solutions centered on reusable transport items and associated services. Key revenue streams typically include (1) fees from supplying or leasing returnable packaging asse...

AGS Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are solid overall: profitability and returns improved (net margin up to ~6.8%, EBIT margin ~8.6%, ROE ~12.1%) and leverage is low (debt-to-equity ~0.08). Offsetting this, revenue fell sharply in 2026 (-16.8%) and operating cash conversion has been inconsistent, which adds near-term business risk despite stronger margins.
Income Statement
67
Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
72
Positive
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue28.62B24.86B22.09B21.07B21.19B
Gross Profit7.30B6.16B5.35B4.47B4.57B
EBITDA3.70B3.15B2.72B2.28B2.29B
Net Income1.93B1.38B936.47M682.48M638.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets23.49B22.01B20.82B20.12B18.92B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.37B5.69B6.59B5.88B5.40B
Total Debt1.32B1.65B2.05B2.06B1.38B
Total Liabilities7.47B7.35B6.97B6.68B6.01B
Stockholders Equity16.01B14.66B13.85B13.44B12.91B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.87B386.01M1.70B1.09B1.58B
Operating Cash Flow2.25B742.04M2.51B1.71B2.12B
Investing Cash Flow-360.90M-608.45M-595.27M-475.22M-518.83M
Financing Cash Flow-1.15B-1.03B-1.20B-756.48M-744.15M

AGS Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1318.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1159.12
Negative
100DMA
1228.96
Negative
200DMA
1254.54
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-21.60
Positive
RSI
43.79
Neutral
STOCH
20.57
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3648, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1318 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1143.20, above the 50-day MA of 1159.12, and above the 200-day MA of 1254.54, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -21.60 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3648.

AGS Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥29.39B10.672.93%12.16%18.97%
76
Outperform
¥21.74B13.652.53%13.31%28.58%
71
Outperform
¥18.10B30.803.14%-3.85%-17.22%
71
Outperform
¥30.09B29.250.82%6.86%37.45%
69
Neutral
¥17.61B9.722.40%15.12%40.67%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3648
AGS Corporation
1,030.00
161.16
18.55%
JP:3771
System Research Co., Ltd.
1,758.00
32.42
1.88%
JP:3835
eBASE Co., Ltd.
393.00
-107.08
-21.41%
JP:3853
Asteria Corporation
1,793.00
1,312.77
273.36%
JP:3921
NEOJAPAN Inc.
1,552.00
93.45
6.41%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 16, 2026