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Kasumigaseki Capital Co., Ltd. (JP:3498)
:3498
Japanese Market

Kasumigaseki Capital Co., Ltd. (3498) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3498

Kasumigaseki Capital Co., Ltd.

(3498)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
¥6,678.00
▼(-9.14% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:01/04/26
The score is driven mainly by solid operating performance and profitability trends, tempered by weak and volatile cash generation and elevated leverage. Technical indicators are bearish and weigh on near-term attractiveness, while a reasonable P/E and modest dividend provide some valuation support.
Positive Factors
Revenue and margin expansion
Sustained top-line scaling and materially higher margins point to improved operating leverage and stronger earnings power. Over months, this supports reinvestment in projects, strengthens fee bargaining with investors, and underpins more predictable profitability as pipelines convert.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Material leverage increases sensitivity to interest rates and refinancing cycles. High debt relative to equity constrains financial flexibility, raises financing costs, and heightens execution risk on new projects if cash generation weakens or funding markets tighten over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue and margin expansion
Sustained top-line scaling and materially higher margins point to improved operating leverage and stronger earnings power. Over months, this supports reinvestment in projects, strengthens fee bargaining with investors, and underpins more predictable profitability as pipelines convert.
Read all positive factors

Kasumigaseki Capital Co., Ltd. (3498) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Kasumigaseki Capital Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Kasumigaseki Capital Co.,Ltd. engages in real estate consulting businesses in Japan. The company develops and operates power generation business through natural energy sources, including solar, wind, and biomass power plants. It also develops and ...
How the Company Makes Money
Kasumigaseki Capital generally makes money through real-estate value creation and related fee businesses. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Sales/exit proceeds from developed properties: income recognized when the company sells completed ...

Kasumigaseki Capital Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue scaling and margin expansion (net margin ~10.6% in 2025 vs. ~1.7% in 2020) support profitability, but the balance sheet is meaningfully leveraged (debt-to-equity ~1.88x) and cash-flow quality is weak/volatile (negative operating cash flow in 2022–2024; 2025 FCF only ~0.4B and low vs. earnings).
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Cash Flow
38
Negative
BreakdownAug 2025Aug 2024Aug 2023Aug 2022Aug 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue96.50B65.69B37.28B20.78B14.30B
Gross Profit36.44B18.56B10.10B6.18B4.41B
EBITDA19.97B9.30B4.64B2.15B1.41B
Net Income10.25B5.02B2.05B1.02B793.53M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets121.69B77.55B43.78B30.44B15.04B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments24.02B11.06B5.90B5.39B3.61B
Total Debt68.87B41.89B28.28B18.41B7.51B
Total Liabilities83.49B49.81B32.10B21.08B10.13B
Stockholders Equity36.61B27.03B11.18B9.28B4.88B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow396.00M-10.35B-8.38B-11.89B-687.36M
Operating Cash Flow6.89B-8.45B-7.91B-11.69B977.06M
Investing Cash Flow-18.56B-4.81B-1.17B-436.58M-1.65B
Financing Cash Flow24.70B18.41B9.51B13.90B2.20B

Kasumigaseki Capital Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price7350.00
Price Trends
50DMA
6998.80
Negative
100DMA
7437.10
Negative
200DMA
8067.21
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-161.83
Negative
RSI
48.77
Neutral
STOCH
33.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3498, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 7350 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6514.00, above the 50-day MA of 6998.80, and below the 200-day MA of 8067.21, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -161.83 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:3498.

Kasumigaseki Capital Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
¥306.67B8.902.30%-1.88%-9.94%
71
Outperform
¥484.90B10.339.06%2.62%6.97%8.61%
67
Neutral
¥1.15T22.551.05%85.03%198.15%
66
Neutral
¥354.85B7.482.26%6.13%-23.73%
64
Neutral
¥649.48B8.738.64%1.82%3.90%5.62%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
¥162.68B20.011.58%46.91%62.91%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3498
Kasumigaseki Capital Co., Ltd.
6,620.00
964.94
17.06%
JP:9041
Kintetsu Group Holdings Co
3,415.00
390.11
12.90%
JP:9008
Keio
819.00
60.71
8.01%
JP:9003
Sotetsu Holdings, Inc.
3,130.00
942.94
43.11%
JP:9024
Seibu Holdings, Inc.
4,457.00
1,194.01
36.59%
JP:9048
Nagoya Railroad Co., Ltd.
1,804.50
76.49
4.43%

Kasumigaseki Capital Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Kasumigaseki Capital Unveils H1 FYE8/2026 Results Presentation and Strategy Outline
Apr 3, 2026
Kasumigaseki Capital has released presentation materials for its financial results for the first half of the fiscal year ending August 2026, underscoring its commitment to regular and transparent disclosure as a TSE Prime Market-listed company. Th...
Kasumigaseki Capital Doubles Profit on Strong First-Half Growth, Keeps Bullish Full-Year Outlook
Apr 2, 2026
Kasumigaseki Capital reported a sharp improvement in results for the six months ended February 28, 2026, with net sales surging 81.1% year on year to ¥61.1 billion and operating profit climbing 67.8% to ¥8.1 billion. Ordinary profit rose...
Kasumigaseki Capital Says Middle East Tensions Have Minimal Impact on Dubai Operations
Mar 2, 2026
Kasumigaseki Capital reported that escalating military tensions in the Middle East involving the United States, Israel, and Iran have not caused significant disruption to its Dubai real estate operations. The company stated that its local subsidia...
Kasumigaseki Capital Completes Restricted Stock Issue for Employee Compensation
Feb 2, 2026
Kasumigaseki Capital Co., Ltd. has completed payment procedures for the issuance of 31,572 new ordinary shares as restricted stock compensation to 130 company employees, at an issue price of 7,840 yen per share for a total of 247.52 million yen. T...
Kasumigaseki Capital Posts Strong Revenue Growth and Upgraded Balance Sheet, Affirms Robust FY2026 Outlook
Jan 13, 2026
Kasumigaseki Capital reported strong top-line growth for the three months ended November 30, 2025, with net sales surging 86.5% year on year to ¥28.46 billion, while operating profit declined 5.2% to ¥2.81 billion and profit attributable...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 04, 2026