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Kintetsu Group Holdings Co
(9041)
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Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
¥3,948.00
▲(23.57% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/17/26
The score is led by strong technical momentum and an attractive valuation (low P/E). Offsetting these positives are weaker financial fundamentals overall due to leverage and uneven cash-flow quality, including negative free cash flow in the latest year.
Positive Factors
Integrated rail and real-estate business model
Kintetsu’s station-centric model ties rail operations to property development, retail and hotels, creating recurring rental and retail cash flows and captive demand. That vertical integration stabilizes revenues, boosts synergies around stations, and supports durable competitive positioning over months to years.
Negative Factors
Persistently high leverage
Debt a bit above 2x equity remains elevated and limits strategic flexibility. High leverage increases vulnerability to weaker earnings or rising interest rates, constraining capacity for opportunistic investments or large redevelopment projects without additional financing or deleveraging.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Integrated rail and real-estate business model
Kintetsu’s station-centric model ties rail operations to property development, retail and hotels, creating recurring rental and retail cash flows and captive demand. That vertical integration stabilizes revenues, boosts synergies around stations, and supports durable competitive positioning over months to years.
Read all positive factors
Kintetsu Group Holdings Co (9041) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥664.70B
Dividend Yield1.82%
Average Volume (3M)698.82K
Price to Earnings (P/E)12.3
Beta (1Y)0.50
Revenue Growth0.49%
EPS Growth15.11%
CountryJP
Employees44,759
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryConglomerates
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)282.78
Shares Outstanding190,662,060
10 Day Avg. Volume804,420
30 Day Avg. Volume698,816
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.75
Price to Book (P/B)1.00
Price to Sales (P/S)0.35
P/FCF Ratio-18.12
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
¥4,133.33Price Target Upside29.37% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering3
EPS Forecast (FY)255.93
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥1.85T
Kintetsu Group Holdings Co Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Kintetsu Group Holdings Co.,Ltd. operates a diverse portfolio of businesses spanning transportation, property development, retail, hospitality, and leisure sectors, both within Japan and globally. Its transportation division encompasses services s...
How the Company Makes Money
Kintetsu Group Holdings makes money through multiple operating segments managed by its consolidated subsidiaries. A core revenue stream is transportation: it earns passenger fare revenue from operating railway services and related transport offeri...
Kintetsu Group Holdings Co Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
71
Positive
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
| Breakdown | Mar 2026 | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 1.75T | 1.74T | 1.63T | 1.56T | 691.51B |
| Gross Profit | 326.67B | 321.01B | 312.72B | 255.01B | 118.57B |
| EBITDA | 184.68B | 176.59B | 164.12B | 181.78B | 110.80B |
| Net Income | 53.77B | 46.72B | 47.81B | 88.78B | 42.76B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 2.59T | 2.51T | 2.45T | 2.42T | 1.90T |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 220.57B | 265.69B | 272.56B | 222.09B | 78.90B |
| Total Debt | 1.33T | 1.33T | 1.32T | 1.36T | 1.09T |
| Total Liabilities | 1.90T | 1.89T | 1.87T | 1.92T | 1.47T |
| Stockholders Equity | 611.71B | 544.13B | 521.81B | 441.85B | 378.62B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -33.78B | 3.36B | 93.76B | 101.48B | 24.37B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 118.09B | 89.73B | 150.51B | 133.99B | 57.55B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -138.89B | -82.79B | -56.30B | -41.85B | 69.10B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -19.93B | -17.87B | -72.00B | 44.82B | -127.75B |
Kintetsu Group Holdings Co Technical Analysis
Positive
3195.00
Price Trends
3487.08
Positive
3378.73
Positive
3202.84
Positive
Market Momentum
1.93
Negative
55.78
Neutral
78.48
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9041, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3195 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3405.10, below the 50-day MA of 3487.08, and below the 200-day MA of 3202.84, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.93 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.48 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9041.
Kintetsu Group Holdings Co Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
68 Neutral | ¥664.70B | 12.35 | 8.64% | 1.82% | 0.49% | 15.11% | |
65 Neutral | ¥374.71B | 16.28 | ― | 2.26% | 0.12% | -39.06% | |
64 Neutral | ¥327.06B | 9.75 | 8.87% | 1.19% | 6.04% | 24.61% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
62 Neutral | ¥1.13T | 14.23 | 6.64% | 2.07% | 8.73% | 17.30% | |
58 Neutral | ¥443.72B | 10.63 | 9.06% | 2.62% | 9.72% | 3.53% | |
44 Neutral | ¥927.29B | 23.64 | ― | 1.05% | -43.04% | -83.93% |
* Industrials Sector Average
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Kintetsu Group Holdings Co Corporate Events
Kintetsu Group Tightens Capital Discipline and Governance in Update to 2028 Plan
May 15, 2026
Kintetsu Group Holdings has updated its Medium-Term Management Plan 2028 in response to a more uncertain operating environment marked by demographic decline, labor shortages, and rising prices and interest rates. The group aims to deepen value cre...
Kintetsu Group Releases FY2026 Results and FY2027 Outlook
May 15, 2026
Kintetsu Group Holdings Co., Ltd. has released supplementary materials detailing its consolidated financial results for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, providing investors and stakeholders with an overview of its recent business performance....
Kintetsu Group Lifts Profit and Dividend but Sees Margin Pressure Ahead
May 15, 2026
Kintetsu Group Holdings reported a slight 0.5% rise in operating revenue to ¥1.75 trillion for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, while boosting operating profit 6.0% to ¥89.4 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent 15.1% ...
Kintetsu Revises 2028 Plan to Sharpen Capital Efficiency and Governance
May 15, 2026
Kintetsu Group Holdings has updated its Medium-Term Management Plan 2028 to better address an uncertain operating environment marked by Japan’s demographic challenges, labor shortages, and rising prices and interest rates. The company reaffi...
Kintetsu Group Releases FY2026 Results and FY2027 Forecast Overview
May 15, 2026
Kintetsu Group Holdings Co., Ltd. has released supplementary materials on its consolidated financial results for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, outlining performance across its business segments. The disclosure also indicates the company...
Kintetsu Group Lifts Profit and Dividends but Flags Softer Outlook
May 15, 2026
Kintetsu Group Holdings reported fiscal 2026 consolidated operating revenue of ¥1,750.3 billion, up 0.5% year on year, with operating profit rising 6.0% to ¥89.4 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent jumping 15.1% to ¥...
Kintetsu Subsidiary KNT-CT Ups Earnings Outlook with Deferred Tax Gain
May 8, 2026
Kintetsu Group Holdings has announced that its consolidated subsidiary KNT-CT Holdings will revise its full-year financial forecast for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, although the parent company’s own consolidated earnings outlook rem...
Kintetsu Group Revamps Board as It Shifts to Audit and Supervisory Committee Structure
Apr 24, 2026
Kintetsu Group Holdings has outlined a new governance structure as it transitions to a company with an Audit and Supervisory Committee, aiming to strengthen board oversight and speed up decision-making for sustainable value creation and growth. Th...
Kintetsu Group Plans Governance Shift With Articles of Incorporation Overhaul
Apr 24, 2026
Kintetsu Group Holdings will seek shareholder approval in June 2026 to amend its Articles of Incorporation as part of a planned transition to a company with an Audit and Supervisory Committee. The move is designed to strengthen the Board of Direct...
Kintetsu Department Store Books Impairment Loss, Revises Earnings Outlook
Mar 27, 2026
Kintetsu Group Holdings has announced that its consolidated subsidiary, Kintetsu Department Store Co., has revised its earnings forecast for the fiscal year ended February 28, 2026, but the parent company’s own consolidated forecast remains ...
Kintetsu Subsidiary Kin-Ei Lifts Earnings Forecast on Strong Cinema and Amusement Demand
Mar 13, 2026
Kintetsu Group Holdings said its consolidated subsidiary Kin-Ei Corp. has raised its full-year forecast for the fiscal year ended January 31, 2026, but the revision will not affect the parent’s consolidated earnings outlook. Kin-Ei’s u...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.