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KIKUCHI SEISAKUSHO CO., LTD. (JP:3444)
:3444
Japanese Market

KIKUCHI SEISAKUSHO CO., LTD. (3444) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3444

KIKUCHI SEISAKUSHO CO., LTD.

(3444)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,152.00
▲(254.46% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial quality—thin profitability and negative operating/free cash flow—despite improved leverage. Technicals are strong with the price above all major moving averages and positive MACD, but overbought RSI/Stoch increases near-term risk. Valuation is moderate-to-high with a low dividend yield, offering limited support.
Positive Factors
Diversified B2B End Markets
Serving automotive, aerospace and industrial customers provides durable demand diversification across cyclical sectors. Long-term contracts and bespoke precision work reduce single-market dependency and support steady order flow and resilience through sector-specific cycles.
Improved Leverage
Low and improving leverage increases financial flexibility for capex or R&D without overburdening interest costs. A 0.16 debt/equity ratio strengthens the balance sheet, supporting sustained investment in precision tooling and cushioning against downturns.
Moderate Gross Margin
An 18% gross margin indicates operational efficiency in manufacturing and pricing power for specialized components. Sustained gross margins enable reinvestment in process improvements and R&D, supporting long-term competitiveness in precision machining.
Negative Factors
Negative Operating and Free Cash Flow
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow constrain the company’s ability to fund capex, R&D, and working capital from internal resources. Over months, this can force external financing, restrict growth initiatives, or pressure margins if borrowing costs rise.
Weak Profitability
Very low net margin and negative EBIT suggest limited pricing or cost control levers and minimal earnings cushion. Over the medium term, weak operating profitability hampers retained earnings, slows balance sheet recovery, and reduces ability to fund strategic investments.
Low Return on Equity
A ROE near zero signals inefficient use of shareholder capital and weak value creation. Structurally low ROE makes it harder to attract capital and justify reinvestment, risking stagnation in product development and competitiveness versus higher-return peers.

KIKUCHI SEISAKUSHO CO., LTD. (3444) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

KIKUCHI SEISAKUSHO CO., LTD. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKikuchi Seisakusho Co., Ltd. engages in design, processing, manufacture, and sale of metal and plastic products in Japan. It processes and manufactures various tools and dies. The company is also involved in the metal and plastic injection, magnesium thxio, insert, cleaning, and aluminum hot diecast molding; and sheet metal fabrication and press processing activities. In addition, it engages in the manufacture and sale of devices, such as assembly and inspection equipment; design, manufactures, and sale of machine tool; and machining plastic parts, as well as the provision of special joins of metallic and resin parts, and vacuum casting services. Kikuchi Seisakusho Co., Ltd. was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyKIKUCHI SEISAKUSHO generates revenue through the production and sale of precision machinery and components to various industries, including automotive, aerospace, and industrial sectors. The company operates on a business-to-business (B2B) model, where it collaborates with manufacturers to supply essential components that meet specific requirements. Key revenue streams include custom machinery orders, ongoing contracts for precision mold and die production, and maintenance services for the machinery provided. Additionally, strategic partnerships with leading manufacturers in the automotive and aerospace sectors enhance its market reach and contribute to stable revenue generation. The company's commitment to quality and innovation allows it to command premium pricing for its products, further bolstering its earnings.

KIKUCHI SEISAKUSHO CO., LTD. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
KIKUCHI SEISAKUSHO CO., LTD. shows modest revenue growth and improved leverage, but profitability and cash flow remain significant concerns. The company needs to enhance operational efficiency and cash generation to improve financial health.
Income Statement
The company shows a slight revenue growth of 2.8% in the latest year, but profitability remains a concern with a low net profit margin of 0.79% and negative EBIT margin. The gross profit margin is moderate at 18.35%, indicating some efficiency in production, but overall profitability is weak.
Balance Sheet
The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.16, indicating a decrease in leverage, which is positive. However, the return on equity is low at 0.85%, suggesting limited profitability from shareholders' investments. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
The company faces challenges with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow, indicating liquidity issues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some ability to generate cash relative to net income, but overall cash flow health is poor.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.48B5.46B5.21B5.10B5.05B4.47B
Gross Profit924.35M1.00B1.02B708.80M672.18M527.70M
EBITDA273.90M243.28M-493.14M-773.43M-519.47M-704.96M
Net Income180.70M43.01M-818.09M-1.10B-669.71M-934.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.08B8.56B8.82B9.07B9.77B10.76B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.88B2.45B1.72B1.75B1.72B1.61B
Total Debt406.00M812.65M1.76B1.98B1.48B1.01B
Total Liabilities2.85B3.16B4.43B4.45B3.90B3.62B
Stockholders Equity4.97B5.07B4.39B4.59B5.87B7.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-758.27M-745.61M-820.82M-437.33M-386.91M
Operating Cash Flow0.00-663.91M-493.50M-658.63M-281.15M5.64M
Investing Cash Flow0.00834.00M181.17M-75.89M56.22M-884.62M
Financing Cash Flow0.00574.05M210.94M742.99M294.73M-9.72M

KIKUCHI SEISAKUSHO CO., LTD. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price325.00
Price Trends
50DMA
524.64
Positive
100DMA
432.67
Positive
200DMA
365.05
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
128.63
Negative
RSI
84.99
Negative
STOCH
88.83
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3444, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 325 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 708.05, below the 50-day MA of 524.64, and below the 200-day MA of 365.05, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 128.63 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 84.99 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.83 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3444.

KIKUCHI SEISAKUSHO CO., LTD. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
¥4.82B11.341.19%-6.39%-3.86%
68
Neutral
¥4.27B13.221.22%12.31%138.05%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
57
Neutral
¥3.02B16.62-7.98%-52.68%
56
Neutral
¥3.11B-10.421.81%-3.20%-226.19%
51
Neutral
¥13.84B26.091.56%11.20%
47
Neutral
¥3.42B-2.181.93%-14.00%-216.77%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3444
KIKUCHI SEISAKUSHO CO., LTD.
1,146.00
892.07
351.31%
JP:6166
Nakamura Choukou Co., Ltd.
274.00
-66.00
-19.41%
JP:6218
Enshu Limited
542.00
24.33
4.70%
JP:6334
Meiji Machine Co., Ltd.
375.00
60.28
19.15%
JP:6396
Unozawa-Gumi Iron Works, Limited
4,360.00
1,582.16
56.96%
JP:6467
Nichidai Corporation
344.00
-21.03
-5.76%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 10, 2026