HotLand Co., Ltd. (JP:3196)
:3196
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HotLand Co., Ltd.
(3196)
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Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,520.00
▼(-27.13% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/11/26
The score is held back primarily by weakening 2025 fundamentals (margin compression, higher leverage, and negative free cash flow). Technicals also remain weak with price below major moving averages and negative MACD, while valuation is the least supportive due to a very high P/E and low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent mid-to-high single-digit revenue growth from 2021–2025 indicates durable consumer demand and successful store/network expansion. This steady top-line trajectory supports predictable cash inflows, underpins franchising economics, and reduces execution risk over the next several months.
Negative Factors
Rising Leverage
The sharp rise in leverage to ~1.04 from ~0.64 materially reduces financial flexibility. With higher debt loads, the company faces greater fixed obligations that amplify earnings volatility and constrain capital allocation for new openings or system investments if margins remain pressured.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent mid-to-high single-digit revenue growth from 2021–2025 indicates durable consumer demand and successful store/network expansion. This steady top-line trajectory supports predictable cash inflows, underpins franchising economics, and reduces execution risk over the next several months.
Read all positive factors
HotLand Co., Ltd. (3196) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥39.81B
Dividend Yield0.62%
Average Volume (3M)37.40K
Price to Earnings (P/E)76.4
Beta (1Y)0.30
Revenue Growth10.65%
EPS Growth-78.09%
CountryJP
Employees895
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryRestaurants
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)27.38
Shares Outstanding25,798,400
10 Day Avg. Volume38,860
30 Day Avg. Volume37,400
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-1.34
Price to Book (P/B)3.75
Price to Sales (P/S)0.83
P/FCF Ratio-32.40
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)38.1
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥54.80B
HotLand Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
HOTLAND Co.,Ltd. operates restaurants in Japan and internationally. The company is also involved in the development of Takoyaki shops and specialty stores, and bars; and operation of coffee bean and tea leaf shops, and baristas. In addition, it ma...
How the Company Makes Money
HotLand generates revenue mainly from (1) direct restaurant sales at company-owned stores, where it earns income from in-store dining, takeout, and other point-of-sale food and beverage transactions, and (2) franchising-related income from franchi...
HotLand Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
41
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 48.72B | 51.04B | 46.13B | 38.71B | 32.16B | 29.68B |
| Gross Profit | 27.30B | 28.64B | 25.87B | 22.16B | 18.56B | 18.07B |
| EBITDA | 3.21B | 3.77B | 4.28B | 3.10B | 3.29B | 4.40B |
| Net Income | 582.14M | 405.40M | 1.85B | 1.02B | 1.36B | 2.08B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 29.36B | 33.46B | 29.03B | 24.27B | 22.06B | 21.31B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 4.16B | 4.81B | 3.73B | 2.86B | 3.34B | 3.16B |
| Total Debt | 9.09B | 11.78B | 7.61B | 6.16B | 4.87B | 5.39B |
| Total Liabilities | 17.37B | 21.27B | 16.49B | 13.51B | 11.38B | 12.19B |
| Stockholders Equity | 11.25B | 11.34B | 11.84B | 10.28B | 10.20B | 8.68B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | -1.31B | 1.08B | 709.68M | 1.23B | 3.63B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 2.60B | 3.95B | 2.94B | 2.90B | 5.15B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -5.01B | -3.76B | -2.68B | -1.84B | -2.40B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | 3.50B | 645.82M | -740.75M | -909.35M | -1.82B |
HotLand Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis
Negative
2086.00
Price Trends
1946.32
Negative
1988.07
Negative
2008.70
Negative
Market Momentum
-63.38
Positive
20.01
Positive
2.25
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3196, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2086 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1940.00, above the 50-day MA of 1946.32, and above the 200-day MA of 2008.70, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -63.38 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 20.01 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 2.25 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3196.
HotLand Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
66 Neutral | ¥49.67B | 39.57 | ― | 0.17% | 16.87% | -13.94% | |
66 Neutral | ¥44.86B | 18.76 | 17.09% | 1.37% | 5.54% | 2.30% | |
64 Neutral | ¥49.24B | 11.04 | ― | 2.41% | 5.83% | 7.31% | |
63 Neutral | ¥51.88B | 45.92 | ― | 1.30% | 2.40% | -26.93% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
60 Neutral | ¥19.95B | 171.84 | ― | 0.75% | 42.50% | 98.92% | |
44 Neutral | ¥39.81B | 76.37 | ― | 0.62% | 10.65% | -78.09% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
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HotLand Co., Ltd. Corporate Events
HotLand Sets Share Offering Terms to Fund Multi-Year Store Expansion
Apr 20, 2026
HotLand Holdings has set the terms for a new share issuance via public offering, a secondary offering through over-allotment and a third-party allotment, raising up to roughly ¥7.4 billion in total. The issue and selling prices were fixed at ...
Hotland to Raise Equity for Aggressive Store Expansion and Renovations
Apr 9, 2026
Hotland Holdings has approved the issuance of 4,142,800 new common shares through a public offering alongside a secondary offering, in a move designed to raise fresh equity capital. The pricing will be set between April 20 and April 23, 2026, base...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.