HotLand Co., Ltd. (3196) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥38.37B
• Dividend Yield: 0.62%
• Average Volume (3M): 37.40K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 104.9
• Beta (1Y): 0.32
• Revenue Growth: 13.05%
• EPS Growth: -29.04%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 895
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Restaurants
• EPS (TTM): 6.55
• Shares Outstanding: 21,655,600
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 38,860
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 37,400
• PEG Ratio: -1.34
• Price to Book (P/B): 3.75
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.83
• P/FCF Ratio: -32.40
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): 38.1
• Revenue Forecast (FY): ¥54.80B

• Rating: 44 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥1,719.00 ▼(-17.59% Downside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 04/11/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 04/11/26

The score is held back primarily by weakening 2025 fundamentals (margin compression, higher leverage, and negative free cash flow). Technicals also remain weak with price below major moving averages and negative MACD, while valuation is the least supportive due to a very high P/E and low dividend yield.

Positive Factors

Focused quick-service business and flagship brand

A clearly focused quick-service model with a recognizable flagship brand supports durable customer loyalty and repeat sales. The takeout-oriented, low-complexity format fits structural consumer preferences for convenience and allows scalable roll-out and consistent unit economics across regions.

Negative Factors

Rising financial leverage

A notable step-up in leverage materially reduces financial flexibility and raises interest and refinancing risk if earnings remain pressured. Higher debt limits the company's ability to invest organically, pursue opportunistic expansion, or cushion operational setbacks over the medium term.

HotLand Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

HOTLAND Co.,Ltd. operates restaurants in Japan and internationally. The company is also involved in the development of Takoyaki shops and specialty stores, and bars; and operation of coffee bean and tea leaf shops, and baristas. In addition, it ma...

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HOTLAND Co.,Ltd. operates restaurants in Japan and internationally. The company is also involved in the development of Takoyaki shops and specialty stores, and bars; and operation of coffee bean and tea leaf shops, and baristas. In addition, it ma...

How the Company Makes Money

HotLand generates revenue mainly from selling food and beverages through its store network, with takoyaki sold under the Gindaco brand as a core product. Its revenue model is primarily store-based retail sales (company-operated stores and, where a...

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HotLand generates revenue mainly from selling food and beverages through its store network, with takoyaki sold under the Gindaco brand as a core product. Its revenue model is primarily store-based retail sales (company-operated stores and, where a...

HotLand Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	48.72B	51.04B	46.13B	38.71B	32.16B	29.68B
Gross Profit	27.30B	28.64B	25.87B	22.16B	18.56B	18.07B
EBITDA	3.21B	3.77B	4.28B	3.10B	3.29B	4.40B
Net Income	582.14M	405.40M	1.85B	1.02B	1.36B	2.08B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	29.36B	33.46B	29.03B	24.27B	22.06B	21.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	4.16B	4.81B	3.73B	2.86B	3.34B	3.16B
Total Debt	9.09B	11.78B	7.61B	6.16B	4.87B	5.39B
Total Liabilities	17.37B	21.27B	16.49B	13.51B	11.38B	12.19B
Stockholders Equity	11.25B	11.34B	11.84B	10.28B	10.20B	8.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	-1.31B	1.08B	709.68M	1.23B	3.63B
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	2.60B	3.95B	2.94B	2.90B	5.15B
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-5.01B	-3.76B	-2.68B	-1.84B	-2.40B
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	3.50B	645.82M	-740.75M	-909.35M	-1.82B

HotLand Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 2086.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Positive
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3196, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2086 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2000.50, above the 50-day MA of 1965.84, and above the 200-day MA of 2018.36, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.59 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 19.97 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3196.

HotLand Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
2705	66 Neutral	¥50.25B	39.57	―	0.17%	15.53%	-26.93%
3561	66 Neutral	¥44.35B	18.76	17.09%	1.37%	4.01%	3.32%
9828	64 Neutral	¥49.89B	11.04	―	2.41%	6.49%	4.27%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
3198	60 Neutral	¥56.12B	74.59	―	1.30%	2.90%	-26.37%
3547	60 Neutral	¥21.38B	25.72	―	0.75%	25.41%	77.18%
3196	44 Neutral	¥38.37B	104.89	―	0.62%	13.05%	-29.04%

HotLand Co., Ltd. Corporate Events