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SFP Holdings Co.Ltd. (JP:3198)
:3198
Japanese Market
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SFP Holdings Co.Ltd. (3198) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3198

SFP Holdings Co.Ltd.

(3198)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,411.00
▲(14.92% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/17/26
The score is primarily supported by solid financial health (low leverage and a sustained profitability turnaround), but it is held back by signs of 2026 profit/free-cash-flow softening, a mixed technical picture, and an expensive valuation (high P/E with only a modest dividend yield).
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Low leverage and a solid equity base give the company durable financial flexibility and resilience to demand shocks. This structural strength reduces refinancing and liquidity risk, enabling continued investment in operations or weathering slower periods without threatening solvency.
Negative Factors
2026 profit & FCF step-down
A simultaneous decline in net profit and free cash flow in 2026, even as revenue grows, signals margin compression or rising operating costs. This trend can limit free cash availability for reinvestment or distributions and may point to structural cost or pricing challenges.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Low leverage and a solid equity base give the company durable financial flexibility and resilience to demand shocks. This structural strength reduces refinancing and liquidity risk, enabling continued investment in operations or weathering slower periods without threatening solvency.
Read all positive factors

SFP Holdings Co.Ltd. (3198) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

SFP Holdings Co.Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
SFP Holdings Co., Ltd. engages in the management of restaurants in Japan. The company was formerly known as SFP Dining Co., Ltd. and changed its name to SFP Holdings Co., Ltd. in June 2017. SFP Holdings Co., Ltd. was founded in 1984 and is headqua...
How the Company Makes Money
SFP Holdings primarily generates revenue by selling food and beverages to customers at its company-operated restaurants. Its earnings are driven by in-store dining sales (including alcoholic beverages where applicable), with performance influenced...

SFP Holdings Co.Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong post-2021 turnaround with sustained profitability, conservative leverage, and generally solid cash generation. The main drawback is the 2026 step-down in net profit and free cash flow despite continued revenue growth, indicating recent margin/cash flow pressure.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
83
Very Positive
Cash Flow
69
Positive
BreakdownTTMFeb 2026Feb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue30.70B31.12B30.39B29.08B22.91B10.40B
Gross Profit21.62B21.76B21.55B20.67B16.20B7.29B
EBITDA2.77B2.29B2.83B2.45B1.66B2.98B
Net Income1.31B1.09B1.49B1.73B549.81M1.75B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.50B13.51B13.96B13.40B17.68B16.23B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.55B4.31B5.28B4.52B9.25B5.78B
Total Debt96.66M84.65M816.70M1.06B618.76M768.28M
Total Liabilities4.54B4.33B5.23B5.65B5.14B3.79B
Stockholders Equity8.96B9.18B8.73B7.74B12.54B12.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00590.63M1.71B1.42B4.07B3.26B
Operating Cash Flow0.001.38B2.05B2.19B4.23B3.30B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-997.25M-485.29M-848.76M-95.23M251.92M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-1.35B-808.30M-6.04B-667.88M-9.40B

SFP Holdings Co.Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2098.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2253.05
Positive
100DMA
2179.15
Positive
200DMA
2163.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
27.95
Positive
RSI
47.73
Neutral
STOCH
21.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3198, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2098 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2332.00, below the 50-day MA of 2253.05, and below the 200-day MA of 2163.31, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 27.95 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:3198.

SFP Holdings Co.Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
¥49.24B39.570.17%16.87%-13.94%
65
Neutral
¥39.25B3.961.04%7.06%-16.14%
64
Neutral
¥49.29B11.042.41%5.83%7.31%
63
Neutral
¥51.81B45.921.30%2.40%-26.93%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
57
Neutral
¥58.80B17.621.95%31.72%22.66%
44
Neutral
¥40.06B104.890.62%10.65%-78.09%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3198
SFP Holdings Co.Ltd.
2,274.00
170.98
8.13%
JP:2705
OOTOYA Holdings Co., Ltd.
6,850.00
1,617.71
30.92%
JP:3196
HotLand Co., Ltd.
1,567.00
-578.56
-26.97%
JP:3395
Saint Marc Holdings Co., Ltd.
2,673.00
197.09
7.96%
JP:7522
Watami Co., Ltd.
959.00
-139.58
-12.71%
JP:9828
Genki Sushi Co., Ltd.
2,780.00
-374.97
-11.89%

SFP Holdings Co.Ltd. Corporate Events

SFP Holdings Raises Year-End Dividend, Signals Confidence in Earnings
Apr 14, 2026
SFP Holdings Co., Ltd. has approved a year-end dividend of ¥14 per share for the fiscal year ended February 28, 2026, with a total payout of ¥319.243 million, to be distributed from retained earnings on May 1, 2026. The payout marks an i...
SFP Holdings Misses FY2026 Forecasts as Costs Rise and Impairments Hit Earnings
Apr 14, 2026
SFP Holdings reported that its full-year results for the fiscal year ending February 2026 fell short of prior forecasts, with net sales, operating profit, ordinary profit, and profit attributable to owners all below the levels projected in April 2...
create restaurants to absorb SFP Holdings in bid to streamline group and tackle izakaya headwinds
Apr 14, 2026
Create restaurants holdings inc. and its consolidated subsidiary SFP Holdings Co., Ltd. have agreed to an absorption-type merger that will make create restaurants the surviving entity and SFP Holdings the disappearing company. The transaction, sla...
SFP Holdings Launches New Isomaru Sakaba Branch With Flat-Price Drink Strategy
Apr 14, 2026
SFP Holdings Co., Ltd. has announced the opening of a new Isomaru Sakaba Kamiooka branch on March 27, expanding its footprint in the Japanese casual dining market. The outlet will adopt a new pricing concept, offering all drinks at 399 yen, signal...
SFP Holdings to Abolish Shareholder Benefits Ahead of Merger and Delisting
Apr 14, 2026
SFP Holdings Co., Ltd. has resolved to abolish its shareholder benefits program following its planned absorption-type merger in which create restaurants holdings inc. will be the surviving entity and SFP Holdings will be the absorbed company. The ...
SFP Holdings Posts Weaker Profits as It Prepares for Delisting and Merger
Apr 14, 2026
SFP Holdings reported modest growth in net sales to ¥31.1 billion for the fiscal year ended February 28, 2026, but profitability weakened, with operating profit down 21.9% and profit attributable to owners of parent falling 26.9%. Despite low...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 17, 2026