SFP Holdings Co.Ltd. (JP:3198)
:3198
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SFP Holdings Co.Ltd.
(3198)
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Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,411.00
▲(14.92% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:04/17/26
The score is primarily supported by solid financial health (low leverage and a sustained profitability turnaround), but it is held back by signs of 2026 profit/free-cash-flow softening, a mixed technical picture, and an expensive valuation (high P/E with only a modest dividend yield).
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Low leverage and a solid equity base give the company durable financial flexibility and resilience to demand shocks. This structural strength reduces refinancing and liquidity risk, enabling continued investment in operations or weathering slower periods without threatening solvency.
Negative Factors
2026 profit & FCF step-down
A simultaneous decline in net profit and free cash flow in 2026, even as revenue grows, signals margin compression or rising operating costs. This trend can limit free cash availability for reinvestment or distributions and may point to structural cost or pricing challenges.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Low leverage and a solid equity base give the company durable financial flexibility and resilience to demand shocks. This structural strength reduces refinancing and liquidity risk, enabling continued investment in operations or weathering slower periods without threatening solvency.
Read all positive factors
SFP Holdings Co.Ltd. (3198) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥51.63B
Dividend Yield1.3%
Average Volume (3M)32.64K
Price to Earnings (P/E)31.4
Beta (1Y)0.41
Revenue Growth2.40%
EPS Growth-26.93%
CountryJP
Employees1,102
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryRestaurants
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)57.60
Shares Outstanding22,813,688
10 Day Avg. Volume30,880
30 Day Avg. Volume32,640
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-1.70
Price to Book (P/B)5.43
Price to Sales (P/S)1.60
P/FCF Ratio84.40
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)79.4
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥35.90B
SFP Holdings Co.Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
SFP Holdings Co., Ltd. engages in the management of restaurants in Japan. The company was formerly known as SFP Dining Co., Ltd. and changed its name to SFP Holdings Co., Ltd. in June 2017. SFP Holdings Co., Ltd. was founded in 1984 and is headqua...
How the Company Makes Money
SFP Holdings primarily generates revenue by selling food and beverages to customers at its company-operated restaurants. Its earnings are driven by in-store dining sales (including alcoholic beverages where applicable), with performance influenced...
SFP Holdings Co.Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
83
Very Positive
Cash Flow
69
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Feb 2026 | Feb 2025 | Feb 2024 | Feb 2023 | Feb 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 30.70B | 31.12B | 30.39B | 29.08B | 22.91B | 10.40B |
| Gross Profit | 21.62B | 21.76B | 21.55B | 20.67B | 16.20B | 7.29B |
| EBITDA | 2.77B | 2.29B | 2.83B | 2.45B | 1.66B | 2.98B |
| Net Income | 1.31B | 1.09B | 1.49B | 1.73B | 549.81M | 1.75B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 13.50B | 13.51B | 13.96B | 13.40B | 17.68B | 16.23B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 4.55B | 4.31B | 5.28B | 4.52B | 9.25B | 5.78B |
| Total Debt | 96.66M | 84.65M | 816.70M | 1.06B | 618.76M | 768.28M |
| Total Liabilities | 4.54B | 4.33B | 5.23B | 5.65B | 5.14B | 3.79B |
| Stockholders Equity | 8.96B | 9.18B | 8.73B | 7.74B | 12.54B | 12.44B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | 590.63M | 1.71B | 1.42B | 4.07B | 3.26B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 1.38B | 2.05B | 2.19B | 4.23B | 3.30B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -997.25M | -485.29M | -848.76M | -95.23M | 251.92M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -1.35B | -808.30M | -6.04B | -667.88M | -9.40B |
SFP Holdings Co.Ltd. Technical Analysis
Negative
2098.00
Price Trends
2280.52
Negative
2232.14
Positive
2172.79
Positive
Market Momentum
-5.87
Positive
45.80
Neutral
25.23
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3198, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2098 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2290.95, below the 50-day MA of 2280.52, and below the 200-day MA of 2172.79, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -5.87 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3198.
SFP Holdings Co.Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
63 Neutral | ¥51.63B | 31.42 | ― | 1.30% | 2.40% | -26.93% | |
63 Neutral | ¥37.30B | 9.42 | ― | 1.04% | 5.13% | 16.50% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
61 Neutral | ¥56.98B | 23.72 | ― | 1.95% | 24.74% | 1.44% | |
59 Neutral | ¥55.55B | 40.19 | ― | 0.17% | 17.94% | 0.67% | |
51 Neutral | ¥48.95B | 14.55 | ― | 2.41% | 9.25% | -29.60% | |
44 Neutral | ¥40.52B | 20.75 | ― | 0.62% | 9.67% | -52.65% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
JP:3198
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SFP Holdings Co.Ltd. Corporate Events
SFP Holdings Raises Year-End Dividend, Signals Confidence in Earnings
Apr 14, 2026
SFP Holdings Co., Ltd. has approved a year-end dividend of ¥14 per share for the fiscal year ended February 28, 2026, with a total payout of ¥319.243 million, to be distributed from retained earnings on May 1, 2026. The payout marks an i...
SFP Holdings Misses FY2026 Forecasts as Costs Rise and Impairments Hit Earnings
Apr 14, 2026
SFP Holdings reported that its full-year results for the fiscal year ending February 2026 fell short of prior forecasts, with net sales, operating profit, ordinary profit, and profit attributable to owners all below the levels projected in April 2...
create restaurants to absorb SFP Holdings in bid to streamline group and tackle izakaya headwinds
Apr 14, 2026
Create restaurants holdings inc. and its consolidated subsidiary SFP Holdings Co., Ltd. have agreed to an absorption-type merger that will make create restaurants the surviving entity and SFP Holdings the disappearing company. The transaction, sla...
SFP Holdings Launches New Isomaru Sakaba Branch With Flat-Price Drink Strategy
Apr 14, 2026
SFP Holdings Co., Ltd. has announced the opening of a new Isomaru Sakaba Kamiooka branch on March 27, expanding its footprint in the Japanese casual dining market. The outlet will adopt a new pricing concept, offering all drinks at 399 yen, signal...
SFP Holdings to Abolish Shareholder Benefits Ahead of Merger and Delisting
Apr 14, 2026
SFP Holdings Co., Ltd. has resolved to abolish its shareholder benefits program following its planned absorption-type merger in which create restaurants holdings inc. will be the surviving entity and SFP Holdings will be the absorbed company. The ...
SFP Holdings Posts Weaker Profits as It Prepares for Delisting and Merger
Apr 14, 2026
SFP Holdings reported modest growth in net sales to ¥31.1 billion for the fiscal year ended February 28, 2026, but profitability weakened, with operating profit down 21.9% and profit attributable to owners of parent falling 26.9%. Despite low...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.