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HotLand Co., Ltd. (JP:3196)
:3196
Japanese Market

HotLand Co., Ltd. (3196) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3196

HotLand Co., Ltd.

(3196)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,887.00
▼(-9.54% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is primarily held back by weakened FY2025 fundamentals (margin compression, higher leverage, and negative free cash flow). Technicals also reflect a bearish trend with weak momentum, while valuation is a major drag due to the very high P/E and low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong brand & quick-service model
Gindaco is a recognizable consumer brand with a quick-service, takeout-oriented format that fits structural consumer preferences for convenience. Brand strength supports repeat traffic, pricing power in core items and scalable unit economics that persist beyond short-term cycles.
Negative Factors
Sharp profitability compression in FY2025
A large drop in net margin signals rising SG&A or promotional spend and/or margin pressure below gross profit. Persistent operating-cost inflation or ineffective cost control can erode returns and jeopardize reinvestment capacity if not reversed within several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong brand & quick-service model
Gindaco is a recognizable consumer brand with a quick-service, takeout-oriented format that fits structural consumer preferences for convenience. Brand strength supports repeat traffic, pricing power in core items and scalable unit economics that persist beyond short-term cycles.
Read all positive factors

HotLand Co., Ltd. (3196) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

HotLand Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
HOTLAND Co.,Ltd. operates restaurants in Japan and internationally. The company is also involved in the development of Takoyaki shops and specialty stores, and bars; and operation of coffee bean and tea leaf shops, and baristas. In addition, it ma...
How the Company Makes Money
HotLand Co., Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the operation of its food courts and restaurants, with key revenue streams coming from direct sales of food and beverages to customers. The company also benefits from franchise fees and royalti...

HotLand Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue has grown steadily and gross margin is stable (~56%), but FY2025 profitability deteriorated sharply (net margin ~0.8% vs ~4.0% in FY2024). Leverage increased materially (debt-to-equity ~1.04 vs ~0.64), and cash generation weakened with free cash flow turning negative (~-¥1.3B), raising execution and balance-sheet risk.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
41
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue48.72B51.04B46.13B38.71B32.16B29.68B
Gross Profit27.30B28.64B25.87B22.16B18.56B18.07B
EBITDA3.21B3.77B4.28B3.10B3.29B4.40B
Net Income582.14M405.40M1.85B1.02B1.36B2.08B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets29.36B33.46B29.03B24.27B22.06B21.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.16B4.81B3.73B2.86B3.34B3.16B
Total Debt9.09B11.78B7.61B6.16B4.87B5.39B
Total Liabilities17.37B21.27B16.49B13.51B11.38B12.19B
Stockholders Equity11.25B11.34B11.84B10.28B10.20B8.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-1.31B1.08B709.68M1.23B3.63B
Operating Cash Flow0.002.60B3.95B2.94B2.90B5.15B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-5.01B-3.76B-2.68B-1.84B-2.40B
Financing Cash Flow0.003.50B645.82M-740.75M-909.35M-1.82B

HotLand Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2086.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1968.54
Positive
100DMA
2007.62
Positive
200DMA
2020.09
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
21.32
Negative
RSI
55.96
Neutral
STOCH
68.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3196, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2086 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2010.80, above the 50-day MA of 1968.54, and above the 200-day MA of 2020.09, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 21.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3196.

HotLand Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
¥51.56B39.570.17%15.53%-26.93%
66
Neutral
¥44.38B18.7617.09%1.37%4.01%3.32%
64
Neutral
¥50.58B11.042.41%6.49%4.27%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
¥55.66B74.591.30%2.90%-26.37%
60
Neutral
¥21.32B25.720.75%25.41%77.18%
46
Neutral
¥43.77B104.890.62%13.05%-29.04%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3196
HotLand Co., Ltd.
2,021.00
-74.88
-3.57%
JP:3561
CHIKARANOMOTO HOLDINGS Co
1,468.00
159.18
12.16%
JP:2705
OOTOYA Holdings Co., Ltd.
7,110.00
1,997.53
39.07%
JP:3198
SFP Holdings Co.Ltd.
2,440.00
418.96
20.73%
JP:3547
Kushikatsu Tanaka Holdings Co.
1,970.00
647.28
48.94%
JP:9828
Genki Sushi Co., Ltd.
2,856.00
-372.34
-11.53%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026