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Daito Construction (JP:1878)
:1878

Daito Construction (1878) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:1878

Daito Construction

(1878)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
¥4,032.00
▲(32.85% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/01/26
The score is driven most by mixed financial performance: strong revenue growth and steady profitability are tempered by weakened TTM cash generation (slightly negative free cash flow) and higher leverage. Technicals add support with a price above major moving averages and positive MACD, while valuation further improves the profile due to a moderate P/E and high dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong TTM revenue growth and improving margins
Sustained, very strong TTM revenue growth with stable-to-improving margins indicates durable demand and pricing power in core construction operations. Over months this supports predictable top-line expansion and operating leverage that can fund reinvestment and sustain profitability.
High return on equity (~20%)
Consistent ~20% ROE signals efficient capital allocation and strong profit generation on shareholder equity. This level supports long-term value creation, allows dividend capacity and reinvestment, and reflects competitive project economics versus peers over multiple reporting periods.
Growing asset and equity base supporting scale
Expanding assets and equity provide scale benefits: larger balance sheet enables bigger bids, geographic or segment expansion, and risk diversification across projects. This structural growth enhances capacity to capture larger contracts and realize operational efficiencies over quarters.
Negative Factors
Weakened cash generation; negative free cash flow
A shift to slightly negative free cash flow and low cash conversion versus earnings is structurally concerning: it impairs the firm's ability to self-fund capex, dividends or debt amortization. Persistent weakness suggests working-capital pressure or project timing risks that reduce financial flexibility.
Rising leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.48)
Material increase in leverage lowers resilience to shocks and raises interest cost sensitivity. If cash generation remains weak, higher debt levels can constrain bidding flexibility and capital allocation, and increase refinancing and covenant risk across the medium term.
Moderate profitability margins
Single-digit net margins and moderate gross margins leave limited buffer against input-cost inflation or competitive pressure in construction. This narrower margin profile makes earnings and cash flow more vulnerable to project overruns or price competition over the coming months.

Daito Construction (1878) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Daito Construction Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDaito Trust Construction Co.,Ltd. designs and constructs apartments, condominiums, rental office buildings, factories, and warehouses in Japan. It operates through Construction, Real Estate, and Other segments. The company also constructs mid- to high-rise rental condominiums in metropolitan area; produces and constructs steel frames and sells exterior products; manages rental buildings and provides customer services; and offers rental building brokerage and tenant recruitment services. In addition, it offers agency guarantee and rental building real estate agency services; constructs LP gas plants and supplies LP gas to rental buildings; supplies and sells energy, such as electric power to rental buildings; and operates elderly day care centers and nurseries. Further, the company provides home care, in-home support planning, home visit nursing care, support for people with disabilities, housekeeper referrals, and nursing care personnel introduction services; operates hotels in Malaysia; and handles financing, such as construction funds. Additionally, it sells insurance to rental housing owners and tenants; offers payment services for credit card settlements and other payment methods; provides consulting services for trust businesses centered on real estate management trusts, as well as asset succession and asset management; and offers document shipping and shredding, printing, and clerical work services. The company also engages in flexible workspace business; and management of facility reservation portal sites. The company was incorporated in 1974 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyDaito Construction generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from contract work in the construction of residential buildings, commercial properties, and infrastructure projects. The company earns money by securing contracts through competitive bidding processes, often partnering with government agencies and private developers. Additional revenue comes from maintenance and renovation services offered to existing clients, as well as from real estate development projects where they manage the entire lifecycle from planning to execution. Strategic partnerships with suppliers and subcontractors also help optimize costs and improve profit margins. Furthermore, Daito Construction invests in technological advancements and sustainable building practices, which can lead to cost savings and enhanced project appeal, thereby contributing to its overall profitability.

Daito Construction Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong income-statement momentum (very strong TTM revenue growth with stable-to-improving margins) is offset by weaker financial quality: TTM cash flow has deteriorated with slightly negative free cash flow and low cash conversion, and leverage has risen meaningfully (debt-to-equity up to ~0.48 from ~0.27).
Income Statement
83
Very Positive
Results show solid profitability and a strong growth trajectory. TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue growth is very strong, and margins have been stable-to-improving versus prior years (gross margin ~17% and net margin ~4.8% TTM). Net income has also stepped up versus earlier periods, indicating good operating leverage. The main weakness is that profitability remains moderate for the sector (single-digit operating margin and ~5% net margin), leaving less cushion if pricing or project economics soften.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet is generally healthy with strong shareholder returns (around 20% return on equity in both TTM and the latest annual period). Leverage is manageable overall, but debt has increased meaningfully in TTM (debt-to-equity rising to ~0.48 from ~0.27 in the latest annual period), which reduces flexibility and raises risk if cash generation stays weak. Asset and equity levels have grown over time, supporting scale, but the recent uptick in leverage is a key watch item.
Cash Flow
48
Neutral
Cash generation has weakened sharply in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months): operating cash flow is low relative to reported earnings and free cash flow turned slightly negative. This is a notable deterioration from the last few annual periods where free cash flow was consistently positive and a sizable portion of net income converted to cash. While the year-over-year free cash flow growth rate is shown as strong in TTM, the absolute level being negative and the low cash conversion are the bigger concerns and suggest working-capital or timing pressure.
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.92T1.84T1.73T1.66T1.58T1.49T
Gross Profit329.99B315.86B284.78B258.45B260.14B238.87B
EBITDA148.49B149.00B128.99B119.68B120.72B107.22B
Net Income93.18B93.86B74.69B70.36B69.58B62.28B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.30T1.22T1.08T1.06T1.01T919.45B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments205.52B238.90B249.56B271.13B262.24B200.50B
Total Debt238.28B124.47B80.02B91.87B95.28B97.30B
Total Liabilities806.49B755.35B674.27B656.98B640.09B611.25B
Stockholders Equity491.61B466.44B402.67B401.53B361.78B304.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-389.00M61.29B71.27B54.18B95.13B85.01B
Operating Cash Flow19.49B85.61B90.88B82.10B112.48B98.46B
Investing Cash Flow-52.37B-46.51B-13.11B-57.09B-19.51B-24.74B
Financing Cash Flow65.05B-45.84B-96.79B-40.06B-34.09B-34.31B

Daito Construction Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3035.00
Price Trends
50DMA
3192.72
Positive
100DMA
3086.43
Positive
200DMA
3100.97
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
111.92
Negative
RSI
75.44
Negative
STOCH
88.18
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:1878, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3035 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3439.40, below the 50-day MA of 3192.72, and below the 200-day MA of 3100.97, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 111.92 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 75.44 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.18 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:1878.

Daito Construction Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
¥1.11T12.1612.53%2.88%11.00%88.70%
78
Outperform
¥5.72T17.979.59%1.86%18.31%71.89%
74
Outperform
¥1.23T12.8219.43%5.16%5.16%6.00%
72
Outperform
¥1.34T12.5519.60%1.94%3.13%11.87%
71
Outperform
¥6.34T27.037.67%1.18%7.97%13.59%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
63
Neutral
¥175.29B15.688.95%3.39%28.94%109.35%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:1878
Daito Construction
3,582.00
544.39
17.92%
JP:8802
Mitsubishi Estate Company
5,308.00
3,131.11
143.83%
JP:8801
Mitsui Fudosan Co
2,082.00
783.55
60.34%
JP:3288
Open House Co
11,470.00
5,917.49
106.57%
JP:3289
Tokyu Fudosan Holdings
1,544.00
595.88
62.85%
JP:8803
Heiwa Real Estate Co., Ltd.
2,543.00
234.01
10.13%

Daito Construction Corporate Events

Daito Trust Construction Corrects Cash Flow Data and Details Treasury Share Moves
Feb 13, 2026

Daito Trust Construction has completed the interim review by certified public accountants of its consolidated financial results for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, and disclosed corrections to previously announced figures. The company revised the quarterly consolidated statement of cash flows, reclassifying items such as “increase in money held in trust” and “other, net,” and clarified changes in presentation for real estate-related cash flow items for the nine months ended December 31, 2024.

In addition, Daito Trust supplemented its disclosures on significant subsequent events to reflect a series of decisions related to the acquisition of treasury shares, including own-share repurchases via ToSTNeT-3 and a stock acquisition rights issuance for a Japanese ASR. The corrections aim to rectify aggregation errors in cash flow reporting and enhance transparency for investors regarding capital allocation and share repurchase initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1878) stock is a Hold with a Yen3361.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Daito Construction stock, see the JP:1878 Stock Forecast page.

Daito Trust Sets Terms for 10th Stock Acquisition Rights Issue Tied to ¥24.6 Billion Buyback
Feb 10, 2026

Daito Trust Construction has finalized the terms for the 10th issuance of stock acquisition rights via a third-party allotment, linked to a fully committed share repurchase program conducted through the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s ToSTNeT-3 off-auction system. The move follows the board’s earlier resolution and is part of a Japanese accelerated share repurchase structure designed to retire up to 7,136,800 shares as treasury stock.

Under the decided terms, the maximum exercisable shares are set at 7,136,800, with the actual number determined by a formula based on the difference between the total shares acquired and an average number of shares calculated from trading data. The repurchase amount is fixed at ¥24,586,276,000, and the average share price used in the calculation will reflect a Bloomberg-derived VWAP from February 12, 2026 to just before exercise, adjusted for dividends, indicating a structured, price-sensitive approach to capital return that may enhance shareholder value and optimize the company’s capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1878) stock is a Hold with a Yen3361.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Daito Construction stock, see the JP:1878 Stock Forecast page.

Daito Trust Construction Completes ¥25 Billion Treasury Share Buyback via ToSTNeT-3
Feb 10, 2026

Daito Trust Construction Co., Ltd. has completed a share repurchase via the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s off-auction own share repurchase trading system, ToSTNeT-3, as part of its capital policy. The company bought 7,256,800 common shares, representing about 2.2% of its outstanding stock excluding treasury shares, for a total purchase price of approximately ¥24.999 billion on February 10, 2026.

The buyback, largely executed through Nomura Securities, is aimed at improving capital efficiency and enhancing shareholder returns. This transaction also finalizes the terms of the company’s 10th issuance of stock acquisition rights via a third-party allotment, tied to a Japanese accelerated share repurchase program, and substantially uses up the previously authorized buyback ceiling of up to 9 million shares or ¥25 billion for the period through January 31, 2027.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1878) stock is a Hold with a Yen3361.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Daito Construction stock, see the JP:1878 Stock Forecast page.

Daito Trust Construction Launches ¥25 Billion Accelerated Share Buyback via ToSTNeT-3
Feb 9, 2026

Daito Trust Construction has approved a specific method for a previously announced share buyback, opting to repurchase its own common stock via the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s off-auction ToSTNeT-3 system on February 10, 2026. The move is aimed at improving capital efficiency and enhancing shareholder returns by shrinking the free float while signaling confidence in its balance sheet.

The company plans to acquire up to 7,256,800 shares, or about 2.2% of shares outstanding excluding treasury stock, for roughly ¥25 billion at a benchmark price of ¥3,445 per share. Using a Fully Committed Share Repurchase structure with Nomura Securities, the buyback is designed to secure the targeted notional amount and align the effective purchase price with the average market price over a set period, though the final number of shares may fluctuate based on market conditions and execution.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1878) stock is a Hold with a Yen3361.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Daito Construction stock, see the JP:1878 Stock Forecast page.

Daito Trust Construction Launches ¥25 Billion Share Buyback to Boost Shareholder Returns
Jan 30, 2026

Daito Trust Construction has resolved to implement a new share buyback program under Japan’s Companies Act and its Articles of Incorporation, authorizing the repurchase of up to 9 million shares of common stock, equivalent to about 2.7% of its outstanding shares excluding treasury stock. The company plans to spend up to ¥25 billion on the buyback between January 31, 2026 and January 31, 2027, aiming to enhance capital efficiency and return profits to shareholders; the move signals continued focus on shareholder returns and balance sheet optimization, given its existing treasury share holdings of over 11.7 million shares against roughly 332.9 million shares outstanding.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1878) stock is a Hold with a Yen3130.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Daito Construction stock, see the JP:1878 Stock Forecast page.

Daito Trust Construction Lifts FY2025 Earnings and Dividend Forecasts on Strong Leasing and Cost Gains
Jan 30, 2026

Daito Trust Construction has raised its consolidated earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, citing sustained high occupancy in its real estate leasing business and steady progress in development projects. Net sales are now projected at ¥1.98 trillion, with operating profit increased to ¥135 billion and net income attributable to owners of the parent revised up to ¥95 billion, all above both the prior forecast and the previous year’s results. On a non‑consolidated basis, the company also expects higher net sales and a sharp increase in ordinary profit and net income, driven by improved margins on completed construction projects through cost reductions and a rise in dividend income from subsidiaries. Reflecting this stronger profit outlook and its policy of targeting a 50% consolidated payout ratio with stable and performance-linked dividends, Daito Trust has lifted its forecast year-end dividend for FY2025 (post stock split) from ¥68.6 to ¥74.6 per share, signaling enhanced shareholder returns alongside improved operating performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1878) stock is a Hold with a Yen3130.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Daito Construction stock, see the JP:1878 Stock Forecast page.

Daito Trust Construction Lifts Full-Year Outlook as Nine-Month Sales Rise 6%
Jan 30, 2026

Daito Trust Construction reported consolidated net sales of ¥1.44 trillion for the nine months to December 31, 2025, up 6.0% year on year, with operating profit rising 3.7% to ¥106.6 billion and ordinary profit edging up 0.4% to ¥109.2 billion, while profit attributable to owners of the parent slipped 0.9% to ¥76.2 billion as earnings per share declined slightly following a 5-for-1 stock split. The company’s balance sheet remained solid, with total assets increasing to ¥1.30 trillion and equity ratio at 38.1%, and it raised its full-year forecast to ¥1.98 trillion in sales and ¥135.0 billion in operating profit, alongside revising dividend projections to reflect the stock split, signaling steady but moderating profit growth and continued shareholder returns amid a stable financial position.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1878) stock is a Hold with a Yen3130.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Daito Construction stock, see the JP:1878 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 01, 2026