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Open House Co Ltd (JP:3288)
:3288

Open House Co (3288) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3288

Open House Co

(3288)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
¥12,660.00
▲(39.70% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:12/19/25
Open House Co's stock score is driven by its strong valuation and positive technical indicators. Despite mixed financial performance, the stock's attractive P/E ratio and dividend yield, along with bullish technical signals, contribute to a favorable outlook. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events limits additional insights.
Positive Factors
Strong Profitability Margins
Open House's solid gross and net margins, plus healthy EBIT/EBITDA margins, indicate operational efficiency and pricing power. Sustained margins support internal funding for capex, cushion against cyclical revenue dips, and help absorb interest expense over the medium term.
High Return on Equity
Strong return on equity shows management converts shareholder capital into profits efficiently. Persistently high ROE supports sustained dividend capacity and reinvestment without excessive equity issuance, helping long-term shareholder value even amid moderate revenue growth.
Reasonable FCF vs Net Income
Although free cash flow growth has slowed, the reasonable free-cash-flow-to-net-income ratio means the company still converts earnings into cash. That underlying cash generation provides flexibility to service debt, fund maintenance capex and support operations over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
The balance sheet's high debt-to-equity reliance raises sensitivity to higher interest rates and refinancing cycles. Elevated leverage constrains strategic flexibility, increases fixed costs, and raises default risk if cash generation weakens over the medium term.
Weak Cash Conversion Trends
Declining free cash flow growth and a low operating cash flow to net income ratio imply earnings are not fully converting to cash. Persistent cash conversion weakness can limit capex, dividend sustainability and debt reduction, worsening financial resilience if trends persist.
Declining Revenue Growth
A 30.3% drop in revenue growth signals weakening sales momentum or market share pressure. Continued top-line contraction undermines scale economics, puts strain on margins and cash flows, and raises execution risk for management's growth initiatives over the coming year.

Open House Co (3288) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Open House Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOpen House Group Co., Ltd. operates in the real estate and other businesses. It provides real estate sales agency/brokerage services. The company also sells newly built detached houses and residential land; and develops and sells new condominiums. In addition, it engages in the real estate investment and finance businesses. The company was formerly known as Open House Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Open House Group Co., Ltd. in January 2022. Open House Group Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyOpen House Co generates revenue through a multifaceted business model that includes subscription services for real estate agents and agencies, transaction fees on property sales facilitated through its platform, and premium listing services that offer enhanced visibility for properties. Additionally, the company partners with financial institutions and home service providers, earning referral fees and commissions for successful leads generated through its platform. These strategic partnerships not only contribute to Open House Co's earnings but also enhance its service offerings, providing a comprehensive ecosystem for real estate transactions.

Open House Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Open House Co demonstrates a mixed financial performance. Strong profitability metrics are offset by challenges in revenue growth and cash flow generation. High debt levels pose risks, but a solid return on equity indicates effective use of shareholder funds.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Open House Co has shown a mixed performance in its income statement. The company experienced a decline in revenue growth rate by 30.3% in the latest year, indicating potential challenges in maintaining sales momentum. However, the company maintains a solid gross profit margin and net profit margin, reflecting operational efficiency and profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy, suggesting strong earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet of Open House Co reveals a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high, indicating a significant reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks in a rising interest rate environment. However, the return on equity remains strong, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds to generate profits. The equity ratio is moderate, suggesting a balanced approach to asset financing.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows some concerns for Open House Co. The free cash flow growth rate has declined, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating potential issues in converting profits into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is reasonable, suggesting that the company is still generating cash relative to its net income.
BreakdownSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.34T1.30T1.15T952.69B810.54B
Gross Profit243.17B206.92B218.36B184.57B155.32B
EBITDA154.55B141.41B142.78B126.11B106.46B
Net Income100.67B92.92B92.05B77.88B69.58B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.41T1.28T1.20T1.03T879.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments421.90B409.96B401.88B349.31B337.73B
Total Debt720.06B611.77B575.14B508.96B437.18B
Total Liabilities873.16B746.17B718.25B635.47B532.77B
Stockholders Equity538.63B464.72B416.60B338.09B294.36B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow26.42B99.42B10.67B-19.98B47.96B
Operating Cash Flow29.53B104.76B17.39B-16.35B50.12B
Investing Cash Flow-11.11B-22.58B-35.58B-4.37B23.54B
Financing Cash Flow-2.96B-69.25B49.10B24.69B40.59B

Open House Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9062.00
Price Trends
50DMA
9783.52
Positive
100DMA
8994.87
Positive
200DMA
7903.74
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
593.17
Negative
RSI
73.17
Negative
STOCH
61.69
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3288, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9062 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10551.15, below the 50-day MA of 9783.52, and above the 200-day MA of 7903.74, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 593.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.17 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3288.

Open House Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$1.13T12.1612.53%2.88%11.00%88.70%
78
Outperform
¥5.79T17.979.59%1.86%18.31%71.89%
74
Outperform
¥1.24T12.8219.43%5.16%5.16%6.00%
72
Outperform
¥1.35T12.5519.60%1.94%3.13%11.87%
71
Outperform
¥6.31T27.037.67%1.18%7.97%13.59%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
63
Neutral
¥174.81B15.688.95%3.39%28.94%109.35%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3288
Open House Co
11,570.00
6,017.49
108.37%
JP:1878
Daito Construction
3,600.00
562.39
18.51%
JP:8802
Mitsubishi Estate Company
5,278.00
3,101.11
142.46%
JP:8801
Mitsui Fudosan Co
2,106.50
808.05
62.23%
JP:3289
Tokyu Fudosan Holdings
1,570.50
622.38
65.64%
JP:8803
Heiwa Real Estate Co., Ltd.
2,536.00
227.01
9.83%

Open House Co Corporate Events

Open House Group Lifts FY 2026 Dividend Forecast on Steady Performance
Feb 10, 2026

Open House Group Co., Ltd., a Tokyo-listed real estate and housing-focused company, has reiterated its commitment to stable, continuous dividends and a shareholder return policy targeting a total return ratio of at least 40%. The group aligns its capital allocation with both ongoing business expansion and the reinforcement of its financial base.

The company revised its dividend forecast for FY 2026, raising the planned annual dividend from ¥188 to ¥200 per share, with both interim and year-end dividends increased to ¥100 each. Management cited steady business performance as the basis for the hike, while indicating that the year-end dividend will be formally proposed at the Ordinary General Meeting of Shareholders scheduled for December.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3288) stock is a Buy with a Yen9968.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Open House Co stock, see the JP:3288 Stock Forecast page.

Open House Group Lifts FY2026 Profit Outlook on Strong Single-Family Home Demand
Feb 10, 2026

Open House Group has raised its consolidated earnings forecasts for the second quarter and full fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, citing stronger-than-expected performance in its single-family home business. The company attributes this momentum to solid urban housing demand, especially in the Tokyo metropolitan area, amid soaring condominium prices and declining condominium supply.

While net sales projections remain unchanged, operating profit, ordinary profit and profit attributable to owners of the parent have all been revised upward for both the interim and full-year periods. The company now expects all key profit metrics for fiscal 2026 to reach record highs, signaling improved profitability and reinforcing its competitive position in Japan’s housing market.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3288) stock is a Buy with a Yen9968.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Open House Co stock, see the JP:3288 Stock Forecast page.

Open House Group Lifts FY2026 Outlook After Record-High First-Quarter Results
Feb 10, 2026

Open House Group Co., Ltd. reported record-high net sales and operating profit for the first quarter of FY2026, with net sales reaching ¥329.8 billion and operating profit ¥40.2 billion, both posting strong double-digit year-on-year growth. Profit attributable to owners of the parent rose to ¥27.4 billion, reflecting robust business performance and improved profitability.

On the back of this strong start, the company raised both its interim and full-year earnings forecasts, now projecting FY2026 net sales of ¥1.485 trillion and operating profit of ¥174.5 billion, alongside higher profit attributable to owners of the parent. Open House also announced increased interim and annual dividend per share targets, signaling confidence in future cash flows and a continued commitment to shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3288) stock is a Buy with a Yen9968.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Open House Co stock, see the JP:3288 Stock Forecast page.

Open House Group Delivers Strong Q1 and Lifts FY 2026 Outlook, Dividend Forecast
Feb 10, 2026

Open House Group reported consolidated net sales of ¥329.85 billion for the quarter ended December 31, 2025, up 4.3% year on year, with operating profit rising 17.3% to ¥40.29 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent climbing 19.6% to ¥27.41 billion. The company’s financial position also strengthened, with total assets increasing to ¥1.44 trillion and the equity-to-asset ratio improving to 38.7%, while basic earnings per share advanced to ¥243.81.

The group raised its full-year FY 2026 outlook, now forecasting net sales of ¥1.485 trillion and profit attributable to owners of parent of ¥115.5 billion, representing double-digit growth in sales and earnings. It also revised its dividend forecast higher, planning total annual dividends of ¥200 per share versus ¥178 in the previous year, signaling management’s confidence in earnings momentum and a continued focus on shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3288) stock is a Buy with a Yen9968.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Open House Co stock, see the JP:3288 Stock Forecast page.

Open House Group Finalizes Stock Compensation-Type Stock Options for Management
Feb 6, 2026

Open House Group Co., Ltd. has finalized the terms of a new stock compensation-type stock option program for its management, issuing 286 units of stock acquisition rights tied to a total of 28,600 common shares. The allotment covers 6 directors and 9 executive officers, with directors receiving 172 units and executive officers 114 units, at an issue price of 691,400 yen per unit (equivalent to 6,914 yen per share), underscoring the company’s continued use of equity-linked compensation to incentivize leadership and strengthen alignment with shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3288) stock is a Buy with a Yen9968.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Open House Co stock, see the JP:3288 Stock Forecast page.

Open House Group Continues Share Buyback, Repurchases 264,400 Shares in January
Feb 2, 2026

Open House Group Co., Ltd. has repurchased 264,400 of its own common shares on the open market between January 1 and January 31, 2026, at a total cost of approximately ¥2.45 billion, as part of its ongoing share buyback program authorized by the board in November 2025. Under this authorization, the company may buy back up to 5 million shares or ¥25 billion by September 30, 2026, and has so far cumulatively acquired 656,100 shares for about ¥5.96 billion, signaling continued capital return to shareholders and potentially supporting its share price and capital efficiency metrics.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3288) stock is a Buy with a Yen9968.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Open House Co stock, see the JP:3288 Stock Forecast page.

Open House Group Grants New Stock Compensation Options to Directors and Executives
Jan 20, 2026

Open House Group Co., Ltd. has approved the issuance of its 14th series of stock acquisition rights as stock-compensation-type stock options for six directors and nine executive officers, covering a total of 286 rights linked to 28,600 common shares. The scheme is designed to align management’s interests with shareholders by tying compensation to share price performance, with an exercise price set at ¥1 per share and fair-value based option pricing offset through monetary compensation or salary; this move underscores the company’s intent to reinforce incentives for long-term share price appreciation and corporate value enhancement, potentially strengthening governance and management commitment to shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3288) stock is a Buy with a Yen9968.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Open House Co stock, see the JP:3288 Stock Forecast page.

Open House Corrects English Disclosure on Share Acquisition Status
Jan 6, 2026

Open House Group Co., Ltd. announced a correction to the English version of its previously released notice regarding the status of a share acquisition. The revision removes a reference to the completion of the acquisition process and changes the title to refer only to the status of the share acquisition, while clarifying that the original Japanese disclosure remains unchanged. The update focuses solely on aligning the English disclosure with the company’s intended wording and does not alter the substance of the underlying transaction, suggesting limited operational impact but improving accuracy and consistency for international stakeholders and investors who rely on the English-language materials.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3288) stock is a Buy with a Yen10059.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Open House Co stock, see the JP:3288 Stock Forecast page.

Open House Group Completes December Tranche of Share Buyback Program
Jan 5, 2026

Open House Group Co., Ltd. has completed a tranche of its share buyback program, acquiring 247,000 common shares on the open market between December 1 and December 31, 2025, for a total of approximately ¥2.23 billion under the authority granted by its Board of Directors in November 2025. This transaction forms part of a larger authorized buyback of up to 5 million shares or ¥25 billion through September 30, 2026, with cumulative repurchases reaching 391,700 shares and about ¥3.51 billion by year-end 2025, underscoring the company’s ongoing capital management efforts and potential support for shareholder value through reduced share float.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3288) stock is a Buy with a Yen10059.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Open House Co stock, see the JP:3288 Stock Forecast page.

Open House Group Signals Openness to Further Lowering Share Investment Unit
Dec 24, 2025

Open House Group Co., Ltd. has announced its stance on lowering the minimum investment unit for its shares, stating that it views a smaller trading lot as important for encouraging broader investor participation in the stock market. The company, which has already implemented 2-for-1 stock splits in 2015 and 2019, said it will continue to consider further reductions in the investment unit, taking into account market conditions, its share price level, and supply-demand dynamics for its stock, signaling an ongoing focus on improving share affordability and liquidity for existing and potential shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3288) stock is a Buy with a Yen10059.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Open House Co stock, see the JP:3288 Stock Forecast page.

Open House Group Confirms Executive Lineup and Governance Structure After Shareholders’ Meeting
Dec 24, 2025

Open House Group Co., Ltd. has announced the composition of its executive structure following resolutions at its 29th Annual General Meeting of Shareholders and a subsequent Board of Directors meeting, confirming the reappointment of President and CEO Ryosuke Fukuoka, key executive directors including the CFO, and founder Masaaki Arai. The company also reaffirmed its governance framework by maintaining several outside directors and outside Audit & Supervisory Board members, signaling continuity in management and oversight practices likely aimed at ensuring stability and reinforcing corporate governance for shareholders and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3288) stock is a Buy with a Yen10059.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Open House Co stock, see the JP:3288 Stock Forecast page.

Open House Group Announces Treasury Share Buyback
Dec 3, 2025

Open House Group Co., Ltd. has announced the acquisition of 144,700 common shares as part of a treasury share buyback program. This acquisition, conducted through open market purchases, is part of a larger plan approved by the Board of Directors to acquire up to 5,000,000 shares, representing 4.44% of the total outstanding shares, with a maximum expenditure of ¥25 billion by September 30, 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3288) stock is a Buy with a Yen8294.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Open House Co stock, see the JP:3288 Stock Forecast page.

Open House Group Subsidiary to Rebrand for Enhanced Market Position
Nov 28, 2025

Open House Group Co., Ltd. announced that its subsidiary, Pressance Corporation, will change its trade name to Pressance Co., Ltd., effective April 1, 2026. This change aims to enhance the subsidiary’s brand image and improve corporate value, reflecting the company’s strategic focus on strengthening its market position and stakeholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3288) stock is a Buy with a Yen8294.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Open House Co stock, see the JP:3288 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025