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Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corp. (JP:3289)
:3289
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Tokyu Fudosan Holdings (3289) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3289

Tokyu Fudosan Holdings

(3289)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,409.00
▲(11.78% Upside)
Tokyu Fudosan Holdings receives a strong overall score driven by solid financial performance and attractive valuation. The company's robust revenue growth and profitability improvements are significant strengths, while the high leverage and negative free cash flow warrant careful monitoring. The technical analysis supports a positive outlook with bullish momentum, and the valuation metrics suggest the stock is undervalued, enhancing its appeal to investors.

Tokyu Fudosan Holdings (3289) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate business in Japan and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Urban Development, Strategic Investment, Property Management & Operation, and Real Estate Agents. The Urban Development segment develops and operates office buildings, commercial facilities, condominiums, leased housing, and other facilities. The Strategic Investment segment develops and improves infrastructures, such as renewable energy power generation and logistics facilities. The Property Management & Operation segment manages condominiums, buildings and facilities, and other properties; and constructs rental conference rooms and hotels, as well as leisure, healthcare, and environmental and greening management facilities. The Real-Estate Agents segment provides real-estate sales agent service and consignment sales; and engages in operations related to rental housing management. It also owns and manages resort facilities, urban style hotels, senior housings, and membership sports clubs. The company was founded in 1918 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyTokyu Fudosan Holdings generates revenue through several key streams. The primary source is from the sale and leasing of residential properties, where it develops and sells condominiums and houses, as well as rents out apartments and commercial spaces. Additionally, the company earns income from its property management services, which involve managing real estate assets for clients. Another significant revenue stream comes from real estate investment trusts (REITs) and partnerships with other developers and investors, enabling the company to share profits from larger projects. Moreover, Tokyu Fudosan Holdings benefits from its strategic collaborations with other entities in the Tokyu Group, which can lead to bundled services and integrated development projects, further enhancing its revenue potential.

Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tokyu Fudosan Holdings demonstrates solid financial health with strong revenue growth and profitability improvements. The balance sheet shows high leverage, which is common in the industry, balanced by a firm equity base. Cash flow management is crucial, given the negative Free Cash Flow due to heavy capital investments. Overall, the company is on a positive trajectory, with strengths in revenue and profit margins, but should monitor leverage and cash flow closely.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Tokyu Fudosan Holdings shows a strong performance in its income statement with consistent revenue growth and improving profit margins. The Gross Profit Margin improved to 21.33% in 2025 from 19.59% in 2024. Net Profit Margin increased to 6.74% from 6.21% over the same period, indicating better cost management. Revenue growth has been steady, with a 4.28% increase from 2024 to 2025. The EBIT Margin improved to 12.23%, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency. However, the EBITDA Margin of 17.08% suggests room for further improvement in operational leverage.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet remains robust, with a stable Equity Ratio of 25.23% in 2025. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is slightly high at 2.12, indicating significant leverage, which is typical in the real estate industry but poses a risk if cash flow weakens. The Return on Equity improved to 9.43%, showcasing a solid return for shareholders. Overall, while leveraging is high, the company maintains a strong equity base.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges with negative Free Cash Flow due to high capital expenditures, typical for real estate expansion. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.61, indicating decent cash generation relative to net income. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is negative, reflecting heavy reinvestment, which could impact liquidity if not managed properly. However, the company's operating cash flow remains positive, supporting ongoing operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.17T1.15T1.10T1.01T989.05B907.74B
Gross Profit257.73B245.32B216.03B197.15B193.90B164.79B
EBITDA207.21B192.12B164.68B160.16B132.54B101.66B
Net Income89.22B77.56B68.55B48.23B35.13B21.67B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.33T3.26T3.03T2.74T2.63T2.65T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments224.25B182.24B263.19B186.01B177.60B210.93B
Total Debt1.85T1.75T1.59T1.48T1.42T1.48T
Total Liabilities2.48T2.42T2.26T2.04T1.99T2.04T
Stockholders Equity826.12B822.52B750.15B684.63B631.79B596.67B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-23.10B-88.85B92.33B75.55B143.00M
Operating Cash Flow0.0047.43B156.47B94.74B76.45B100.41B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-139.98B-178.19B-120.06B-31.79B-116.03B
Financing Cash Flow0.001.47B97.77B42.76B-81.27B108.34B

Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1260.50
Price Trends
50DMA
1222.90
Positive
100DMA
1143.52
Positive
200DMA
1062.60
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
10.47
Negative
RSI
59.47
Neutral
STOCH
82.16
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3289, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1260.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1236.92, above the 50-day MA of 1222.90, and above the 200-day MA of 1062.60, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 10.47 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.16 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3289.

Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$893.75B9.9512.53%2.90%11.00%88.70%
76
Outperform
$4.42T14.349.59%1.89%18.31%71.89%
75
Outperform
¥888.93B9.3019.77%2.34%6.54%-1.16%
73
Outperform
$986.53B10.2519.43%5.13%5.16%6.00%
71
Outperform
$4.03T20.947.99%1.32%4.42%13.51%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3289
Tokyu Fudosan Holdings
1,260.50
331.98
35.75%
JP:1878
Daito Construction
2,900.00
-362.55
-11.11%
JP:8802
Mitsubishi Estate Company
3,401.00
1,241.34
57.48%
JP:8801
Mitsui Fudosan Co
1,641.00
351.44
27.25%
JP:3288
Open House Co
7,617.00
2,017.75
36.04%

Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporate Events

Tokyu Fudosan Introduces Employee Shareholding Incentive Plan to Boost Growth
Aug 28, 2025

Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation has introduced a Trust-type Employee Shareholding Incentive Plan (E-Ship) to boost its medium- to long-term corporate value by aligning employees’ interests with shareholders. The plan involves the acquisition and distribution of company shares to employees, aiming to enhance employee motivation and financial well-being while supporting the company’s growth objectives.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3289) stock is a Buy with a Yen1160.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tokyu Fudosan Holdings stock, see the JP:3289 Stock Forecast page.

Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Reports Strong Q1 FY2025 Growth
Aug 7, 2025

Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corp is a prominent player in the real estate sector, primarily engaged in urban development, property management, and real estate agency services, with a strong presence in the Greater Shibuya Area of Japan.

Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Extends Stock Compensation Plan with Additional Share Acquisition
Aug 6, 2025

Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation has announced the continuation of its stock compensation plan for directors and executive officers, with an additional trust contribution to acquire more company shares. This move, approved by the board of directors, aims to align the interests of the company’s leadership with its long-term performance, potentially impacting shareholder value and corporate governance positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3289) stock is a Buy with a Yen1350.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tokyu Fudosan Holdings stock, see the JP:3289 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025