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Cocolive,Inc. (JP:137A)
:137A
Japanese Market

Cocolive,Inc. (137A) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:137A

Cocolive,Inc.

(137A)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
¥777.00
▼(-34.87% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/30/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (profitability improving, debt-free balance sheet, and solid cash flow). Valuation is also favorable with a low P/E. These positives are partially offset by weak technicals, with the stock in a pronounced downtrend and very negative momentum.
Positive Factors
Debt-free balance sheet
Zero reported debt and rapidly growing equity/assets materially lower financial risk and increase strategic optionality. This durable strength supports investment in product, hiring, or M&A without leverage, preserving flexibility through economic cycles and enabling sustained growth execution.
Improving and resilient margins
High and expanding gross, operating and net margins demonstrate durable unit economics and operating leverage. Sustained margins provide internal funding for growth, cushion versus competition, and indicate the business can scale profitably while maintaining cash generation over multiple reporting cycles.
Strong cash generation and FCF conversion
Consistent operating cash flow growth and near-1x free cash flow to net income indicate high earnings quality and reliable cash conversion. This durable cash profile funds capex, R&D, and shareholder returns while limiting reliance on external financing across multi-quarter horizons.
Negative Factors
Volatile revenue growth
Large swings in year-over-year revenue complicate medium-term forecasting and capacity planning. Persistent volatility can strain R&D and go-to-market efficiency, make margin steadying harder, and raise execution risk as management must rapidly scale resources during peaks and retrench during troughs.
Normalization of ROE as company scales
Declining ROE from earlier peaks signals that incremental returns may moderate as equity base and scale increase. Over the medium term this can pressure shareholder return profiles and requires sustained high profitability growth to maintain prior ROE levels during continued expansion.
Historical working-capital weakness
A past episode of weak cash conversion reflects exposure to working-capital timing or receivables management. If working-capital pressure recurs during rapid growth or economic stress, it could temporarily impair liquidity and force operational trade-offs despite otherwise strong profitability and balance-sheet metrics.

Cocolive,Inc. (137A) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Cocolive,Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCocolive, Inc. (137A) is a technology company specializing in innovative software solutions for the live streaming and virtual events industry. The company leverages cutting-edge technology to provide seamless, interactive, and high-quality live streaming experiences for businesses and individual users. Cocolive's core services include a robust live streaming platform, virtual event hosting solutions, and a suite of engagement tools designed to enhance audience interaction and participation.
How the Company Makes Moneynull

Cocolive,Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are strong: rapid revenue expansion with improving profitability (operating margin up to 21.5%, net margin up to 16.1%), a debt-free balance sheet, and solid cash generation with free cash flow closely tracking net income. Main risk is volatility in growth rates, which may be harder to sustain.
Income Statement
90
Very Positive
Strong and improving profitability alongside rapid top-line expansion. Annual revenue rose from 557.1M (2022) to 1,301.8M (2025), with growth accelerating to 70.07% in 2025. Margins are robust for the sector: gross margin stayed ~57–59%, while operating margin improved from 12.9% (2022) to 21.5% (2025) and net margin expanded from 8.7% to 16.1%. Primary watch-out is that growth has been volatile (0% in 2022, then >40%, then ~29%, then 70%), which can be harder to sustain.
Balance Sheet
94
Very Positive
Balance sheet strength is a major positive: total debt is 0 in 2023–2025 (down from 40.0M in 2022), implying very low financial risk and strong flexibility. Equity and assets scaled quickly (equity 141.1M in 2022 to 889.7M in 2025; assets 240.4M to 1,058.0M), supporting growth without leverage. Returns on equity are consistently high (~22.6%–36.4%), though the decline from the 2023 peak suggests incremental profitability may be normalizing as the company scales.
Cash Flow
86
Very Positive
Cash generation is solid and tracks earnings well. Operating cash flow increased from 47.2M (2022) to 221.4M (2025), and free cash flow closely matches net income (about ~1.0x in 2022–2025), indicating good earnings quality. Free cash flow growth remained healthy (30.7% in 2024; 40.83% in 2025). The key weakness is the historically weaker cash conversion in 2022, when operating cash flow covered net income by only ~0.47x, suggesting earlier working-capital or timing pressure (improved to ~1.14–1.32x in 2023–2025).
BreakdownTTMMay 2025May 2024May 2023May 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue529.32M1.30B1.03B797.14M557.14M
Gross Profit307.52M738.90M600.97M468.97M324.52M
EBITDA104.30M279.89M215.44M140.83M69.92M
Net Income84.15M209.17M149.97M97.17M48.47M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets792.19M1.06B792.19M372.50M240.43M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments641.97M0.00641.97M239.11M129.88M
Total Debt0.000.000.000.0040.00M
Total Liabilities129.42M168.28M129.42M105.35M99.37M
Stockholders Equity662.78M889.69M662.77M267.16M141.06M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow157.22M221.41M157.22M120.31M46.06M
Operating Cash Flow157.50M221.41M157.50M120.31M47.15M
Investing Cash Flow-288.00K0.00-288.00K0.00-1.09M
Financing Cash Flow245.64M15.11M245.64M-11.07M10.33M

Cocolive,Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1193.00
Price Trends
50DMA
768.10
Negative
100DMA
931.17
Negative
200DMA
1152.38
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-22.82
Negative
RSI
41.20
Neutral
STOCH
39.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:137A, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1193 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 700.25, above the 50-day MA of 768.10, and above the 200-day MA of 1152.38, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -22.82 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:137A.

Cocolive,Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
¥2.10B23.74%41.93%
71
Outperform
¥41.51B20.490.52%26.98%19.69%
70
Outperform
¥9.96B20.410.47%19.35%71.74%
65
Neutral
¥10.40B23.892.16%2.75%25.24%
57
Neutral
$3.13B9.23-34.32%3.14%-25.56%-353.61%
56
Neutral
¥16.49B48.952.31%9.71%-70.49%
44
Neutral
¥3.39B-0.651.17%-21.76%-5832.28%
* Consumer Goods Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:137A
Cocolive,Inc.
694.00
-471.00
-40.43%
JP:3633
GMO Pepabo, Inc.
1,902.00
518.32
37.46%
JP:3665
ENIGMO, Inc.
380.00
97.65
34.58%
JP:3680
Hotto Link, Inc.
212.00
-59.93
-22.04%
JP:4374
ROBOT PAYMENT INC.
2,641.00
490.26
22.79%
JP:4431
Smaregi, Inc.
2,030.00
-662.26
-24.60%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 30, 2026