Joby Aviation (JOBY)
NYSE:JOBY
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Joby Aviation (JOBY) AI Stock Analysis

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JOBY

Joby Aviation

(NYSE:JOBY)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$15.00
▼(-7.98% Downside)
Joby Aviation's overall stock score is driven by significant financial challenges, including persistent losses and negative cash flows. While the earnings call highlighted progress in certification and international operations, the financial performance remains a major concern. Technical analysis and valuation also reflect mixed signals and challenges, contributing to a low overall score.
Positive Factors
Certification Progress
Achieving Type Inspection Authorization is crucial for commercial operations, marking a significant step towards FAA certification and market entry.
Strategic Partnerships
The partnership with NVIDIA enhances Joby's technological capabilities, supporting the development of autonomous flight systems crucial for future competitiveness.
Financial Position
A strong cash position provides Joby with the financial flexibility to invest in R&D and scale operations, supporting long-term growth and stability.
Negative Factors
Negative Cash Flow
Persistent negative cash flows indicate inefficiencies in operations and reliance on external financing, posing risks to financial sustainability.
Increased Net Loss
Rising net losses, driven by noncash charges, highlight ongoing financial challenges and the need for improved cost management and revenue generation.
Revenue Growth Challenges
Significant revenue decline underscores difficulties in scaling operations and achieving market penetration, impacting long-term business viability.

Joby Aviation (JOBY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Joby Aviation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJoby Aviation, Inc., a vertically integrated air mobility company, engages in building an electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft optimized to deliver air transportation as a service. It intends to build an aerial ridesharing service. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Santa Cruz, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyJoby Aviation primarily generates revenue through the development and eventual commercialization of its eVTOL aircraft, which is anticipated to be utilized in urban air mobility services. The company plans to operate its own aerial ridesharing service, where customers can book flights on demand. Additional revenue streams may include partnerships with existing transportation and ride-sharing companies, as well as collaborations with government entities and other organizations interested in integrating eVTOL technology into their operations. Joby's strategic partnerships with major players in the aviation and technology sectors, including Toyota, which has invested in Joby, provide both financial backing and expertise in manufacturing and scaling operations. Furthermore, potential future revenue could also be derived from leasing aircraft to third-party service operators or selling aircraft outright.

Joby Aviation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Joby Aviation's earnings call highlighted significant progress in its certification process and international operations, alongside strategic manufacturing scaling and financial strengthening. However, potential delays due to the U.S. government shutdown and increased net losses pose challenges. Overall, the highlights slightly outweigh the lowlights.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Type Inspection Authorization Milestone
Joby Aviation began power-on testing of the first aircraft built for Type Inspection Authorization (TIA), marking the final stage of the certification process. This is a significant indicator of Joby's progress towards achieving Type Certification.
International Operational Progress
Joby Aviation is making significant progress in Dubai, with aircraft cleared to fly at the Dubai Airshow by the General Civil Aviation Authority and the Dubai Civil Aviation Authority. The company plans to be operational in Dubai prior to FAA Type Certification.
Scaling Manufacturing Capacity
Joby has ramped up production significantly, producing 15 times more FAA-conforming parts in 2025 compared to 2024. The company has also begun production of propeller blades at its Dayton, Ohio facility.
Strategic Partnership with Toyota
Joby is working closely with Toyota to scale manufacturing, leveraging Toyota's expertise to meet increasing demand.
Financial Position Strengthened
Joby ended the quarter with approximately $978 million in cash and short-term investments, and added net proceeds of approximately $576 million in October, further strengthening its financial position.
Blade Acquisition and Revenue Growth
Joby acquired Blade, adding $14 million in revenue in Q3 2025, and Blade's operations are expanding market reach and service offerings.
Negative Updates
Government Shutdown Concerns
Potential delays in FAA pilots' participation in TIA flight testing due to the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, although no immediate delay is anticipated.
Increased Net Loss
Joby reported a Q3 net loss of $401 million, a $77 million increase from Q2, driven by $262 million in noncash items, including a $229 million noncash charge related to warrants and earn-out revaluation.
High Cash Usage
Joby used $147 million in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments in Q3, $35 million more than the previous quarter, driven by growth in operating expenses and acquisition-related costs.
Company Guidance
During Joby Aviation's Third Quarter 2025 Conference Call, extensive guidance was provided on the company's progress and future plans. Joby has begun power-on testing of the first aircraft for Type Inspection Authorization (TIA), marking the final stage before Type Certification. The company has already produced 15 times more FAA-conforming parts in 2025 than in all of 2024 and added over 100 manufacturing roles in the last quarter. They have ramped up production of propeller blades in Dayton, Ohio, and are preparing for commercial service in Dubai next year. The balance sheet was strengthened with $978 million in cash and short-term investments by the end of Q3, and an additional $576 million raised in October. The Q3 net loss was $401 million, driven by noncash items like a $229 million charge related to warrants and earn-out revaluation. Revenue was $23 million, with $14 million from Blade, which they acquired in August. Adjusted EBITDA loss was $133 million, reflecting increased operating expenses. The company is also advancing autonomy and hydrogen technologies, planning to integrate these into their aircraft in the future.

Joby Aviation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Joby Aviation faces significant financial challenges with persistent net losses and negative cash flows. The income statement shows an inability to generate revenue and cover costs, while the balance sheet indicates some stability but potential risks if liabilities increase. Cash flow analysis reveals inefficiencies and reliance on external financing, necessitating strategic changes to improve financial health.
Income Statement
10
Very Negative
Joby Aviation's income statement shows persistent challenges, as evidenced by significant net losses and negative EBIT margins over the years. The company has not generated any significant revenue in most years, indicating difficulties in achieving sales growth. The absence of gross profit and negative EBIT and EBITDA margins reflect an ongoing struggle to cover operating expenses without a revenue base. These factors contribute to a very low score, highlighting substantial operational risks.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet of Joby Aviation shows a relatively strong equity position compared to its liabilities, highlighted by a positive stockholders' equity. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively low, indicating manageable debt levels. However, the company's equity ratio has been declining, suggesting potential risk if liabilities continue to grow or equity diminishes. Overall, the balance sheet shows some stability but raises concerns about future leverage and asset management.
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
Joby Aviation's cash flow statement reveals challenges, with consistent negative operating and free cash flows. This indicates that the company is not generating sufficient cash from its operations to cover its expenses, relying instead on financing activities. The negative free cash flow growth rate and poor operating cash flow to net income ratio illustrate inefficiencies in cash management and operational sustainability, leading to a low score.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue22.64M136.00K1.03M0.000.000.00
Gross Profit2.80M69.00K832.00K0.000.000.00
EBITDA-1.00B-561.18M-441.60M-368.21M-243.15M-124.83M
Net Income-1.05B-608.03M-513.05M-258.04M-180.32M-114.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.37B1.20B1.27B1.29B1.49B497.25M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments978.12M932.85M1.03B1.06B1.30B445.92M
Total Debt45.60M31.21M30.66M27.32M2.39M2.64M
Total Liabilities469.86M291.10M235.07M128.24M171.60M780.42M
Stockholders Equity896.45M912.36M1.03B1.16B1.32B-283.17M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-533.69M-476.88M-344.43M-290.81M-228.09M-129.21M
Operating Cash Flow-478.17M-436.27M-313.83M-235.93M-195.75M-105.90M
Investing Cash Flow-255.53M70.76M80.30M-630.79M-18.74M-393.16M
Financing Cash Flow789.11M361.11M288.24M60.46M1.09B69.22M

Joby Aviation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price16.30
Price Trends
50DMA
15.88
Positive
100DMA
15.32
Positive
200DMA
11.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.16
Positive
RSI
51.55
Neutral
STOCH
68.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JOBY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.95, above the 50-day MA of 15.88, and above the 200-day MA of 11.17, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JOBY.

Joby Aviation Risk Analysis

Joby Aviation disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Joby Aviation reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Joby Aviation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
50
Neutral
$418.88M-10.33%-5.40%63.20%
48
Neutral
$14.38B-125.73%1934.50%-92.33%
45
Neutral
$254.81M
42
Neutral
$134.47M-3.95%85.63%
41
Neutral
$923.79M-9.14%-0.48%
40
Neutral
$11.83M-0.40-9.49%97.34%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JOBY
Joby Aviation
16.30
10.40
176.27%
SRTA
Strata Critical Medical
5.10
1.44
39.34%
UP
Wheels Up Experience
1.21
-0.96
-44.24%
FLYX
flyExclusive
3.25
1.02
45.74%
SOAR
Volato Group
1.42
-4.01
-73.85%
SRFM
Surf Air Mobility, Inc.
2.94
1.11
60.66%

Joby Aviation Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Joby Aviation Secures $250M eVTOL Deal in Kazakhstan
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Joby Aviation announced an agreement to sell up to $250 million worth of electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft and services to Alatau Advance Air Group in Kazakhstan. This deal, supported by Kazakhstan’s Ministry of Artificial Intelligence and Digital Development, aims to establish the country’s first air taxi service and positions Kazakhstan as a regional hub for advanced air mobility. The agreement also includes collaboration on sourcing critical materials for manufacturing Joby’s aircraft, highlighting the strategic importance of Kazakhstan in Joby’s expansion into Central Asia.

The most recent analyst rating on (JOBY) stock is a Buy with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Joby Aviation stock, see the JOBY Stock Forecast page.

Joby Aviation Advances in eVTOL Development and Operations
Nov 6, 2025

Joby Aviation, Inc., a California-based company, is pioneering the development of all-electric vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) air taxis for commercial passenger service, aiming to revolutionize urban air mobility with its fast, quiet, and convenient aircraft.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Joby Aviation Begins Power-On Testing for FAA Certification
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Joby Aviation announced the commencement of power-on testing for its first FAA-conforming aircraft, marking a significant step in the final stage of the Type Certification process. This milestone allows Joby to conduct extensive hardware and software integration tests in preparation for ‘for credit’ flight testing, with the aim of achieving FAA certification for commercial operations. The testing phase will involve close collaboration with the FAA to ensure the aircraft meets all safety and performance standards, paving the way for future commercial service.

The most recent analyst rating on (JOBY) stock is a Sell with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Joby Aviation stock, see the JOBY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Joby Aviation Announces Major Public Stock Offering
Positive
Oct 8, 2025

On October 7, 2025, Joby Aviation entered into an underwriting agreement with Morgan Stanley for a public offering of 30,500,000 shares of common stock at $16.85 per share, potentially raising approximately $500.5 million. The proceeds are intended to support certification, manufacturing, and preparation for commercial operations, enhancing the company’s market positioning in the emerging urban air mobility sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (JOBY) stock is a Hold with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Joby Aviation stock, see the JOBY Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Joby Aviation Files Prospectus for Share Resale
Neutral
Aug 29, 2025

On August 29, 2025, Joby Aviation, Inc. filed prospectus supplements with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission for the resale of shares related to its acquisition of Strata Critical Medical, Inc., and a stock purchase agreement with Toyota Motor Corporation. The filings involve the resale of 5,325,585 shares from the Strata acquisition and 49,701,790 shares from the Toyota agreement, impacting Joby’s financial and operational strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (JOBY) stock is a Hold with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Joby Aviation stock, see the JOBY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Joby Aviation Completes Acquisition of Blade Air Mobility
Positive
Aug 29, 2025

On August 29, 2025, Joby Aviation announced the completion of its acquisition of Blade Air Mobility’s passenger business. This strategic move provides Joby with Blade’s established network and customer base in key markets, positioning the company for a faster entry into commercial service with its electric air taxis. The acquisition will allow Joby to continue Blade’s passenger operations as a wholly-owned subsidiary, enhancing its market presence and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (JOBY) stock is a Hold with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Joby Aviation stock, see the JOBY Stock Forecast page.

Joby Aviation’s Earnings Call Highlights Progress and Challenges
Aug 8, 2025

Joby Aviation’s recent earnings call conveyed an overall positive sentiment, highlighting significant strides in certification, strategic acquisitions, and partnerships. The company also emphasized its robust financial standing. However, concerns were raised regarding the increased net loss and the substantial work still required to achieve full certification.

Joby Aviation’s Q2 2025: Progress in eVTOL and Strategic Expansion
Aug 7, 2025

Joby Aviation, Inc. is a company specializing in the development of electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft, primarily operating within the advanced air mobility sector and known for its innovative approach to urban air transportation.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025