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Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY)
:JOBY
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Joby Aviation (JOBY) AI Stock Analysis

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JOBY

Joby Aviation

(NYSE:JOBY)

Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$19.50
▲(17.26% Upside)
Joby Aviation's overall stock score is driven by strong technical momentum and positive strategic developments, offset by significant financial challenges and valuation concerns. The company's progress in certification and strategic partnerships are promising, but ongoing losses and cash flow issues present substantial risks.
Positive Factors
Certification Progress
Joby Aviation is recognized as the US leader in certification progress, with plans for multiple test aircraft and FAA pilot involvement, indicating solid advancement towards operational readiness.
Partnerships and Strategic Alliances
Joby Aviation's partnerships with Delta and Uber are critical for achieving scaled global operations, leveraging the international footprints of both companies in key global launch markets.
Technological Advancements
Joby's S4 eVTOL aircraft offers mechanical simplicity and lower operating costs due to all-electric, emissions-free propulsion, which is expected to drive scaled adoption worldwide.
Negative Factors
Equity Financing
There is a potential for new equity financing in the near-term due to the stock being just below all-time highs, which might lead to dilution.
Financial Performance
Joby Aviation reported a wider operating loss due to increased research and development expenses related to aircraft manufacturing and certification efforts.
Stock Valuation
The stock is currently rated as Neutral after a significant 400% increase in its price, indicating that it may be overvalued at current levels.

Joby Aviation (JOBY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Joby Aviation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJoby Aviation (JOBY) is a transportation company specializing in the development and commercialization of electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft. The company aims to revolutionize urban air mobility by providing fast, efficient, and sustainable aerial transportation services. Headquartered in Santa Cruz, California, Joby focuses on creating aircraft that are both environmentally friendly and capable of reducing congestion in urban areas.
How the Company Makes MoneyJoby Aviation plans to generate revenue primarily through its air taxi services, which will offer on-demand urban air transportation. The company intends to operate its own fleet of eVTOL aircraft, providing a direct-to-consumer service akin to ride-sharing, but in the air. Additionally, Joby may generate revenue through partnerships with transportation network companies and other strategic collaborations that integrate its air mobility services into broader transportation ecosystems. Key factors contributing to its earnings include advancements in aircraft technology, regulatory approvals, and successful scaling of its aerial ride-sharing operations.

Joby Aviation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -12.15%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call conveyed a positive sentiment, highlighting significant progress in certification, strategic acquisitions, and partnerships, as well as a strong financial position. However, there are concerns about the increased net loss and the remaining work needed for full certification.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Progress in Certification and Flight Testing
Joby Aviation completed 76 separate flights in July 2025 with four different aircraft in three locations, advancing to 70% completion on the Joby side and over 50% on the FAA side for Stage 4 certification.
Strategic Acquisitions and Partnerships
Joby announced the acquisition of Blade's passenger business and established new partnerships with ANA for over 100 aircraft, and Abdul Latif Jameel for up to 200 aircraft sales in Saudi Arabia.
Defense Opportunities with L3Harris
Joby is collaborating with L3Harris to develop a hybrid variant of their aircraft for defense, with a significant DoD budget of $9.4 billion earmarked for uncrewed and remotely operated aircraft in FY 2026.
Strong Financial Position
Joby ended Q2 2025 with $991 million in cash and short-term investments, securing a $250 million tranche from Toyota and an additional $41 million through their ATM facility.
Manufacturing and Production Expansion
Joby expanded their Marina facility, doubling production capacity, and commenced operations at their new Dayton facility, aiming for up to 500 aircraft per year.
Negative Updates
Increased Net Loss
Joby reported a Q2 2025 net loss of $325 million, impacted by an unfavorable noncash revaluation of warrants and investments, marking a $242 million increase from the prior quarter.
Uncertainty in Certification Timeline
While progress was made, full completion of Stage 4 and the subsequent certification stages still require significant effort, with no specific completion date given.
Company Guidance
During the Joby Aviation Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, significant guidance and progress updates were shared. JoeBen Bevirt, the CEO, highlighted that the company completed 76 flights in July with four different aircraft across three locations. The company is 70% complete with Stage 4 of certification on the Joby side and over 50% on the FAA side. Joby plans to begin flying TIA aircraft with Joby pilots this year and with FAA pilots early next year. Additionally, they reported strategic milestones, including the acquisition of Blade's passenger business, plans to establish a joint venture with ANA to deploy over 100 aircraft, and a potential sale of up to 200 aircraft in Saudi Arabia with Abdul Latif Jameel. The CFO, Rodrigo Brumana, noted a cash and short-term investments balance of $991 million at the end of the quarter, with a Q2 2025 use of cash totaling $112 million, and reaffirmed the full-year guidance of $500 million to $540 million in cash use. The company reported a GAAP net loss of $325 million, influenced by non-cash items due to an increase in share price.

Joby Aviation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Joby Aviation faces significant financial challenges, with persistent net losses and negative cash flows. While the balance sheet shows some stability with a strong equity position, the income statement and cash flow analysis highlight substantial operational risks and reliance on external financing.
Income Statement
10
Very Negative
Joby Aviation's income statement shows persistent challenges, as evidenced by significant net losses and negative EBIT margins over the years. The company has not generated any significant revenue in most years, indicating difficulties in achieving sales growth. The absence of gross profit and negative EBIT and EBITDA margins reflect an ongoing struggle to cover operating expenses without a revenue base. These factors contribute to a very low score, highlighting substantial operational risks.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet of Joby Aviation shows a relatively strong equity position compared to its liabilities, highlighted by a positive stockholders' equity. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively low, indicating manageable debt levels. However, the company's equity ratio has been declining, suggesting potential risk if liabilities continue to grow or equity diminishes. Overall, the balance sheet shows some stability but raises concerns about future leverage and asset management.
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
Joby Aviation's cash flow statement reveals challenges, with consistent negative operating and free cash flows. This indicates that the company is not generating sufficient cash from its operations to cover its expenses, relying instead on financing activities. The negative free cash flow growth rate and poor operating cash flow to net income ratio illustrate inefficiencies in cash management and operational sustainability, leading to a low score.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue98.00K136.00K1.03M0.000.000.00
Gross Profit-9.70M69.00K832.00K-24.00M-15.94M-7.40M
EBITDA-757.16M-561.18M-441.60M-233.84M-172.49M-106.48M
Net Income-797.24M-608.03M-513.05M-258.04M-180.32M-114.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.26B1.20B1.27B1.29B1.49B497.25M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments990.98M932.85M1.03B1.06B1.30B445.92M
Total Debt30.91M31.21M30.66M27.32M2.39M2.64M
Total Liabilities361.58M291.10M235.07M128.24M171.60M12.11M
Stockholders Equity898.29M912.36M1.03B1.16B1.32B485.14M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-500.70M-476.88M-344.43M-290.81M-228.09M-129.21M
Operating Cash Flow-448.33M-436.27M-313.83M-235.93M-195.75M-105.90M
Investing Cash Flow-44.35M70.76M80.30M-630.79M-18.74M-393.16M
Financing Cash Flow653.83M361.11M288.24M60.46M1.09B69.22M

Joby Aviation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price16.63
Price Trends
50DMA
13.39
Positive
100DMA
9.98
Positive
200DMA
8.66
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.07
Positive
RSI
52.24
Neutral
STOCH
20.80
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JOBY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 16.63 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.55, above the 50-day MA of 13.39, and above the 200-day MA of 8.66, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JOBY.

Joby Aviation Risk Analysis

Joby Aviation disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Joby Aviation reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Joby Aviation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
58
Neutral
$14.87B-88.93%-90.97%-120.32%
58
Neutral
HK$13.63B5.51-2.78%5.71%2.29%-57.50%
57
Neutral
$279.65M28.8626.01%
55
Neutral
$336.59M-8.39%6.70%63.35%
50
Neutral
$1.26B-2416.94%-20.21%88.09%
49
Neutral
$189.72M138.02%-3.95%85.63%
41
Neutral
$8.25M-398.23%-9.49%97.34%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JOBY
Joby Aviation
16.63
11.45
221.04%
BLDE
Blade Air Mobility
4.12
1.01
32.48%
UP
Wheels Up Experience
1.80
-0.18
-9.09%
FLYX
flyExclusive
3.49
-0.57
-14.04%
SOAR
Volato Group
1.47
-9.28
-86.33%
SRFM
Surf Air Mobility, Inc.
4.43
2.50
129.53%

Joby Aviation Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Joby Aviation Acquires Blade’s Passenger Business
Positive
Aug 4, 2025

On August 1, 2025, Joby Aviation entered into an Equity Purchase Agreement to acquire Blade Air Mobility’s passenger business for up to $125 million. This acquisition, announced on August 4, 2025, is expected to accelerate Joby’s commercialization efforts by providing access to Blade’s infrastructure and customer base, particularly in key urban markets like New York City and Southern Europe. The transaction will allow Joby to leverage Blade’s operational expertise as it prepares to launch its air taxi service in Dubai, while also becoming Blade’s preferred VTOL partner for organ transport, enhancing Joby’s position in the air mobility sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (JOBY) stock is a Buy with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Joby Aviation stock, see the JOBY Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Joby Aviation Partners with L3Harris on Hybrid VTOL
Positive
Aug 1, 2025

On August 1, 2025, Joby Aviation announced a collaboration with L3Harris Technologies to explore defense applications for a new class of gas turbine hybrid VTOL aircraft. This aircraft is designed for low-altitude missions and can be optionally piloted, allowing for both crewed and autonomous operations. The partnership leverages Joby’s commercial aircraft development and manufacturing capabilities with L3Harris’ expertise in platform missionization. Flight testing is anticipated to begin in fall 2025, with operational demonstrations planned for 2026, highlighting the potential impact on defense operations and innovation in vertical lift technology.

The most recent analyst rating on (JOBY) stock is a Buy with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Joby Aviation stock, see the JOBY Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Joby Aviation Approves Key Amendments at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 12, 2025

On June 6, 2025, Joby Aviation held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where key proposals were voted on, including the election of directors and amendments to the company’s Certificate of Incorporation. The amendments approved include increasing the number of authorized shares and revising provisions related to U.S. air carrier ownership, which could impact the company’s capital structure and regulatory compliance.

The most recent analyst rating on (JOBY) stock is a Buy with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Joby Aviation stock, see the JOBY Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Joby Aviation Partners with Abdul Latif Jameel for Saudi Electric Aircraft
Positive
Jun 3, 2025

On June 3, 2025, Joby Aviation and Abdul Latif Jameel announced a Memorandum of Understanding to explore opportunities for electric aircraft distribution in Saudi Arabia. This partnership, aligned with Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030, could lead to the delivery of up to 200 electric aircraft valued at approximately $1 billion, aiming to enhance the Kingdom’s mobility sector and create socio-economic growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (JOBY) stock is a Buy with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Joby Aviation stock, see the JOBY Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Joby Aviation Secures $250M Investment from Toyota
Positive
May 27, 2025

On May 27, 2025, Joby Aviation announced the successful closing of a $250 million investment from Toyota Motor Corporation. This investment is aimed at supporting the certification and commercial production of Joby’s electric air taxi, marking a significant milestone in their collaboration. The funding strengthens the long-term partnership between the two companies, moving them closer to a strategic manufacturing alliance and enhancing Joby’s ability to scale its design and manufacturing processes.

The most recent analyst rating on (JOBY) stock is a Buy with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Joby Aviation stock, see the JOBY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2025