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Joby Aviation (JOBY)
NYSE:JOBY
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Joby Aviation (JOBY) AI Stock Analysis

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JOBY

Joby Aviation

(NYSE:JOBY)

Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$13.50
▲(0.30% Upside)
Joby Aviation's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance and challenging valuation. While technical analysis shows some longer-term bullish trends, the stock's negative P/E ratio and absence of a dividend yield weigh heavily on its attractiveness. Recent strategic advancements and partnerships provide some optimism but are overshadowed by financial and operational challenges.
Positive Factors
Market Strategy and Growth
Joby Aviation's increasing diversification in its market strategy, including partnerships like the recent Blade Passenger acquisition and entry into the defense market through L3Harris, showcases strong potential for growth.
Partnerships and Collaborations
Joby Aviation's partnerships with Delta and Uber are critical for achieving scaled global operations, leveraging the international footprints of both companies in key global launch markets.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Joby Aviation reported a wider operating loss due to increased research and development expenses related to aircraft manufacturing and certification efforts.
Stock Valuation
The stock is currently rated as Neutral after a significant 400% increase in its price, indicating that it may be overvalued at current levels.

Joby Aviation (JOBY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Joby Aviation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJoby Aviation, Inc., a vertically integrated air mobility company, engages in building an electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft optimized to deliver air transportation as a service. It intends to build an aerial ridesharing service. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Santa Cruz, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyJoby Aviation plans to generate revenue primarily through its air taxi services, which will offer on-demand urban air transportation. The company intends to operate its own fleet of eVTOL aircraft, providing a direct-to-consumer service akin to ride-sharing, but in the air. Additionally, Joby may generate revenue through partnerships with transportation network companies and other strategic collaborations that integrate its air mobility services into broader transportation ecosystems. Key factors contributing to its earnings include advancements in aircraft technology, regulatory approvals, and successful scaling of its aerial ride-sharing operations.

Joby Aviation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was largely positive, highlighting significant progress in certification, strategic acquisitions, manufacturing expansion, and regulatory support. However, financial challenges remain with a substantial net loss and high operating expenses. Despite these financial hurdles, the overall sentiment leans towards optimism due to strategic advancements and strong financial backing.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Progress in Certification
Joby Aviation is 70% complete on Stage 4 of certification on the Joby side and more than 50% on the FAA side, with plans to begin TIA certification flights with FAA pilots early next year.
Strategic Acquisition of Blade
Joby acquired Blade's passenger business, accelerating readiness for commercial eVTOL operations globally, with significant infrastructure and customer base benefits.
Expansion in Manufacturing
Expansion of the Marina facility will double production capacity to 24 aircraft per year. The Dayton facility is coming online with a strategy to produce up to 500 aircraft annually.
Global Regulatory Momentum
The FAA, DOT, and international markets are collaborating to streamline regulatory processes, supporting Joby's operations in the U.S., Australia, New Zealand, Canada, and the U.K.
Defense Collaboration with L3 Harris
Joby is developing a hybrid variant of its aircraft for defense applications, with flight tests expected this fall and demonstrations with government customers in early 2026.
Strong Financial Position
Joby ended Q2 2025 with $991 million in cash and short-term investments, with strategic investments from Toyota and additional funds from its ATM facility.
Negative Updates
Quarterly Net Loss
Joby reported a Q2 net loss of $325 million, including a $168 million operating loss and a $157 million non-operating loss, impacted by non-cash items.
High Operating Expenses
Q2 operating expenses were $168 million, up $5 million from the prior quarter due to increased staffing and program spending.
Company Guidance
During the Joby Aviation Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, several key metrics and updates were provided. JoeBen Bevirt, Founder and Chief Executive Officer, highlighted significant progress in flight testing, with 76 flights completed in July alone across four aircraft. The company is 70% complete with Stage 4 of certification on the Joby side and more than 50% on the FAA side, marking a 10-point increase from the previous quarter. Financially, Joby ended the quarter with $991 million in cash and short-term investments, and the company maintained guidance for a full-year cash use of $500 million to $540 million. The acquisition of Blade's passenger business was announced, with plans to integrate Joby's eVTOL technology into Blade's operations. Additionally, the company anticipates significant opportunities in defense, with a collaboration with L3Harris to develop a hybrid variant of their aircraft and expectations for operational demonstrations in early 2026. The expansion of manufacturing capabilities was also discussed, with plans to double production capacity at the Marina facility and bring the Dayton facility online, aiming to eventually produce up to 500 aircraft per year.

Joby Aviation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Joby Aviation's financial performance is weak, with significant net losses, negative EBIT margins, and cash flow deficits. The balance sheet shows some stability with a strong equity position, but declining equity ratio raises concerns. Overall, financial health is poor, necessitating strategic changes.
Income Statement
10
Very Negative
Joby Aviation's income statement shows persistent challenges, as evidenced by significant net losses and negative EBIT margins over the years. The company has not generated any significant revenue in most years, indicating difficulties in achieving sales growth. The absence of gross profit and negative EBIT and EBITDA margins reflect an ongoing struggle to cover operating expenses without a revenue base. These factors contribute to a very low score, highlighting substantial operational risks.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet of Joby Aviation shows a relatively strong equity position compared to its liabilities, highlighted by a positive stockholders' equity. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively low, indicating manageable debt levels. However, the company's equity ratio has been declining, suggesting potential risk if liabilities continue to grow or equity diminishes. Overall, the balance sheet shows some stability but raises concerns about future leverage and asset management.
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
Joby Aviation's cash flow statement reveals challenges, with consistent negative operating and free cash flows. This indicates that the company is not generating sufficient cash from its operations to cover its expenses, relying instead on financing activities. The negative free cash flow growth rate and poor operating cash flow to net income ratio illustrate inefficiencies in cash management and operational sustainability, leading to a low score.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue98.00K136.00K1.03M0.000.000.00
Gross Profit-9.70M69.00K832.00K0.000.000.00
EBITDA-757.16M-561.18M-441.60M-368.21M-243.15M-124.83M
Net Income-797.24M-608.03M-513.05M-258.04M-180.32M-114.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.26B1.20B1.27B1.29B1.49B497.25M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments990.98M932.85M1.03B1.06B1.30B445.92M
Total Debt30.91M31.21M30.66M27.32M2.39M2.64M
Total Liabilities361.58M291.10M235.07M128.24M171.60M12.11M
Stockholders Equity898.29M912.36M1.03B1.16B1.32B485.14M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-500.70M-476.88M-344.43M-290.81M-228.09M-129.21M
Operating Cash Flow-448.33M-436.27M-313.83M-235.93M-195.75M-105.90M
Investing Cash Flow-44.35M70.76M80.30M-630.79M-18.74M-393.16M
Financing Cash Flow653.83M361.11M288.24M60.46M1.09B69.22M

Joby Aviation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price13.46
Price Trends
50DMA
14.94
Negative
100DMA
11.14
Positive
200DMA
9.29
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.65
Positive
RSI
39.51
Neutral
STOCH
13.89
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JOBY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 13.46 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.17, below the 50-day MA of 14.94, and above the 200-day MA of 9.29, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.65 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.89 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JOBY.

Joby Aviation Risk Analysis

Joby Aviation disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Joby Aviation reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Joby Aviation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.66B14.6712.46%3.53%2.94%43.39%
55
Neutral
$331.68M-8.39%6.70%63.35%
55
Neutral
$338.15M28.8626.01%
52
Neutral
$1.40B-2416.94%-20.21%88.09%
47
Neutral
$8.53M-398.23%-9.49%97.34%
46
Neutral
$170.45M138.02%-3.95%85.63%
41
Neutral
$11.52B-88.93%-90.97%-120.32%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JOBY
Joby Aviation
13.46
8.47
169.74%
SRTA
Strata Critical Medical
4.06
1.11
37.63%
UP
Wheels Up Experience
2.00
0.03
1.52%
FLYX
flyExclusive
4.22
-0.17
-3.87%
SOAR
Volato Group
1.52
-9.48
-86.18%
SRFM
Surf Air Mobility, Inc.
3.98
2.82
243.10%

Joby Aviation Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Joby Aviation Files Prospectus for Share Resale
Neutral
Aug 29, 2025

On August 29, 2025, Joby Aviation, Inc. filed prospectus supplements with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission for the resale of shares related to its acquisition of Strata Critical Medical, Inc., and a stock purchase agreement with Toyota Motor Corporation. The filings involve the resale of 5,325,585 shares from the Strata acquisition and 49,701,790 shares from the Toyota agreement, impacting Joby’s financial and operational strategies.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Joby Aviation Completes Acquisition of Blade Air Mobility
Positive
Aug 29, 2025

On August 29, 2025, Joby Aviation announced the completion of its acquisition of Blade Air Mobility’s passenger business. This strategic move provides Joby with Blade’s established network and customer base in key markets, positioning the company for a faster entry into commercial service with its electric air taxis. The acquisition will allow Joby to continue Blade’s passenger operations as a wholly-owned subsidiary, enhancing its market presence and operational capabilities.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Joby Aviation Acquires Blade’s Passenger Business
Positive
Aug 4, 2025

On August 1, 2025, Joby Aviation entered into an Equity Purchase Agreement to acquire Blade Air Mobility’s passenger business for up to $125 million. This acquisition, announced on August 4, 2025, is expected to accelerate Joby’s commercialization efforts by providing access to Blade’s infrastructure and customer base, particularly in key urban markets like New York City and Southern Europe. The transaction will allow Joby to leverage Blade’s operational expertise as it prepares to launch its air taxi service in Dubai, while also becoming Blade’s preferred VTOL partner for organ transport, enhancing Joby’s position in the air mobility sector.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Joby Aviation Partners with L3Harris on Hybrid VTOL
Positive
Aug 1, 2025

On August 1, 2025, Joby Aviation announced a collaboration with L3Harris Technologies to explore defense applications for a new class of gas turbine hybrid VTOL aircraft. This aircraft is designed for low-altitude missions and can be optionally piloted, allowing for both crewed and autonomous operations. The partnership leverages Joby’s commercial aircraft development and manufacturing capabilities with L3Harris’ expertise in platform missionization. Flight testing is anticipated to begin in fall 2025, with operational demonstrations planned for 2026, highlighting the potential impact on defense operations and innovation in vertical lift technology.

Shareholder MeetingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Joby Aviation Approves Key Amendments at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 12, 2025

On June 6, 2025, Joby Aviation held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where key proposals were voted on, including the election of directors and amendments to the company’s Certificate of Incorporation. The amendments approved include increasing the number of authorized shares and revising provisions related to U.S. air carrier ownership, which could impact the company’s capital structure and regulatory compliance.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Joby Aviation Partners with Abdul Latif Jameel for Saudi Electric Aircraft
Positive
Jun 3, 2025

On June 3, 2025, Joby Aviation and Abdul Latif Jameel announced a Memorandum of Understanding to explore opportunities for electric aircraft distribution in Saudi Arabia. This partnership, aligned with Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030, could lead to the delivery of up to 200 electric aircraft valued at approximately $1 billion, aiming to enhance the Kingdom’s mobility sector and create socio-economic growth.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 29, 2025