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Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY)
:JOBY
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Joby Aviation (JOBY) AI Stock Analysis

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JOBY

Joby Aviation

(NYSE:JOBY)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$18.00
▲(11.80% Upside)
Joby Aviation's overall stock score reflects a mix of financial challenges and strategic progress. The most significant factor is the company's weak financial performance, marked by substantial losses and cash flow deficits. However, positive developments in certification, strategic acquisitions, and manufacturing expansion provide optimism for future growth. Technical indicators suggest moderate momentum, but valuation remains a concern due to negative earnings.
Positive Factors
Certification Progress
Advancing in certification is crucial for Joby to commercialize its eVTOL aircraft, enabling regulatory approval and market entry, which is a key milestone for future operations and revenue generation.
Manufacturing Expansion
Increasing production capacity is vital for scaling operations and meeting anticipated demand, positioning Joby to capitalize on market opportunities in urban air mobility.
Strategic Acquisition
Acquiring Blade's passenger business enhances Joby's infrastructure and customer base, accelerating its transition to commercial operations and strengthening its competitive position.
Negative Factors
Persistent Net Losses
Ongoing net losses highlight financial instability, posing risks to sustainability and necessitating continued reliance on external financing, which could impact long-term growth.
High Operating Expenses
Rising operating expenses strain financial resources, potentially limiting investment in growth initiatives and impacting profitability, which is critical for long-term viability.
Negative Cash Flow
Negative cash flow highlights inefficiencies and operational challenges, necessitating external funding, which could constrain strategic flexibility and long-term financial health.

Joby Aviation (JOBY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Joby Aviation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJoby Aviation, Inc., a vertically integrated air mobility company, engages in building an electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft optimized to deliver air transportation as a service. It intends to build an aerial ridesharing service. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Santa Cruz, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyJoby Aviation plans to generate revenue primarily through its air taxi services, which will offer on-demand urban air transportation. The company intends to operate its own fleet of eVTOL aircraft, providing a direct-to-consumer service akin to ride-sharing, but in the air. Additionally, Joby may generate revenue through partnerships with transportation network companies and other strategic collaborations that integrate its air mobility services into broader transportation ecosystems. Key factors contributing to its earnings include advancements in aircraft technology, regulatory approvals, and successful scaling of its aerial ride-sharing operations.

Joby Aviation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was largely positive, highlighting significant progress in certification, strategic acquisitions, manufacturing expansion, and regulatory support. However, financial challenges remain with a substantial net loss and high operating expenses. Despite these financial hurdles, the overall sentiment leans towards optimism due to strategic advancements and strong financial backing.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Progress in Certification
Joby Aviation is 70% complete on Stage 4 of certification on the Joby side and more than 50% on the FAA side, with plans to begin TIA certification flights with FAA pilots early next year.
Strategic Acquisition of Blade
Joby acquired Blade's passenger business, accelerating readiness for commercial eVTOL operations globally, with significant infrastructure and customer base benefits.
Expansion in Manufacturing
Expansion of the Marina facility will double production capacity to 24 aircraft per year. The Dayton facility is coming online with a strategy to produce up to 500 aircraft annually.
Global Regulatory Momentum
The FAA, DOT, and international markets are collaborating to streamline regulatory processes, supporting Joby's operations in the U.S., Australia, New Zealand, Canada, and the U.K.
Defense Collaboration with L3 Harris
Joby is developing a hybrid variant of its aircraft for defense applications, with flight tests expected this fall and demonstrations with government customers in early 2026.
Strong Financial Position
Joby ended Q2 2025 with $991 million in cash and short-term investments, with strategic investments from Toyota and additional funds from its ATM facility.
Negative Updates
Quarterly Net Loss
Joby reported a Q2 net loss of $325 million, including a $168 million operating loss and a $157 million non-operating loss, impacted by non-cash items.
High Operating Expenses
Q2 operating expenses were $168 million, up $5 million from the prior quarter due to increased staffing and program spending.
Company Guidance
During the Joby Aviation Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, several key metrics and updates were provided. JoeBen Bevirt, Founder and Chief Executive Officer, highlighted significant progress in flight testing, with 76 flights completed in July alone across four aircraft. The company is 70% complete with Stage 4 of certification on the Joby side and more than 50% on the FAA side, marking a 10-point increase from the previous quarter. Financially, Joby ended the quarter with $991 million in cash and short-term investments, and the company maintained guidance for a full-year cash use of $500 million to $540 million. The acquisition of Blade's passenger business was announced, with plans to integrate Joby's eVTOL technology into Blade's operations. Additionally, the company anticipates significant opportunities in defense, with a collaboration with L3Harris to develop a hybrid variant of their aircraft and expectations for operational demonstrations in early 2026. The expansion of manufacturing capabilities was also discussed, with plans to double production capacity at the Marina facility and bring the Dayton facility online, aiming to eventually produce up to 500 aircraft per year.

Joby Aviation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Joby Aviation faces significant financial challenges with persistent net losses and negative cash flows. The income statement reflects an inability to generate revenue and cover costs, while the balance sheet shows some stability but potential risks if liabilities increase. Cash flow analysis reveals inefficiencies and reliance on external financing.
Income Statement
Joby Aviation's income statement shows persistent challenges, as evidenced by significant net losses and negative EBIT margins over the years. The company has not generated any significant revenue in most years, indicating difficulties in achieving sales growth. The absence of gross profit and negative EBIT and EBITDA margins reflect an ongoing struggle to cover operating expenses without a revenue base. These factors contribute to a very low score, highlighting substantial operational risks.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet of Joby Aviation shows a relatively strong equity position compared to its liabilities, highlighted by a positive stockholders' equity. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively low, indicating manageable debt levels. However, the company's equity ratio has been declining, suggesting potential risk if liabilities continue to grow or equity diminishes. Overall, the balance sheet shows some stability but raises concerns about future leverage and asset management.
Cash Flow
Joby Aviation's cash flow statement reveals challenges, with consistent negative operating and free cash flows. This indicates that the company is not generating sufficient cash from its operations to cover its expenses, relying instead on financing activities. The negative free cash flow growth rate and poor operating cash flow to net income ratio illustrate inefficiencies in cash management and operational sustainability, leading to a low score.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue98.00K136.00K1.03M0.000.000.00
Gross Profit-9.70M69.00K832.00K0.000.000.00
EBITDA-757.16M-561.18M-441.60M-368.21M-243.15M-124.83M
Net Income-797.24M-608.03M-513.05M-258.04M-180.32M-114.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.26B1.20B1.27B1.29B1.49B497.25M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments990.98M932.85M1.03B1.06B1.30B445.92M
Total Debt30.91M31.21M30.66M27.32M2.39M2.64M
Total Liabilities361.58M291.10M235.07M128.24M171.60M12.11M
Stockholders Equity898.29M912.36M1.03B1.16B1.32B485.14M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-500.70M-476.88M-344.43M-290.81M-228.09M-129.21M
Operating Cash Flow-448.33M-436.27M-313.83M-235.93M-195.75M-105.90M
Investing Cash Flow-44.35M70.76M80.30M-630.79M-18.74M-393.16M
Financing Cash Flow653.83M361.11M288.24M60.46M1.09B69.22M

Joby Aviation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price16.10
Price Trends
50DMA
15.61
Negative
100DMA
14.22
Positive
200DMA
10.63
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.17
Positive
RSI
45.48
Neutral
STOCH
33.82
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JOBY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 16.1 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.94, above the 50-day MA of 15.61, and above the 200-day MA of 10.63, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JOBY.

Joby Aviation Risk Analysis

Joby Aviation disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Joby Aviation reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Joby Aviation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
55
Neutral
$15.45B-88.93%-90.97%-120.32%
53
Neutral
$425.63M-8.39%6.70%63.35%
45
Neutral
$207.71M-3.95%85.63%
44
Neutral
$314.11M
44
Neutral
$16.03M-9.49%97.34%
40
Neutral
$1.12B-20.21%88.09%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JOBY
Joby Aviation
15.47
9.23
147.92%
SRTA
Strata Critical Medical
4.91
1.20
32.35%
UP
Wheels Up Experience
1.45
-0.68
-31.92%
FLYX
flyExclusive
3.88
1.43
58.37%
SOAR
Volato Group
2.28
-4.70
-67.34%
SRFM
Surf Air Mobility, Inc.
4.28
2.29
115.08%

Joby Aviation Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Joby Aviation Announces Major Public Stock Offering
Positive
Oct 8, 2025

On October 7, 2025, Joby Aviation entered into an underwriting agreement with Morgan Stanley for a public offering of 30,500,000 shares of common stock at $16.85 per share, potentially raising approximately $500.5 million. The proceeds are intended to support certification, manufacturing, and preparation for commercial operations, enhancing the company’s market positioning in the emerging urban air mobility sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (JOBY) stock is a Hold with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Joby Aviation stock, see the JOBY Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Joby Aviation Files Prospectus for Share Resale
Neutral
Aug 29, 2025

On August 29, 2025, Joby Aviation, Inc. filed prospectus supplements with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission for the resale of shares related to its acquisition of Strata Critical Medical, Inc., and a stock purchase agreement with Toyota Motor Corporation. The filings involve the resale of 5,325,585 shares from the Strata acquisition and 49,701,790 shares from the Toyota agreement, impacting Joby’s financial and operational strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (JOBY) stock is a Hold with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Joby Aviation stock, see the JOBY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Joby Aviation Completes Acquisition of Blade Air Mobility
Positive
Aug 29, 2025

On August 29, 2025, Joby Aviation announced the completion of its acquisition of Blade Air Mobility’s passenger business. This strategic move provides Joby with Blade’s established network and customer base in key markets, positioning the company for a faster entry into commercial service with its electric air taxis. The acquisition will allow Joby to continue Blade’s passenger operations as a wholly-owned subsidiary, enhancing its market presence and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (JOBY) stock is a Hold with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Joby Aviation stock, see the JOBY Stock Forecast page.

Joby Aviation’s Earnings Call Highlights Progress and Challenges
Aug 8, 2025

Joby Aviation’s recent earnings call conveyed an overall positive sentiment, highlighting significant strides in certification, strategic acquisitions, and partnerships. The company also emphasized its robust financial standing. However, concerns were raised regarding the increased net loss and the substantial work still required to achieve full certification.

Joby Aviation’s Q2 2025: Progress in eVTOL and Strategic Expansion
Aug 7, 2025

Joby Aviation, Inc. is a company specializing in the development of electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft, primarily operating within the advanced air mobility sector and known for its innovative approach to urban air transportation.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Joby Aviation Acquires Blade’s Passenger Business
Positive
Aug 4, 2025

On August 1, 2025, Joby Aviation entered into an Equity Purchase Agreement to acquire Blade Air Mobility’s passenger business for up to $125 million. This acquisition, announced on August 4, 2025, is expected to accelerate Joby’s commercialization efforts by providing access to Blade’s infrastructure and customer base, particularly in key urban markets like New York City and Southern Europe. The transaction will allow Joby to leverage Blade’s operational expertise as it prepares to launch its air taxi service in Dubai, while also becoming Blade’s preferred VTOL partner for organ transport, enhancing Joby’s position in the air mobility sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (JOBY) stock is a Buy with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Joby Aviation stock, see the JOBY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Joby Aviation Partners with L3Harris on Hybrid VTOL
Positive
Aug 1, 2025

On August 1, 2025, Joby Aviation announced a collaboration with L3Harris Technologies to explore defense applications for a new class of gas turbine hybrid VTOL aircraft. This aircraft is designed for low-altitude missions and can be optionally piloted, allowing for both crewed and autonomous operations. The partnership leverages Joby’s commercial aircraft development and manufacturing capabilities with L3Harris’ expertise in platform missionization. Flight testing is anticipated to begin in fall 2025, with operational demonstrations planned for 2026, highlighting the potential impact on defense operations and innovation in vertical lift technology.

The most recent analyst rating on (JOBY) stock is a Buy with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Joby Aviation stock, see the JOBY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 21, 2025