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Janus Henderson Group (JHG)
NYSE:JHG

Janus Henderson Group (JHG) AI Stock Analysis

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JH

Janus Henderson Group

(NYSE:JHG)

74Outperform
Janus Henderson Group has a strong financial foundation with robust profitability and cash flow generation. The company's positive earnings call highlights significant progress in strategic acquisitions and net inflows. However, technical analysis indicates downward momentum, which may present short-term challenges. Valuation remains attractive with a reasonable P/E ratio and solid dividend yield, supporting the overall score.
Positive Factors
Business Growth
JHG is on a unique growth path due to its differentiated product offerings and strength in the retail channel which should drive sustained, positive organic growth.
Financial Performance
The 1Q25 adjusted EPS for Janus Henderson Group is projected to increase by 5.2% due to better performance fees.
Market Position
Despite challenging industry flows, JHG has been taking market share.
Negative Factors
Growth Prospects
JHG’s flow profile has improved, but reaching sustained net inflows appears unlikely near term.
Net Flows
JHG’s retail net flows were slightly negative in Aug and ETF inflows slowed meaningfully.
Revenue Challenges
The adjusted EPS for 2025 is expected to decrease by 0.8% due to softer revenues resulting from lower assets under management.

Janus Henderson Group (JHG) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Janus Henderson Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJanus Henderson Group plc is an asset management holding entity. Through its subsidiaries, the firm provides services to institutional, retail clients, and high net worth clients. It manages separate client-focused equity and fixed income portfolios. The firm also manages equity, fixed income, and balanced mutual funds for its clients. It invests in public equity and fixed income markets, as well as invests in real estate and private equity. Janus Henderson Group plc was founded in 1934 and is based in London, United Kingdom with additional offices in Jersey, United Kingdom and Sydney, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyJanus Henderson Group generates revenue primarily through management fees charged on the assets under management (AUM). These fees are typically calculated as a percentage of the AUM and vary depending on the type of investment product and the specific client agreement. In addition to management fees, the company may earn performance fees, which are contingent on achieving specific investment benchmarks or targets. The firm also benefits from its global distribution network and strategic partnerships, which help in expanding its client base and enhancing asset growth. Janus Henderson's diversified investment offerings and commitment to active management play a crucial role in maintaining its competitive position and driving revenue growth.

Janus Henderson Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Janus Henderson Group demonstrates strong financial health with robust profitability, stable leverage, and consistent cash flow generation. The company shows promising revenue growth and maintains a solid balance sheet, although there is room for improvement in operational efficiency.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Janus Henderson Group's income statement shows strong profitability with a gross profit margin of 73.32% and a net profit margin of 16.18% for the TTM. The revenue growth rate of 19.14% over the last year indicates a positive trajectory. However, the EBIT margin of 27.02% and EBITDA margin of 19.27% suggest room for operational improvements.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects stability with a robust equity ratio of 67.75% and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.08, suggesting sound financial leverage. The return on equity stands at 8.59%, which is moderate and indicates potential for better utilization of equity.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.10 and a strong free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.09 for the TTM. The free cash flow growth rate of 2.37% over the previous year signifies consistent cash generation capability.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.47B2.10B2.20B2.77B2.30B
Gross Profit
1.76B1.46B1.59B2.07B1.68B
EBIT
645.70M483.70M489.80M823.40M717.20M
EBITDA
654.40M550.00M557.30M983.50M766.40M
Net Income Common Stockholders
399.00M392.00M274.50M620.00M130.30M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.07B1.88B1.16B1.56B1.59B
Total Assets
6.96B6.50B6.24B6.74B6.69B
Total Debt
486.50M382.50M332.00M310.40M458.50M
Net Debt
-748.30M-785.60M-830.30M-796.90M-649.60M
Total Liabilities
1.88B1.64B1.64B1.91B1.87B
Stockholders Equity
4.59B4.54B4.36B4.66B4.72B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
684.50M430.80M455.70M885.00M627.90M
Operating Cash Flow
694.60M441.60M473.30M895.40M645.70M
Investing Cash Flow
-285.40M-328.90M58.50M-283.30M129.40M
Financing Cash Flow
-324.40M-151.90M-419.10M-588.10M-491.00M

Janus Henderson Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price35.98
Price Trends
50DMA
41.04
Negative
100DMA
42.10
Negative
200DMA
38.95
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.18
Negative
RSI
33.71
Neutral
STOCH
30.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JHG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 35.98 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.77, below the 50-day MA of 41.04, and below the 200-day MA of 38.95, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 33.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JHG.

Janus Henderson Group Risk Analysis

Janus Henderson Group disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Janus Henderson Group reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Janus Henderson Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
JHJHG
74
Outperform
$5.67B14.058.74%4.33%18.85%7.96%
APAPO
73
Outperform
$78.13B19.1128.29%1.35%-20.40%-13.30%
IVIVZ
71
Outperform
$6.80B12.905.31%5.40%3.97%
70
Outperform
$20.35B10.0020.60%5.42%9.80%17.87%
BEBEN
66
Neutral
$10.13B29.572.76%6.48%9.48%-65.57%
64
Neutral
$14.25B10.268.97%4.33%16.33%-11.91%
AMAMG
63
Neutral
$4.89B11.0714.75%0.02%-6.77%-14.55%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JHG
Janus Henderson Group
35.98
4.90
15.77%
AMG
Affiliated Managers
167.21
1.36
0.82%
APO
Apollo Global Management
136.96
26.04
23.48%
BEN
Franklin Resources
19.28
-7.14
-27.02%
IVZ
Invesco
15.19
-0.52
-3.31%
TROW
T Rowe Price
91.57
-23.23
-20.24%

Janus Henderson Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Jan 31, 2025 | % Change Since: -16.87% | Next Earnings Date: May 1, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook with strong net inflows, strategic acquisitions, and solid financial performance, despite some challenges in equity flows and specific strategies.
Highlights
Positive Net Flows and Revenue Growth
Janus Henderson reported $2.4 billion in net inflows for 2024, a significant improvement from $31 billion of net outflows two years ago. The firm also generated new net revenue in both the third and fourth quarters.
Strong Financial Performance
The company returned $458 million of cash to shareholders in 2024 with adjusted diluted EPS of $1.07, a 30% increase compared to the same period a year ago.
Active ETF Growth
Janus Henderson's active ETFs experienced $14 billion in net flows, with AUM doubling in 2024, resulting in a 79% annual growth rate over the last five years.
Strategic Acquisitions
Acquisitions of NBK Capital Partners and Victory Park Capital expanded Janus Henderson's capabilities into private markets, enhancing offerings to existing and new clients.
Resilient Management Fee Rate
The 2024 net management fee rate of 48.6 basis points decreased only 1 basis point over two years, showcasing resilience despite industry fee pressures.
Lowlights
Equity Flows
Equity flows were negative $2.5 billion, an improvement from negative $3.2 billion a year ago, but still a challenging environment for active equities.
Institutional Flows
Despite positive trends in intermediary channels, the institutional channel showed some volatility with net outflows in the previous quarter.
Challenges in U.S. Mid-Cap Growth Strategy
The U.S. mid-cap growth strategy underperformed due to narrow leadership in U.S. market gains for small and mid-cap growth stocks, impacting relative returns to the benchmark.
Company Guidance
During the Janus Henderson Group's fourth quarter and full-year 2024 results briefing, the company reported significant progress and positive momentum. They achieved $2.4 billion in net inflows for 2024, a substantial improvement from $31 billion in net outflows two years prior. This marked a 1% organic growth rate. The company's diversified strategies led to positive net flows across North America, EMEA, Latin America, and Asia Pacific. Janus Henderson's 2024 net management fee rate was 48.6 basis points, with a decrease of only 1 basis point over two years, highlighting their resilience amidst industry fee pressures. The firm returned $458 million to shareholders and ended the year with an AUM of $378.7 billion, up 13% from 2023, driven by strong markets and alpha generation. Their strategic acquisitions in private markets and the launch of European ETFs further amplified their growth, with the firm now being the eighth largest provider of active ETFs globally.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.